August 23, 2013 - Colorado Gov Gets Low Grades On Guns, Death Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton, Christie Tied In Early Look At 2016 Race PDF format Colorado voters disapprove by wide margins of the way Gov. John Hickenlooper is handling gun control and the death penalty, leaving him with a lackluster approval rating and locked in a too- close-to-call race for reelection next year, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters disapprove 48 - 27 percent of the way Gov. Hickenlooper is handling the death penalty and disapprove 52 - 35 percent of the way he is handling gun policy, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. These negatives are offset by a 50 - 41 percent approval for his handling of the economy, leaving the governor with an overall job approval rating of 48 - 44 percent. Hickenlooper gets good marks for personal characteristics. Voters say: 57 - 38 percent that he has strong leadership qualities; 56 - 35 percent that he is honest and trustworthy; 50 - 44 percent that he cares about their needs and problems. "The key for Gov. John Hickenlooper, as it is for many issues in America today, is the attitude of independent voters. These voters go against the governor on his handling of gun control and the death penalty, but split 46 - 46 percent on his overall job approval," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "On almost every question, women side with the governor more than men, giving him a 54 - 37 percent approval rating, while men disapprove 51 - 43 percent. Only 45 percent of Colorado voters say Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected while 48 percent say he does not. In an early look at the 2014 election for Colorado governor, Hickenlooper gets 46 percent to 45 percent for former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo, the Republican. Independent voters are divided 43 - 43 percent. Facing Republican Secretary of State Scott Gessler, Hickenlooper leads 47 - 42 percent. The governor tops Republican State Sen. Greg Brophy 47 - 40 percent. "Gov. Hickenlooper has gone against popular opinion on the death penalty and gun control, but he is doing better on that bread and butter issue - the economy. Let's see how that plays out in the next 14 months," Malloy said. 2016 White House Race Colorado keeps its status as a swing state in the 2016 presidential election as former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton ties New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie 42 - 43 percent. Clinton gets 45 percent to 42 percent for U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, too close to call. Vice President Joseph Biden trails Gov. Christie 50 - 33 percent and falls behind Sen. Cruz 45 - 39 percent. The former first lady has 51 - 44 percent favorability rating. Christie has lower negatives as he scores a 50 - 22 percent favorability. Cruz gets a 26 - 16 percent score as 58 percent of voters say they don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Biden gets a negative 40 - 50 percent favorability. Colorado voters disapprove 56 - 41 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, little changed from a 54 - 43 percent disapproval in a June 14 Quinnipiac University poll. U.S. Sen. Mark Udall gets a 47 - 34 percent approval rating as voters say 44 - 36 percent he deserves to be reelected next year. Voters approve 42 - 34 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet is doing. From August 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,184 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Tom Tancredo the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Hickenlooper 46% 9% 88% 43% 39% 53% 45% 54% Tancredo 45 83 9 43 53 37 47 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - DK/NA 8 7 3 10 7 9 6 14 TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Tom Tancredo the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Hickenlooper 46 42 Tancredo 45 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 DK/NA 8 11 2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Scott Gessler the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Hickenlooper 47% 7% 89% 45% 39% 54% 44% 60% Gessler 42 82 7 39 49 34 44 25 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 1 2 - DK/NA 10 9 4 13 9 11 9 14 TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Scott Gessler the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Hickenlooper 47 42 Gessler 42 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 DK/NA 10 13 3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Greg Brophy the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Hickenlooper 47% 9% 89% 44% 40% 53% 45% 59% Brophy 40 79 6 38 49 32 43 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 2 2 2 - DK/NA 10 10 3 14 8 12 9 14 TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were John Hickenlooper the Democrat and Greg Brophy the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Hickenlooper 47 43 Brophy 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 DK/NA 10 14 4. Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 49% 18% 84% 45% 44% 54% 47% 61% Unfavorable 42 76 10 42 50 35 45 25 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 4 11 6 9 6 14 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 - TREND: Is your opinion of John Hickenlooper favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Favorable 49 45 Unfavorable 42 42 Hvn't hrd enough 7 11 REFUSED 2 1 5. Is your opinion of Tom Tancredo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 34% 52% 8% 39% 41% 28% 35% 25% Unfavorable 30 11 59 24 31 29 31 29 Hvn't hrd enough 34 35 31 37 27 41 32 45 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Tancredo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Favorable 34 32 Unfavorable 30 29 Hvn't hrd enough 34 37 REFUSED 1 1 6. Is your opinion of Scott Gessler favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 16% 29% 4% 14% 20% 12% 16% 17% Unfavorable 15 2 33 13 15 15 16 11 Hvn't hrd enough 67 67 62 72 63 71 67 72 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 - TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Gessler favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Favorable 16 15 Unfavorable 15 11 Hvn't hrd enough 67 74 REFUSED 1 1 7. Is your opinion of Greg Brophy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 10% 18% 4% 10% 14% 7% 10% 11% Unfavorable 4 - 10 3 4 5 4 5 Hvn't hrd enough 84 81 85 87 82 87 85 83 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Greg Brophy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Favorable 10 8 Unfavorable 4 5 Hvn't hrd enough 84 86 REFUSED 1 1 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Clinton 45% 3% 92% 41% 38% 53% 44% 55% Cruz 42 86 2 41 51 33 44 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 3 2 3 - DK/NA 9 7 5 13 7 11 9 10 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Biden 39% 2% 84% 33% 33% 45% 37% 47% Cruz 45 90 5 45 55 36 48 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 DK/NA 11 5 7 16 7 14 10 11 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Clinton 42% 5% 88% 34% 33% 50% 39% 58% Christie 43 83 5 43 50 36 46 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 - 6 6 2 4 - DK/NA 10 6 6 15 9 10 9 6 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Clinton 42 41 Christie 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 DK/NA 10 8 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Biden 33% 2% 75% 23% 28% 37% 30% 51% Christie 50 86 13 54 55 46 54 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 8 7 4 5 3 DK/NA 10 5 8 14 8 12 9 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Biden 33 32 Christie 50 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 10 12 12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 51% 11% 95% 49% 43% 59% 49% 64% Unfavorable 44 85 3 45 52 37 46 30 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 2 5 5 3 4 6 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Favorable 51 53 Unfavorable 44 44 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 REFUSED 1 1 13. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 40% 3% 85% 35% 33% 48% 38% 46% Unfavorable 50 89 8 53 60 41 54 33 Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 6 10 7 9 6 21 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Favorable 40 39 Unfavorable 50 49 Hvn't hrd enough 8 11 REFUSED 1 1 14. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 26% 45% 4% 28% 36% 17% 26% 25% Unfavorable 16 2 34 12 17 14 17 10 Hvn't hrd enough 58 53 62 60 47 68 56 65 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 15. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Favorable 50% 60% 45% 50% 49% 51% 53% 32% Unfavorable 22 17 27 17 28 16 21 23 Hvn't hrd enough 28 23 25 33 23 32 25 42 REFUSED 1 - 2 - 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Favorable 50 49 Unfavorable 22 17 Hvn't hrd enough 28 32 REFUSED 1 2 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 48% 16% 84% 46% 43% 54% 46% 62% Disapprove 44 76 10 46 51 37 47 27 DK/NA 8 9 6 8 6 10 8 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling his job as Governor? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Approve 48 47 Disapprove 44 43 DK/NA 8 10 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 37% 10% 67% 33% 34% 40% 36% 47% Disapprove 50 78 21 51 56 45 51 44 DK/NA 13 11 12 16 10 16 13 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Approve 37 36 Disapprove 50 49 DK/NA 13 16 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 47% 27% 71% 47% 48% 46% 47% 51% Disapprove 34 54 12 33 36 33 35 29 DK/NA 18 19 17 19 16 21 18 20 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Approve 47 45 Disapprove 34 31 DK/NA 18 24 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 42% 24% 65% 37% 39% 44% 41% 48% Disapprove 34 52 14 35 40 28 34 29 DK/NA 24 24 21 28 21 28 25 22 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Approve 42 40 Disapprove 34 31 DK/NA 24 29 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 41% 6% 85% 35% 33% 48% 38% 54% Disapprove 56 94 13 58 63 48 59 43 DK/NA 4 1 2 7 4 4 4 3 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Approve 41 43 Disapprove 56 54 DK/NA 4 3 21. Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Yes/Deserves 45% 9% 81% 45% 41% 49% 43% 60% No/Does not 48 85 12 46 56 40 51 30 DK/NA 7 5 6 9 4 11 7 10 TREND: Do you feel that John Hickenlooper deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Yes/Deserves 45 45 No/Does not 48 44 DK/NA 7 11 22. Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Yes/Deserves 44% 19% 69% 45% 46% 42% 44% 43% No/Does not 36 58 13 34 39 32 37 29 DK/NA 21 23 18 21 15 26 19 29 TREND: Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Aug 23 Jun 14 2013 2013 Yes/Deserves 44 40 No/Does not 36 33 DK/NA 21 27 23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Very satisfied 11% 3% 22% 8% 12% 10% 10% 13% Smwht satisfied 43 23 63 42 39 46 41 54 Smwht dissatisfied 23 35 10 27 23 24 24 22 Very dissatisfied 23 39 4 22 27 19 24 11 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Colorado today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Aug 23 Jun 13 2013 2013 Very satisfied 11 10 Smwht satisfied 43 44 Smwht dissatisfied 23 26 Very dissatisfied 23 20 DK/NA 1 - 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling - the death penalty? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 27% 12% 49% 22% 22% 32% 25% 41% Disapprove 48 63 31 48 54 42 49 39 DK/NA 25 25 19 30 25 26 26 21 25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling - the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 50% 22% 80% 49% 48% 52% 50% 53% Disapprove 41 69 10 42 45 37 42 34 DK/NA 9 10 10 9 7 12 9 14 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Hickenlooper is handling - gun policy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Approve 35% 6% 71% 31% 32% 38% 35% 43% Disapprove 52 86 16 53 59 45 52 43 DK/NA 13 8 13 16 9 17 13 14 27. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Yes 57% 31% 86% 57% 52% 62% 55% 69% No 38 62 10 37 43 33 39 26 DK/NA 6 7 4 7 6 6 6 5 28. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Yes 56% 34% 86% 53% 54% 58% 56% 62% No 35 57 8 37 38 31 35 25 DK/NA 9 9 6 10 8 10 8 13 29. Would you say that John Hickenlooper - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Yes 50% 24% 81% 49% 47% 53% 48% 62% No 44 71 15 45 49 40 47 27 DK/NA 6 5 4 6 4 7 5 12 30. Do you think John Hickenlooper is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Hsp Liberal 41% 80% 5% 39% 48% 34% 44% 24% Conservative 9 3 15 9 9 9 9 12 About right 43 12 75 43 37 49 40 56 DK/NA 7 6 4 9 6 9 7 7 Demographic Summary