October 15, 2010 - Malloy Up 7 Points In Connecticut Gov Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; No Movement For Republican In Two Weeks Word format Dan Malloy, the Democratic candidate for governor in Connecticut, is closing in on the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Republican Tom Foley 49 - 42 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Foley's numbers are unchanged from a September 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Malloy with a 45 - 42 percent lead. In this latest survey, 7 percent of likely voters are undecided and 20 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before Election Day. Malloy leads among Democrats 89 - 5 percent, while Foley wins 85 - 12 percent among Republicans and edges Malloy 46 - 42 percent among independent voters. Men back Foley 49 - 44 percent while women back Malloy 55 - 35 percent. "Tom Foley's 42 percent share of the vote for Connecticut governor has not moved in two weeks. With less than three weeks to go, the Republican better start moving soon," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. "Democrat Dan Malloy has moved ahead slightly and given himself some breathing room, but there are a lot of undecided voters and voters who could change their mind - and there are almost three weeks for them to decide. "After the debates and the latest ads, both candidates are better known, but Malloy is better liked. Both candidates have been on the attack, yet interestingly neither candidate's overall image has been damaged." "As in the Senate race, the support of women for the Democrat is making the difference in the race," Dr. Schwartz added. By a 47 - 29 percent margin, Connecticut likely voters have a favorable opinion of Malloy, compared to 39 - 27 percent September 29. Foley gets a 41 - 33 percent favorability, compared to 34 - 25 percent two weeks ago. A total of 86 percent of Connecticut likely voters say the state's economy is "not so good" or "poor" and 28 percent say it is getting worse, while 14 percent say it is getting better and 56 percent say it is the same. Foley leads 57 - 33 percent among voters who say the economy is getting worse. Malloy leads 78 - 12 percent among likely voters who say the economy is getting better and 50 - 43 percent among those who say it is the same. As her term winds down, Connecticut Gov. Jodi Rell still enjoys a 59 - 33 percent approval rating. From October 7 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,119 Connecticut likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582- 5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners) LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Malloy 49% 12% 89% 42% 44% 55% Foley 42 85 5 46 49 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 7 3 5 9 6 8 RATING ECONOMY Q13 Better Worse Same Malloy 78% 33% 50% Foley 12 57 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 8 8 6 TREND: If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat and Tom Foley the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Malloy or Foley? (This table includes Leaners) LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15 2010 2010 2010 Malloy 49 45 50 Foley 42 42 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 7 12 8 1a. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS........ CAND CHOICE Q1 Tot DM TF Made up 79% 78% 80% Might change 20 21 19 DK/NA 1 1 - 2. Is your opinion of - Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 23% 76% 41% 46% 48% Unfavorable 29 54 5 32 32 26 Hvn't hrd enough 21 18 17 25 20 22 REFUSED 3 5 2 1 2 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Malloy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 47 39 46 Unfavorable 29 27 21 Hvn't hrd enough 21 31 30 REFUSED 3 3 3 3. Is your opinion of - Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 77% 16% 39% 46% 35% Unfavorable 33 7 61 28 32 34 Hvn't hrd enough 22 14 20 28 19 26 REFUSED 4 2 4 5 3 5 TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Foley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 15 Sep 29 Sep 15 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 41 34 34 Unfavorable 33 25 24 Hvn't hrd enough 22 36 39 REFUSED 4 6 2 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 59% 71% 44% 63% 56% 62% Disapprove 33 24 47 30 38 28 DK/NA 7 5 9 7 6 9 RATING ECONOMY Q13 Better Worse Same Approve 63% 53% 61% Disapprove 27 41 31 DK/NA 10 6 8 12. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 1% - 2% - - 1% Good 12 13 14 11 11 14 Not so good 51 42 58 51 51 51 Poor 35 43 25 37 37 33 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 2 1 13. Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 14% 12% 21% 10% 15% 12% Worse 28 31 20 31 27 30 The same 56 54 57 57 57 55 DK/NA 2 3 2 1 2 2
