August 28, 2012 - McMahon By A Nose In Close Connecticut Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Tops Romney By 7 Points Word format Connecticut likely voters put Republican former wrestling executive Linda McMahon on the right side of a 49 - 46 percent too-close-to-call U.S. Senate race against Democratic U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is the first look at likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. In today's survey, McMahon's 54 - 42 percent lead among men swamps Murphy's small 50 - 46 percent lead among women. McMahon leads 88 - 10 percent among Republicans and 55 - 40 percent among independent voters, while Murphy takes Democrats 82 - 16 percent. McMahon leads among all income groups, except voters making $50,000 to $100,000 per year. Voters under 35 years old back Murphy 51 - 43 percent, while McMahon leads 54 - 42 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old. Voters over 55 are split 48 - 48 percent. Connecticut voters give McMahon a 47 - 35 percent favorability rating, while Murphy gets a 38 - 30 percent favorability, with 32 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. "The poll is good news for Linda McMahon. In our first likely voter poll in Connecticut, McMahon has a 3 point advantage in a too-close-to-call-race. Her edge is due to her double- digit lead among independent voters and being close among women, a group she struggled with in her 2010 run," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. "McMahon has worked on her image in the last two years, and it shows. Voters like her more now than they did when she faced Richard Blumenthal in 2010." President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 - 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12 percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind. The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 - 38 percent while men back Romney 53 - 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 - 49 percent split among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president. Obama gets a 51 - 46 percent favorability while Romney has a negative 41 - 44 percent. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a negative 38 - 43 percent favorability, compared to a negative 30 - 33 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan. Another 37 percent don't know enough about Romney's running mate to form an opinion. Connecticut voters say 43 - 35 percent that Biden is qualified to be president, compared to 29 - 26 percent, with 44 percent undecided, for Ryan. The economy will be "extremely important" to their presidential vote, 58 percent of voters say, higher than any other issue. Medicare will be "extremely important," 41 percent say. Romney would do a better job on the economy, Connecticut voters say 49 - 44 percent. Obama would be better on Medicare, voters say 51 - 41 percent. "Although President Barack Obama is ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney, his 7-point lead is a far cry from his 23-point victory in 2008 over John McCain. We shouldn't, however, expect to see the candidates campaigning in Connecticut, which hasn't voted for a Republican since 1988," Dr. Schwartz said. "This smaller than expected margin for Obama could affect the Senate race. The Murphy campaign is hoping to benefit from Obama's coattails, but right now they are not very long." From August 22 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,472 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 52% 6% 92% 47% 45% 59% Romney 45 93 7 49 53 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - DK/NA 2 - 1 4 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 56% 49% 63% 51% 52% 49% 61% 51% 51% Romney 43 47 35 45 46 49 39 46 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - - DK/NA 1 3 2 3 2 1 - 2 2 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Obama Romney Mind made up 87% 87% 88% Might change 12 12 12 DK/NA 1 1 1 2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 85% 10% 42% 48% 34% Unfavorable 44 5 75 42 39 47 Hvn't hrd enough 14 9 14 14 12 16 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 41% 41% 30% 40% 42% 47% 34% 41% 43% Unfavorable 49 40 43 45 44 43 44 44 44 Hvn't hrd enough 9 18 24 14 13 9 22 14 11 REFUSED 2 2 4 1 1 2 - 2 2 3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 51% 8% 90% 45% 44% 57% Unfavorable 46 91 8 51 54 39 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 2 1 1 2 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 56% 47% 58% 47% 51% 49% 58% 49% 50% Unfavorable 43 49 35 47 46 51 40 47 46 Hvn't hrd enough - 2 4 4 1 - 2 1 2 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 2 - - 2 2 4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 46% 10% 82% 40% 42% 50% McMahon 49 88 16 55 54 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 4 2 2 5 4 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 52% 41% 44% 45% 51% 45% 51% 42% 48% McMahon 45 53 49 51 46 50 43 54 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 3 5 7 4 2 5 6 4 4 4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS........ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4.. Tot Murphy McMahon Mind made up 79% 80% 77% Might change 20 19 21 DK/NA 1 1 1 5. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 47% 83% 18% 50% 51% 43% Unfavorable 35 9 61 29 34 36 Hvn't hrd enough 18 7 19 21 15 20 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 42% 50% 41% 48% 48% 45% 42% 48% 46% Unfavorable 43 29 30 33 37 37 35 33 36 Hvn't hrd enough 14 20 29 18 15 18 23 19 15 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - - - - 2 6. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 12% 66% 33% 36% 40% Unfavorable 30 56 10 30 35 25 Hvn't hrd enough 32 32 24 36 29 34 REFUSED 1 - - 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 41% 36% 42% 38% 41% 35% 39% 34% 41% Unfavorable 27 32 29 29 31 30 23 31 31 Hvn't hrd enough 32 31 28 32 28 34 38 34 27 REFUSED - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 43% 20% 66% 38% 43% 44% Disapprove 44 70 22 49 49 41 DK/NA 12 10 13 13 9 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 52% 37% 47% 39% 42% 48% 48% 45% 42% Disapprove 41 48 37 48 48 43 36 47 44 DK/NA 8 16 16 13 10 9 16 9 14 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 33% 20% 49% 30% 31% 36% Disapprove 50 66 31 55 57 43 DK/NA 17 14 20 15 12 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 36% 32% 33% 35% 36% 33% 45% 36% 28% Disapprove 49 51 43 50 50 54 42 51 51 DK/NA 15 17 24 15 14 13 13 13 21 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 50% 68% 35% 52% 52% 48% Disapprove 38 24 51 35 40 35 DK/NA 13 8 15 13 8 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 49% 51% 44% 54% 52% 51% 54% 50% 46% Disapprove 40 36 38 35 38 40 30 41 40 DK/NA 11 13 19 12 10 10 16 9 14 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 61% 41% 79% 59% 56% 65% Disapprove 24 45 7 25 32 18 DK/NA 15 14 14 16 12 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 60% 62% 64% 60% 66% 59% 59% 62% 62% Disapprove 27 23 20 24 22 30 21 27 24 DK/NA 13 15 16 16 12 11 20 11 14 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 49% 7% 88% 42% 43% 55% Disapprove 48 91 9 55 55 42 DK/NA 2 2 2 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 52% 47% 60% 46% 50% 47% 58% 48% 48% Disapprove 46 51 39 51 48 51 40 50 49 DK/NA 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 2 3 12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 3% 2% 6% 1% 4% 2% Smwht satisfied 37 20 56 34 35 39 Smwht dissatisfied 32 31 27 37 31 34 Very dissatisfied 27 47 10 27 30 24 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very satisfied 4% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 8% 1% 3% Smwht satisfied 41 34 36 39 37 38 43 38 36 Smwht dissatisfied 30 35 37 29 32 32 32 31 32 Very dissatisfied 24 28 23 29 28 26 17 30 28 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 - - - - 1 13. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More 32% 45% 25% 29% 37% 28% Less 21 17 17 27 19 23 About the same 46 37 56 44 44 48 DK/NA 1 - 2 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 31% 33% 34% 38% 30% 31% 31% 27% 37% Less 21 22 19 18 21 23 15 24 21 About the same 48 44 47 43 49 45 54 48 41 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 14. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 8% 79% 30% 36% 45% Unfavorable 48 88 12 55 57 40 Hvn't hrd enough 9 3 9 11 5 12 REFUSED 2 2 1 4 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 45% 38% 44% 39% 44% 41% 53% 38% 39% Unfavorable 48 47 34 46 48 53 38 50 49 Hvn't hrd enough 4 12 19 13 6 3 9 9 8 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 - 3 3 15. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 36% 83% 7% 34% 40% 33% Unfavorable 53 12 85 51 54 51 Hvn't hrd enough 9 3 8 12 5 13 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 32% 39% 26% 40% 35% 38% 32% 36% 36% Unfavorable 61 46 49 49 58 53 56 51 54 Hvn't hrd enough 5 13 22 9 5 7 13 11 7 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 1 - 2 3 16. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 10% 65% 32% 34% 41% Unfavorable 43 78 14 48 54 35 Hvn't hrd enough 17 12 19 19 11 23 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 43% 34% 40% 37% 39% 38% 38% 36% 40% Unfavorable 43 44 33 42 43 49 35 46 44 Hvn't hrd enough 13 20 24 20 17 13 27 17 14 REFUSED 1 2 3 1 1 - - 1 2 17. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 30% 63% 7% 29% 38% 22% Unfavorable 33 3 57 29 33 32 Hvn't hrd enough 37 34 36 41 29 45 REFUSED - - 1 - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 31% 28% 20% 30% 30% 33% 22% 30% 31% Unfavorable 40 27 30 28 32 36 36 29 35 Hvn't hrd enough 29 44 49 42 38 31 43 40 34 REFUSED - - - - - - - - - 18. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 11% 1% 23% 8% 9% 13% Less likely 16 29 5 18 19 14 No difference 71 68 71 73 72 71 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 10% 12% 20% 15% 8% 9% 11% 10% 13% Less likely 13 19 13 20 17 14 11 15 18 No difference 76 67 65 64 75 77 78 75 68 DK/NA 1 1 2 2 - - - 1 2 19. Does Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Romney for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 23% 46% 5% 23% 29% 17% Less likely 25 4 41 25 25 25 No difference 50 50 52 50 46 54 DK/NA 2 1 3 2 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 23% 23% 19% 22% 22% 23% 16% 23% 24% Less likely 28 23 27 22 26 26 26 24 25 No difference 48 52 51 55 51 50 56 52 48 DK/NA 1 3 3 2 1 2 3 1 2 20. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Qualified 43% 17% 67% 38% 43% 43% Not qualified 35 67 11 39 41 30 Don't know enough 20 15 21 21 14 26 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Qualified 52% 36% 40% 38% 43% 50% 47% 46% 41% Not qualified 33 37 29 33 37 35 22 36 38 Don't know enough 14 25 29 29 20 14 30 17 20 DK/NA - 1 2 - 1 - - 1 2 21. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Qualified 29% 59% 10% 27% 37% 21% Not qualified 26 3 44 25 25 26 Don't know enough 44 37 45 47 36 52 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Qualified 34% 25% 22% 32% 28% 30% 21% 29% 31% Not qualified 31 22 24 27 24 28 25 24 27 Don't know enough 35 51 53 41 46 42 53 45 41 DK/NA - 2 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 22. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 52% 48% 60% 46% 47% 55% Very important 35 35 32 39 35 35 Somewhat important 11 15 6 12 14 9 Not important 2 2 2 2 3 1 DK/NA - 1 - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 51% 53% 65% 49% 47% 50% 57% 46% 56% Very important 35 35 25 34 39 36 28 38 34 Somewhat important 13 10 7 14 13 12 14 13 9 Not important 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - - 23. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 41% 52% 34% 39% 40% 42% Very important 38 39 39 38 39 38 Somewhat important 19 8 24 21 19 18 Not important 2 1 2 2 2 1 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 41% 41% 42% 38% 38% 44% 51% 43% 35% Very important 35 41 42 39 39 33 28 39 42 Somewhat important 22 16 14 20 21 21 20 17 20 Not important 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - - 1 24. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 58% 69% 46% 60% 59% 57% Very important 35 27 42 36 33 36 Somewhat important 6 3 10 4 6 7 Not important - - 1 - 1 - DK/NA - - - 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 60% 57% 51% 54% 56% 67% 58% 64% 54% Very important 32 37 40 39 37 27 31 29 40 Somewhat important 6 6 8 6 6 6 9 7 5 Not important 1 - - - 1 1 1 - - DK/NA - - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 25. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 42% 58% 28% 44% 46% 38% Very important 35 36 35 36 32 39 Somewhat important 19 5 32 18 19 20 Not important 3 1 5 2 3 2 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 45% 40% 35% 37% 42% 48% 47% 43% 38% Very important 31 39 42 37 36 31 32 35 38 Somewhat important 19 20 17 25 21 18 18 19 20 Not important 5 1 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 - - 2 - 1 26. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 30% 32% 27% 31% 32% 28% Very important 41 47 40 41 40 41 Somewhat important 25 20 28 25 24 26 Not important 4 1 4 2 3 4 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 29% 30% 26% 29% 32% 28% 28% 26% 32% Very important 43 39 31 46 43 41 39 41 41 Somewhat important 25 25 31 20 24 28 27 29 22 Not important 2 4 8 4 2 3 6 4 3 DK/NA - 1 4 1 - - - - 2 27. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 41% 33% 47% 39% 38% 43% Very important 36 39 36 36 34 37 Somewhat important 20 26 15 22 23 18 Not important 3 1 1 3 4 2 DK/NA - 1 - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 34% 46% 56% 44% 39% 31% 23% 30% 56% Very important 36 35 29 42 37 35 33 38 35 Somewhat important 26 16 8 14 22 29 38 27 8 Not important 4 2 5 - 2 5 7 4 1 DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - - 28. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 31% 13% 50% 25% 19% 41% Very important 26 24 29 26 24 28 Somewhat important 24 33 13 29 31 19 Not important 17 28 7 17 23 11 DK/NA 2 2 1 3 3 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 31% 31% 39% 33% 28% 30% 40% 26% 32% Very important 24 27 32 25 26 22 25 27 25 Somewhat important 21 27 13 27 27 25 18 27 24 Not important 23 12 12 13 17 22 16 19 15 DK/NA 1 3 5 3 1 1 1 1 3 29. Will - abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Extremely important 24% 19% 33% 19% 15% 31% Very important 25 20 31 24 21 28 Somewhat important 27 31 23 28 29 25 Not important 23 30 11 26 32 15 DK/NA 2 - 2 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 23% 24% 30% 22% 25% 21% 30% 20% 25% Very important 25 25 26 30 22 23 22 25 26 Somewhat important 26 27 19 28 31 26 21 28 26 Not important 26 21 19 19 21 29 25 26 20 DK/NA 1 3 5 1 1 1 1 1 3 30. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 57% 20% 91% 51% 52% 62% No 40 79 7 45 46 35 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 61% 55% 67% 55% 58% 55% 66% 56% 56% No 37 43 32 41 40 43 33 42 41 DK/NA 2 2 - 4 2 2 1 2 3 31. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 43% 85% 15% 43% 47% 40% No 49 10 78 49 47 52 DK/NA 8 5 7 8 7 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 44% 42% 33% 43% 41% 48% 40% 45% 41% No 51 48 54 46 52 48 56 47 49 DK/NA 5 9 13 11 7 4 4 7 9 32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Health Care Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q22 Obama 52% 9% 90% 46% 47% 56% 56% Romney 43 90 7 46 48 39 41 DK/NA 5 1 3 9 5 6 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 55% 49% 61% 51% 51% 48% 56% 52% 51% Romney 40 45 32 42 45 46 38 45 42 DK/NA 4 7 7 7 4 5 6 3 7 33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Taxes Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q23 Obama 47% 6% 84% 40% 41% 52% 38% Romney 47 91 11 50 55 39 58 DK/NA 7 3 5 9 5 8 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 48% 46% 62% 47% 45% 42% 55% 44% 48% Romney 46 47 30 43 50 52 40 50 45 DK/NA 6 7 8 10 6 5 5 7 7 34. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Economy Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q24 Obama 44% 4% 82% 35% 39% 47% 33% Romney 49 94 12 53 56 43 61 DK/NA 8 1 6 12 5 10 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 41% 55% 43% 43% 40% 51% 40% 45% Romney 47 50 35 48 50 54 43 52 48 DK/NA 6 8 11 10 7 6 7 8 7 35. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Budget Def Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q25 Obama 40% 4% 76% 30% 34% 45% 26% Romney 53 94 16 61 61 46 69 DK/NA 7 1 8 9 5 9 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 39% 40% 60% 39% 37% 35% 44% 37% 41% Romney 54 53 33 50 57 60 54 56 51 DK/NA 7 7 7 11 6 5 2 7 8 36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Foreign Pol Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q26 Obama 52% 11% 85% 50% 49% 56% 49% Romney 40 81 8 41 47 34 48 DK/NA 8 8 7 8 5 11 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 57% 49% 55% 50% 53% 54% 62% 51% 51% Romney 37 42 35 39 40 41 33 41 40 DK/NA 6 9 11 11 7 5 5 8 9 37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Medicare Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q27 Obama 51% 11% 87% 44% 47% 55% 58% Romney 41 86 8 44 46 37 37 DK/NA 7 3 5 11 7 8 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 54% 49% 61% 45% 49% 52% 61% 48% 51% Romney 40 42 31 44 46 43 35 44 42 DK/NA 6 8 8 11 6 5 4 8 7 38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Wom Rep Hlth Extr Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q28 Obama 62% 28% 90% 57% 57% 65% 82% Romney 23 55 3 23 25 22 14 DK/NA 15 17 7 20 18 12 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 68% 56% 63% 51% 63% 67% 80% 61% 55% Romney 19 27 23 30 22 19 9 24 28 DK/NA 13 17 14 18 15 14 10 15 17 39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Abortion Extrm Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Imp to Vote Q29 Obama 56% 24% 83% 54% 51% 61% 68% Romney 27 60 7 26 31 24 28 DK/NA 16 16 11 21 18 15 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 64% 51% 53% 47% 61% 62% 73% 56% 51% Romney 22 32 27 32 27 23 16 26 32 DK/NA 14 18 20 21 12 15 12 18 16 40. Which comes closer to your view? Government should do more to solve national problems, or Government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Should do more 39% 13% 65% 33% 34% 42% Doing too much 54 85 25 61 62 48 DK/NA 7 2 10 7 4 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Should do more 44% 35% 43% 41% 34% 40% 47% 37% 37% Doing too much 50 58 44 53 62 55 49 58 53 DK/NA 6 7 13 6 4 5 5 5 10 41. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 67% 39% 87% 68% 62% 71% Oppose 29 56 10 28 35 25 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Support 67% 67% 71% 75% 72% 63% 70% 66% 68% Oppose 32 27 24 21 27 35 28 32 27 DK/NA 2 5 5 4 1 2 2 2 5 42. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Legal all cases 35% 22% 47% 36% 30% 40% Legal most cases 35 31 37 36 39 31 Illegal most cases 16 32 7 15 17 15 Illegal all cases 7 10 5 5 6 8 DK/NA 7 6 4 9 8 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal all cases 41% 31% 31% 33% 33% 43% 46% 40% 29% Legal most cases 34 35 27 32 41 35 36 34 35 Illegal most cases 15 17 14 20 17 15 12 15 18 Illegal all cases 4 10 15 6 4 3 5 6 10 DK/NA 6 7 12 9 4 4 1 6 8 43. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Legal 87% 80% 91% 88% 89% 85% Illegal 8 13 6 6 6 10 DK/NA 5 7 3 5 5 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal 90% 85% 77% 84% 89% 93% 95% 87% 84% Illegal 5 10 17 10 6 4 5 7 10 DK/NA 4 5 6 6 5 3 - 6 6 44. Do you think Linda McMahon has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 50% 83% 23% 53% 52% 48% No 42 14 67 37 41 42 DK/NA 9 4 10 10 7 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 45% 53% 48% 51% 49% 51% 49% 54% 47% No 46 38 43 35 45 41 43 38 45 DK/NA 8 9 9 14 6 8 8 9 8 45. Do you think Chris Murphy has the right kind of experience to be a United States Senator from Connecticut or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 52% 27% 76% 49% 49% 55% No 30 56 9 32 37 24 DK/NA 17 17 15 19 13 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 55% 51% 47% 50% 57% 57% 52% 53% 53% No 28 32 30 33 30 28 31 29 31 DK/NA 17 17 23 16 13 16 17 18 16 46. Would you say that Linda McMahon cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 56% 86% 30% 60% 56% 56% No 35 10 55 32 36 34 DK/NA 9 4 15 9 9 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 51% 60% 59% 62% 53% 54% 54% 58% 55% No 40 31 30 29 38 39 35 35 34 DK/NA 9 9 12 9 9 8 11 7 11 47. Would you say that Chris Murphy cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 50% 26% 74% 46% 44% 56% No 36 64 12 38 45 28 DK/NA 14 10 14 15 11 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 55% 48% 44% 53% 53% 53% 48% 48% 53% No 32 39 42 33 37 34 40 39 34 DK/NA 14 13 14 14 10 13 12 13 14 48. Which type of candidate would you prefer to see as a United States Senator; someone who has government experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom DC experience 40% 16% 69% 31% 36% 44% DC outsider 51 79 21 60 56 47 DK/NA 9 6 11 9 8 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ DC experience 40% 40% 55% 35% 35% 39% 43% 36% 43% DC outsider 50 52 38 58 58 53 49 57 47 DK/NA 10 8 7 7 7 8 8 7 9 49. Does Chris Murphy's experience as a Connecticut Congressman make you more likely to vote for him for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 33% 10% 58% 29% 32% 35% Less likely 24 42 6 27 31 17 No difference 41 47 33 43 37 44 DK/NA 2 1 3 2 1 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 38% 30% 29% 33% 35% 35% 31% 32% 35% Less likely 22 25 21 25 24 26 18 25 25 No difference 38 42 45 40 40 38 49 42 37 DK/NA 1 3 5 3 1 1 2 1 3 50. Does Linda McMahon's experience as CEO of World Wrestling Entertainment make you more likely to vote for her for United States Senator, less likely or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 21% 40% 7% 22% 28% 15% Less likely 30 10 52 25 28 32 No difference 47 49 39 52 42 51 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 23% 19% 18% 20% 21% 23% 18% 24% 20% Less likely 37 26 28 27 33 32 27 30 32 No difference 39 53 51 50 46 45 52 47 46 DK/NA 1 2 3 3 - - 3 - 2 51. If Linda McMahon is elected United States Senator she would be Connecticut's first woman U.S. Senator. Does this make you more likely to vote for her, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More likely 11% 14% 8% 9% 8% 13% Less likely 5 1 9 5 5 5 No difference 83 85 82 85 86 80 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 9% 12% 21% 8% 8% 10% 18% 11% 9% Less likely 4 6 7 6 4 3 3 3 7 No difference 85 81 68 85 87 87 77 86 83 DK/NA 1 1 4 1 1 - 2 - 2 52. Have you seen any of Linda McMahon's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? IF YES: From what you have seen of Linda McMahon's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Informative 41% 67% 24% 40% 43% 39% Yes/Annoying 42 20 56 45 43 42 No/Haven't seen ads 12 10 13 12 10 14 DK/NA 4 3 7 3 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Informative 37% 45% 44% 38% 42% 40% 39% 45% 39% Yes/Annoying 45 41 31 43 45 45 40 40 44 No/Haven't seen ads 13 11 21 14 9 11 17 11 11 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 6 53. Have you seen any of Chris Murphy's television advertisements for this year's election for United States Senator? IF YES: From what you have seen of Chris Murphy's television ads, are they more informative or more annoying? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Informative 29% 11% 43% 29% 28% 31% Yes/Annoying 36 53 20 41 40 33 No/Haven't seen ads 28 28 29 25 27 28 DK/NA 7 8 7 6 6 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Informative 28% 30% 25% 28% 33% 30% 23% 29% 31% Yes/Annoying 33 39 35 40 39 35 34 37 36 No/Haven't seen ads 32 24 33 25 23 29 39 27 25 DK/NA 7 6 7 7 5 6 4 6 8 54. As you may know the Republican National Convention will meet in Tampa August 27th to the 30th. Do you think you will watch any of the television coverage of the convention? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 69% 86% 62% 64% 68% 69% No 29 13 35 33 30 29 DK/NA 2 - 2 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 70% 68% 71% 71% 61% 73% 65% 67% 70% No 29 30 27 28 36 25 35 30 28 DK/NA 1 2 2 1 3 2 - 3 2 55. As you may know the Democratic National Convention will meet in Charlotte September 3rd to the 6th. Do you think you will watch any of the television coverage of the convention? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 68% 62% 80% 62% 66% 71% No 29 35 19 35 32 27 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 69% 68% 70% 74% 60% 72% 64% 67% 70% No 29 29 26 25 36 27 33 30 27 DK/NA 1 3 4 2 4 1 3 3 2 Demographic Summary
