October 4, 2012 - Connecticut Senate Race Is Tied, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Widens Lead Over Romney To 12 Points Word format The Connecticut U.S. Senate race is essentially tied up, with 48 percent of likely voters for Republican Linda McMahon and 47 percent for Democratic U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters have about the same low opinion of professional wrestling and the U.S. Congress. Today's results compare to the too-close-to-call results of an August 28 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ac) University, showing McMahon with 49 percent and Murphy with 46 percent. In today's survey, 50 percent of McMahon backers are "very enthusiastic," while 39 percent are "somewhat enthusiastic." For Murphy, 27 percent are "very enthusiastic" and 55 percent are "somewhat enthusiastic." Men back McMahon 52 - 45 percent, while women back Murphy 50 - 44 percent. Independent voters go Republican 52 - 43 percent. By a 45 - 41 percent margin, Connecticut voters have a favorable opinion of McMahon, compared to 47 - 35 percent August 28. Murphy gets a negative 36 - 40 percent favorability rating, down from a 38 - 30 percent positive score in August. "Connecticut voters like Linda McMahon more than U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy. But the Democrat seems to be holding his own against the onslaught of negative advertising," said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University poll. "McMahon voters are much more likely to say they are very enthusiastic about their choice than Murphy voters, by about 2-1. While the horserace has barely changed, the images of both candidates have declined since August, as the campaign attacks have increased." "Murphy's negatives are up 10 points and McMahon's are up 6 points. McMahon has done a good job defining Murphy, who was not well known statewide, in a negative way," Dr. Schwartz added. Among Connecticut likely voters, 5 percent have a very positive opinion of professional wrestling, with 18 percent somewhat positive, 31 percent somewhat negative and 30 percent very negative. Only 2 percent of voters have a very positive opinion of the U.S. Congress, with 24 percent somewhat positive, 37 percent somewhat negative and 34 percent very negative. "There is so much that could be said about the U.S. Congress and professional wrestling, but we probably shouldn't say it," Schwartz said. A total of 84 percent of voters have seen McMahon campaign ads "very often" or "somewhat often," compared to 64 percent for Murphy. McMahon's ads are "very effective" or "somewhat effective," 66 percent of voters say, compared to 51 percent for Murphy. "McMahon's blanketing the airwaves with TV ads appears to be working. More voters have seen her ads than Murphy's and more voters think they are effective," said Schwartz. Presidential Race With a 22-point lead among women, President Barack Obama leads Gov. Mitt Romney 54 - 42 percent among Connecticut likely voters, compared to 52 - 45 percent August 28. Women back the president 59 - 37 percent, while men are divided, with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Independent voters also are divided, with 48 percent for Obama and 45 percent for Romney. Obama cares about their needs and problems, voters say 62 - 36 percent. Romney doesn't care, voters say 52 - 44 percent. "President Barack Obama's lead has jumped into double digits, where it is expected to be in blue Connecticut," Schwartz said. From September 28 - October 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,696 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 54% 7% 93% 48% 47% 59% Romney 42 92 6 45 49 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 4 1 1 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 59% 50% 61% 56% 55% 51% 57% 54% 52% Romney 38 45 31 40 41 46 40 41 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - DK/NA 2 5 8 3 4 2 3 4 3 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Obama 54 52 Romney 42 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - DK/NA 4 2 2. (If Obama q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... OBAMA Q1......... Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 56% 49% 62% Somewht enthusiastic 36 40 34 Not so enthusiastic 5 8 3 Not enthus at all 2 4 1 DK/NA - - 1 3. (If Romney q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... ROMNEY Q1........ Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 52% 54% 51% Somewht enthusiastic 38 37 39 Not so enthusiastic 6 6 6 Not enthus at all 3 3 4 DK/NA - - - 4. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Obama Romney Mind made up 91% 90% 91% Might change 9 9 9 DK/NA 1 1 - TREND: (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS...... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Mind made up 91 87 Might change 9 12 DK/NA 1 1 5. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 42% 87% 8% 44% 48% 36% Unfavorable 47 6 82 44 43 52 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 9 11 8 11 REFUSED 2 - 2 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 42 41 Unfavorable 47 44 Hvn't hrd enough 9 14 REFUSED 2 2 5a. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 28% 64% 4% 28% 31% 26% Somewhat Fav 13 23 4 16 17 10 Somewhat Unfav 9 3 11 10 8 9 Strongly Unfav 39 4 71 33 35 42 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 9 11 8 11 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 - 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 25% 31% 19% 28% 26% 32% 20% 27% 33% Somewhat Fav 14 12 10 11 13 14 16 14 11 Somewhat Unfav 13 6 9 10 10 9 17 9 6 Strongly Unfav 41 37 48 37 42 35 38 38 40 Hvn't hrd enough 6 12 10 12 7 9 7 11 9 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 4 1 2 1 1 2 2 6. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 54% 11% 91% 49% 47% 59% Unfavorable 43 87 7 47 49 37 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 1 2 2 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 54 51 Unfavorable 43 46 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 REFUSED 2 2 6a. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 40% 3% 76% 32% 32% 47% Somewhat Fav 14 8 15 17 15 13 Somewhat Unfav 7 7 3 9 7 6 Strongly Unfav 36 80 4 39 42 31 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 1 2 2 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 42% 39% 47% 45% 39% 38% 39% 38% 41% Somewhat Fav 19 11 13 16 16 14 17 16 10 Somewhat Unfav 7 6 8 4 5 8 9 7 6 Strongly Unfav 31 40 26 34 37 38 33 35 39 Hvn't hrd enough - 3 5 - 1 1 - 2 2 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 47% 6% 82% 43% 45% 50% McMahon 48 91 13 52 52 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 4 2 5 5 3 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 52% 44% 52% 51% 50% 43% 47% 48% 48% McMahon 43 51 40 45 45 53 48 48 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - - - - DK/NA 4 5 8 4 4 3 5 4 4 Toll,Wndm Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon Murphy 49% 51% 45% 41% 50% 37% McMahon 48 44 49 50 45 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - - DK/NA 3 4 6 9 5 5 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Murphy 47 46 McMahon 48 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - DK/NA 4 4 8. (If Murphy q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... MURPHY Q7........ Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 27% 25% 28% Somewht enthusiastic 55 54 55 Not so enthusiastic 13 15 12 Not enthus at all 5 6 4 DK/NA - - 1 9. (If McMahon q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... MCMAHON Q7....... Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 50% 50% 49% Somewht enthusiastic 39 38 41 Not so enthusiastic 9 9 9 Not enthus at all 2 3 2 DK/NA - - - 10. (If Senate candidate chosen q7) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS........ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q7.. Tot Murphy McMahon Mind made up 85% 83% 87% Might change 14 16 13 DK/NA 1 1 - TREND: (If Senate candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS...... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Mind made up 85 79 Might change 14 20 DK/NA 1 1 11. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 45% 84% 14% 48% 49% 42% Unfavorable 41 8 67 40 38 44 Hvn't hrd enough 12 7 17 11 12 13 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 Toll,Wndm Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon Favorable 46% 43% 48% 42% 41% 53% Unfavorable 42 43 45 40 40 37 Hvn't hrd enough 11 13 5 14 16 9 REFUSED 1 - 2 4 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 45 47 Unfavorable 41 35 Hvn't hrd enough 12 18 REFUSED 1 1 11a. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 27% 59% 6% 27% 29% 25% Somewhat Fav 18 24 8 21 19 16 Somewhat Unfav 9 3 11 10 9 9 Strongly Unfav 32 5 56 30 29 35 Hvn't hrd enough 12 7 17 11 12 13 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 21% 31% 24% 23% 24% 31% 22% 27% 28% Somewhat Fav 18 18 15 22 18 18 19 16 19 Somewhat Unfav 12 7 8 10 10 10 9 12 7 Strongly Unfav 36 29 39 27 36 30 20 31 38 Hvn't hrd enough 12 13 12 17 12 10 30 12 7 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 1 - 2 1 12. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 36% 7% 64% 31% 33% 39% Unfavorable 40 74 10 46 45 36 Hvn't hrd enough 23 19 25 22 22 23 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 2 Toll,Wndm Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld MdlSex NewHvn NewLon Favorable 36% 40% 37% 31% 37% 31% Unfavorable 40 36 52 42 34 51 Hvn't hrd enough 23 23 9 24 28 17 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 36 38 Unfavorable 40 30 Hvn't hrd enough 23 32 REFUSED 1 1 12a. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 17% 4% 35% 9% 14% 19% Somewhat Fav 19 3 29 22 19 20 Somewhat Unfav 12 18 4 16 13 12 Strongly Unfav 28 56 5 30 32 24 Hvn't hrd enough 23 19 25 22 22 23 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 15% 18% 23% 18% 17% 13% 9% 15% 20% Somewhat Fav 24 16 14 17 25 20 25 20 18 Somewhat Unfav 13 12 8 11 12 16 12 14 11 Strongly Unfav 24 30 25 25 25 30 17 26 31 Hvn't hrd enough 23 23 28 27 19 21 36 23 19 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 1 3 2 1 1 - 1 2 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 52% 8% 89% 47% 44% 58% Disapprove 46 91 8 51 54 38 DK/NA 3 1 3 2 2 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Approve 52 49 Disapprove 46 48 DK/NA 3 2 13a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly App 32% 3% 62% 24% 25% 38% Somewhat App 20 5 27 23 19 20 Somewhat Disapp 8 11 3 10 11 5 Strongly Disapp 38 80 4 41 43 33 DK/NA 3 1 4 2 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly App 32% 32% 39% 34% 32% 28% 31% 32% 31% Somewhat App 26 16 19 24 22 20 23 22 18 Somewhat Disapp 7 8 8 7 7 8 10 9 6 Strongly Disapp 32 41 31 35 37 41 34 35 42 DK/NA 3 3 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 14. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 5% 2% 10% 3% 5% 5% Smwht satisfied 35 15 54 33 32 39 Smwht dissatisfied 27 27 24 30 25 29 Very dissatisfied 32 57 11 33 37 26 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Very satisfied 5 3 Smwht satisfied 35 37 Smwht dissatisfied 27 32 Very dissatisfied 32 27 DK/NA 1 1 15. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent - - - 1% - 1% Good 15 3 31 10 14 17 Not so good 44 30 53 45 40 47 Poor 40 66 14 45 45 35 DK/NA 1 1 2 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Excellent - - - - - - - - 1% Good 16 15 22 14 14 16 16 13 17 Not so good 49 41 43 44 48 44 51 46 39 Poor 34 43 32 41 37 40 33 40 42 DK/NA - 1 2 - 1 - - 1 1 16. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 34% 6% 60% 29% 31% 37% Worse 31 55 10 34 32 29 The same 35 39 30 36 37 33 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better 40% 30% 33% 29% 37% 36% 32% 34% 34% Worse 23 36 26 31 27 31 24 29 34 The same 37 34 39 39 36 32 45 36 31 DK/NA - 1 2 1 - - - - 1 17. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent - - 1% 1% 1% - Good 24 7 40 20 21 27 Not so good 45 41 46 47 43 47 Poor 29 50 11 31 35 25 DK/NA 1 2 1 - - 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Excellent - 1% 1% 1% - - 1% - 1% Good 27 22 27 17 24 29 35 23 21 Not so good 48 43 41 48 45 43 41 45 46 Poor 24 33 29 33 29 27 21 32 30 DK/NA 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 - 2 18. Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 17% 3% 34% 13% 17% 18% Worse 34 55 16 35 35 33 The same 47 40 48 51 48 47 DK/NA 2 2 3 1 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better 21% 15% 21% 13% 16% 21% 15% 16% 19% Worse 29 37 23 31 36 33 19 36 36 The same 48 46 53 53 46 46 64 48 42 DK/NA 2 2 3 4 2 1 2 1 3 19. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 49% 6% 89% 41% 43% 54% Unfavorable 41 87 6 44 49 34 Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 5 11 7 9 REFUSED 2 1 1 4 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 49 41 Unfavorable 41 48 Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 REFUSED 2 2 19a. Is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 25% 1% 55% 14% 19% 30% Somewhat Fav 24 6 33 27 24 24 Somewhat Unfav 10 15 2 15 13 8 Strongly Unfav 31 72 4 29 36 26 Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 5 11 7 9 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 1 1 4 1 3 20. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 87% 6% 38% 43% 33% Unfavorable 49 8 83 45 47 51 Hvn't hrd enough 11 5 10 14 9 13 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Favorable 38 36 Unfavorable 49 53 Hvn't hrd enough 11 9 REFUSED 2 2 20a. Is your opinion of the Republican party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 21% 59% 3% 15% 21% 21% Somewhat Fav 17 28 3 23 22 13 Somewhat Unfav 11 4 10 15 11 10 Strongly Unfav 39 4 74 30 36 41 Hvn't hrd enough 11 5 10 14 9 13 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 1 1 3 1 3 21. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 51% 5% 90% 46% 44% 57% Romney 45 93 7 50 51 39 DK/NA 4 2 3 5 5 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 56% 47% 58% 55% 53% 47% 55% 51% 49% Romney 41 48 36 42 43 51 44 45 47 DK/NA 3 5 6 3 5 2 1 4 4 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Obama 51 44 Romney 45 49 DK/NA 4 8 22. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 62% 25% 93% 58% 57% 66% No 36 73 6 39 41 32 DK/NA 2 2 1 3 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 67% 59% 68% 67% 61% 61% 67% 63% 59% No 32 39 30 32 36 38 33 35 38 DK/NA 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Yes 62 57 No 36 40 DK/NA 2 2 23. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 44% 84% 14% 46% 49% 39% No 52 13 83 50 48 56 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 42% 44% 37% 39% 40% 50% 45% 41% 46% No 54 52 56 58 56 48 53 55 51 DK/NA 4 4 7 3 3 3 1 5 4 TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 Yes 44 43 No 52 49 DK/NA 4 8 24. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Barack Obama is running his presidential campaign? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 54% 15% 85% 52% 50% 58% Unfavorable 39 80 8 42 45 34 DK/NA 6 5 7 6 5 7 24a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Barack Obama is running his presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 31% 4% 60% 22% 25% 36% Somewhat Fav 24 11 25 30 25 22 Somewhat Unfav 9 15 4 10 11 8 Strongly Unfav 30 65 4 31 33 27 DK/NA 6 5 7 6 5 8 25. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Mitt Romney is running his presidential campaign? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 74% 11% 40% 41% 35% Unfavorable 54 22 79 52 53 55 DK/NA 8 4 11 8 6 10 25a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of the way Mitt Romney is running his presidential campaign? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 17% 38% 3% 16% 15% 18% Somewhat Fav 21 36 8 23 26 17 Somewhat Unfav 15 14 15 15 15 15 Strongly Unfav 39 8 63 37 38 40 DK/NA 8 4 11 8 6 10 26. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Romney's recent comments about people who don't pay income taxes? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 29% 59% 6% 31% 37% 21% Unfavorable 52 18 79 50 48 56 DK/NA 19 23 15 20 14 23 26a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Romney's recent comments about people who don't pay income taxes? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 20% 43% 4% 20% 27% 14% Somewhat Fav 8 15 2 10 11 7 Somewhat Unfav 9 10 7 9 8 9 Strongly Unfav 44 8 72 40 40 47 DK/NA 19 23 15 20 14 24 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 18% 22% 14% 15% 20% 22% 15% 18% 23% Somewhat Fav 7 9 9 9 8 10 14 8 8 Somewhat Unfav 11 7 10 7 9 9 7 9 8 Strongly Unfav 50 39 44 45 45 45 39 45 45 DK/NA 14 23 23 24 18 14 24 20 16 27. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Business 53% 84% 23% 59% 57% 48% Politics 36 6 62 32 33 39 NEITHER (VOL) 4 3 5 3 4 5 DK/NA 7 6 10 5 6 8 27a. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Business 38% 67% 11% 43% 43% 33% Somewhat Business 15 17 12 17 14 16 Somewhat Politics 19 3 30 18 17 20 Strongly Politics 18 3 32 14 16 19 NEITHER (VOL) 4 3 5 3 4 5 DK/NA 7 6 10 5 6 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Business 33% 40% 33% 36% 35% 42% 34% 38% 39% Somewhat Business 15 15 14 18 16 14 20 17 11 Somewhat Politics 25 14 16 20 21 20 21 21 16 Strongly Politics 16 19 26 19 17 15 16 15 20 NEITHER (VOL) 5 3 2 2 5 5 4 4 5 DK/NA 6 8 10 6 7 4 5 6 8 28. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 45% 8% 75% 41% 41% 48% McMahon 46 83 14 50 52 40 DK/NA 10 8 11 9 8 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 48% 42% 52% 47% 46% 43% 42% 46% 45% McMahon 41 48 38 43 42 52 41 46 47 DK/NA 11 9 9 10 13 5 17 8 8 29. Now thinking of Linda McMahon, how often would you say you've been seeing her campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very often 64% 55% 70% 63% 58% 70% Somewhat often 20 28 14 23 25 16 Just occasionally 7 9 7 7 8 7 Rarely 4 5 4 3 5 3 NEVER(VOL) - 1 - 1 - 1 DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 3 3 3 2 3 3 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 - 1 30. Now thinking of Chris Murphy, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very often 35% 37% 32% 37% 33% 37% Somewhat often 29 29 30 30 30 28 Just occasionally 21 18 24 19 21 20 Rarely 11 13 9 11 13 10 NEVER(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 3 2 3 2 2 3 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 31. From what you've seen, would you say Linda McMahon's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very effective 26% 44% 15% 26% 25% 28% Somewhat effective 40 40 36 42 41 38 Not so effective 13 6 19 13 14 12 Not effective at all 16 5 23 16 16 17 DK/NA 5 5 6 3 4 5 32. From what you've seen, would you say Chris Murphy's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very effective 8% 4% 14% 6% 6% 10% Somewhat effective 43 27 55 42 40 45 Not so effective 22 29 14 25 26 18 Not effective at all 20 31 9 22 21 19 DK/NA 7 9 7 6 7 7 33. In general, would you say your opinion of professional wrestling is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very positive 5% 8% 2% 4% 6% 4% Somewhat positive 18 23 17 18 23 14 Somewhat negative 31 31 29 33 31 31 Very negative 30 18 42 28 25 35 DK/NA 16 20 10 18 16 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very positive 2% 6% 5% 3% 6% 3% 10% 5% 3% Somewhat positive 18 19 16 18 18 19 23 20 16 Somewhat negative 34 29 31 32 33 32 38 34 26 Very negative 33 28 32 35 27 30 21 27 36 DK/NA 13 18 16 12 16 15 8 14 18 34. In general, would you say your opinion of the U.S. Congress is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very positive 2% 3% 3% - 2% 2% Somewhat positive 24 27 29 17 18 29 Somewhat negative 37 37 36 38 36 38 Very negative 34 30 28 40 42 27 DK/NA 3 3 4 4 2 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very positive 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% Somewhat positive 20 27 32 32 22 18 29 24 22 Somewhat negative 39 36 34 31 39 39 29 41 35 Very negative 38 31 24 33 34 39 36 31 37 DK/NA 2 5 7 3 2 2 4 2 5 35. Thinking about McMahon's work as a professional wrestling executive would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 20% 38% 7% 19% 25% 16% Approve somewhat 30 38 24 33 30 31 Disapprove somewhat 18 9 23 18 16 19 Disapprove strongly 19 3 33 16 17 21 DK/NA 13 11 13 14 12 13 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve strongly 16% 23% 18% 18% 18% 22% 25% 20% 19% Approve somewhat 32 30 19 36 30 35 40 34 24 Disapprove somewhat 18 18 25 17 20 16 14 19 19 Disapprove strongly 21 17 24 19 17 16 14 16 23 DK/NA 12 13 14 10 14 11 7 12 15 36. Thinking about Murphy's work as a member of Congress would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 10% 1% 23% 5% 9% 12% Approve somewhat 35 11 51 37 33 37 Disapprove somewhat 25 32 13 30 24 25 Disapprove strongly 23 48 5 22 29 17 DK/NA 7 8 7 6 5 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve strongly 11% 10% 12% 14% 11% 9% 7% 11% 11% Approve somewhat 39 33 31 35 38 37 38 38 33 Disapprove somewhat 22 27 30 24 24 23 27 24 24 Disapprove strongly 20 24 19 21 21 25 20 21 25 DK/NA 7 6 8 7 7 6 8 6 7 37. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Appropriately 30% 11% 47% 27% 31% 30% Inappropriately 49 70 30 53 52 46 DK/NA 21 19 23 21 18 24 37a. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approp Strongly 9% 1% 16% 6% 10% 8% Approp Somewhat 21 10 31 21 21 21 Inapprop Somewhat 21 20 18 24 22 19 Inapprop Strongly 28 49 12 29 29 27 DK/NA 21 19 23 21 18 25 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approp Strongly 7% 10% 13% 10% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% Approp Somewhat 23 20 22 24 23 22 35 23 16 Inapprop Somewhat 22 20 18 17 23 22 11 23 22 Inapprop Strongly 25 30 23 27 27 31 23 26 31 DK/NA 23 20 24 22 19 18 23 18 23 38. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Appropriately 49% 76% 30% 49% 57% 42% Inappropriately 34 13 51 34 30 38 DK/NA 16 11 19 17 12 20 38a. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approp Strongly 23% 47% 9% 21% 28% 19% Approp Somewhat 26 30 21 28 29 23 Inapprop Somewhat 15 8 17 17 14 15 Inapprop Strongly 19 5 33 17 16 22 DK/NA 17 11 19 17 12 20 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approp Strongly 20% 25% 20% 20% 25% 24% 25% 23% 23% Approp Somewhat 29 24 24 25 26 29 34 28 22 Inapprop Somewhat 15 15 16 17 15 16 12 17 14 Inapprop Strongly 18 21 23 20 20 17 9 17 26 DK/NA 18 16 18 18 15 15 20 15 16 39. How concerned are you, if at all, about the amount of her own money that McMahon is spending on her election campaign; are you very concerned about this, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very concerned 18% 2% 29% 18% 17% 18% Somewhat concerned 14 9 19 14 15 14 Not so concerned 15 15 14 15 15 15 Not concerned at all 52 73 37 52 52 51 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very concerned 23% 14% 18% 13% 19% 19% 13% 15% 22% Somewhat concerned 16 13 14 16 17 13 15 14 14 Not so concerned 15 15 19 14 14 16 14 17 13 Not concerned at all 44 57 48 57 49 51 58 53 49 DK/NA 2 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 2 40. Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Saying true things 46% 76% 26% 46% 50% 43% Misleading people 44 16 64 45 43 45 DK/NA 9 8 10 9 7 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Saying true things 45% 47% 43% 45% 44% 51% 57% 48% 42% Misleading people 47 43 45 46 46 43 37 46 45 DK/NA 9 10 12 9 10 6 6 7 13 41. Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Saying true things 39% 15% 61% 35% 37% 41% Misleading people 47 70 26 52 52 42 DK/NA 14 15 14 14 11 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Saying true things 44% 36% 40% 38% 43% 40% 45% 42% 35% Misleading people 42 50 44 49 44 48 44 45 48 DK/NA 14 14 16 13 14 12 11 12 17 42. Do you plan on watching any of the upcoming senate debates between Chris Murphy and Linda McMahon or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 70% 75% 68% 69% 69% 71% No 25 20 27 26 28 23 DK/NA 5 4 5 4 3 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 67% 72% 72% 69% 72% 69% 67% 68% 73% No 28 24 22 25 25 27 30 27 23 DK/NA 5 4 6 6 3 4 3 5 5 43. Do you think the candidates are likely to do or say anything during the debates that would make you change your mind about who to vote for or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 22% 16% 20% 26% 21% 24% No 72 79 74 69 76 69 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 4 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 22% 23% 20% 24% 25% 23% 32% 26% 17% No 74 71 71 72 72 74 65 70 77 DK/NA 4 6 9 5 4 3 3 5 6 44. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think will win the debates, Murphy or McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 35% 12% 58% 31% 36% 35% McMahon 41 68 18 43 43 38 DK/NA 24 20 24 26 21 27 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 39% 33% 37% 33% 39% 35% 43% 40% 29% McMahon 37 43 35 38 40 46 42 40 41 DK/NA 25 24 28 29 21 20 14 21 30 Demographic Summary
