October 24, 2012 - Murphy Up As McMahon Fades In Connecticut Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Women Propel Obama To Big Lead Over Romney Word format Watch Video: Assistant Director Tim Malloy discusses poll results Clip Information and Download: FLV File - For Website (1920x1080 / 49.9MB) Original .MP4 File - For Broadcast (1920x1080 / 313.3MB) Women and older voters are shifting away from Linda McMahon, the Republican candidate in Connecticut's U.S. Senate race, giving U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy, the Democrat, a 49 - 43 percent likely voter lead, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of an October 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McMahon with 48 percent to Murphy with 47 percent. In today's results, women back Murphy 52 - 38 percent, compared to 50 - 44 percent October 4. Men are at 50 - 46 for McMahon compared to 52 - 45 percent earlier. Voters over 55 years old shift from a 48 - 48 percent split to 51 - 42 percent for Murphy. A total of 62 percent of Connecticut likely voters have a "strongly unfavorable" or "somewhat unfavorable" opinion of this Senate race in general. The race remains fluid as 11 percent of Murphy voters and 14 percent of McMahon voters say they might change their mind in the next 13 days. "It's d‚j… vu all over again in the Connecticut Senate race. As we hit the final stretch of the campaign, Linda McMahon is beginning to fade, as she did in her 2010 run against Richard Blumenthal," said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University poll. "Has she hit her ceiling? She took 43 percent of the vote in 2010, losing by 12 points to Blumenthal. Two weeks before the election, she is back at 43 percent." Connecticut likely voters say 47 - 42 percent that Murphy better understands their economic problems. If she wins, McMahon would favor the wealthy over the middle class, voters say 55 - 36 percent. Murphy would favor the middle class, voters say 70 - 14 percent. "Murphy has taken the lead in the Senate race in part because more voters now believe he understands their economic problems better than McMahon," Dr. Schwartz added. Voters have a mixed opinion of Murphy, with 39 percent favorable and 39 percent unfavorable, compared to a negative 36 - 40 percent favorability three weeks ago. McMahon gets a negative 41 - 47 percent favorability, down from a 45 - 41 percent positive October 4. "One of McMahon's key strengths had been that voters liked her more than Murphy," Schwartz added. "Voters are evenly divided on Murphy but have a net negative opinion of McMahon. After improving her image from two years ago, her favorability rating has fallen back to about where she was in 2010. "After being neck and neck among voters over 55, Murphy has opened up a 9-point lead among this age group. This could be in part due to Murphy's 16-point advantage among this age group on who would do a better job on Medicare and Social Security, which have become hot issues in this campaign." Presidential Race President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney in the run for the White House, leading 55 - 41 percent, compared to 54 - 42 percent October 4. Obama leads 60 - 36 percent among women and gets 49 percent of men to Romney's 46 percent. The President leads among every subgroup except Republicans. Only 5 percent of Romney voters and 6 percent of Obama voters say they might change their mind. "President Barack Obama is running stronger than Murphy in Connecticut, holding steady with a 14 point lead over Gov. Mitt Romney. The President's coattails are helping Murphy," Schwartz said. From October 19 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 55% 5% 93% 50% 49% 60% Romney 41 94 5 44 46 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 - DK/NA 4 1 2 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 56% 54% 64% 63% 55% 53% 62% 55% 54% Romney 41 40 32 33 44 46 31 42 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 2 5 4 4 1 1 7 3 3 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Obama 55 54 52 Romney 41 42 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 4 4 2 2. (If Obama q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... OBAMA Q1......... Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 63% 64% 62% Somewht enthusiastic 28 25 31 Not so enthusiastic 6 7 5 Not enthus at all 3 4 2 DK/NA - - - TREND: (If Obama) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Obama, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS OBAMA VOTER... Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very enthusiastic 63 56 Somewht enthusiastic 28 36 Not so enthusiastic 6 5 Not enthus at all 3 2 DK/NA - - 3. (If Romney q1) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... ROMNEY Q1........ Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 62% 61% 63% Somewht enthusiastic 31 32 31 Not so enthusiastic 5 5 6 Not enthus at all 1 2 - DK/NA - - - TREND: (If Romney) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Romney, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS ROMNEY VOTER.. Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very enthusiastic 62 52 Somewht enthusiastic 31 38 Not so enthusiastic 5 6 Not enthus at all 1 3 DK/NA - - 4. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Obama Romney Mind made up 94% 94% 94% Might change 5 6 5 DK/NA 1 1 2 TREND: (If candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS......... CANDIDATE CHOSEN...... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Mind made up 94 91 87 Might change 5 9 12 DK/NA 1 1 1 5. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 42% 91% 8% 46% 48% 37% Unfavorable 50 4 86 43 46 53 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 5 9 5 8 REFUSED 2 - 1 3 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 42 42 41 Unfavorable 50 47 44 Hvn't hrd enough 7 9 14 REFUSED 2 2 2 5a. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 30% 75% 4% 28% 33% 27% Somewhat Fav 12 16 4 17 14 10 Somewhat Unfav 9 1 12 11 10 8 Strongly Unfav 40 3 73 31 35 45 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 5 9 5 8 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 - 1 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 29% 31% 24% 21% 32% 34% 15% 31% 35% Somewhat Fav 13 11 7 15 11 13 15 11 11 Somewhat Unfav 11 8 7 7 10 11 13 9 8 Strongly Unfav 41 40 47 50 39 36 43 40 40 Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 12 5 6 4 12 7 5 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 3 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 30 28 Somewhat Fav 12 13 Somewhat Unfav 9 9 Strongly Unfav 40 39 Hvn't hrd enough 7 9 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 2 6. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 56% 9% 93% 49% 50% 61% Unfavorable 40 89 6 45 46 36 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 1 3 2 2 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 56 54 51 Unfavorable 40 43 46 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 REFUSED 2 2 2 6a. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 43% 4% 80% 32% 38% 48% Somewhat Fav 13 6 13 17 13 13 Somewhat Unfav 6 7 1 10 8 4 Strongly Unfav 34 82 5 35 38 31 Hvn't hrd enough 2 - 1 3 2 2 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 1 1 3 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 43% 43% 49% 57% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% Somewhat Fav 15 11 13 8 14 14 23 12 10 Somewhat Unfav 6 5 2 8 6 7 10 6 4 Strongly Unfav 32 36 32 21 38 36 21 36 38 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 4 1 1 3 1 2 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 43 40 Somewhat Fav 13 14 Somewhat Unfav 6 7 Strongly Unfav 34 36 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 REFUSED/DK/NA 2 2 7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 49% 9% 83% 41% 46% 52% McMahon 43 86 10 50 50 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 DK/NA 7 5 7 8 4 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 53% 47% 51% 53% 50% 48% 49% 47% 51% McMahon 44 43 35 36 46 49 42 46 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 3 9 13 11 3 3 9 6 6 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Chris Murphy the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Murphy or McMahon? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Murphy 49 47 46 McMahon 43 48 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - DK/NA 7 4 4 8. (If Murphy q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... MURPHY Q7........ Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 30% 35% 26% Somewht enthusiastic 52 47 56 Not so enthusiastic 13 11 13 Not enthus at all 5 6 5 DK/NA - - - TREND: (If Murphy) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting Murphy, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS MURPHY........ Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very enthusiastic 30 27 Somewht enthusiastic 52 55 Not so enthusiastic 13 13 Not enthus at all 5 5 DK/NA - - 9. (If McMahon q7) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS.... MCMAHON Q7....... Tot Men Wom Very enthusiastic 43% 42% 44% Somewht enthusiastic 46 47 44 Not so enthusiastic 8 7 9 Not enthus at all 3 3 3 DK/NA - - 1 TREND: (If McMahon) Would you say you are very enthusiastic about supporting McMahon, somewhat enthusiastic, not so enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all? LIKELY VOTERS MCMAHON....... Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very enthusiastic 43 50 Somewht enthusiastic 46 39 Not so enthusiastic 8 9 Not enthus at all 3 2 DK/NA - - 10. (If Senate candidate chosen q7) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS........ CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q7.. Tot Murphy McMahon Mind made up 87% 89% 85% Might change 12 11 14 DK/NA - - - TREND: (If Senate candidate chosen) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS.......... CANDIDATE CHOSEN....... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Mind made up 87 85 79 Might change 12 14 20 DK/NA - 1 1 11. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 79% 12% 46% 45% 38% Unfavorable 47 10 75 42 45 48 Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 11 11 10 12 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 41 45 47 Unfavorable 47 41 35 Hvn't hrd enough 11 12 18 REFUSED 1 1 1 11a. Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 23% 46% 7% 23% 25% 21% Somewhat Fav 18 33 5 22 19 17 Somewhat Unfav 10 3 15 10 11 10 Strongly Unfav 36 7 61 31 34 38 Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 11 11 10 12 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 18% 26% 26% 16% 24% 22% 16% 20% 27% Somewhat Fav 20 16 13 18 18 22 21 23 13 Somewhat Unfav 10 10 11 12 9 11 11 12 9 Strongly Unfav 42 32 34 38 37 38 29 32 43 Hvn't hrd enough 8 13 15 16 11 6 21 12 6 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 - 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Linda McMahon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 23 27 Somewhat Fav 18 18 Somewhat Unfav 10 9 Strongly Unfav 36 32 Hvn't hrd enough 11 12 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 1 12. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 39% 10% 68% 31% 39% 39% Unfavorable 39 65 11 48 43 35 Hvn't hrd enough 21 25 19 20 17 24 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 39 36 38 Unfavorable 39 40 30 Hvn't hrd enough 21 23 32 REFUSED 1 1 1 12a. Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 19% 4% 39% 9% 19% 18% Somewhat Fav 20 6 28 22 21 20 Somewhat Unfav 13 16 5 18 12 13 Strongly Unfav 26 49 7 29 30 22 Hvn't hrd enough 21 25 19 20 17 24 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 18% 19% 19% 26% 20% 15% 13% 17% 22% Somewhat Fav 25 17 16 20 23 22 24 19 21 Somewhat Unfav 13 13 11 16 14 12 13 12 14 Strongly Unfav 24 27 23 15 26 31 12 29 28 Hvn't hrd enough 18 23 29 21 16 20 38 22 14 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 - 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Murphy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 19 17 Somewhat Fav 20 19 Somewhat Unfav 13 12 Strongly Unfav 26 28 Hvn't hrd enough 21 23 REFUSED/DK/NA 1 1 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 45% 23% 66% 39% 45% 45% Disapprove 41 62 20 49 46 38 DK/NA 14 15 13 12 9 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Aug 28 2012 2012 Approve 45 43 Disapprove 41 44 DK/NA 14 12 13a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly App 14% 4% 28% 8% 12% 16% Somewhat App 30 19 38 31 33 28 Somewhat Disapp 16 19 10 18 19 13 Strongly Disapp 26 42 10 30 27 25 DK/NA 14 16 14 12 9 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly App 16% 13% 18% 12% 13% 16% 11% 15% 15% Somewhat App 37 26 18 38 35 35 42 30 27 Somewhat Disapp 14 17 18 16 17 14 27 13 14 Strongly Disapp 24 27 27 18 25 26 7 27 29 DK/NA 10 17 19 16 10 9 13 14 14 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 53% 71% 41% 53% 54% 51% Disapprove 33 17 46 31 36 31 DK/NA 14 12 12 16 10 17 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Aug 28 2012 2012 Approve 53 50 Disapprove 33 38 DK/NA 14 13 14a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Lieberman is handling his job as United States Senator? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly App 23% 35% 14% 23% 25% 21% Somewhat App 30 35 27 30 29 30 Somewhat Disapp 13 8 18 13 14 13 Strongly Disapp 20 9 28 18 22 18 DK/NA 14 13 13 16 10 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly App 21% 24% 26% 21% 23% 22% 22% 17% 29% Somewhat App 31 29 26 32 31 32 33 33 25 Somewhat Disapp 15 13 13 12 14 15 9 17 13 Strongly Disapp 20 20 19 18 21 20 16 19 21 DK/NA 13 15 17 16 12 11 20 15 11 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 66% 34% 89% 63% 62% 69% Disapprove 19 42 3 21 26 14 DK/NA 15 24 8 16 12 17 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Aug 28 2012 2012 Approve 66 61 Disapprove 19 24 DK/NA 15 15 15a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as United States Senator? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly App 37% 17% 59% 28% 32% 41% Somewhat App 28 17 29 34 30 27 Somewhat Disapp 8 18 3 8 10 6 Strongly Disapp 11 24 1 13 15 8 DK/NA 15 24 8 16 13 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly App 33% 40% 44% 42% 39% 33% 29% 35% 43% Somewhat App 29 28 26 33 27 30 35 30 24 Somewhat Disapp 8 8 6 3 10 11 10 7 8 Strongly Disapp 12 10 9 8 10 13 5 11 14 DK/NA 17 14 16 13 14 14 20 17 11 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 56% 8% 92% 50% 50% 61% Disapprove 42 90 6 48 48 37 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 3 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Approve 56 52 49 Disapprove 42 46 48 DK/NA 2 3 2 16a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly App 37% 3% 69% 26% 32% 41% Somewhat App 19 5 23 24 18 20 Somewhat Disapp 7 8 1 11 9 5 Strongly Disapp 35 82 5 38 39 32 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly App 35% 39% 44% 49% 34% 34% 38% 36% 38% Somewhat App 23 16 18 18 19 20 28 19 16 Somewhat Disapp 8 6 4 8 7 6 11 5 5 Strongly Disapp 33 37 32 23 38 39 19 38 39 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 1 4 2 1 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly App 37 32 Somewhat App 19 20 Somewhat Disapp 7 8 Strongly Disapp 35 38 DK/NA 2 3 17. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 6% 1% 11% 5% 6% 7% Smwht satisfied 40 23 63 31 37 43 Smwht dissatisfied 29 33 19 37 32 26 Very dissatisfied 24 43 7 26 25 23 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very satisfied 7% 6% 8% 8% 4% 7% 5% 6% 8% Smwht satisfied 44 38 41 41 42 41 54 40 37 Smwht dissatisfied 27 30 27 32 28 30 34 26 29 Very dissatisfied 22 25 23 19 25 22 8 28 25 DK/NA - 1 1 - - - - - 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Very satisfied 6 5 3 Smwht satisfied 40 35 37 Smwht dissatisfied 29 27 32 Very dissatisfied 24 32 27 DK/NA 1 1 1 18. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 1% - 1% - 1% 1% Good 19 5 31 15 20 18 Not so good 44 29 53 44 43 45 Poor 36 66 13 40 36 36 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Excellent 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - 1% 1% Good 22 16 14 23 17 23 20 21 17 Not so good 43 45 45 48 46 40 60 39 42 Poor 34 37 41 27 37 35 20 39 39 DK/NA 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1 TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Excellent 1 - Good 19 15 Not so good 44 44 Poor 36 40 DK/NA - 1 19. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 41% 7% 67% 36% 40% 42% Worse 26 51 6 28 25 26 The same 32 42 25 34 34 31 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 - 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better 45% 38% 35% 47% 45% 41% 46% 40% 42% Worse 22 29 30 19 24 23 10 27 29 The same 32 32 33 31 31 36 43 33 29 DK/NA 1 1 2 2 1 - 1 - 1 TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Better 41 34 Worse 26 31 The same 32 35 DK/NA 1 1 20. Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 1% - 1% 1% 1% - Good 26 11 44 19 25 27 Not so good 49 49 45 54 50 48 Poor 22 39 9 24 22 22 DK/NA 2 - 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Excellent - 1% 3% 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% Good 30 24 24 31 25 31 34 25 26 Not so good 47 50 44 51 54 44 55 47 48 Poor 23 22 25 16 20 23 7 26 25 DK/NA 1 2 4 1 1 1 3 1 1 TREND: Would you describe the state of Connecticut's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Excellent 1 - Good 26 24 Not so good 49 45 Poor 22 29 DK/NA 2 1 21. Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better 23% 6% 38% 21% 27% 20% Worse 26 47 9 28 26 26 The same 49 44 52 50 46 52 DK/NA 2 3 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better 27% 21% 17% 26% 24% 30% 35% 26% 19% Worse 22 29 28 20 25 24 9 30 28 The same 50 48 54 54 49 44 56 43 50 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 3 TREND: Do you think Connecticut's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Better 23 17 Worse 26 34 The same 49 47 DK/NA 2 2 22. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 49% 5% 91% 36% 44% 54% Unfavorable 40 87 6 46 47 34 Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 2 13 6 9 REFUSED 3 1 1 5 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 49 49 41 Unfavorable 40 41 48 Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 9 REFUSED 3 2 2 22a. Is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 27% 2% 59% 11% 20% 32% Somewhat Fav 23 2 32 25 24 22 Somewhat Unfav 10 14 2 15 13 8 Strongly Unfav 30 73 3 30 34 27 Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 2 13 6 9 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 1 1 5 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 25% 28% 36% 37% 24% 22% 29% 24% 27% Somewhat Fav 26 20 19 18 28 25 26 25 22 Somewhat Unfav 13 8 4 12 9 13 11 10 9 Strongly Unfav 27 32 30 17 30 34 16 32 33 Hvn't hrd enough 6 9 9 13 7 4 15 7 5 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 3 2 3 1 1 2 2 3 TREND; Is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 27 25 Somewhat Fav 23 24 Somewhat Unfav 10 10 Strongly Unfav 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 8 8 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 2 23. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 89% 6% 39% 42% 34% Unfavorable 49 7 85 41 47 51 Hvn't hrd enough 10 4 7 15 8 11 REFUSED 3 1 2 6 3 4 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 38 38 36 Unfavorable 49 49 53 Hvn't hrd enough 10 11 9 REFUSED 3 2 2 23a. Is your opinion of the Republican party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 19% 56% 3% 15% 21% 18% Somewhat Fav 18 33 4 24 22 16 Somewhat Unfav 11 3 14 13 10 11 Strongly Unfav 39 3 71 28 37 40 Hvn't hrd enough 10 4 7 15 8 11 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 1 2 6 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 16% 22% 19% 8% 21% 21% 17% 20% 20% Somewhat Fav 19 18 14 23 20 20 17 17 19 Somewhat Unfav 12 10 11 9 12 11 10 13 9 Strongly Unfav 45 34 34 46 39 40 39 39 38 Hvn't hrd enough 5 12 18 10 7 5 15 8 9 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 4 5 3 1 2 2 3 4 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Fav 19 21 Somewhat Fav 18 17 Somewhat Unfav 11 11 Strongly Unfav 39 39 Hvn't hrd enough 10 11 REFUSED/DK/NA 3 2 24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 53% 3% 90% 47% 48% 56% Romney 42 94 7 46 48 37 DK/NA 6 3 4 7 4 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 55% 51% 57% 61% 52% 50% 67% 50% 51% Romney 42 42 32 31 45 48 29 44 44 DK/NA 4 7 10 8 3 2 5 5 6 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Obama 53 51 44 Romney 42 45 49 DK/NA 6 4 8 25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 56% 7% 93% 50% 52% 59% Romney 38 87 4 43 45 33 DK/NA 6 6 3 8 3 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 59% 53% 58% 65% 56% 55% 66% 57% 52% Romney 37 39 31 28 40 43 26 39 41 DK/NA 4 7 10 7 4 2 8 4 7 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Aug 28 2012 2012 Obama 56 52 Romney 38 40 DK/NA 6 8 26. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 64% 26% 93% 58% 60% 67% No 34 71 6 40 39 30 DK/NA 2 4 1 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 67% 61% 63% 69% 64% 63% 75% 64% 59% No 31 36 33 30 34 35 23 34 38 DK/NA 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Yes 64 62 57 No 34 36 40 DK/NA 2 2 2 27. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 44% 88% 13% 47% 49% 39% No 53 8 85 49 48 58 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 46% 42% 34% 32% 47% 51% 39% 44% 45% No 51 55 63 64 50 47 60 53 51 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 3 2 - 3 4 TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS......... Oct 24 Oct 04 Aug 28 2012 2012 2012 Yes 44 44 43 No 53 52 49 DK/NA 3 4 8 28. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's US Senate election between Linda McMahon and Chris Murphy? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 27% 39% 22% 25% 33% 22% Unfavorable 63 51 67 66 61 64 DK/NA 10 9 12 8 6 14 28a. Overall, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of this year's US Senate election between Linda McMahon and Chris Murphy? COMBINED WITH: (If favorable/unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Fav 11% 16% 9% 10% 14% 9% Somewhat Fav 16 23 12 15 20 13 Somewhat Unfav 22 23 25 19 22 22 Strongly Unfav 40 28 42 47 39 42 REFUSED/DK/NA 10 10 12 8 6 14 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Fav 7% 14% 13% 8% 13% 10% 21% 7% 10% Somewhat Fav 16 16 14 20 15 18 11 17 18 Somewhat Unfav 26 19 10 26 24 26 31 24 18 Strongly Unfav 44 38 42 36 41 40 29 43 43 REFUSED/DK/NA 7 12 20 10 7 6 8 9 11 29. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Business 50% 83% 23% 55% 55% 46% Politics 39 10 63 32 37 40 NEITHER (VOL) 5 1 7 5 3 6 DK/NA 7 5 6 8 5 8 TREND: Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Business 50 53 Politics 39 36 NEITHER (VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 7 7 29a. Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Strongly Business 33% 64% 11% 36% 39% 29% Somewhat Business 16 19 12 19 16 17 Somewhat Politics 22 4 35 20 21 22 Strongly Politics 17 6 29 12 16 18 NEITHER(VOL) 5 1 7 5 3 6 DK/NA 7 5 6 8 5 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Strongly Business 30% 35% 35% 31% 27% 37% 29% 32% 36% Somewhat Business 17 16 15 12 18 18 22 20 12 Somewhat Politics 25 19 20 26 19 23 21 22 22 Strongly Politics 15 19 19 20 24 12 19 16 18 NEITHER(VOL) 7 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 DK/NA 5 8 6 7 7 5 5 6 6 TREND: Generally speaking, what do you think is the better qualification for being a U.S. senator, previous experience in business, or previous experience in politics? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Strongly Business 33 38 Somewhat Business 16 15 Somewhat Politics 22 19 Strongly Politics 17 18 NEITHER (VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 7 7 30. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 47% 10% 78% 40% 45% 49% McMahon 42 82 12 47 49 37 DK/NA 11 8 9 13 7 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 50% 45% 46% 54% 47% 46% 49% 45% 49% McMahon 41 43 38 32 44 48 42 44 40 DK/NA 9 13 16 14 9 6 9 11 11 TREND: Regardless of who you may support, who do you think better understands the economic problems people in Connecticut are having, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Murphy 47 45 McMahon 42 46 DK/NA 11 10 31. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - seems like the more friendly and likeable person, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 45% 16% 72% 40% 44% 46% McMahon 40 70 18 43 43 38 DK/NA 14 15 11 17 13 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 50% 42% 47% 49% 43% 49% 43% 46% 48% McMahon 36 43 44 37 43 39 49 38 38 DK/NA 14 15 9 15 14 12 8 16 14 32. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - has better ideas about how to create jobs, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 38% 6% 70% 30% 35% 41% McMahon 48 87 15 56 56 42 DK/NA 13 7 15 14 9 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 41% 37% 42% 47% 37% 37% 41% 34% 42% McMahon 48 48 44 39 50 53 47 54 44 DK/NA 11 15 14 14 12 10 12 12 14 33. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues such as contraception and abortion, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 46% 14% 75% 40% 47% 46% McMahon 38 65 15 43 39 38 DK/NA 16 21 10 18 15 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 52% 42% 45% 51% 47% 48% 51% 46% 46% McMahon 33 42 42 36 41 36 31 40 40 DK/NA 15 16 13 14 12 16 18 14 14 34. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - would do a better job on taxes, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 46% 9% 78% 39% 43% 48% McMahon 45 84 13 51 51 39 DK/NA 10 8 9 10 6 13 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 47% 45% 54% 54% 46% 41% 49% 44% 47% McMahon 46 43 34 34 47 53 41 46 44 DK/NA 7 11 12 12 6 6 9 9 9 35. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - would do a better job on health care, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 49% 11% 81% 43% 48% 51% McMahon 40 78 12 45 43 38 DK/NA 10 11 7 12 9 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 54% 46% 48% 55% 53% 49% 51% 47% 51% McMahon 36 43 45 29 41 42 39 41 40 DK/NA 10 11 7 16 6 9 10 11 9 36. Regardless of who you may support, who do you think - would do a better job on Social Security and Medicare, Chris Murphy or Linda McMahon? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 52% 13% 83% 46% 50% 53% McMahon 39 79 8 43 44 34 DK/NA 10 9 9 11 6 13 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 55% 50% 50% 58% 55% 50% 55% 49% 53% McMahon 37 39 36 29 38 43 36 41 37 DK/NA 8 11 13 13 6 8 9 10 9 37. As a United States Senator do you think Linda McMahon would do more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Middle class 36% 72% 11% 38% 40% 32% Wealthy 55 14 84 51 51 58 DK/NA 10 14 6 10 9 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Middle class 33% 38% 37% 27% 35% 39% 36% 35% 36% Wealthy 57 53 57 62 57 53 56 56 53 DK/NA 10 9 7 11 9 9 8 9 10 38. As a United States Senator do you think Chris Murphy would do more to favor the middle class or more to favor the wealthy? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Middle class 70% 55% 85% 64% 73% 67% Wealthy 14 19 9 17 14 15 DK/NA 16 26 6 19 14 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Middle class 77% 65% 60% 71% 73% 77% 72% 72% 69% Wealthy 10 18 26 12 13 10 19 15 12 DK/NA 13 18 14 17 14 13 9 14 20 39. Now thinking of Linda McMahon, how often would you say you've been seeing her campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very often 75% 67% 79% 76% 72% 77% Somewhat often 13 16 9 14 14 13 Just occasionally 5 7 5 5 7 4 Rarely 3 4 3 3 4 2 NEVER (VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 4 3 1 1 4 DK/NA - 1 - 1 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very often 74% 75% 71% 71% 79% 77% 76% 73% 77% Somewhat often 14 13 10 19 10 13 13 15 12 Just occasionally 5 5 7 5 4 6 5 5 5 Rarely 4 2 2 4 5 1 5 3 2 NEVER (VOL) - 1 3 - - - 2 - 1 DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 3 6 1 1 2 - 3 3 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 - - 1 1 TREND: Now thinking of Linda McMahon, how often would you say you've been seeing her campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very often 75 64 Somewhat often 13 20 Just occasionally 5 7 Rarely 3 4 NEVER(VOL) 1 - DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 3 DK/NA - 1 40. Now thinking of Chris Murphy, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very often 50% 51% 46% 53% 49% 51% Somewhat often 26 22 30 25 22 29 Just occasionally 13 14 12 14 16 10 Rarely 7 8 7 6 9 5 NEVER (VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 4 3 1 1 3 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very often 44% 54% 50% 54% 53% 44% 35% 51% 54% Somewhat often 30 23 20 22 25 31 29 28 24 Just occasionally 15 12 12 16 13 14 20 11 12 Rarely 8 6 8 6 7 7 15 6 5 NEVER (VOL) - 1 3 - - 1 2 - 1 DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 3 6 1 1 3 - 3 3 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 TREND: Now thinking of Chris Murphy, how often would you say you've been seeing his campaign advertisements on television recently, very often, somewhat often, just occasionally or rarely? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very often 50 35 Somewhat often 26 29 Just occasionally 13 21 Rarely 7 11 NEVER(VOL) 1 1 DON'T WATCH TV(VOL) 2 3 DK/NA 1 - 41. From what you've seen, would you say Linda McMahon's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very effective 21% 35% 12% 21% 21% 21% Somewhat effective 39 44 34 40 40 38 Not so effective 16 7 20 16 16 15 Not effective at all 19 8 28 18 18 20 DK/NA 6 7 6 4 5 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very effective 19% 22% 22% 12% 21% 23% 17% 20% 23% Somewhat effective 37 39 37 45 36 40 46 43 33 Not so effective 20 12 13 15 17 17 15 18 15 Not effective at all 19 20 18 24 20 16 17 15 23 DK/NA 5 6 10 4 6 3 6 5 6 TREND: From what you've seen, would you say Linda McMahon's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very effective 21 26 Somewhat effective 39 40 Not so effective 16 13 Not effective at all 19 16 DK/NA 6 5 42. From what you've seen, would you say Chris Murphy's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very effective 10% 2% 15% 10% 10% 11% Somewhat effective 43 31 56 40 38 47 Not so effective 19 26 12 22 20 19 Not effective at all 21 32 10 23 26 16 DK/NA 7 9 6 5 6 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very effective 9% 11% 10% 14% 11% 8% 9% 10% 11% Somewhat effective 42 44 45 49 40 45 51 44 41 Not so effective 22 18 15 20 23 20 16 21 20 Not effective at all 20 20 19 13 19 23 19 20 21 DK/NA 6 7 10 5 7 4 6 6 7 TREND: From what you've seen, would you say Chris Murphy's ads are very effective at making their point, somewhat effective, not so effective or not effective at all? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very effective 10 8 Somewhat effective 43 43 Not so effective 19 22 Not effective at all 21 20 DK/NA 7 7 43. In general, would you say your opinion of professional wrestling is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very positive 3% 6% 1% 4% 5% 2% Somewhat positive 21 23 20 19 25 17 Somewhat negative 27 28 28 26 30 25 Very negative 32 15 43 31 25 38 DK/NA 17 27 8 20 16 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very positive 1% 4% 7% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 4% Somewhat positive 18 22 27 20 20 19 33 22 16 Somewhat negative 31 24 19 29 31 31 35 28 24 Very negative 35 30 31 29 33 31 17 30 38 DK/NA 15 19 16 19 14 17 12 17 19 TREND: In general, would you say your opinion of professional wrestling is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very positive 3 5 Somewhat positive 21 18 Somewhat negative 27 31 Very negative 32 30 DK/NA 17 16 44. In general, would you say your opinion of the U.S. Congress is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very positive 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% Somewhat positive 26 28 31 21 22 30 Somewhat negative 36 40 33 36 34 38 Very negative 31 25 27 38 39 24 DK/NA 3 3 4 2 - 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very positive 2% 5% 7% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% Somewhat positive 21 30 24 29 30 25 38 25 25 Somewhat negative 38 34 40 36 34 37 34 40 32 Very negative 36 27 25 29 32 33 19 29 37 DK/NA 2 4 4 3 2 - 4 2 3 TREND: In general, would you say your opinion of the U.S. Congress is very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very positive 3 2 Somewhat positive 26 24 Somewhat negative 36 37 Very negative 31 34 DK/NA 3 3 45. Thinking about McMahon's work as a professional wrestling executive would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 16% 32% 7% 15% 19% 14% Approve somewhat 32 41 23 36 36 28 Disapprove somewhat 19 12 24 18 17 20 Disapprove strongly 20 4 33 17 16 24 DK/NA 14 12 13 14 12 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve strongly 14% 18% 17% 10% 14% 21% 18% 17% 15% Approve somewhat 33 30 29 34 34 32 41 36 26 Disapprove somewhat 19 18 20 18 19 17 22 16 19 Disapprove strongly 20 20 24 23 19 19 13 17 25 DK/NA 14 13 9 15 13 11 7 14 15 TREND: Thinking about McMahon's work as a professional wrestling executive would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Approve strongly 16 20 Approve somewhat 32 30 Disapprove somewhat 19 18 Disapprove strongly 20 19 DK/NA 14 13 46. Thinking about Murphy's work as a member of Congress would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve strongly 12% 3% 25% 6% 10% 13% Approve somewhat 39 18 54 36 37 40 Disapprove somewhat 24 37 11 28 25 22 Disapprove strongly 18 34 4 21 24 14 DK/NA 8 8 6 9 4 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve strongly 11% 13% 15% 14% 12% 10% 16% 9% 13% Approve somewhat 42 37 32 49 43 39 47 38 37 Disapprove somewhat 23 24 25 17 21 25 22 27 20 Disapprove strongly 18 18 18 10 19 22 7 20 21 DK/NA 7 8 10 10 5 4 8 5 9 TREND: Thinking about Murphy's work as a member of Congress would you say you approve strongly, approve somewhat, disapprove somewhat or disapprove strongly? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Approve strongly 12 10 Approve somewhat 39 35 Disapprove somewhat 24 25 Disapprove strongly 18 23 DK/NA 8 7 47. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Appropriately 34% 19% 47% 31% 36% 32% Inappropriately 45 58 32 47 45 44 DK/NA 22 23 21 21 19 24 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Appropriately 33% 34% 28% 48% 34% 34% 49% 32% 32% Inappropriately 46 44 50 36 44 46 36 46 45 DK/NA 21 22 22 17 22 20 15 22 23 TREND: As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Appropriately 34 30 Inappropriately 45 49 DK/NA 22 21 47a. As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approp Strongly 10% 8% 17% 6% 10% 11% Approp Somewhat 23 11 30 25 26 21 Inapprop Somewhat 21 23 21 18 19 21 Inapprop Strongly 24 35 11 29 25 23 DK/NA 22 23 21 22 20 24 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approp Strongly 10% 11% 11% 15% 8% 10% 9% 8% 13% Approp Somewhat 23 24 17 32 26 24 38 23 19 Inapprop Somewhat 23 19 24 17 19 22 20 20 21 Inapprop Strongly 23 24 26 19 24 24 16 26 25 DK/NA 22 22 22 18 23 20 17 22 23 TREND: As far as you've heard, do you think Chris Murphy has handled his personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Approp Strongly 10 9 Approp Somewhat 23 21 Inapprop Somewhat 21 21 Inapprop Strongly 24 28 DK/NA 22 21 48. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Appropriately 49% 71% 30% 54% 58% 42% Inappropriately 34 13 49 32 29 38 DK/NA 17 16 21 14 13 20 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Appropriately 49% 49% 42% 42% 51% 59% 57% 52% 44% Inappropriately 34 34 38 42 32 28 33 31 38 DK/NA 17 17 20 15 17 13 10 17 18 TREND: As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Appropriately 49 49 Inappropriately 34 34 DK/NA 17 16 48a. As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approp Strongly 20% 36% 10% 20% 24% 18% Approp Somewhat 28 35 20 33 35 23 Inapprop Somewhat 14 5 19 15 15 13 Inapprop Strongly 20 8 30 17 14 25 DK/NA 17 17 21 14 13 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approp Strongly 18% 22% 18% 18% 21% 22% 17% 21% 21% Approp Somewhat 31 27 24 24 30 36 39 31 23 Inapprop Somewhat 16 13 11 15 12 13 21 12 13 Inapprop Strongly 18 21 26 27 20 15 11 18 25 DK/NA 18 17 20 16 18 13 11 17 18 TREND: As far as you've heard, do you think Linda McMahon has handled her personal finances appropriately or inappropriately? COMBINED WITH: Do you feel that way strongly, or somewhat? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Approp Strongly 20 23 Approp Somewhat 28 26 Inapprop Somewhat 14 15 Inapprop Strongly 20 19 DK/NA 17 17 49. How concerned are you, if at all, about the amount of her own money that McMahon is spending on her election campaign; are you very concerned about this, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very concerned 25% 9% 41% 21% 24% 26% Somewhat concerned 13 6 18 13 11 14 Not so concerned 15 19 12 15 11 18 Not concerned at all 46 66 29 49 53 40 DK/NA 2 1 1 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Very concerned 28% 23% 20% 27% 25% 27% 16% 23% 30% Somewhat concerned 15 11 12 11 14 13 17 11 12 Not so concerned 15 14 13 18 12 15 23 14 12 Not concerned at all 41 49 52 42 47 45 44 50 43 DK/NA 1 2 3 2 2 1 - 1 2 TREND: How concerned are you, if at all, about the amount of her own money that McMahon is spending on her election campaign; are you very concerned about this, somewhat concerned, not so concerned or not concerned at all? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Very concerned 25 18 Somewhat concerned 13 14 Not so concerned 15 15 Not concerned at all 46 52 DK/NA 2 1 50. Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Saying true things 38% 66% 17% 40% 44% 34% Misleading people 52 24 74 49 48 55 DK/NA 10 11 9 11 9 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Saying true things 37% 39% 38% 27% 40% 41% 33% 43% 36% Misleading people 53 50 48 60 51 53 58 47 54 DK/NA 9 11 14 13 9 7 9 10 10 TREND: Do you think the McMahon campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Saying true things 38 46 Misleading people 52 44 DK/NA 10 9 51. Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Saying true things 40% 20% 60% 34% 39% 41% Misleading people 47 64 30 53 50 45 DK/NA 13 16 10 13 12 14 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Saying true things 44% 37% 35% 43% 43% 41% 46% 40% 39% Misleading people 44 49 46 43 47 51 44 48 48 DK/NA 11 14 19 14 10 8 10 12 13 TREND: Do you think the Murphy campaign is mainly saying things it believes to be true, or is it mainly intentionally misleading people? LIKELY VOTERS Oct 24 Oct 04 2012 2012 Saying true things 40 39 Misleading people 47 47 DK/NA 13 14 52. Turning to the U.S. Senate debates between Murphy and McMahon, from what you've seen, heard or read about it, who, in your opinion, won the debates? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Murphy 29% 10% 45% 24% 31% 27% McMahon 22 37 9 26 25 20 DK/NA 49 53 46 50 44 54 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Murphy 29% 29% 30% 31% 32% 28% 37% 24% 30% McMahon 20 23 17 22 24 23 23 25 20 DK/NA 51 48 53 47 44 49 40 51 50 53. As a result of the debates do you have a better opinion of Murphy, a worse opinion of him, or didn't your opinion of Murphy change one way or the other? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better opinion 12% 3% 19% 9% 13% 11% Worse opinion 6 10 1 7 8 4 Didn't change 66 70 62 68 67 65 DK/NA 17 17 18 16 12 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better opinion 11% 12% 8% 15% 16% 9% 5% 9% 15% Worse opinion 6 6 6 3 6 6 5 6 5 Didn't change 66 66 66 63 64 70 78 68 62 DK/NA 17 17 20 19 14 15 12 16 18 54. As a result of the debates do you have a better opinion of McMahon, a worse opinion of her, or didn't your opinion of McMahon change one way or the other? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better opinion 9% 16% 5% 8% 10% 7% Worse opinion 9 2 11 11 11 7 Didn't change 66 66 67 66 68 65 DK/NA 17 16 18 16 11 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Better opinion 9% 8% 10% 8% 7% 10% 12% 6% 9% Worse opinion 8 9 6 12 11 7 7 7 11 Didn't change 67 66 62 62 69 69 67 71 63 DK/NA 16 17 22 18 13 14 14 15 18 Demographic Summary