August 23, 2010 - Meek, McCollum Lead One Day Before Florida Primaries, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Many Likely Primary Voters Remain Undecided Word format U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek holds a 39 - 29 percent lead over Jeff Greene in the Florida race for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate, while Attorney General Bill McCollum holds a slight 39 - 35 percent lead over Rick Scott in the contest for the Republican nomination for governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely primary voters released today. With 22 percent of Republican likely voters and 28 percent of Democratic likely voters undecided, any verdict is possible. Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre gets 3 percent in the Democratic Senate primary, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. In the GOP race, 39 percent of Scott supporters and 27 percent of McCollum backers say they still could change their mind. In the Democratic race, 43 percent of Greene supporters, but only 27 percent of Meek's backers say they might change their minds. In the GOP race, the vicious and omnipresent television ads from both camps have hurt both men's ratings with voters. By 40 - 31 percent, GOP voters hold an unfavorable view of Scott, and by a narrow 39 - 37 percent, they have a favorable view of McCollum. Meek is viewed favorably 42 - 22 percent by Democratic voters, while Greene is seen unfavorably 38 - 29 percent. "With one in five GOP voters and more than one in four Democrats undecided, anything is possible, but the internals of the poll are consistent with McCollum and Meek being ahead. They are more favorably viewed than their opponents and fewer of their backers say they might change their minds," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. From August 21 - 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed 771 Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points and 757 Democratic likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points. These likely voters were selected from lists of people who have voted in past elections. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201. THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 771 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS 1R. If the Republican primary for Governor were being held today, would you vote for Bill McCollum or Rick Scott? (If already voted) Did you vote for Bill McCollum or Rick Scott? (If undecided) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward McCollum or Scott? This table includes Leaners. LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom McCollum 39% 40% 39% Scott 35 38 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 22 19 24 1aR. (If express choice q1R and did not already vote) Is your mind made up, or o you think you might change your mind before the primary? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS CAND CHOICE Q1 Tot BM RS Made up 65% 72% 57% Might change 33 27 39 DK/NA 2 - 4 2R. Is your opinion of - Rick Scott favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable 31% 34% 29% Unfavorable 40 40 40 Hvn't hrd enough 22 21 22 REFUSED 6 5 8 3R. Is your opinion of - Bill McCollum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REP PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable 39% 40% 39% Unfavorable 37 39 36 Hvn't hrd enough 16 15 17 REFUSED 8 7 8 THE FOLLOWING RESULTS ARE BASED ON A POLL OF 757 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS 1D. If the Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today, would you vote for Kendrick Meek, Maurice Ferre, or Jeff Greene? (If already voted) Did you vote for Kendrick Meek, Maurice Ferre, or Jeff Greene? (If undecided) As of today, would you say that you lean a little more toward Meek, Ferre, or Greene? This table includes Leaners. LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Meek 39% 38% 39% Ferre 3 3 3 Greene 29 32 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - DK/NA 28 26 29 1aD. (If express choice q1D and did not already vote) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS CAND CHOICE Q1 Tot KM JG Made up 63% 73% 53% Might change 35 27 43 DK/NA 2 - 4 2D. Is your opinion of - Kendrick Meek favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable 42% 43% 41% Unfavorable 22 24 21 Hvn't hrd enough 29 25 31 REFUSED 8 8 7 3D. Is your opinion of - Jeff Greene favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable 29% 29% 28% Unfavorable 38 37 38 Hvn't hrd enough 27 27 27 REFUSED 6 7 6 4D. Is your opinion of - Maurice Ferre favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS Tot Men Wom Favorable 8% 11% 6% Unfavorable 10 10 11 Hvn't hrd enough 77 75 78 REFUSED 5 5 5
