January 11, 2012 - Obama Ties Romney, Santorum In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Nelson, Mack Senate Race Too Close To Call Word format Election Year opens in Florida with the two top races too close to call, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The top Republican presidential challenger, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, has 46 percent of registered voters to President Barack Obama's 43 percent. If former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum gets the GOP nomination, he scores 43 percent to President Obama's 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. In Florida's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Bill Nelson has 41 percent, with 40 percent for his leading Republican challenger, U.S. Rep. Connie Mack. The president has a solidly negative 42 - 54 percent job approval rating and Florida voters say 52 - 44 percent that he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office. "Florida is among the most important swing states in the country and if the election was today President Barack Obama would have difficulty winning its electoral votes," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But the election isn't for 10 more months so he has plenty of time to turn things around. Nevertheless, President Obama needs to mend fences in the Sunshine State, especially among men, whites and those voters without college degrees. The difference among voters by age is especially striking." In his matchup with Romney, the president wins 84 percent of Democrats, 47 percent of independent voters and only 4 percent of Republicans. By comparison, Romney takes 9 percent of Democrats. The president carries women 46 - 41 percent, but loses men 52 - 40 percent, "a yawning gender gap," said Brown. The president carries voters 18 to 49 years old 51 - 39 percent, but loses 49 - 40 percent among voters 50 to 64 years old and loses 53 - 39 percent among voters over 65. "The problem for Obama is that those over 50 make up 62 percent of the electorate, compared to the 35 percent who are under 50," Brown added. "In the matchup with Santorum, the president does slightly better across-the-board, which results in the overall dead-heat. At this point Romney runs a bit better against Obama than does Santorum, but the former Pennsylvania senator isn't nearly as well-known as either Romney or the president," Brown said. Florida voters give Santorum a 31 - 25 percent favorability rating, with 42 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. He gets a 56 - 8 percent favorability from Republicans, with 35 percent who haven't heard enough. Romney gets a 47 - 29 percent favorability among all voters, with 74 - 14 percent among Republicans. Obama has a negative 45 - 50 percent favorability among Florida voters. In the U.S. Senate race, Congressman Mack gets 39 percent in the GOP primary, which is held in August. Mike McCalister and former U.S. Sen. George LeMieux are way behind with 6 percent each. No other candidate tops 2 percent. Another 42 percent are undecided. "Connie Mack remains far ahead of the GOP field and there has been little movement since he entered the race late last year. With four out of 10 GOP primary voters still undecided, nothing is certain, but one would much rather be in Mack's shoes than any of the other GOP contenders," Brown said. Mack has a 32 - 13 percent favorability rating with 54 percent who don't know enough about him. Nelson has a 47 - 30 percent job approval rating and a 41 - 23 percent favorability rating. "Good but not great," said Brown, "and voters say 44 - 35 percent he deserves another six years in the Senate." From January 4 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 2. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were: Connie Mack, Adam Hasner, George LeMieux, Craig Miller and Mike McCalister, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS..................................... WhtBrnAgnEvngl TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Mack 39% 45% 33% 40% 41% 40% 42% 48% 34% Hasner 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 LeMieux 6 8 5 7 5 9 4 8 6 Miller 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 McCalister 6 7 4 4 6 4 3 3 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 6 5 2 - 4 DK/NA 42 32 54 43 38 39 45 35 46 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Mack 37% 40% 34% 42% 43% 38% 43% 46% 35% Hasner 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 - 5 LeMieux 5 7 5 9 5 6 6 5 4 Miller 2 1 1 1 2 - 2 2 2 McCalister 5 6 8 4 4 10 7 1 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 1 1 - - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 3 1 4 3 5 DK/NA 45 41 48 37 41 44 37 42 40 TREND: (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were: Connie Mack, Adam Hasner, George LeMieux, Craig Miller and Mike McCalister, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................ Jan 11 Nov 11 Sep 22 Aug 04 May 26 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Mack 39 32 na na na Hasner 2 2 5 6 4 LeMieux 6 9 17 12 14 Miller 1 2 5 8 na McCalister 6 6 11 15 na Haridopolos na na na na 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 4 4 DK/NA 42 45 58 53 64 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 43% 4% 84% 47% 40% 46% 34% 92% 46% Romney 46 92 9 39 52 41 55 4 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 2 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 3 3 3 - 2 DK/NA 6 2 5 7 4 8 5 4 6 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Obama 41% 31% 23% 29% 14% 34% 51% 40% 39% Romney 52 56 67 59 78 55 39 49 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 1 DK/NA 3 7 5 6 4 6 5 5 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 45% 43% 55% 34% 44% 39% 37% Romney 46 47 35 58 46 54 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 4 4 2 DK/NA 4 6 7 4 4 3 4 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") DEBT DEAL..... Post Pre Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 Aug 04 Aug 04 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Obama 43 42 42 40 44 46 Romney 46 45 45 47 44 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 4 3 2 DK/NA 6 6 8 8 8 9 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 45% 5% 86% 50% 41% 48% 36% 85% 51% Santorum 43 89 4 37 49 38 51 6 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 3 2 3 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 4 3 4 2 2 DK/NA 7 2 8 6 4 9 6 7 6 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Obama 44% 33% 26% 30% 17% 36% 52% 43% 38% Santorum 48 52 61 57 73 52 36 45 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 3 2 4 4 4 2 DK/NA 3 8 6 8 5 7 6 5 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 48% 43% 52% 37% 48% 41% 36% Santorum 43 43 33 52 44 49 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 1 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 3 8 8 6 4 5 6 5. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 31% 56% 8% 30% 40% 24% 35% 16% 27% Unfavorable 25 8 43 26 26 24 23 40 24 Hvn't hrd enough 42 35 46 43 34 50 41 42 48 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 36% 35% 43% 39% 54% 34% 27% 33% 36% Unfavorable 35 17 15 15 9 20 26 26 22 Hvn't hrd enough 28 47 42 44 36 45 47 40 40 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME.. Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 32% 31% 24% 35% 32% 37% 37% Unfavorable 34 21 22 23 30 30 23 Hvn't hrd enough 33 46 51 41 37 33 39 REFUSED 1 1 2 - - - 1 6. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 26% 28% 14% 34% 31% 22% 28% 12% 27% Unfavorable 41 48 45 35 43 40 45 36 30 Hvn't hrd enough 30 23 37 31 25 35 25 47 44 REFUSED 2 1 4 1 1 4 2 5 - WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 29% 27% 28% 26% 27% 28% 32% 27% 18% Unfavorable 54 40 43 46 42 44 30 45 49 Hvn't hrd enough 15 30 27 26 30 25 36 26 31 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 29% 25% 20% 27% 28% 31% 27% Unfavorable 50 37 33 40 46 50 45 Hvn't hrd enough 19 36 45 31 23 19 26 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 4 1 2 7. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 31% 64% 9% 23% 39% 24% 35% 12% 30% Unfavorable 47 24 67 52 43 51 49 52 34 Hvn't hrd enough 19 10 21 23 16 21 13 32 36 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 3 - WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 36% 34% 44% 37% 52% 35% 24% 35% 34% Unfavorable 52 47 41 47 33 49 45 50 48 Hvn't hrd enough 9 15 13 12 13 13 29 12 14 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 1 3 1 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 32% 31% 23% 36% 30% 41% 38% Unfavorable 51 46 44 44 55 48 49 Hvn't hrd enough 14 21 30 19 13 9 11 REFUSED 3 3 4 1 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Feb 07 2012 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 31 34 34 26 Unfavorable 47 38 39 48 Hvn't hrd enough 19 25 25 24 REFUSED 3 2 2 1 8. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 47% 74% 23% 45% 51% 43% 52% 21% 46% Unfavorable 29 14 43 30 30 27 27 42 24 Hvn't hrd enough 22 10 31 23 17 26 17 37 29 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 1 4 3 - 1 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 56% 50% 60% 54% 61% 54% 41% 50% 53% Unfavorable 30 26 22 25 19 26 32 27 28 Hvn't hrd enough 11 20 15 18 17 17 26 20 16 REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 1 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 53% 44% 37% 50% 53% 56% 52% Unfavorable 32 27 27 30 31 29 29 Hvn't hrd enough 13 26 33 19 15 12 17 REFUSED 2 3 3 1 1 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Dec 05 Oct 25 Jan 11 Feb 07 2012 2011 2011 2007 2007 2012 2007 Favorable 47 39 40 29 31 47 13 Unfavorable 29 28 28 27 23 29 11 Hvn't hrd enough 22 30 29 41 43 22 75 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 9. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 45% 7% 85% 47% 41% 49% 36% 90% 49% Unfavorable 50 91 10 46 55 46 60 5 43 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 3 5 2 4 2 4 4 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 42% 33% 28% 33% 18% 36% 50% 43% 41% Unfavorable 56 62 68 64 79 59 45 54 54 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 2 2 3 4 1 2 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 47% 44% 52% 35% 50% 39% 39% Unfavorable 51 50 41 59 48 59 59 Hvn't hrd enough 1 4 5 4 - 1 1 REFUSED 1 2 3 1 2 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Feb 03 Aug 20 Feb 19 Feb 07 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2007 Favorable 45 47 47 49 51 69 37 Unfavorable 50 48 48 47 44 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 3 2 3 6 44 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 3 1 10. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 37% 56% 29% 29% 41% 33% 37% 29% 39% Less 21 10 23 26 17 25 24 15 13 About the same 41 33 47 44 41 41 38 56 46 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ More 38% 37% 43% 39% 48% 38% 31% 39% 43% Less 18 27 17 27 16 24 23 23 16 About the same 43 36 39 34 35 38 46 37 39 DK/NA - 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds More 37% 37% 28% 42% 40% 43% 40% Less 17 23 23 22 22 14 16 About the same 45 39 48 35 37 42 41 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 2 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 2012 2011 2011 2011 More 37 32 35 40 Less 21 23 21 22 About the same 41 44 43 37 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 11. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat, and Connie Mack the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Nelson 41% 9% 77% 44% 40% 42% 37% 72% 38% Mack 40 82 8 33 46 36 46 13 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 2 2 2 3 - 2 DK/NA 16 8 15 20 11 19 15 14 18 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Nelson 43% 34% 29% 29% 19% 36% 40% 41% 44% Mack 43 47 56 52 67 46 34 44 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 DK/NA 12 16 13 16 11 15 22 12 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Nelson 46% 39% 48% 36% 39% 41% 36% Mack 40 41 34 45 42 48 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 4 - 1 DK/NA 12 17 16 16 14 11 15 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Connie Mack the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jan 11 Nov 11 2012 2011 Nelson 41 42% Mack 40 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 DK/NA 16 16 12. Is your opinion of Connie Mack favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 32% 58% 13% 25% 37% 27% 35% 13% 34% Unfavorable 13 2 27 13 16 11 12 21 11 Hvn't hrd enough 54 40 58 61 47 61 52 64 54 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 35% 35% 42% 41% 49% 36% 26% 35% 36% Unfavorable 16 10 7 7 5 9 10 14 15 Hvn't hrd enough 49 54 49 51 44 53 64 50 47 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 34% 31% 26% 36% 35% 37% 33% Unfavorable 16 12 13 11 14 15 13 Hvn't hrd enough 50 56 59 52 50 47 51 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 1 2 13. Is your opinion of Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 41% 20% 61% 44% 42% 39% 38% 52% 42% Unfavorable 23 43 8 19 29 18 26 15 15 Hvn't hrd enough 35 36 30 37 28 41 34 31 44 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 49% 33% 34% 34% 27% 38% 36% 42% 47% Unfavorable 24 28 33 29 41 25 17 27 28 Hvn't hrd enough 26 38 32 34 31 35 47 31 23 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 - 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Favorable 52% 35% 40% 33% 46% 48% 39% Unfavorable 21 24 20 26 26 23 29 Hvn't hrd enough 26 39 39 40 27 29 31 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jan 11 Feb 3 2012 2011 Favorable 41 39 Unfavorable 23 23 Hvn't hrd enough 35 36 REFUSED 1 2 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 47% 30% 66% 49% 48% 46% 43% 63% 49% Disapprove 30 47 15 27 35 25 32 22 27 DK/NA 23 24 19 24 17 29 25 15 24 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Approve 50% 40% 42% 41% 34% 45% 47% 46% 49% Disapprove 30 33 37 35 45 31 26 33 31 DK/NA 20 27 21 24 21 24 27 21 20 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Approve 51% 45% 52% 43% 46% 51% 43% Disapprove 29 30 25 35 32 30 35 DK/NA 20 25 23 22 21 19 22 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Nelson is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 42% Aug 2004) DEBT DEAL..... APPROVE....... Post Pre High Low Jan 10 Nov 11 Sep 22 Aug 04 Aug 04 Feb 06 Aug 04 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2007 2011* Approve 47 47 45 42 45 54 42 Disapprove 30 27 32 35 33 18 35 DK/NA 23 26 23 23 22 28 23 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 42% 7% 80% 45% 39% 45% 33% 89% 46% Disapprove 54 92 15 52 58 50 63 9 47 DK/NA 4 1 5 3 3 5 4 2 7 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Approve 39% 30% 25% 32% 19% 34% 47% 39% 39% Disapprove 58 66 71 65 80 62 50 58 56 DK/NA 3 4 4 2 1 4 4 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Approve 44% 41% 49% 35% 45% 37% 36% Disapprove 53 55 46 61 52 60 62 DK/NA 4 4 5 4 3 3 2 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 Feb 19 Sep 22 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 42 41 41 39 64 39 Disapprove 54 54 52 57 23 57 DK/NA 4 5 7 5 13 5 19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 39% 5% 77% 40% 37% 41% 30% 87% 42% Romney 52 92 15 48 57 47 60 7 51 DK/NA 9 4 8 12 6 12 10 7 7 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Obama 37% 27% 21% 28% 12% 30% 45% 37% 34% Romney 56 62 71 66 82 61 46 56 55 DK/NA 7 11 8 6 6 9 9 8 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 42% 37% 48% 32% 39% 33% 34% Romney 51 52 41 59 52 63 59 DK/NA 7 10 11 9 8 4 8 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 39 41 39 Romney 52 49 49 DK/NA 9 10 12 20. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 44% 5% 82% 49% 41% 46% 35% 82% 52% Santorum 43 84 6 38 50 37 51 6 38 DK/NA 13 11 13 14 9 18 14 12 11 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Obama 43% 31% 27% 30% 16% 36% 51% 41% 37% Santorum 46 53 62 56 75 50 37 47 48 DK/NA 11 15 12 13 10 14 12 12 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 48% 41% 51% 35% 46% 41% 37% Santorum 41 44 35 52 41 51 51 DK/NA 11 14 15 13 12 8 12 22. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 44% 5% 83% 49% 41% 47% 35% 93% 47% No/Does not 52 93 12 48 57 48 62 4 48 DK/NA 4 2 4 3 3 5 4 4 5 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes/Deserves 39% 32% 26% 31% 16% 36% 51% 41% 39% No/Does not 57 64 70 65 81 61 46 56 56 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 3 4 2 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Yes/Deserves 45% 43% 52% 35% 49% 38% 36% No/Does not 51 53 43 61 50 59 61 DK/NA 4 4 5 4 1 3 3 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? DESERVES...... High Low Jan 11 Dec 08 Nov 10 Sep 22 May 26 Sep 22 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 44 44 43 41 50 41 No/Does not 52 51 51 53 44 53 DK/NA 4 5 6 6 6 6 23. Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 44% 22% 67% 46% 44% 43% 40% 65% 45% No/Does not 35 58 15 32 42 29 39 19 31 DK/NA 21 20 18 22 14 28 21 16 25 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ Yes/Deserves 45% 38% 36% 34% 28% 41% 44% 43% 45% No/Does not 36 40 46 43 55 38 32 39 34 DK/NA 19 22 18 22 17 21 24 18 20 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Yes/Deserves 48% 42% 48% 39% 45% 46% 42% No/Does not 33 36 31 39 38 34 39 DK/NA 19 22 21 22 17 19 20 TREND: Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? DEBT DEAL..... Post Pre Jan 11 Sep 22 Aug 04 Aug 04 May 26 Apr 07 Feb 03 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 44 44 44 45 48 43 43 No/Does not 35 33 38 36 30 35 33 DK/NA 21 23 18 19 22 21 25 Demographic Summary
