June 21, 2012 - Mack Leads Florida GOP Senate Pack, But Trails Nelson, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Back On Top In White House Race Word format U.S. Rep. Connie Mack has an overwhelming lead over the Republican field for Florida's U.S. Senate nomination, while Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson edges him by a nose, 43 - 39 percent, in a November match-up, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. A shift by independent voters gives President Barack Obama a 46 - 42 percent lead over Republican Gov. Mitt Romney in the Sunshine State, according to the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll. In the GOP U.S. Senate primary, Republican registered voters give Mack 41 percent, while none of the other three candidates crack double digits. Former U.S. Sen. George LeMieux gets 8 percent, with Tea Party favorite Mike McCalister at 5 percent and former U.S. Rep. Dave Weldon at 3 percent. Another 39 percent of Republicans remain undecided. "At this point, the Republican Senate nomination is Congressman Connie Mack's to lose," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "In politics, anything is possible and we still have two months to go until the Senate primary, but it would take a major change in public opinion for one of the other candidates to stop Connie Mack. And the projected November election between U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson and Mack looks like it could go down to the wire." Mack also runs best against Nelson among the GOP hopefuls. The Democratic incumbent's leads over the other GOP Senate aspirants is in double digits: 47 - 32 percent over LeMieux; 45 - 34 percent over McCalister and 47 - 31 percent over Weldon. Nelson's razor-thin lead over Mack compares to a tie in the May 24 Quinnipiac University poll with Mack at 42 percent and Nelson at 41 percent. "Sen. Nelson gets modest reviews from voters who give him a 47 - 32 percent job approval rating," said Brown. "By 46 - 33 percent they say he deserves another term. He gets a 44 - 26 percent favorability rating. By comparison, Mack has a 34 - 22 percent favorability rating, with 42 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion." In the Nelson-Mack matchup, Nelson carries Democrats 80 - 9 percent and independent voters 44 - 33 percent, while losing Republicans 81 - 6 percent. Men split 42 - 42 percent while women go for Nelson 44 - 36 percent. In the presidential race, Obama's lead reflects the coalition that elected him four years ago. He carries women 49 - 39 percent, African-Americans 91 - 5 percent and voters 18 to 34 years old 55 - 28 percent. Obama also leads 48 - 41 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old. Men split 44 - 45 percent. Romney carries white voters 50 - 37 percent and voters over 55 years old 48 - 43 percent. Independent voters shift from 44 - 36 percent for Romney in a May 23 Quinnipiac University poll, showing Romney ahead 47 - 41 percent overall, to 46 - 37 percent for Obama today. In today's results, Obama carries Democrats 88 - 4 percent, while Romney takes Republicans 91 - 5 percent. While Florida voters say 48 - 44 percent that Romney would do a better job on the economy, they split 45 - 45 percent on who would create more jobs and say 49 - 44 percent that Obama would do more "to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans." "The president is doing better among independent voters," said Brown. "It also is worth noting that the last Quinnipiac University Florida poll was on the heels of the president's backing of gay marriage, which might have hurt him at that time. "At this point, Romney is not well-defined in the minds of many voters, especially those in the middle. This movement reflects that uncertainty among voters who are up for grabs." From June 12 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 698 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were: Connie Mack, George LeMieux, Mike McCalister, and Dave Weldon, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... BornAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Mack 41% 47% 35% 43% 38% 40% 42% 50% 39% LeMieux 8 9 7 8 8 6 10 10 7 McCalister 5 3 6 4 4 4 3 5 4 Weldon 3 4 3 3 6 4 3 2 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 2 6 1 4 3 3 DK/NA 39 32 47 39 38 45 35 29 42 TREND: (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were: Connie Mack, George LeMieux, Mike McCalister and Dave Weldon, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REGISTERED REPUBLICANS................................ Jun 21 May 24 Jan 11 Nov 11 Sep 22 Aug 04 May 26 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Mack 41 40 39 32 na na na LeMieux 8 7 6 9 17 12 14 McCalister 5 8 6 6 11 15 na Weldon 3 na na na na na na Haridopolos na na na na na na 13 Hasner na na 2 2 5 6 4 Miller na na 1 2 5 8 na SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 DK/NA 39 41 42 45 58 53 64 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 46% 5% 88% 46% 44% 49% 37% 91% 49% Romney 42 91 4 37 45 39 50 5 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 5 4 2 2 - 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 - 2 5 3 3 4 - 2 DK/NA 6 2 6 8 5 8 6 4 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Obama 40% 36% 27% 34% 36% 39% 22% 36% 39% Romney 51 50 62 54 53 48 68 51 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 3 2 DK/NA 4 8 5 8 5 8 6 7 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 46% 54% 50% 44% 37% 55% 48% 43% Romney 45 41 30 40 48 57 28 41 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 3 2 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 5 2 2 2 5 2 2 DK/NA 4 7 8 6 4 3 7 6 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") OBAMA......... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Mar 28 Sep 22 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 Obama 46 41 43 49 45 49 40 Romney 42 47 44 42 45 42 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 3 2 4 DK/NA 6 7 9 5 6 5 8 3. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 39% 80% 8% 32% 41% 37% 45% 10% 41% Unfavorable 42 9 70 46 44 41 39 59 39 Hvn't hrd enough 16 9 19 19 13 19 13 28 16 REFUSED 3 2 3 4 2 3 3 2 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Favorable 50% 42% 55% 46% 47% 43% 58% 46% 50% Unfavorable 40 40 29 34 41 38 23 40 39 Hvn't hrd enough 8 16 13 16 10 16 15 12 8 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 43% 37% 29% 33% 44% 55% 28% 36% 43% Unfavorable 43 42 44 45 43 34 47 42 41 Hvn't hrd enough 11 18 23 19 11 8 26 19 11 REFUSED 2 3 4 2 2 3 - 2 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Jan 11 Feb 07 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2007 Favorable 39 44 40 41 43 47 13 Unfavorable 42 35 34 36 37 29 11 Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 22 19 17 22 75 REFUSED 3 2 4 4 3 3 1 4. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 47% 8% 87% 46% 43% 51% 39% 89% 52% Unfavorable 46 88 8 46 51 43 55 9 39 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 4 5 4 4 3 2 6 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 - 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Favorable 44% 36% 28% 37% 35% 42% 23% 39% 36% Unfavorable 53 56 65 56 59 51 72 54 58 Hvn't hrd enough 2 4 4 4 2 4 4 4 3 REFUSED 1 4 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 50% 46% 54% 51% 46% 38% 52% 52% 44% Unfavorable 48 46 37 43 52 56 39 43 50 Hvn't hrd enough 1 5 4 4 1 3 9 1 3 REFUSED 1 3 4 2 2 3 - 4 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Feb 19 Feb 07 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2007 Favorable 47 45 46 51 49 69 37 Unfavorable 46 50 47 44 48 22 18 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 4 2 1 6 44 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 3 1 5. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 36% 49% 33% 30% 38% 35% 36% 36% 37% Less 23 16 21 29 22 24 24 17 22 About the same 40 34 45 40 40 40 38 46 41 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold More 37% 36% 39% 37% 38% 35% 42% 36% 42% Less 23 25 24 26 22 26 20 28 22 About the same 40 37 37 36 39 37 37 35 36 DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 38% 35% 27% 41% 33% 44% 29% 33% 40% Less 23 23 23 25 24 21 29 23 21 About the same 38 40 49 34 42 34 40 43 38 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") MORE.......... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Sep 22 Dec 08 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 More 36 38 35 35 38 40 32 Less 23 19 26 27 20 22 23 About the same 40 42 38 37 41 37 44 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 6. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Connie Mack the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Nelson 43% 6% 80% 44% 42% 44% 38% 73% 42% Mack 39 81 9 33 42 36 44 13 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 2 2 2 1 1 DK/NA 15 10 11 20 13 18 16 13 13 North/ Panhd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Nelson 41% 46% 41% 30% 51% Mack 45 40 39 52 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 12 12 19 14 17 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Connie Mack the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jun 21 May 24 Mar 29 Jan 11 Nov 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 Nelson 43 41 44 41 42 Mack 39 42 36 40 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 15 15 17 16 16 7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and George LeMieux the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Nelson 47% 8% 85% 48% 46% 49% 42% 79% 48% LeMieux 32 73 3 26 35 30 37 6 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 3 4 DK/NA 17 16 11 20 16 18 19 10 13 North/ Panhd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Nelson 46% 48% 45% 35% 56% LeMieux 37 33 31 45 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 6 2 DK/NA 14 16 21 14 18 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and George LeMieux the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jun 21 May 24 May 26 2012 2012 2011 Nelson 47 43 47 LeMieux 32 36 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 DK/NA 17 19 22 8. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Mike McCalister the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Nelson 45% 8% 81% 46% 44% 46% 41% 79% 40% McCalister 34 75 6 28 37 32 38 7 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 18 16 13 21 16 19 18 11 19 North/ Panhd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Nelson 46% 45% 41% 32% 53% McCalister 38 35 36 48 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 2 DK/NA 12 17 20 15 21 9. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Bill Nelson the Democrat and Dave Weldon the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Nelson 47% 11% 83% 46% 44% 49% 41% 78% 49% Weldon 31 71 3 26 34 29 36 5 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 - 5 3 2 2 1 3 DK/NA 19 15 14 22 18 19 19 16 15 North/ Panhd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Nelson 45% 49% 42% 34% 56% Weldon 36 30 35 41 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 6 2 DK/NA 15 18 21 18 20 10. Is your opinion of Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 44% 18% 71% 43% 46% 42% 40% 66% 49% Unfavorable 26 53 5 24 29 24 31 8 17 Hvn't hrd enough 28 27 23 30 23 32 28 25 29 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Bill Nelson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jun 21 May 24 Jan 11 Feb 3 2012 2012 2012 2011 Favorable 44 39 41 39 Unfavorable 26 28 23 23 Hvn't hrd enough 28 31 35 36 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 11. Is your opinion of Connie Mack favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 34% 57% 15% 33% 39% 30% 36% 18% 39% Unfavorable 22 9 36 23 25 20 23 23 15 Hvn't hrd enough 42 32 47 43 35 48 39 58 42 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 5 TREND: Is your opinion of Connie Mack favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jun 21 May 24 Jan 11 2012 2012 2012 Favorable 34 32 32 Unfavorable 22 16 13 Hvn't hrd enough 42 50 54 REFUSED 2 2 1 12. Is your opinion of George LeMieux favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 14% 28% 4% 12% 18% 11% 15% 9% 19% Unfavorable 11 4 20 11 12 11 12 11 6 Hvn't hrd enough 73 66 73 77 68 77 72 80 71 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 - 5 TREND: Is your opinion of George LeMieux favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jun 21 May 24 2012 2012 Favorable 14 13 Unfavorable 11 11 Hvn't hrd enough 73 75 REFUSED 2 1 13. Is your opinion of Mike McCalister favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 12% 22% 3% 12% 14% 11% 13% 8% 14% Unfavorable 8 1 14 9 9 8 9 14 1 Hvn't hrd enough 78 75 81 78 75 80 78 78 80 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 5 14. Is your opinion of Dave Weldon favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 10% 17% 4% 9% 11% 9% 11% 4% 9% Unfavorable 7 2 12 7 8 6 7 8 4 Hvn't hrd enough 82 79 82 83 79 84 80 88 82 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 - 6 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 47% 7% 89% 44% 44% 51% 39% 89% 51% Disapprove 49 91 10 51 54 45 57 10 48 DK/NA 4 2 2 5 3 5 5 1 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Approve 42% 37% 29% 38% 36% 41% 24% 39% 39% Disapprove 55 57 66 59 61 53 74 55 59 DK/NA 2 6 5 3 3 6 1 6 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 48% 47% 56% 50% 44% 38% 57% 49% 43% Disapprove 50 49 40 47 54 57 41 47 53 DK/NA 2 4 5 3 2 5 3 4 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Feb 19 Sep 22 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2011 Approve 47 44 46 47 46 64 39 Disapprove 49 52 50 49 52 23 57 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 2 13 5 21. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 48% 6% 90% 47% 43% 52% 40% 87% 49% No/Does not 48 92 8 48 53 44 56 9 45 DK/NA 4 2 2 5 4 4 4 4 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Yes/Deserves 42% 39% 30% 39% 36% 44% 24% 40% 39% No/Does not 56 56 66 59 61 52 73 57 59 DK/NA 2 4 3 2 3 4 2 3 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Deserves 48% 48% 58% 50% 45% 39% 55% 50% 44% No/Does not 49 48 36 48 54 58 41 47 51 DK/NA 3 4 6 3 2 3 3 3 4 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 50% May 2011) DESERVES...... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Mar 28* Sep 22 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 Yes/Deserves 48 44 45 50 47 50 41 No/Does not 48 52 50 47 49 47 53 DK/NA 4 4 5 3 4 3 6 22. Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 46% 16% 73% 49% 46% 46% 41% 72% 55% No/Does not 33 61 13 28 37 29 38 10 27 DK/NA 21 22 15 23 17 24 22 18 19 North/ Panhd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Yes/Deserves 40% 47% 47% 33% 54% No/Does not 42 31 34 42 23 DK/NA 18 21 20 25 23 TREND: Do you feel that Bill Nelson deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? DESERVES...... High Low Jun 21 May 24 Jan 11 Sep 22 May 26 May 24 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2012 Yes/Deserves 46 40 44 44 48 40 No/Does not 33 39 35 33 30 39 DK/NA 21 21 21 23 22 21 25. Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 78% 57% 95% 81% 79% 77% 76% 91% 82% No 19 40 3 16 20 18 21 5 16 DK/NA 3 3 2 3 1 5 3 4 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Yes 76% 76% 72% 71% 77% 75% 66% 77% 72% No 21 21 24 27 21 22 30 21 24 DK/NA 3 3 4 1 2 4 4 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 79% 78% 81% 81% 78% 76% 84% 82% 75% No 18 19 17 16 20 21 14 15 22 DK/NA 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 TREND: Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not? Jun 21 May 23 2012 2012 Yes 78 76 No 19 21 DK/NA 3 3 26. Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 60% 84% 39% 60% 63% 57% 67% 31% 58% No 30 11 46 32 29 31 25 49 33 DK/NA 10 5 15 8 8 12 9 20 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Yes 67% 66% 73% 71% 69% 65% 77% 68% 64% No 28 24 18 24 23 27 14 24 26 DK/NA 5 10 9 6 8 9 9 8 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 62% 58% 50% 55% 65% 75% 53% 54% 64% No 31 30 34 35 29 21 36 33 27 DK/NA 7 12 16 10 5 4 11 13 9 TREND: Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not? Jun 21 May 23 2012 2012 Yes 60 58 No 30 30 DK/NA 10 11 27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 44% 4% 85% 43% 41% 48% 35% 87% 49% Romney 48 91 9 47 52 44 56 12 47 DK/NA 8 5 6 10 7 8 9 1 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Obama 38% 34% 26% 33% 33% 37% 22% 35% 37% Romney 56 56 66 58 58 53 71 56 55 DK/NA 6 10 8 9 8 9 7 9 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 45% 44% 53% 45% 42% 36% 48% 47% 42% Romney 49 47 35 49 52 61 43 46 51 DK/NA 5 9 12 6 5 4 10 7 7 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (* Low also 39% Nov 2011) OBAMA......... High Low Jun 21 May 23 May 03 Mar 28 Jan 26 Mar 28 Jan 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012* Obama 44 40 40 45 41 45 39 Romney 48 50 49 48 50 48 52 DK/NA 8 10 11 7 9 7 9 28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 52% 11% 88% 53% 50% 53% 44% 88% 55% Romney 40 83 6 37 42 38 47 7 40 DK/NA 9 6 6 11 7 10 10 5 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Obama 47% 42% 36% 38% 43% 44% 29% 44% 41% Romney 45 48 55 52 48 46 64 46 49 DK/NA 8 11 9 11 9 11 8 10 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 54% 50% 59% 56% 49% 45% 63% 54% 47% Romney 39 40 30 37 45 49 28 40 44 DK/NA 7 9 11 7 6 6 10 6 9 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Jun 21 Jan 26 2012 2012 Obama 52 46 Romney 40 45 DK/NA 9 9 29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would create more jobs, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 45% 6% 83% 44% 42% 48% 36% 88% 49% Romney 45 89 10 43 49 42 53 9 43 DK/NA 9 5 7 13 9 10 11 3 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Obama 36% 36% 28% 32% 35% 38% 24% 36% 38% Romney 56 52 62 58 55 51 69 52 53 DK/NA 8 12 10 10 10 11 7 12 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 43% 46% 53% 50% 42% 36% 53% 48% 42% Romney 50 44 33 44 51 58 35 45 49 DK/NA 7 11 14 6 8 6 12 7 9 30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do more to advance the economic interests of middle class Americans, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 49% 6% 90% 50% 46% 52% 41% 91% 52% Romney 44 89 7 40 47 41 52 8 43 DK/NA 7 5 4 10 7 7 8 2 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHold Obama 46% 38% 31% 39% 38% 43% 25% 41% 42% Romney 51 52 63 55 54 50 69 52 52 DK/NA 4 9 6 7 8 7 6 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 52% 48% 56% 53% 48% 40% 59% 50% 46% Romney 44 43 33 41 49 56 31 43 48 DK/NA 4 9 12 7 4 4 9 7 6 Demographic Summary
