October 31, 2007 - Treat For Giuliani As He Inches Ahead Of Clinton, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Trick For Clinton As She Drops Overall Word format Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican front-runner, leads New York Sen. Hillary Clinton by a razor-thin 45 - 43 percent, but voters say 58 - 37 percent that President George W. Bush's low approval ratings will make it difficult for any Republican to be elected President, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Giuliani's lead reverses a 46 - 43 percent Sen. Clinton lead in an August 15 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, but Giuliani was up 49 - 40 percent May 3. Illinois Sen. Barack Obama gets 43 percent to Giuliani's 42 percent. And Arizona Sen. John McCain ties Clinton 44 - 44 percent, wiping out a 47 - 41 percent Clinton lead August 15. Clinton also has seen her favorability among American voters drop from 48 - 43 percent August 15 to 46 - 46 percent today. In other head-to-head matchups in the current survey: Clinton leads former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson 46 - 41 percent and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 48 - 38 percent, with both leads down from August 15; Obama ties McCain 43 - 43 percent and beats Thompson 45 - 37 percent and Romney 46 - 36 percent; Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards trails Giuliani 44 - 41 percent; ties McCain 42 - 42 percent, but beats Thompson 46 - 36 percent and Romney 47 - 34 percent. "Sen. Clinton's success on the campaign trail and the perception that she is unstoppable has made her the prime target for all the other candidates, Republican and Democratic. And the wounds are showing," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The Clinton Express has hit a bump. Future polls will show if it's been derailed." "Very bad news for Republicans: Most Americans think President Bush's poor standing in the polls will make it hard for ANY Republican to be elected President. Even Republicans split 48 - 48 percent on this one," Carroll added. "Congress isn't doing so hot in polls either. But most Democrats - and even a majority of Republicans - doubt that will taint their presidential candidate." Clinton has gained strength among Democrats nationwide and now leads Obama in the primary field 47 - 21 percent, with 12 percent for Edwards. This compares to a 36 - 21 percent Clinton lead among Democrats August 15. Giuliani has gained no ground among Republicans, with a 27 - 17 percent lead over Thompson, followed by Romney with 14 percent and McCain with 13 percent. Giuliani led Romney 28 - 15 percent, with 12 percent for Thompson and 11 percent for McCain August 15. "That Republican field remains volatile and only 13 percent of all voters, including only 9 percent of Republicans, think Giuliani has the nomination locked up," Carroll said. Favorability ratings for other contenders are: 47 - 32 percent for Giuliani; 49 - 25 percent for McCain; 50 - 26 percent for Obama; 46 - 29 percent for Edwards; 31 - 21 percent for Thompson; 28 - 25 percent for Romney. President Bush's Approval American voters disapprove 59 - 35 percent of the job President Bush is doing, his best score in the last year. Voters disapprove 70 - 21 percent of the job Congress is doing, tying the 70 - 20 percent all-time low August 16. From October 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,636 American voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent, including 678 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent, and 742 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201. 1. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Chris Dodd, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and Dennis Kucinich for whom would you vote? DEMOCRATS.............................. No col College Tot Men Wom degree degree Biden 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% Clinton 47 46 48 47 46 Chris Dodd 1 1 - - 1 John Edwards 12 14 10 12 11 Gravel - - - - - Kucinich 2 2 1 1 4 Obama 21 20 21 21 20 Richardson 3 5 2 3 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 11 8 13 11 10 TREND: (If Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, John Edwards, Mike Gravel, Dennis Kucinich, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked DEMOCRATS............................. Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Biden 1 2 1 2 1 Clark na na na - 2 Clinton 47 36 35 32 38 Dodd 1 - - 1 - Edwards 12 9 9 12 6 Gore na 15 18 14 11 Gravel - - - - na Kucinich 2 1 1 2 1 Obama 21 21 21 18 23 Richardson 3 3 2 3 2 Vilsack na na na na - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 - 1 DK/NA 11 10 11 15 13 1a. (If express choice) How likely is it that you could change your mind - Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, not likely at all? DEMOCRATS............. Total Clin Obama Very likely 12% 7% 17% Smwht likely 40 34 40 Not too likely 19 22 18 Not likely at all 28 36 24 DK/NA 1 1 1 2. If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Duncan Hunter, Mike Huckabee, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul and Fred Thompson for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS..................... WtBrnAgn Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Giuliani 27% 26% 28% 24% Huckabee 6 7 6 9 Hunter 1 1 2 2 McCain 13 13 13 13 Paul 2 2 2 1 Romney 14 17 11 10 Tancredo 1 1 - 1 Thompson 17 22 11 21 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 15 10 22 15 TREND: (If Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Tom Tancredo, and Fred Thompson, for whom would you vote? na = not asked REPUBLICANS........................... Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Brownback na 1 1 1 1 Gilmore na - - - - Gingrich na 7 5 8 10 Giuliani 27 28 27 27 40 Hagel na na na - - Huckabee 6 2 2 2 2 Hunter 1 1 1 1 2 McCain 13 11 15 19 18 Pataki na na na 1 1 Paul 2 2 1 - 1 Romney 14 15 10 8 7 Tancredo 1 1 1 - 1 Thompson, F. 17 12 15 14 na Thompson, T. na 1 1 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 - DK/NA 15 16 17 16 15 2a. (If express choice) How likely is it that you could change your mind - Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, not likely at all? REPUBLICANS......... Total Giu Thom Very likely 16% 12% 12% Smwht likely 51 53 50 Not too likely 17 20 23 Not likely at all 14 13 14 DK/NA 2 2 1 3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republic for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Clinton 43% 7% 82% 41% 37% 49% 26 Giuliani 45 85 10 41 52 39 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 4 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 7 5 4 6 DK/NA 6 4 5 7 4 7 5 Red Blue Purple Clinton 40% 50% 41% Giuliani 49 38 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 5 DK/NA 6 5 6 WOMEN.............. MEN................ Total Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Clinton 43% 9% 81% 45% 4% 85% 38% Giuliani 45 80 9 42 89 11 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 1 - 1 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 5 4 - 9 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 2 3 7 TREND: If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudolph Giuliani the Republican for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 Mar 10 Feb 2 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2005 2005 Clinton 43 46 45 40 43 43 43 Giuliani 45 43 44 49 48 44 45 SMONE ELSE 2 3 2 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE 4 3 3 2 2 1 2 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 5 10 7 4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Obama 43% 12% 75% 43% 38% 48% 25% Giuliani 42 77 12 38 48 37 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 7 6 4 7 DK/NA 8 6 7 10 5 10 10 Red Blue Purple Obama 39% 48% 43% Giuliani 45 38 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 DK/NA 9 6 9 WOMEN.............. MEN................ Total Rep Dem Ind Rep Dem Ind Obama 43% 14% 75% 45% 10% 75% 41% Giuliani 42 72 12 38 82 14 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 4 3 5 9 DK/NA 8 10 7 12 3 6 8 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Obama 43 42 42 41 40 Giuliani 42 42 42 44 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 3 3 DK/NA 8 9 9 11 10 5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 41% 11% 76% 34% 36% 46% 28% Giuliani 44 79 14 43 51 39 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 5 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 7 6 4 6 DK/NA 8 5 5 11 5 10 7 Red Blue Purple Edwards 38% 44% 42% Giuliani 46 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 DK/NA 9 6 8 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 Edwards 41 43 40 Giuliani 44 42 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 DK/NA 8 10 8 6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 44% 7% 83% 39% 36% 51% 27% McCain 44 86 8 44 53 37 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 4 3 4 DK/NA 6 3 5 7 4 7 5 Red Blue Purple Clinton 40% 53% 41% McCain 51 37 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 4 DK/NA 6 4 7 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 Dec 6 Mar 10 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2005 2005 Clinton 44 47 44 41 44 40 41 McCain 44 41 42 46 46 44 43 SMONE ELSE 2 3 3 2 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE 3 3 4 3 3 3 1 DK/NA 6 6 7 8 6 11 13 7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 43% 13% 73% 43% 39% 47% 22% McCain 43 78 13 40 49 37 64 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 4 4 3 4 DK/NA 8 6 8 9 5 11 9 Red Blue Purple Obama 37% 49% 44% McCain 49 37 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 DK/NA 9 7 10 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Obama 43 43 43 42 43 McCain 43 39 41 42 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 2 4 DK/NA 8 11 10 12 10 8. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 42% 10% 75% 38% 37% 46% 30% McCain 42 80 11 40 49 36 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 5 6 5 4 3 DK/NA 9 7 7 11 6 11 8 Red Blue Purple Edwards 37% 45% 44% McCain 47 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 6 DK/NA 11 7 8 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 Edwards 42 45 42 McCain 42 37 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 DK/NA 9 11 9 9. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 46% 8% 84% 43% 38% 52% 29% Thompson 41 83 8 35 50 33 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 5 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 4 4 4 DK/NA 7 5 5 12 6 9 7 Red Blue Purple Clinton 41% 56% 41% Thompson 48 31 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 5 DK/NA 6 7 9 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 2007 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 46 49 46 46 Thompson 41 38 39 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 7 7 9 10 10. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 45% 13% 76% 48% 40% 50% 25% Thompson 37 72 10 30 45 30 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 4 7 4 4 5 DK/NA 12 11 9 14 8 14 11 Red Blue Purple Obama 39% 52% 47% Thompson 45 30 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 4 DK/NA 12 10 13 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 2007 2007 2007 2007 Obama 45 46 46 47 Thompson 37 35 34 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 3 DK/NA 12 12 14 15 11. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Edwards 46% 15% 79% 44% 39% 51% 32% Thompson 36 72 7 30 45 29 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 5 7 5 5 3 DK/NA 11 9 8 15 8 14 11 Red Blue Purple Edwards 40% 52% 46% Thompson 45 29 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 5 DK/NA 11 10 12 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Fred Thompson the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Aug 15 2007 2007 Edwards 46 49 Thompson 36 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 DK/NA 11 13 12. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Clinton 48% 11% 86% 46% 41% 54% 29% Romney 38 78 7 30 45 32 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 2 9 6 4 6 DK/NA 7 5 5 11 6 9 6 Red Blue Purple Clinton 44% 55% 45% Romney 44 31 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 7 DK/NA 7 7 8 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Feb 21 2007 2007 Clinton 48 49 Romney 38 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 7 9 13. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 46% 13% 79% 47% 39% 52% 27% Romney 36 73 7 30 43 30 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 10 7 4 6 DK/NA 10 8 8 11 7 12 11 Red Blue Purple Obama 40% 52% 48% Romney 43 31 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 6 DK/NA 10 8 11 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Feb 21 2007 2007 Obama 46 49 Romney 36 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 DK/NA 10 15 14. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Edwards 47% 17% 79% 46% 40% 53% 35% Romney 34 68 6 28 42 27 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 5 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 5 8 7 4 5 DK/NA 11 9 8 13 8 13 10 Red Blue Purple Edwards 43% 50% 49% Romney 40 31 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 7 7 DK/NA 12 9 11 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 31 Feb 21 2007 2007 Edwards 47 48 Romney 34 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 5 DK/NA 11 12 TREND:. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? na = not asked Score = %Favorable (%Haven't Heard Enough) Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Clinton, Hillary 46( 6) 48( 6) 47(6) 44( 7) 46( 7) Edwards, John 46(23) 47(25) 41(28) 46(27) 44(26) Giuliani, Rudy 47(18) 49(20) 51(21) 53(20) 57(21) McCain, John 49(24) 42(27) 45(24) 49(21) 51(25) Obama, Barack 50(21) 48(28) 48(29) 46(34) 44(40) Romney, Mitt 28(45) 20(55) 18(60) 17(65) 17(67) Thompson, Fred 31(46) 29(54) 28(57) na na 15. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 46% 13% 80% 43% 40% 50% 29% Unfavorable 46 82 11 47 52 40 63 Hvn't hrd enough 6 4 8 7 5 7 6 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 46 48 47 44 46 Unfavorable 46 43 45 46 45 Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 6 7 7 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 2 16. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Favorable 46% 26% 68% 44% 42% 50% 38% Unfavorable 29 51 8 28 36 22 38 Hvn't hrd enough 23 21 24 24 20 25 22 REFUSED 2 2 1 4 2 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 46 47 41 46 44 Unfavorable 29 26 28 25 27 Hvn't hrd enough 23 25 28 27 26 REFUSED 2 3 3 2 2 17. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 47% 71% 26% 46% 53% 42% 53% Unfavorable 32 12 49 35 32 32 25 Hvn't hrd enough 18 15 22 15 13 23 19 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 47 49 51 53 57 Unfavorable 32 28 27 24 21 Hvn't hrd enough 18 20 21 20 21 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 1 18. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 49% 72% 30% 48% 56% 43% 56% Unfavorable 25 10 37 26 26 24 17 Hvn't hrd enough 24 16 32 24 16 31 25 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 49 42 45 49 51 Unfavorable 25 28 28 26 22 Hvn't hrd enough 24 27 24 21 25 REFUSED 2 3 2 4 2 19. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Favorable 50% 29% 69% 54% 45% 54% 30% Unfavorable 26 46 9 24 34 19 41 Hvn't hrd enough 21 23 21 19 18 24 27 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 50 48 48 46 44 Unfavorable 26 22 21 18 14 Hvn't hrd enough 21 28 29 34 40 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 1 20. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 28% 47% 13% 24% 35% 22% 35% Unfavorable 25 11 36 29 28 23 17 Hvn't hrd enough 45 40 50 45 35 53 46 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 28 20 18 17 17 Unfavorable 25 22 20 16 15 Hvn't hrd enough 45 55 60 65 67 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 1 21. Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 31% 52% 13% 27% 41% 21% 41% Unfavorable 21 7 33 25 23 20 14 Hvn't hrd enough 46 40 52 45 33 57 43 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Fred Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 31 29 28 26 Unfavorable 21 15 13 9 Hvn't hrd enough 46 54 57 63 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 22. Is your opinion of -- Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 15% 25% 7% 15% 19% 12% 22% Unfavorable 13 8 18 12 16 11 11 Hvn't hrd enough 70 67 74 71 63 76 65 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 23. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Democrat 44% 4% 88% 40% 38% 50% 27% Republican 37 81 4 28 44 32 56 DPNDS ON CAND (VOL) 13 10 7 21 13 13 12 DK/NA 6 4 2 10 6 6 5 Red Blue Purple Democrat 39% 51% 44% Republican 44 28 38 DPNDS ON CAND (VOL) 10 14 14 DK/NA 6 7 4 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 2007 2007 2007 2007 Democrat 44 46 47 43 Republican 37 34 32 34 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 13 14 15 15 DK/NA 6 6 5 7 26. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the Democratic nomination for President locked up? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 39% 42% 39% 38% 43% 36% 39% No 54 52 51 59 51 56 53 DK/NA 7 6 9 4 6 8 8 27. Do you think Rudy Giuliani has the Republican nomination for President locked up? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 13% 9% 16% 13% 12% 14% 12% No 75 82 68 77 78 72 77 DK/NA 12 9 16 10 10 14 12 28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 35% 66% 12% 26% 38% 31% 52% Disapprove 59 26 85 65 53 63 42 DK/NA 7 8 3 9 8 5 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Highest Lowest Approve Approve Oct 31 Aug 15 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 Dec 11 Jun 13 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2001 2007 Approve 35 29 28 35 34 83 28 Disapprove 59 64 65 60 60 11 65 DK/NA 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 21% 21% 25% 15% 20% 21% 21% Disapprove 70 72 64 76 72 67 69 DK/NA 10 7 11 9 7 12 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Highest Lowest Approve Approve Oct 31 Aug 16 Jun 13 May 3 Mar 2 Mar 6 Aug 16 2007 2007 2007 2007 2006 2003 2007 Approve 21 20 23 39 25 42 20 Disapprove 70 70 66 52 63 46 70 DK/NA 10 10 11 9 11 12 10 30. Is your opinion of -- Nancy Pelosi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 22% 7% 38% 20% 22% 23% 15% Unfavorable 35 61 12 34 45 27 45 Hvn't hrd enough 41 32 48 44 32 49 39 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 1 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Nancy Pelosi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Oct 31 May 25 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 22 29 25 Unfavorable 35 29 31 Hvn't hrd enough 41 40 43 REFUSED 2 2 1 31. Is your opinion of -- Harry Reid favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 9% 4% 13% 10% 11% 7% 3% Unfavorable 22 32 9 25 30 14 25 Hvn't hrd enough 68 62 77 63 57 77 70 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of -- Harry Reid favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 31 May 25 Feb 21 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 9 9 7 Unfavorable 22 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 68 71 75 REFUSED 2 2 1 32. Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Right direction 20% 35% 11% 14% 24% 17% 22% Wrong track 72 56 82 78 70 74 69 DK/NA 8 9 7 8 7 9 9 TREND: Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the right direction, or are they off on the wrong track? Oct 31 Aug 16 Jun 13 Feb 22 2007 2007 2007 2007 Right direction 20 21 18 26 Wrong track 72 73 74 68 DK/NA 8 6 8 6 33. Do you think President Bush's current low standing in public opinion polls will make it difficult for any of the Republicans to win the Presidential election? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 58% 48% 68% 59% 62% 54% 52% No 37 48 25 37 34 39 42 DK/NA 6 3 7 5 4 7 5 34. Do you think the Democratic controlled Congress's current low standing in public opinion polls will make it difficult for any of the Democrats to win the Presidential election? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 25% 33% 17% 24% 29% 21% 30% No 65 57 74 65 63 67 59 DK/NA 10 10 8 11 8 12 11 45. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom WtBrnAgn Evnglcl Approve 31% 62% 7% 24% 36% 26% 49% Disapprove 65 33 90 71 61 68 46 DK/NA 4 5 3 5 3 5 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? Highest Lowest Approve Approve Oct 31 Aug 16 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 Jul 24 Jun 13 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2003 2007 Approve 31 29 25 31 30 52 25 Disapprove 65 67 70 64 64 43 70 DK/NA 4 4 6 5 6 5 6 46. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Right thing 38% 72% 11% 33% 43% 34% 57% Wrong thing 55 23 82 61 53 58 37 DK/NA 6 5 7 6 4 8 6 TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Highest Lowest Right Right Oct 31 Aug 16 Jun 13 May 3 Feb 21 Sep 17 Aug 16 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2003 2007 Right 38 35 37 39 37 58 35 Wrong 55 59 57 55 56 37 59 DK/NA 6 6 7 6 7 5 6 47. Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing United States troops from Iraq? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Support 52% 28% 77% 49% 44% 59% 41% Oppose 43 69 16 47 52 35 53 DK/NA 5 3 7 4 3 6 6 TREND: Do you support or oppose Congress setting a time-table for withdrawing United States troops from Iraq? * wording included ..."all" United States troops. Oct 31 Aug 16 Jun 13 May 3 2007 2007 2007 2007* Support 52 55 54 51 Oppose 43 40 39 45 DK/NA 5 5 7 4
