June 9, 2011 - Economic Worries Flatten Obama's Osama Bounce, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More U.S. Voters Back President's Position On Israel Word format President Barack Obama's "bin Laden bounce" is flattening out, as American voters give him a 47 - 46 percent job approval rating, down from 52 - 40 percent May 5, immediately after the terrorist's killing. But voters are becoming more pessimistic about the economy and the lead President Obama enjoyed over the Republicans on handling it has disappeared, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. By 55 - 12 percent, registered voters sympathize more with Israel than the Palestinians, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. While 66 percent say the president should be a strong supporter of Israel, only 40 percent think that Obama is. Asked about his handling of the issue, 10 percent say it makes them more likely to vote for his re- election while 27 percent say less likely and 58 percent say it won't affect their vote. As criticism of the war in Afghanistan and the American contribution to the military effort in Libya increases, the public view of both is strongly negative: only 40 percent say the U.S. is doing the right thing in Afghanistan and 35 percent say the U.S. is doing the right thing in Libya. On the highly charged Medicare issue, American voters trust Obama more than Republicans in Congress by a small 44 - 40 percent margin. "Although President Barack Obama's overall approval numbers are better than before the killing of bin Laden, he continues to get strongly negative ratings on the economy," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "What should worry the White House is that 78 percent of voters think the country is in a recession and the number of voters who think a recovery has begun has dropped from 54 - 43 percent in a January 18 Quinnipiac University poll to a negative 45 - 52 percent today." American voters disapprove 58 - 36 percent of the way Obama is handling the economy, unchanged from the 57 - 37 percent disapproval May 5. While 41 percent trust Obama more to handle the economy, 43 percent trust Republicans in Congress more, reversing a 46 - 37 percent Obama lead on this question May 5. Looking at overall job approval, Obama's support among political independents, a key group, remains a slightly positive 46 - 43 percent, while he gets an 83 - 11 percent thumbs up from Democrats and an 82 - 13 percent thumbs down from Republicans. In the Middle East, Americans favor creation of a Palestinian State 45 - 30 percent, but when certain conditions are attached, voters turn strongly negative: Opposing 79 - 5 percent a state if Palestinians don't recognize Israel's right to exist; Opposing 76 - 9 percent a state if the Palestinians don't renounce terrorism; Saying 63 - 22 percent that Israel should not negotiate with a Palestinian government backed by Hamas; Saying 46 - 27 percent that Israel should be able to determine how many, if any, Palestinians are allowed to immigrate to Israel as opposed to allowing any who want to live in Israel; Supporting 42 - 30 percent the creation of a Palestinian state based on Israel's 1967 borders, including mutually agreed upon land swaps. By 34 - 15 percent, voters have a favorable opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with 49 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. "While we didn't mention President Obama, more American voters seem to back the Mideast peace plan which the president presented recently. Americans' strong support for Israel in its conflict with the Palestinians remains in place. They give lip service to the idea of a Palestinian state, by an unimpressive plurality, and are strongly in sync with much of Israel's opposition to a deal that includes conditions wanted by the Palestinians," said Brown. Voters who follow the Mideast situation more closely tend to be more supportive of Israel and less supportive of Obama's handling of the situation. From May 31 - June 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,946 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 13% 83% 46% 44% 50% 40% 86% Disapprove 46 82 11 43 49 44 53 9 DK/NA 7 4 5 11 7 6 6 5 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 54% 49% 44% 53% 45% 44% 83% 57% 20% Disapprove 38 44 51 41 48 50 12 34 76 DK/NA 8 7 6 6 7 6 5 9 4 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 55% 45% 51% 22% 31% 43% Disapprove 36 48 43 74 64 51 DK/NA 9 7 6 5 5 6 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Approve 33% 46% 56% 55% Disapprove 64 49 37 31 DK/NA 3 5 8 14 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009) BIN LADEN DEATH APPROVE....... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 Mar 03 Jun 04 Mar 30 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009* 2011 Approve 47 52 46 42 46 59 42 Disapprove 46 40 48 48 46 31 48 DK/NA 7 8 6 10 8 10 10 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 28% 10% 54% 19% 24% 31% 22% 57% Disapprove 64 86 37 70 68 60 71 31 DK/NA 8 4 9 11 8 8 7 12 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 34% 28% 25% 32% 26% 24% 49% 31% 15% Disapprove 55 66 67 57 69 72 42 60 81 DK/NA 11 7 8 10 5 5 9 9 5 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 27% 27% 29% 14% 17% 23% Disapprove 61 63 65 81 78 69 DK/NA 12 10 6 5 5 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? APPROVE....... High Low Jun 09 Mar 31 Mar 03 Jan 18 Nov 17 Mar 4 Nov 17 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2009 2010 Approve 28 31 33 33 27 45 27 Disapprove 64 58 57 58 66 45 66 DK/NA 8 11 10 9 7 10 7 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 30% 56% 15% 25% 28% 31% 31% 16% Disapprove 61 36 79 64 63 60 60 73 DK/NA 9 9 6 11 9 9 8 11 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 32% 32% 26% 28% 31% 37% 12% 22% 47% Disapprove 56 61 65 61 62 59 82 69 43 DK/NA 12 7 9 11 7 4 6 9 9 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 23% 30% 29% 43% 37% 31% Disapprove 62 59 65 48 55 60 DK/NA 15 11 6 9 9 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (*High also 34% Mar 3, 2011 & Mar 2010) APPROVE....... High Low Jun 09 Mar 31 Mar 03 Jan 18 Nov 17 Mar 31 Oct 08 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2011* 2009 Approve 30 34 34 30 27 34 25 Disapprove 61 55 54 57 63 55 64 DK/NA 9 11 12 13 10 11 11 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 36% 7% 70% 32% 34% 39% 30% 74% Disapprove 58 91 24 60 60 55 65 19 DK/NA 6 2 6 8 6 6 5 8 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 41% 36% 35% 41% 34% 33% 69% 42% 13% Disapprove 52 59 59 53 62 63 26 51 83 DK/NA 7 5 6 6 5 4 5 7 4 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 45% 35% 40% 15% 22% 26% Disapprove 51 59 55 81 73 69 DK/NA 4 6 5 5 5 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? BIN LADEN DEATH APPROVE...... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 30 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 36 38 37 34 38 57 34 Disapprove 58 57 57 60 59 33 60 DK/NA 6 5 6 5 4 10 5 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 46% 17% 77% 46% 45% 47% 41% 76% Disapprove 44 76 15 41 47 42 50 15 DK/NA 10 7 8 13 9 11 8 9 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 49% 48% 43% 49% 46% 47% 74% 60% 19% Disapprove 39 44 46 40 47 48 18 31 72 DK/NA 12 8 10 12 7 5 7 9 9 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 49% 42% 54% 25% 32% 46% Disapprove 38 47 39 66 59 47 DK/NA 13 11 7 9 9 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? BIN LADEN DEATH APPROVE....... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 Mar 03 Apr 29 Mar 30 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 46 51 43 41 43 57 41 Disapprove 44 39 48 47 45 32 47 DK/NA 10 10 10 12 12 11 12 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Libya? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 41% 24% 63% 41% 43% 40% 39% 67% Disapprove 43 64 23 44 47 40 48 17 DK/NA 15 13 14 15 10 20 14 16 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 41% 45% 39% 41% 42% 48% 60% 55% 21% Disapprove 44 40 46 42 47 43 26 34 62 DK/NA 14 14 16 17 10 9 14 11 16 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 45% 37% 50% 25% 30% 46% Disapprove 41 46 38 59 53 44 DK/NA 14 17 12 16 17 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Libya? BIN LADEN DEATH Post Pre Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 2011 2011 2011 2011 Approve 41 45 41 41 Disapprove 43 40 48 45 DK/NA 15 15 11 14 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Afghanistan? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 51% 39% 69% 49% 55% 48% 47% 82% Disapprove 40 51 25 41 38 41 45 12 DK/NA 9 11 6 10 7 11 8 6 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 57% 55% 47% 54% 50% 59% 66% 57% 39% Disapprove 37 36 43 37 41 37 31 35 48 DK/NA 7 8 10 8 10 4 3 8 12 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 54% 50% 56% 35% 42% 52% Disapprove 37 41 37 53 49 39 DK/NA 9 10 7 12 9 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan? (*Post Bin Laden Death) BIN LADEN DEATH APPROVE....... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 Mar 03 May 05 Nov 18 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2009 Approve 51 59 41 42 43 59 38 Disapprove 40 30 50 45 46 30 49 DK/NA 9 10 8 13 11 10 12 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the budget deficit? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 32% 5% 63% 29% 29% 35% 26% 70% Disapprove 61 92 31 64 66 58 68 24 DK/NA 6 3 7 8 6 7 6 6 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 34% 30% 32% 37% 30% 27% 65% 33% 13% Disapprove 60 63 61 57 64 69 28 60 83 DK/NA 6 7 7 7 5 4 7 7 4 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 40% 32% 32% 12% 20% 22% Disapprove 55 62 61 83 75 71 DK/NA 5 7 6 5 4 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the budget deficit? Jun 09 Mar 30 Mar 03 Apr 21 Feb 11 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 Approve 32 30 36 34 33 Disapprove 61 64 58 59 60 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 7 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling -terrorism? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 63% 39% 89% 62% 65% 61% 58% 92% Disapprove 31 55 7 29 29 32 35 7 DK/NA 6 6 4 9 6 7 7 1 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 69% 68% 57% 65% 63% 65% 84% 74% 42% Disapprove 26 27 35 27 34 30 13 19 52 DK/NA 5 5 8 7 3 4 3 7 6 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 70% 61% 68% 42% 49% 63% Disapprove 23 32 27 51 43 30 DK/NA 7 7 5 7 8 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism? BIN LADEN DEATH Post Jun 09 May 05 May 26 Apr 22 Mar 25 Feb 10 Jan 13 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 Approve 63 67 49 49 49 49 48 Disapprove 31 27 41 41 41 44 44 DK/NA 6 7 10 10 9 8 8 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation between Israel and the Palestinians? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 35% 13% 61% 35% 35% 36% 32% 57% Disapprove 47 75 20 45 50 44 52 23 DK/NA 17 12 19 20 15 20 16 20 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Approve 38% 36% 34% 37% 33% 43% 62% 44% 14% Disapprove 41 47 49 43 53 47 19 39 71 DK/NA 20 16 17 19 14 10 18 17 14 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Approve 35% 31% 44% 17% 22% 37% Disapprove 45 48 45 69 63 47 DK/NA 20 20 11 14 15 17 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Approve 29% 34% 44% 30% Disapprove 68 57 32 20 DK/NA 2 9 24 50 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation between Israel and the Palestinians? Jun 09 Apr 22 2011 2010 Approve 35 35 Disapprove 47 44 DK/NA 17 21 17. Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 41% 5% 81% 38% 38% 45% 36% 85% Reps in Congress 43 85 9 40 45 42 50 6 DK/NA 15 10 10 22 17 13 14 9 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Obama 38% 45% 42% 47% 38% 38% 80% 49% 14% Reps in Congress 43 41 45 37 46 53 11 33 73 DK/NA 19 14 13 15 16 9 9 18 13 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Obama 46% 40% 46% 17% 26% 35% Reps in Congress 34 44 43 70 62 51 DK/NA 20 17 11 13 12 14 TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (*Low also 41% Jul 2010) BIN LADEN DEATH OBAMA.......... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 03 Jan 18 Aug 06 Jun 09 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011* Obama 41 46 43 45 46 47 41 Reps in Congress 43 37 44 45 39 36 43 DK/NA 15 17 13 10 14 17 15 18. Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 78% 85% 70% 78% 77% 79% 80% 67% No 19 13 26 20 21 18 18 32 DK/NA 3 2 3 1 2 3 2 1 TREND: Do you think the United States economy is in a recession now? Jun 09 Jan 18 Jul 22 May 26 May 15 2011 2011 2010 2010 2008 Yes 78 73 79 74 71 No 19 24 18 21 24 DK/NA 3 3 3 5 5 19. Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 45% 30% 62% 43% 46% 45% 42% 66% No 52 67 34 54 51 52 55 30 DK/NA 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 5 TREND: Do you think the economy is beginning to recover or not? Jun 09 Jan 18 Jul 22 2011 2011 2010 Yes 45 54 44 No 52 43 52 DK/NA 3 3 5 20. Who do you trust to do a better job handling the federal budget deficit - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 39% 5% 78% 34% 34% 42% 33% 75% Reps in Congress 46 87 12 44 50 43 53 11 DK/NA 15 8 11 22 16 14 13 14 TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the budget deficit, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (*federal budget deficit) BIN LADEN DEATH Post Pre Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 3 2011* 2011 2011 2011 Obama 39 42 42 43 Reps in Congress 46 44 46 46 DK/NA 15 14 11 11 21. Who do you trust to do a better job handling Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for the elderly - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 44% 9% 81% 43% 44% 45% 38% 80% Reps in Congress 40 77 8 38 41 39 47 9 DK/NA 16 13 11 19 15 16 15 12 22. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 40% 53% 30% 37% 46% 34% 39% 37% Shld not be involved 52 38 62 56 49 56 53 55 DK/NA 8 9 7 6 5 10 7 7 TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? (*Pre Bin Laden Death) BIN LADEN DEATH RIGHT THING... Post Pre High Low Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 Jan 18 Jan 14 May 05 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2011* Right thing 40 46 34 41 41 59 34 Shld not be involved 52 47 60 50 51 35 60 DK/NA 8 7 6 9 8 6 6 23. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by using military force in Libya now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Libya now? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 35% 35% 40% 33% 38% 31% 35% 36% Shld not be involved 54 56 48 59 54 54 55 54 DK/NA 11 9 12 8 8 14 10 10 TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by using military force in Libya now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Libya now? BIN LADEN DEATH Post Pre Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Mar 30 2011 2011 2011 2011 Right thing 35 39 37 41 Shld not be involved 54 48 53 47 DK/NA 11 12 10 12 29. From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with Israel or more with the Palestinians? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk ISRAEL 55% 76% 38% 53% 62% 49% 59% 42% PALESTINIANS 12 4 19 14 14 10 11 13 DK/NA 33 19 42 33 24 40 29 45 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con ISRAEL 46% 59% 58% 53% 59% 59% 34% 48% 75% PALESTINIANS 13 11 13 11 13 17 24 15 3 DK/NA 41 30 30 36 28 24 42 37 21 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll ISRAEL 74% 65% 43% 30% PALESTINIANS 14 13 13 4 DK/NA 13 21 44 66 TREND: From what you know about the situation in the Middle East, do your sympathies lie more with Israel or more with the Palestinians? Jun 09 Apr 22 Dec 12 2011 2010 2001 ISRAEL 55 57 51 PALESTINIANS 12 13 13 DK/NA 33 31 36 30. Is your opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 34% 50% 16% 37% 44% 24% 39% 14% Unfavorable 15 5 22 17 18 11 14 12 Hvn't hrd enough 49 44 58 43 36 61 45 71 REFUSED 3 1 4 3 2 3 2 3 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Favorable 19% 34% 41% 26% 39% 48% 17% 28% 50% Unfavorable 14 16 15 13 17 18 30 18 4 Hvn't hrd enough 65 47 42 59 42 32 50 50 45 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 4 1 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Favorable 70% 43% 13% 2% Unfavorable 21 20 9 5 Hvn't hrd enough 9 36 76 90 REFUSED - 2 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jun 09 Apr 22 2011 2010 Favorable 34 30 Unfavorable 15 14 Hvn't hrd enough 49 54 REFUSED 3 3 31. Do you think the President of the United States should be a strong supporter of Israel or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Should 66% 79% 53% 64% 72% 59% 67% 61% No/Should NOT 18 10 24 18 19 18 17 19 DK/NA 16 11 23 17 9 23 16 20 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Yes/Should 60% 67% 67% 63% 67% 72% 56% 61% 78% No/Should NOT 26 19 14 18 20 17 24 22 11 DK/NA 14 14 18 18 13 11 20 17 11 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Yes/Should 84% 74% 56% 37% No/Should NOT 10 17 23 24 DK/NA 6 9 21 39 TREND: Do you think the President of the United States should be a strong supporter of Israel or not? Jun 09 Apr 22 2011 2010 Yes/Should 66 66 No/Should NOT 18 19 DK/NA 16 15 32. Do you think President Obama is a strong supporter of Israel or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Strong 40% 22% 57% 42% 45% 35% 36% 62% No/Not strong 39 64 15 37 43 34 44 12 DK/NA 22 14 28 21 12 31 20 26 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Yes/Strong 42% 44% 37% 41% 42% 42% 63% 52% 19% No/Not strong 31 37 43 33 41 47 14 26 65 DK/NA 28 19 20 26 17 11 24 23 16 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Yes/Strong 32% 46% 47% 22% No/Not strong 64 44 26 14 DK/NA 4 9 28 64 TREND: Do you think President Obama is a strong supporter of Israel or not? Jun 09 Apr 22 2011 2010 Yes/Strong 40 34 No/Not strong 39 42 DK/NA 22 24 33. How closely have you been following news about President Obama's handling of the situation between Israel and the Palestinians - Would you say you have been following it very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very closely 20% 27% 14% 18% 26% 15% 22% 14% Smwht closely 37 39 35 41 40 34 38 26 Not too closely 29 25 35 28 25 33 27 41 Not at all 12 7 15 13 8 17 11 18 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 - EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Very closely 19% 18% 25% 26% 25% 18% Smwht closely 38 35 42 39 42 37 Not too closely 30 31 26 24 23 34 Not at all 13 15 7 9 9 10 DK/NA - 1 1 1 2 1 34. Does President Obama's handling of the situation between Israel and the Palestinians make you more likely to vote for him for re-election, less likely to vote for him for re-election, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More likely 10% 3% 19% 8% 11% 9% 9% 16% Less likely 27 50 4 27 31 23 33 3 Doesn't make diff 58 43 72 61 56 61 54 75 DK/NA 5 4 5 5 3 7 4 6 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con More likely 11% 7% 11% 10% 8% 13% 16% 12% 5% Less likely 18 25 32 22 31 30 6 17 49 Doesn't make diff 64 64 51 61 58 54 73 67 42 DK/NA 7 4 5 7 3 2 6 4 4 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll More likely 14% 12% 7% 3% Less likely 52 31 12 9 Doesn't make diff 31 55 76 74 DK/NA 2 2 4 13 35. Generally speaking, would you support or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 45% 36% 52% 49% 54% 36% 45% 31% Oppose 30 43 19 25 31 28 31 31 DK/NA 25 22 28 26 15 35 24 37 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Support 41% 46% 46% 41% 46% 59% 64% 50% 31% Oppose 32 32 27 30 32 26 16 25 43 DK/NA 27 22 27 29 22 15 21 25 26 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Support 55% 50% 40% 28% Oppose 35 34 26 19 DK/NA 10 16 34 52 36. Would you support or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state, if it is based on Israel's 1967 borders with mutually agreed upon land swaps? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 42% 34% 50% 44% 45% 38% 43% 31% Oppose 30 45 17 28 37 24 31 30 DK/NA 28 21 33 28 18 37 26 39 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Support 46% 43% 39% 38% 45% 53% 59% 47% 30% Oppose 25 30 32 29 33 28 13 24 46 DK/NA 29 27 28 33 22 19 28 29 24 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Support 39% 50% 41% 26% Oppose 54 34 16 18 DK/NA 7 16 43 56 37. Would you support or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state, if the Palestinians don't recognize Israel's right to exist? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 5% 4% 6% 6% 8% 3% 4% 7% Oppose 79 86 74 80 85 74 82 71 DK/NA 15 11 20 14 7 23 13 22 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Support 6% 5% 6% 3% 4% 6% Oppose 79 76 86 86 82 80 DK/NA 16 19 8 11 14 14 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Support 4% 5% 6% 6% Oppose 90 88 75 54 DK/NA 6 7 20 40 38. Would you support or oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state, if the Palestinians don't renounce terrorism? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 9% 7% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 11% Oppose 76 81 73 77 82 72 79 70 DK/NA 14 11 17 14 8 20 13 19 EDUCATION.... WHITE............. Union NoColl Coll BrnAgn HsHlds Degree Degree Evngl Prot Cath Support 10% 9% 10% 5% 6% 7% Oppose 77 75 79 83 81 80 DK/NA 13 16 10 12 13 13 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Support 9% 10% 10% 6% Oppose 85 81 73 62 DK/NA 5 9 17 31 39. Do you think the Israeli government should negotiate with a Palestinian government that is backed by Hamas, which is considered by some to be a terrorist organization, or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 22% 14% 29% 21% 27% 17% 22% 19% No 63 76 52 63 65 62 65 61 DK/NA 15 10 19 16 8 21 14 20 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Yes 25% 23% 20% 18% 22% 32% 36% 26% 11% No 60 66 63 64 64 62 48 59 77 DK/NA 15 11 17 18 14 6 16 15 12 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Yes 23% 26% 20% 11% No 73 65 63 49 DK/NA 4 9 17 40 40. Which comes closer to your point of view regarding the Palestinians who left Israel during and after the 1948 war and their millions of descendants - A) Israel should be allowed to determine how many if any Palestinians immigrate to Israel or B) Any of the millions of Palestinians who want to should be allowed to immigrate to Israel Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Israel decides 46% 61% 33% 47% 52% 41% 49% 35% All allowed 27 19 37 24 29 25 23 39 DK/NA 27 21 30 29 19 34 27 26 AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. POL PHIL......... 18-34 35-54 55+ <50 50-100 >100K Lib Mod Con Israel decides 43% 48% 48% 42% 48% 59% 33% 43% 59% All allowed 40 28 20 30 29 23 40 31 18 DK/NA 18 24 32 28 23 18 27 26 24 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING NEWS OF OBAMA'S HANDLING OF ISRAEL/PALESTINIANS Q33 Very Smwht NotToo NtAtAll Israel decides 65% 52% 34% 32% All allowed 22 27 32 27 DK/NA 14 22 33 41 Demographic Summary