October 5, 2011 - With Christie Out, Romney Is Back On Top Of Gop Pack, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Perry Fades As Cain Surges Word format With New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie out of the Republican presidential race, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney jumps to a 22 percent lead, followed by business man Herman Cain with 17 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 14 percent - a 10-point drop in five weeks, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. This compares to an August 31 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Perry at 24 percent, followed by Romney at 18 percent, with Cain in sixth place with 5 percent. With Christie in the race, he and Romney are tied among Republicans and Republican leaners at 17 percent each, followed by 12 percent for Cain, 10 percent for Perry and no other candidate above 7 percent. In possible 2012 general election matchups: Romney has a slight 46 - 42 percent lead over Obama; The president gets 45 percent to Perry's 44 percent. American voters say 54 - 42 percent that Obama does not deserve a second term, little changed from August 31, when voters said he did not deserve a second term 51 - 42 percent. "After seeing his lead disappear with the entrance of Rick Perry into the trace, Mitt Romney has regained his position out front as the Texas governor's fortunes have fallen. The GOP race, however, remains quite open, especially with Gov. Christopher Christie's decision to remain on the sidelines," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "A big question now is whether Herman Cain is a serious candidate for the nomination. He has zoomed into second place ahead of Perry. Once the attention shifts from the still-born Christie candidacy, it is likely to focus on Cain, his background and proposals," Brown added. "That will determine whether his candidacy is the real deal or one that rises and falls once attention focuses on him, as happened to Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann," Brown added. "This survey shows Gov. Christie is walking away from the possibility - at least today - to be elected president of the United States. Whether he would have won the GOP nomination or the election will never be known, but the data indicate he had a serious chance to win it all. "Gov. Rick Perry, whose numbers have dropped following three debate appearances and a disappointing finish in the Florida straw poll, has gone from front-runner to third place as Herman Cain roars past him - at least for the moment," Brown said. "With Christie out of the race, Romney has some breathing room. Let's see if the emerging Herman Cain has staying power." In an Obama-Romney matchup, Democrats go to Obama 84 - 9 percent, while Romney wins Republicans 90 - 4 percent and takes independent voters 45 - 40 percent. Among women, Obama edges Romney 47 - 44 percent while men go Republican 47 - 38 percent. Romney leads among white voters 54 - 34 percent while Obama leads 86 - 6 percent among black voters and 51 - 39 percent among Hispanic voters. Overall, the president's popularity with voters is negative: 53 percent view him unfavorably and 42 percent view him favorably, compared to 39 - 28 percent favorable for Romney. From September 27 - October 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,118 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 927 voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Republican 39% 86% 3% 35% 41% 38% 46% 7% 31% Democrat 39 1 85 32 35 43 31 78 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 2 2 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 3 DK/NA 19 11 12 27 20 17 19 14 14 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Republican 53% 46% 61% 41% 40% 38% 39% 40% Democrat 23 32 18 38 39 39 38 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 DK/NA 21 20 18 18 17 20 20 16 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Republican 29% 39% 43% 46% 45% Democrat 46 37 37 37 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 20 20 18 13 16 TREND: If the 2012 election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Oct 05 Aug 31 Mar 31 2011 2011 2011 Republican 39 38 40 Democrat 39 38 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 DK/NA 19 19 20 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................... PrtOf Tot Men Wom TeaPty Perry 14% 13% 14% 17% Palin 9 8 11 13 Gingrich 8 11 6 7 Romney 22 19 24 16 Bachmann 3 4 2 4 Santorum 3 3 2 2 Paul 6 7 6 4 Huntsman 1 1 - - Cain 17 23 10 25 DK/NA 18 11 25 11 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Perry 16% 10% 17% 12% 16% 12% 14% 13% Palin 11 8 10 9 11 7 11 4 Gingrich 6 8 6 7 8 9 9 7 Romney 21 20 18 12 24 24 19 28 Bachmann 2 6 3 - 4 3 4 2 Santorum 3 4 3 4 2 3 1 5 Paul 4 5 4 19 4 3 8 4 Huntsman 1 - - - 1 2 1 2 Cain 17 17 19 8 17 21 13 23 DK/NA 18 21 20 29 14 16 21 13 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Perry 14% 12% 16% 15% 15% Palin 12 8 11 5 9 Gingrich 9 12 7 7 8 Romney 14 23 19 30 20 Bachmann 5 1 5 2 3 Santorum 2 4 3 2 2 Paul 8 12 4 4 6 Huntsman - - 2 2 2 Cain 12 19 16 20 21 DK/NA 24 9 17 14 14 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner)If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain for whom would you vote? (na=not asked) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS................ Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 May 04 Nov 22 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 Perry 14 24 10 na na na Palin 9 11 12 15 15 19 Gingrich 8 3 5 8 5 15 Romney 22 18 25 25 18 18 Bachmann 3 10 14 6 4 na Santorum 3 1 1 4 1 na Paul 6 9 5 8 5 na Huntsman 1 1 1 1 1 na Cain 17 5 6 9 na na McCotter na 1 - na na na Barbour na na na na na 2 Daniels na na na na 5 2 Huckabee na na na na 15 17 Johnson na na na - 1 na Pawlenty na na 3 5 4 6 Thune na na na na na 2 Trump na na na na 12 na DK/NA 18 16 18 20 15 17 2b. (If voting for Palin q2) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS WITHOUT PALIN.............. PrtOf Tot Men Wom TeaPty Perry 15% 14% 16% 19% Gingrich 9 12 7 9 Romney 24 21 27 18 Bachmann 5 5 4 6 Santorum 3 3 3 2 Paul 6 7 6 4 Huntsman 1 1 - - Cain 18 25 11 28 DK/NA 19 12 26 13 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Perry 17% 10% 19% 14% 17% 13% 16% 13% Gingrich 9 8 9 7 10 10 10 8 Romney 24 24 20 15 27 26 22 29 Bachmann 4 6 5 - 6 5 5 3 Santorum 4 4 3 4 2 3 2 5 Paul 4 5 4 19 4 3 8 4 Huntsman 1 - - - 1 2 1 2 Cain 18 19 19 8 19 22 15 23 DK/NA 19 23 20 32 14 17 22 14 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Perry 17% 12% 17% 16% 18% Gingrich 11 12 8 8 9 Romney 17 26 21 31 22 Bachmann 7 3 6 3 4 Santorum 2 4 4 2 2 Paul 8 12 4 4 6 Huntsman - - 2 2 2 Cain 12 19 19 20 24 DK/NA 26 12 18 14 14 TREND: (If voting for Palin) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question) (na=not asked) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS WITHOUT PALIN........ Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 2011 2011 2011 Perry 15 26 10 Gingrich 9 4 6 Romney 24 20 28 Bachmann 5 12 17 Santorum 3 2 1 Paul 6 10 6 Huntsman 1 1 1 Cain 18 5 6 McCotter na 1 - Pawlenty na na 3 DK/NA 19 19 22 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose Chris Christie becomes a candidate for President. If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Chris Christie, Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS PrtOf Tot Men Wom TeaPt Christie 17% 21% 14% 21% Perry 10 8 11 12 Palin 7 6 7 10 Gingrich 7 10 5 5 Romney 17 14 20 13 Bachmann 3 3 3 5 Santorum 2 3 2 3 Paul 6 7 5 2 Huntsman 1 1 1 1 Cain 12 18 7 18 DK/NA 18 10 25 11 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Christie 16% 21% 15% 12% 20% 18% 14% 24% Perry 12 5 13 8 11 9 11 7 Palin 9 6 7 7 8 5 9 2 Gingrich 5 8 6 7 8 8 8 6 Romney 16 15 14 11 18 19 15 20 Bachmann 2 5 3 2 4 2 4 2 Santorum 3 3 3 4 1 3 1 4 Paul 3 7 4 21 3 2 7 4 Huntsman 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 Cain 13 13 14 5 14 15 10 16 DK/NA 19 17 20 24 14 18 19 14 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Christie 12% 15% 19% 24% 17% Perry 12 9 12 7 12 Palin 7 8 8 5 5 Gingrich 8 12 5 6 8 Romney 14 19 15 18 14 Bachmann 5 1 5 1 3 Santorum 2 4 3 1 1 Paul 10 9 4 4 6 Huntsman - - 2 1 2 Cain 9 13 12 15 16 DK/NA 22 9 15 17 17 4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................... PrtOf Tot Men Wom TeaPt Perry 34% 35% 32% 41% Romney 48 48 47 44 DK/NA 18 16 21 15 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Perry 35% 33% 40% 43% 32% 32% 35% 33% Romney 46 50 42 38 52 49 45 53 DK/NA 20 17 18 19 16 19 21 14 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Perry 38% 28% 44% 25% 38% Romney 41 57 39 59 42 DK/NA 21 15 17 16 20 5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Obama 45% 6% 86% 43% 41% 49% 37% 90% 49% Perry 44 88 7 42 46 42 51 6 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 1 3 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 2 4 2 3 1 1 DK/NA 7 3 5 9 6 7 6 2 10 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Obama 28% 37% 21% 47% 43% 46% 43% 48% Perry 60 52 70 43 44 44 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 1 3 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 DK/NA 7 7 4 6 7 6 7 5 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Obama 54% 48% 38% 44% 40% Perry 34 42 52 47 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 3 DK/NA 9 5 5 4 3 TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote? Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 2011 2011 2011 Obama 45 45 50 Perry 44 42 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 DK/NA 7 8 10 6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Obama 42% 4% 84% 40% 38% 47% 34% 86% 51% Romney 46 90 9 45 47 44 54 6 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 4 2 3 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 1 - DK/NA 7 3 6 10 8 7 7 6 10 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Obama 26% 34% 20% 47% 41% 42% 41% 45% Romney 63 56 70 39 47 48 45 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 7 7 5 9 7 6 8 5 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Obama 52% 43% 38% 41% 36% Romney 35 44 52 53 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 3 2 3 DK/NA 9 9 4 4 4 TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote? Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 Nov 22 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 Obama 42 45 47 47 44 Romney 46 45 41 41 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 7 6 7 6 7 7. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Chris Christie the Republican for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Obama 42% 5% 86% 37% 38% 46% 34% 87% 49% Christie 45 87 8 45 46 43 52 6 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 3 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 3 1 3 1 1 DK/NA 8 4 5 13 10 7 8 5 14 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Obama 26% 33% 19% 45% 40% 43% 41% 45% Christie 59 56 69 41 47 44 45 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 2 2 2 3 DK/NA 9 7 7 8 8 9 9 7 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Obama 50% 47% 37% 41% 39% Christie 37 40 52 49 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 3 DK/NA 10 8 7 6 5 8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year - are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp More 30% 48% 23% 26% 31% 30% 31% 31% 26% Less 22 12 24 28 22 23 21 18 34 About the same 46 39 53 45 46 47 47 50 40 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree More 35% 30% 39% 26% 30% 33% 28% 34% Less 18 22 16 22 22 22 21 25 About the same 45 48 45 51 46 44 49 41 DK/NA 1 - - 1 2 1 1 1 Annual household income PrtOf Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K TeaPty HsHlds More 23% 33% 31% 36% 55% 34% Less 22 20 20 27 8 19 About the same 54 46 49 36 37 45 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 2 9. Is your opinion of - Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Favorable 23% 37% 9% 23% 27% 18% 26% 6% 20% Unfavorable 17 6 28 15 17 16 14 28 17 Hvn't hrd enough 59 57 61 60 55 64 59 65 62 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Favorable 27% 29% 30% 19% 24% 23% 20% 27% Unfavorable 10 15 6 14 18 17 13 23 Hvn't hrd enough 62 55 63 65 57 59 65 48 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Favorable 16% 17% 25% 32% 24% Unfavorable 15 15 17 23 16 Hvn't hrd enough 67 67 57 44 60 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 10. Is your opinion of - Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Favorable 22% 44% 7% 19% 25% 19% 25% 8% 24% Unfavorable 35 13 52 37 35 34 34 43 24 Hvn't hrd enough 42 41 40 43 39 45 41 47 52 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Favorable 32% 22% 38% 22% 22% 22% 21% 24% Unfavorable 27 30 21 29 35 38 28 47 Hvn't hrd enough 40 47 41 49 42 39 50 27 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 2 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Favorable 17% 19% 27% 25% 30% Unfavorable 27 32 38 45 36 Hvn't hrd enough 54 48 34 29 33 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Oct 05 Aug 31 2011 2011 Favorable 22 22 Unfavorable 35 23 Hvn't hrd enough 42 55 REFUSED 1 1 11. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Favorable 39% 64% 19% 37% 41% 36% 43% 15% 35% Unfavorable 28 12 44 27 29 27 27 41 21 Hvn't hrd enough 31 23 36 32 28 34 28 42 43 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Favorable 48% 45% 48% 36% 36% 42% 35% 45% Unfavorable 21 23 18 23 31 27 25 34 Hvn't hrd enough 28 32 31 37 31 29 37 19 REFUSED 3 1 3 4 1 2 3 2 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Favorable 26% 39% 42% 51% 45% Unfavorable 26 23 32 32 26 Hvn't hrd enough 44 37 25 15 27 REFUSED 4 1 2 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 22 Mar 25 Nov 12 Oct 05 May 03 2011 2011 2010 2010 2008 2011 2007 Favorable 39 36 38 28 34 39 17 Unfavorable 28 27 26 25 20 28 16 Hvn't hrd enough 31 35 35 45 43 31 65 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 12. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Favorable 42% 6% 81% 39% 35% 48% 35% 84% 49% Unfavorable 53 92 14 53 58 48 60 9 43 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 3 4 4 2 2 4 7 REFUSED 3 1 2 3 3 2 2 4 1 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Favorable 26% 36% 20% 38% 42% 44% 40% 46% Unfavorable 69 59 77 53 53 52 54 51 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 5 3 1 4 1 REFUSED 2 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Favorable 48% 46% 38% 40% 36% Unfavorable 44 48 58 57 59 Hvn't hrd enough 4 4 2 1 3 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 22 Sep 09 Jul 21 Nov 12 Oct 05 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2008 2011 Favorable 42 47 48 47 49 67 42 Unfavorable 53 47 48 45 45 19 53 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 2 5 4 11 3 REFUSED 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 16. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes/Deserves 42% 5% 81% 38% 37% 46% 34% 88% 52% No/Does not 54 93 15 56 58 50 62 9 47 DK/NA 4 2 4 7 5 4 5 3 1 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes/Deserves 26% 34% 19% 46% 38% 44% 41% 44% No/Does not 70 61 78 51 58 52 56 51 DK/NA 4 5 3 3 5 5 4 6 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes/Deserves 52% 46% 37% 36% 36% No/Does not 45 51 58 59 60 DK/NA 3 3 5 5 4 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*Low also 40% Mar 2010) YES DESERVES.. High Low Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 Jul 13 Jul 21 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010* Yes/Deserves 42 42 47 46 47 40 No/Does not 54 51 47 48 47 48 DK/NA 4 7 7 6 7 12 18. Would you say that Barack Obama - has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 49% 22% 82% 44% 43% 55% 42% 90% 61% No 49 77 16 53 54 43 55 8 39 DK/NA 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 2 - WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 37% 43% 34% 59% 50% 44% 49% 49% No 61 55 64 38 48 54 49 48 DK/NA 2 3 1 3 2 2 2 3 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 59% 51% 46% 44% 40% No 40 45 52 55 57 DK/NA 1 3 2 2 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not? Oct 05 Sep 01 Jan 13 Sep 09 Jan 13 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 Yes 49 50 64 59 66 No 49 48 33 38 32 DK/NA 2 3 3 3 2 19. Would you say that Barack Obama - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 54% 24% 86% 54% 50% 58% 49% 86% 57% No 43 73 12 44 47 40 49 10 37 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 4 5 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 43% 50% 35% 57% 56% 52% 52% 58% No 55 48 64 38 42 46 45 39 DK/NA 2 2 1 5 1 3 3 2 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 60% 57% 52% 54% 47% No 37 39 47 45 52 DK/NA 3 4 1 1 1 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Oct 05 Sep 01 Nov 12 2011 2011 2008 Yes 54 54 70 No 43 42 22 DK/NA 3 3 7 20. Would you say that Mitt Romney - has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 55% 73% 35% 58% 57% 52% 60% 33% 38% No 24 10 40 24 24 24 20 40 35 DK/NA 21 17 26 18 18 24 20 27 27 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 62% 62% 66% 58% 55% 53% 51% 62% No 16 19 14 18 26 25 24 25 DK/NA 22 19 19 23 19 21 25 13 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 50% 53% 58% 65% 58% No 26 20 26 24 25 DK/NA 24 27 16 12 17 21. Would you say that Mitt Romney - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 43% 69% 24% 41% 42% 43% 49% 18% 27% No 35 12 55 36 36 33 30 61 43 DK/NA 22 19 21 23 22 23 21 22 31 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 53% 51% 57% 40% 43% 44% 41% 47% No 23 29 21 31 36 36 33 38 DK/NA 24 19 23 29 20 20 26 15 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 36% 41% 47% 52% 47% No 36 35 36 34 34 DK/NA 28 24 17 14 18 22. Would you say that Rick Perry - has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 39% 64% 18% 40% 43% 35% 43% 18% 41% No 32 10 53 31 32 33 29 49 29 DK/NA 29 26 29 29 25 32 28 33 30 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 49% 43% 58% 42% 40% 37% 37% 42% No 23 26 18 25 32 36 31 35 DK/NA 27 31 24 33 28 27 32 23 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 34% 38% 44% 43% 46% No 35 31 31 35 33 DK/NA 32 31 25 22 21 23. Would you say that Rick Perry - cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Yes 31% 62% 10% 27% 35% 27% 35% 9% 38% No 41 13 64 42 39 42 37 62 38 DK/NA 28 25 26 30 25 30 28 29 24 WHITE............... AGE IN YRS....... EDUCATION..... BrnAgn No col College Prot Cath Evngl 18-34 35-54 55+ degree degree Yes 42% 35% 51% 30% 32% 31% 31% 31% No 29 35 26 37 41 43 38 48 DK/NA 28 30 24 33 27 26 31 22 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHolds Yes 26% 28% 36% 35% 37% No 41 41 41 44 40 DK/NA 32 31 23 22 23 Demographic Summary
