November 22, 2011 - Gingrich On Top Of GOP Pack As Cain Fades, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Romney Ties Obama In One-On-One Matchup Word format Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich more than doubles his share of the Republican presidential vote to lead the presidential pack with 26 percent and in a head-to-head matchup tops former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 39 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. But Romney is tied with President Barack Obama. Former pizza magnate Herman Cain drops from the top spot with 30 percent in a November 2 national survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University to third place with 14 percent today. Romney goes from 23 percent November 2 to 22 percent. Gingrich, who topped out at 10 percent 20 days ago, zooms to the top as he convinces 48 percent of GOP voters that among all GOP contenders he has the knowledge and experience necessary to be president, compared to Romney's 22 percent. Gingrich leads Romney 34 - 24 percent when GOP voters are asked who is a strong leader, a key quality Americans historically seek in a president. On foreign policy, he is seen as better by GOP voters 46 - 16 percent. But Gingrich trails Romney 32 - 9 percent when voters are asked who has "a strong moral character." In a November 2012 matchup with President Obama, Romney gets 44 percent to Obama's 45 percent, compared to Obama's 47 - 42 percent lead in Quinnipiac University's November 2 survey. The president leads other GOP contenders by wider margins: 49 - 40 percent over Gingrich, compared to 52 - 37 percent three weeks ago; 50 - 37 percent over Cain, compared to 50 - 40 percent. Republican voters nationwide pick Romney over Gingrich, 38 - 23 percent, as having the best chance to defeat President Obama. By 52 - 19 percent, Republicans say Romney rather than Gingrich is most likely to be the GOP presidential nominee. "When it comes to the Republican horse race, the scenario hasn't changed much over the past few months - just the players," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Speaker Newt Gingrich is the latest GOP contender to rise to the top, powered by conservatives who remain skeptical about Gov. Mitt Romney," Brown added. "The question for Gingrich, as was the case for U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann, Gov. Rick Perry and Herman Cain, is whether he is just the flavor of the month or whether he can sustain his meteoric rise. "Gingrich's strength with the Republican electorate is the perception of competence, while he needs to deal with questions about personal qualities. He is fighting the problem, especially among non-Republicans, as our mothers told us growing up, that it is very difficult to have a second chance to make a first impression." While Romney can't get above 25 percent among GOP voters and the identity of his chief rival rotates, the former Massachusetts governor appears to have the largest upside when it comes to the overall electorate. When all voters are asked to rate the candidates favorably or unfavorably, Romney gets 36 - 31 percent, the only GOP contender with a positive score. Gingrich gets a negative 30 - 42 percent, while Cain has a negative 26 - 44 percent score. President Obama has a split 47 - 46 percent favorability rating. All voters say 46 - 41 percent that Romney is better able than Obama to handle the economy, the only one of the three top GOP candidates to outscore the president. Gingrich trails Obama 47 - 41 percent and Cain trails 49 - 38 percent on that measure. "By 74 - 24 percent, GOP voters say they would prefer a candidate with whom they agreed on the issues rather than one who can win in November," said Brown. "Although more seem to prefer Gingrich on issues, it's clear that they agree Romney is their best candidate in November. The key for Romney will be retaining the perception of being a winner, while convincing skeptical conservatives that he shares their views and values." From November 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,552 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 1,039 voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... Tot Men Wom Con Mod Perry 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% Gingrich 26 29 23 30 17 Romney 22 21 23 21 28 Bachmann 4 3 5 3 5 Santorum 2 2 1 2 1 Paul 6 6 6 5 8 Huntsman 2 2 1 1 3 Cain 14 13 15 16 10 DK/NA 19 17 21 17 23 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG Prot Cath Yes No Yes No Perry 9% 2% 11% 2% 4% 8% Gingrich 29 29 29 26 28 26 Romney 18 29 16 29 30 18 Bachmann 3 2 2 2 2 3 Santorum 1 2 1 2 2 1 Paul 4 6 4 7 7 6 Huntsman 2 - 1 2 2 1 Cain 14 12 16 13 10 15 DK/NA 21 17 21 18 13 22 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... TEA PARTY Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes No HsHlds Perry 8% 12% 4% 3% 6% 6% 4% Gingrich 19 26 27 31 32 25 30 Romney 14 21 21 31 14 25 22 Bachmann 7 4 4 1 2 4 4 Santorum - 1 2 3 2 2 1 Paul 10 5 5 6 10 5 4 Huntsman 1 - 2 3 1 2 1 Cain 14 15 16 9 19 13 15 DK/NA 26 15 18 14 14 19 19 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, and Herman Cain, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, * Most recent high/low shown) REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS................................ Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 May 04 Nov 22 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 Perry 6 8 14 24 10 na na na Gingrich 26 10 8 3 5 8 5 15 Romney 22 23 22 18 25 25 18 18 Bachmann 4 4 3 10 14 6 4 na Santorum 2 1 3 1 1 4 1 na Paul 6 7 6 9 5 8 5 na Huntsman 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 na Cain 14 30 17 5 6 9 na na McCotter na na na 1 - na na na Barbour na na na na na na na 2 Daniels na na na na na na 5 2 Huckabee na na na na na na 15 17 Johnson na na na na na - 1 na Palin na na 9 11 12 15 15 19 Pawlenty na na na na 3 5 4 6 Thune na na na na na na na 2 Trump na na na na na na 12 na DK/NA 19 16 18 16 18 20 15 17 CANDIDATE.................. High Low Perry 24 Aug 2011 6 Nov 2011 Gingrich 26 Nov 2011 3 Aug 2011 Romney 25 Jul 2011* 18 Aug 2011* Bachmann 14 Jul 2011 3 Oct 2011 Santorum 4 Jun 2011 1 Nov 2011* Paul 9 Aug 2011 5 Jul 2011* Huntsman 2 Nov 2011 1 Oct 2011* Cain 30 Nov 2011 5 Aug 2011 McCotter 1 Aug 2011 - Jul 2011 Barbour 2 Nov 2010 2 Nov 2010 Daniels 5 May 2011 2 Nov 2010 Huckabee 17 Nov 2010 15 May 2011 Johnson 1 May 2011 - Jun 2011 Palin 19 Nov 2010 9 Oct 2011 Pawlenty 6 Nov 2010 3 Jul 2011 Thune 2 Nov 2010 2 Nov 2010 Trump 12 May 2011 12 May 2011 DK/NA 20 Jun 2011 15 May 2011 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between - Herman Cain and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... Tot Men Wom Con Mod Cain 37% 40% 34% 43% 23% Romney 50 48 51 45 63 DK/NA 13 12 15 12 14 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG Prot Cath Yes No Yes No Cain 40% 30% 46% 29% 30% 41% Romney 46 62 42 60 61 46 DK/NA 14 8 12 11 9 14 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... TEA PARTY Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes No HsHlds Cain 34% 44% 38% 34% 55% 34% 35% Romney 44 39 52 59 37 54 55 DK/NA 22 17 9 7 8 12 11 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Herman Cain and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............. Nov 22 Nov 2 2011 2011 Cain 37 47 Romney 50 39 DK/NA 13 14 4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between - Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... Tot Men Wom Con Mod Gingrich 49% 52% 46% 56% 33% Romney 39 38 39 35 53 DK/NA 12 9 15 10 14 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG Prot Cath Yes No Yes No Gingrich 57% 44% 59% 44% 49% 51% Romney 30 43 30 42 42 36 DK/NA 13 13 10 14 10 13 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... TEA PARTY Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes No HsHlds Gingrich 53% 54% 49% 48% 68% 46% 48% Romney 30 33 41 44 25 43 39 DK/NA 18 13 9 8 7 11 13 5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 45% 4% 83% 43% 41% 48% 37% 89% 56% Romney 44 91 8 42 48 39 51 6 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 4 3 3 3 1 4 DK/NA 7 3 7 9 5 8 7 4 5 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 30% 35% 22% 39% 44% 34% 48% 46% 44% Romney 60 52 68 49 49 52 39 44 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 DK/NA 6 9 5 8 4 8 8 5 6 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 53% 45% 42% 42% 39% Romney 32 48 47 51 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 3 2 3 DK/NA 9 4 5 5 7 TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Jul 13 Jun 08 Nov 22 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 Obama 45 47 42 45 47 47 44 Romney 44 42 46 45 41 41 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 7 5 7 6 7 6 7 6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 50% 9% 87% 50% 45% 55% 43% 90% 59% Cain 37 79 5 34 43 31 43 7 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 3 2 3 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 4 4 5 1 3 DK/NA 7 6 4 8 6 7 7 2 7 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 35% 43% 27% 45% 51% 39% 51% 51% 50% Cain 52 42 62 39 40 44 33 39 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 3 5 DK/NA 6 8 4 10 5 9 10 5 6 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 56% 50% 47% 50% 43% Cain 27 38 41 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 3 4 2 4 DK/NA 8 7 5 4 7 TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Herman Cain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 22 Nov 02 2011 2011 Obama 50 50 Cain 37 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 DK/NA 7 5 7. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 49% 5% 86% 48% 44% 53% 41% 90% 55% Gingrich 40 87 5 38 45 36 46 7 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 1 2 DK/NA 7 4 5 8 6 7 7 2 12 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 33% 40% 26% 42% 47% 38% 50% 49% 48% Gingrich 57 48 65 45 44 48 33 41 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 2 4 3 2 3 DK/NA 6 8 3 9 4 8 11 5 5 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 55% 49% 45% 48% 42% Gingrich 30 40 45 45 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 1 3 DK/NA 8 6 4 4 7 TREND: If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Nov 22 Nov 02 2011 2011 Obama 49 52 Gingrich 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 DK/NA 7 5 8. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 29% 42% 25% 22% 33% 25% 28% 34% 30% Less 23 17 23 28 22 24 24 11 29 About the same 47 40 51 49 44 49 47 53 40 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ More 31% 31% 36% 27% 26% 29% 24% 26% 34% Less 21 25 20 24 25 24 21 25 22 About the same 47 43 42 49 48 46 54 49 42 DK/NA 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds More 24% 35% 29% 30% 34% Less 21 23 26 25 19 About the same 53 41 45 45 45 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2012 presidential election next year, are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 5 2011 2011 2011 More 29 31 30% Less 23 23 22 About the same 47 45 46 DK/NA 1 1 1 9. Is your opinion of - Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 26% 54% 7% 22% 32% 20% 28% 13% 26% Unfavorable 44 21 65 43 39 48 43 56 41 Hvn't hrd enough 28 25 26 32 27 30 27 29 31 REFUSED 3 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Herman Cain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Nov 22 Nov 02 2011 2011 Favorable 26 33 Unfavorable 44 31 Hvn't hrd enough 28 35 REFUSED 3 1 10. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 36% 58% 19% 37% 39% 33% 41% 12% 26% Unfavorable 31 15 47 27 31 30 28 42 36 Hvn't hrd enough 31 24 32 34 27 34 28 45 32 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 - 6 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 22 Oct 05 May 03 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2011 2007 Favorable 36 35 39 36 38 39 17 Unfavorable 31 35 28 27 26 28 16 Hvn't hrd enough 31 27 31 35 35 31 65 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 11. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 30% 64% 9% 27% 36% 26% 34% 14% 23% Unfavorable 42 10 67 42 41 42 40 55 41 Hvn't hrd enough 26 24 22 28 21 30 24 30 33 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 3 2 2 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Nov 22 Nov 02 Nov 22 Feb 21 2011 2011 2010 2007 Favorable 30 26 30 22 Unfavorable 42 47 43 47 Hvn't hrd enough 26 26 25 30 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 12. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 47% 7% 82% 46% 43% 50% 40% 83% 58% Unfavorable 46 88 12 45 50 42 53 10 35 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 REFUSED 4 2 2 6 4 3 3 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 22 Nov 12 Oct 05 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2008 2011 Favorable 47 49 42 47 48 67 42 Unfavorable 46 46 53 47 48 19 53 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 3 3 2 11 3 REFUSED 4 2 3 3 2 3 3 26. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the economy? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 7% 7% 7% 8% 5% 10% 3% Gingrich 25 24 26 27 18 29 25 Romney 27 30 24 27 30 21 32 Bachmann 2 2 2 1 4 1 1 Santorum 1 2 1 1 - 2 1 Paul 7 9 5 6 10 5 7 Huntsman 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 Cain 18 19 17 19 15 19 17 DK/NA 12 7 18 10 15 14 13 27. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - foreign policy? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 6% 2% Gingrich 46 52 41 50 37 51 45 Romney 16 17 15 15 21 13 19 Bachmann 2 1 3 2 1 2 1 Santorum 2 2 3 2 1 3 3 Paul 5 7 3 5 6 4 6 Huntsman 3 3 3 3 4 2 5 Cain 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 DK/NA 16 10 23 14 22 16 17 28. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the abortion issue? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 6% 6% 7% 7% 5% 9% 3% Gingrich 11 12 11 13 7 12 12 Romney 14 15 13 12 19 10 18 Bachmann 13 12 15 14 13 16 11 Santorum 6 7 5 8 2 7 6 Paul 6 7 6 6 7 3 9 Huntsman 1 1 1 1 2 - 2 Cain 8 7 8 9 5 9 6 DK/NA 34 33 36 31 41 33 34 29. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - illegal immigration? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 16% 18% 15% 17% 16% 18% 13% Gingrich 21 23 19 23 17 24 20 Romney 11 9 13 10 15 9 16 Bachmann 7 9 6 9 5 9 7 Santorum 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 Paul 6 7 6 6 7 4 9 Huntsman 1 1 2 1 1 - 1 Cain 9 10 8 11 6 9 9 DK/NA 24 19 30 21 30 24 24 TREND: (If Republican or Republican leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the issue of - illegal immigration: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Nov 22 Nov 02 2011 2011 Perry 16 15 Gingrich 21 14 Romney 11 12 Bachmann 7 8 Santorum 3 1 Paul 6 7 Huntsman 1 1 Cain 9 17 DK/NA 24 24 30. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 5% 5% 5% 4% 7% 7% 1% Gingrich 48 51 45 52 40 51 48 Romney 22 22 22 20 29 17 29 Bachmann 1 1 1 1 1 - - Santorum 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 Paul 4 5 3 4 3 2 5 Huntsman 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 Cain 7 7 6 8 5 8 4 DK/NA 11 7 16 10 14 12 11 31. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having a strong moral character? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 11% 4% Gingrich 9 11 7 9 5 13 7 Romney 32 32 31 32 34 25 41 Bachmann 11 9 13 12 9 13 7 Santorum 6 7 4 7 3 6 5 Paul 9 9 8 8 11 7 9 Huntsman 2 2 2 1 4 1 2 Cain 7 8 6 8 5 8 7 DK/NA 18 14 21 15 23 18 18 32. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being a strong leader? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 9% 9% 9% 10% 6% 11% 4% Gingrich 34 36 33 38 26 37 35 Romney 24 23 24 20 36 18 31 Bachmann 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 Santorum 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 Paul 4 5 3 4 4 5 3 Huntsman 1 1 1 - 2 - 2 Cain 14 14 14 16 9 14 12 DK/NA 11 8 14 8 15 12 10 33. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being able to defeat Barack Obama in the general election? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 5% 4% 6% 3% 9% 7% 3% Gingrich 23 26 20 26 14 29 20 Romney 38 42 34 38 44 33 42 Bachmann 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 Santorum 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 Paul 3 4 2 3 3 2 3 Huntsman - - - - - - 1 Cain 14 13 15 15 12 13 14 DK/NA 15 10 20 13 17 16 15 34. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - most likely to win the Republican nomination? Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman or Herman Cain? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Perry 4% 4% 5% 4% 6% 7% 3% Gingrich 19 18 20 21 14 22 18 Romney 52 57 47 53 54 47 58 Bachmann - - 1 1 - - - Santorum - - - - 1 - 1 Paul 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 Huntsman - - - - - - - Cain 9 10 8 8 10 9 7 DK/NA 13 9 17 11 14 13 11 35. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) When the Republican Party nominates its presidential candidate, which quality do you think should be more important, the candidate's ability to defeat Barack Obama or the candidate's views on the issues? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS.................... WhtBRNAGNEVANGL Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Defeat Obama 24% 25% 23% 28% 15% 23% 23% Views 74 72 75 69 84 74 75 DK/NA 2 3 2 3 1 3 1 36. Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 44% 3% 83% 43% 40% 48% 38% 80% 51% Reps in Congress 41 90 6 36 45 36 47 8 33 DK/NA 15 8 11 20 14 16 15 12 16 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 30% 38% 23% 39% 44% 35% 44% 47% 44% Reps in Congress 55 47 65 44 43 49 41 41 41 DK/NA 15 15 12 16 12 16 15 12 16 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 50% 47% 42% 43% 39% Reps in Congress 32 42 44 47 44 DK/NA 18 11 14 10 17 TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? (* Low also 41% Jul 2010, Jun 2011) OBAMA......... High Low Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 06 Sep 01 Jul 14 Nov 02 Oct 06 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* Obama 44 48 41 44 45 48 41 Reps in Congress 41 39 43 41 38 39 43 DK/NA 15 12 16 15 17 12 16 37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 41% 3% 79% 37% 38% 45% 34% 81% 53% Romney 46 92 11 46 52 41 53 10 37 DK/NA 13 5 10 17 11 14 13 8 10 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 27% 31% 21% 35% 38% 32% 43% 43% 40% Romney 62 56 68 53 53 53 42 46 49 DK/NA 11 13 11 13 10 15 15 10 11 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 52% 45% 36% 36% 33% Romney 33 46 53 54 51 DK/NA 16 9 11 10 16 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 06 Sep 01 2011 2011 2011 2011 Obama 41 46 39 42 Romney 46 43 49 46 DK/NA 13 11 11 12 38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Herman Cain? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 49% 8% 85% 50% 45% 53% 43% 85% 55% Cain 38 81 7 34 43 32 43 10 30 DK/NA 13 11 8 16 11 15 14 5 14 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 36% 42% 28% 45% 50% 39% 51% 50% 49% Cain 51 43 61 40 41 44 32 40 38 DK/NA 13 15 11 16 9 17 17 10 13 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 57% 50% 48% 47% 43% Cain 26 40 41 46 42 DK/NA 17 10 11 8 15 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Herman Cain? Nov 22 Nov 02 2011 2011 Obama 49 50 Cain 38 39 DK/NA 13 11 39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 47% 5% 85% 45% 43% 50% 40% 87% 51% Gingrich 41 88 7 40 47 37 48 7 34 DK/NA 12 7 8 14 10 13 12 7 14 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 31% 40% 25% 41% 46% 37% 47% 48% 46% Gingrich 58 48 66 46 46 49 37 43 43 DK/NA 11 12 9 13 8 14 17 9 10 ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Military <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K HsHlds Obama 53% 49% 43% 45% 41% Gingrich 31 43 47 47 47 DK/NA 16 9 9 8 13 51. How much have you heard or read about accusations that Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain sexually harassed several women in the 1990s, a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 62% 64% 63% 59% 62% 61% 63% 61% 52% Some 22 21 21 24 21 23 22 16 26 Not much 6 6 8 5 6 6 6 8 7 Nothing at all 9 9 8 10 9 9 8 13 12 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ A lot 64% 64% 65% 64% 70% 60% 42% 64% 70% Some 19 23 19 22 23 21 28 23 17 Not much 6 6 6 6 3 7 7 6 6 Nothing at all 10 6 10 8 3 11 22 6 6 DK/NA - 2 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 52. Does this situation make you more likely to vote for Cain for President, less likely to vote for Cain for President, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 3% Less likely 41 34 49 41 35 46 41 42 42 No difference 53 59 46 53 58 48 53 52 50 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 5 WHITE.................................. BRNAGNEVANGL COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS....... Prot Cath Yes No Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 4% 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% Less likely 39 45 38 43 47 38 31 44 43 No difference 53 48 51 52 50 55 63 51 50 DK/NA 4 3 5 2 2 4 2 2 5 Demographic Summary
