February 22, 2012 - Santorum Up 9 Points Among Republican Voters, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Obama Edges Santorum, But Romney Is Too Close To Call Word format Former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum leads the Republican presidential field with 35 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 26 percent among Republicans and independent voters leaning Republican nationwide, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. In November matchups, President Barack Obama edges Santorum, while the race with Romney is too close to call, Santorum leads Romney head-to-head 50 - 37 percent. Republican and Republican-leaning independent voters say 48 - 37 percent it would be bad for the GOP if none of the current candidates wins enough delegates to be nominated and the Republican National Convention nominates someone not in the primary race, a so-called "brokered convention," the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. In today's nationwide survey, former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich has 14 percent, with Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul at 11 percent. But if the GOP convention picks a new candidate, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie is the top choice of Republicans, with 32 percent, followed by former governors Sarah Palin of Alaska and Jeb Bush of Florida with 20 percent each and Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels with 15 percent. "Sen. Rick Santorum's lead among Republican voters and GOP-leaning independents is built on the votes of Republican men, Tea Party supporters and white evangelical Christians," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Santorum is riding the momentum wave from his trifecta of victories in Missouri, Colorado and Minnesota, but so far this year momentum from one week has been a much-overhyped asset by the time the next round of voting comes along." Santorum leads Romney 35 - 24 percent among men and 34 - 28 percent among women. "The controversy about Santorum's remarks about women in combat and birth control doesn't seem to be hurting him among Republican women, at least not much," Brown said. Santorum leads Romney among white evangelical Christians 45 - 19 percent and among Tea Party supporters 47 - 16 percent. Santorum leads 41 - 23 percent among Republicans who describe themselves as conservatives, while Romney is ahead 35 - 19 percent among those who call themselves moderates. "Gov. Chris Christie remains the knight on the white horse in many Republican minds," Brown said. General election match-ups show: President Obama with 46 percent tor Romney's 44 percent; Obama inching past Santorum 47 - 44 percent. Although this is Quinnipiac University's first national poll this year, all of the numerous surveys of key states this year, including Florida, Ohio and Virginia, show Romney doing better against Obama than Santorum. In this national poll, the president benefits from his 46 - 41 percent lead over Romney and 49 - 39 percent margin over Santorum among independent voters. Voters disapprove 55 - 41 percent of the way Obama is handling the economy. But voters split 44 - 45 percent on whether Obama or Romney would do a better job on the economy. Obama tops Santorum on the economy 46 - 42 percent. On several other scales, the president has sizable leads over his top GOP challengers. The president is seen as caring more about the needs and problems of average voters, and specifically about women. The sharpness of the nation's political divide is evident in the so-called "generic ballot" in which 40 percent of voters say they plan to vote for Republicans in Congress, while 38 percent say they plan to vote Democratic. From February 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,605 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 1,124 voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Republican 40% 89% 4% 34% 45% 36% 47% 10% 25% Democratic 38 1 85 31 33 43 32 78 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 2 1 1 4 DK/NA 18 8 10 29 18 18 18 9 28 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Republican 46% 48% 56% 49% 51% 43% 66% 43% 46% Democratic 38 29 24 32 28 36 16 33 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 14 20 17 17 17 19 15 20 17 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Republican 40% 40% 40% 38% 43% 32% 42% 42% 45% Democratic 43 35 37 42 36 40 37 39 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 DK/NA 14 20 19 16 18 23 18 15 13 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Mar 31 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Republican 40 36 34 39 38 40 Democratic 38 40 42 39 38 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 18 20 19 19 19 20 2. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Gingrich 14% 16% 12% 16% 11% 15% 12% 19% 12% Romney 26 24 28 23 35 19 37 16 30 Santorum 35 35 34 41 19 45 29 47 30 Paul 11 13 9 9 16 6 8 11 11 DK/NA 14 12 17 11 19 14 13 7 17 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Gingrich 13% 15% 11% 16% 18% 18% 13% 11% 13% Romney 35 22 25 28 27 19 20 25 41 Santorum 33 35 34 33 36 27 41 42 29 Paul 8 13 16 8 3 14 8 12 7 DK/NA 11 16 13 16 16 21 17 11 9 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? (Additional data available through Nov 2010 /na=not asked /2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS..................................... Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 CAND'S MOST RECENT HIGH/LOW 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 High Low Gingrich 14 26 10 8 3 26 Nov 2011 3 Aug 2011 Romney 26 22 23 22 18 26 Feb 2012 18 Aug 2011 Santorum 35 2 1 3 1 35 Feb 2012 1 Nov 2011 Paul 11 6 7 6 9 11 Feb 2012 5 Jul 2011 Bachmann na 4 4 3 10 14 Jul 2011 3 Oct 2011 Barbour na na na na na 2 Nov 2010 2 Nov 2010 Cain na 14 30 17 5 30 Nov 2011 5 Aug 2011 Daniels na na na na na 5 May 2011 2 Nov 2010 Huckabee na na na na na 17 Nov 2010 15 May 2011 Huntsman na 2 2 1 1 2 Nov 2011 1 Oct 2011 Johnson na na na na na 1 May 2011 - Jun 2011 McCotter na na na na 1 1 Aug 2011 - Jul 2011 Palin na na na 9 11 19 Nov 2010 9 Oct 2011 Pawlenty na na na na na 6 Nov 2010 3 Jul 2011 Perry na 6 8 14 24 24 Aug 2011 6 Nov 2011 Thune na na na na na 2 Nov 2010 2 Nov 2010 Trump na na na na na 12 May 2011 12 May 2011 DK/NA 14 19 16 18 16 3. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Santorum 50% 50% 50% 57% 35% 63% 42% 66% 44% Romney 37 37 37 33 47 26 45 26 41 DK/NA 13 13 14 10 18 11 13 8 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Santorum 44% 53% 47% 50% 52% 47% 55% 55% 40% Romney 47 32 38 38 36 34 33 32 51 DK/NA 9 15 14 12 12 19 11 13 8 4. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Gingrich 37% 39% 36% 43% 27% 45% 31% 53% 30% Romney 50 49 51 48 57 42 60 35 57 DK/NA 13 13 13 9 16 13 10 11 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Gingrich 33% 39% 35% 39% 39% 31% 39% 44% 32% Romney 58 46 49 54 48 51 44 48 61 DK/NA 9 14 16 7 12 18 16 9 8 TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) Suppose the primary came down to a choice between Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney, for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Feb 22 Nov 22 2012 2011 Gingrich 37 49 Romney 50 39 DK/NA 13 12 5. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) I'd like you to look ahead to this summer's Republican convention. Suppose none of the current Republican presidential candidates wins enough delegates in the primaries to ensure nomination. Do you think it would be good for the Republican party if the convention ended up nominating someone who didn't run in any primaries? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Yes 37% 38% 35% 35% 38% 34% 38% 41% 35% No 48 49 47 49 48 47 49 44 51 DK/NA 15 13 19 16 14 19 13 15 14 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 36% 37% 37% 34% 38% 41% 44% 34% 31% No 53 45 53 52 36 40 40 54 59 DK/NA 11 18 10 14 26 19 16 12 10 6. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) How likely do you think it is that the Republican convention will end up nominating someone who didn't run in any primaries; very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Very likely 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% Smwht likely 11 11 12 10 12 11 12 11 11 Not too likely 33 28 40 33 35 34 34 33 34 Not likely at all 51 57 44 53 47 51 49 51 51 DK/NA 2 2 3 3 1 3 1 3 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Very likely 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% Smwht likely 7 13 8 10 15 16 14 8 5 Not too likely 34 33 36 31 31 30 40 32 32 Not likely at all 54 49 52 54 47 50 42 56 57 DK/NA 1 2 2 1 4 2 1 1 1 7. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican party was to nominate someone who didn't run in the primaries, which of the following people would you most like to see nominated as the Republican presidential nominee: former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush or New Jersey Governor Chris Christie? REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS............................ WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Palin 20% 20% 21% 22% 15% 23% 12% 30% 15% Daniels 15 18 13 17 12 16 18 17 15 Bush 20 19 22 20 23 24 19 15 23 Christie 32 34 30 29 40 25 40 30 33 DK/NA 12 10 15 12 11 12 11 8 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Palin 11% 24% 22% 20% 18% 28% 23% 20% 11% Daniels 19 14 14 14 16 11 12 19 17 Bush 20 20 20 18 25 27 18 17 19 Christie 38 29 33 38 27 21 34 34 46 DK/NA 12 13 11 11 15 13 13 10 8 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 46% 5% 87% 46% 43% 49% 38% 91% 58% Romney 44 88 8 41 47 41 52 5 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 5 4 4 4 1 3 DK/NA 4 1 3 5 4 5 4 2 3 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 43% 35% 29% 35% 34% 41% 17% 41% 40% Romney 51 52 61 56 56 48 73 50 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 6 5 3 4 5 4 4 6 DK/NA 3 5 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 49% 45% 48% 48% 41% 51% 44% 43% 48% Romney 45 43 43 43 48 38 44 46 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 4 3 3 5 5 4 1 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 5 2 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election" / *High also 47% Jun 2011, Jul 2011) OBAMA...... High Low Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 02 Oct 05 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2011 Obama 46 45 47 42 45 47 42 Romney 44 44 42 46 45 42 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 2 2 4 2 DK/NA 4 7 5 7 6 5 7 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 47% 5% 88% 49% 44% 50% 39% 91% 59% Santorum 44 91 7 39 47 41 52 6 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 3 3 1 4 DK/NA 5 1 4 6 4 5 5 3 5 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 47% 34% 28% 36% 35% 42% 15% 43% 40% Santorum 47 55 65 55 55 50 78 48 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 2 2 3 3 1 3 4 DK/NA 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 52% 45% 50% 48% 40% 52% 43% 44% 52% Santorum 42 45 39 46 52 38 48 47 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 4 1 2 4 2 3 2 DK/NA 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 2 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 50% 7% 90% 52% 47% 53% 41% 92% 68% Gingrich 39 85 5 33 42 36 47 3 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 1 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 1 6 5 5 5 1 6 DK/NA 4 2 4 5 4 5 4 3 4 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 49% 37% 32% 40% 37% 45% 19% 45% 41% Gingrich 44 49 58 50 51 44 71 44 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 3 3 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 5 5 5 6 3 5 6 DK/NA 3 5 5 2 4 5 5 4 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 54% 48% 52% 51% 43% 54% 47% 47% 54% Gingrich 38 39 36 39 44 32 40 43 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 6 4 5 7 5 3 4 DK/NA 3 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 2 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 2012 2011 2011 Obama 50 49 52 Gingrich 39 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 DK/NA 4 7 5 11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His More 32% 42% 28% 28% 35% 29% 32% 33% 35% Less 23 19 20 27 20 26 24 9 26 About the same 44 38 51 43 44 44 43 57 38 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 - WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld More 32% 33% 35% 34% 36% 29% 37% 33% 36% Less 23 24 22 23 20 28 20 24 23 About the same 45 42 42 41 43 42 42 42 40 DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 More 33% 32% 30% 33% 36% 28% 33% 33% 31% Less 23 23 25 22 21 25 26 23 23 About the same 44 44 45 45 41 46 40 43 45 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 5 2012 2011 2011 2011 More 32 29 31 30% Less 23 23 23 22 About the same 44 47 45 46 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 12. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 34% 64% 11% 32% 38% 31% 40% 11% 23% Unfavorable 31 7 54 29 30 31 29 46 22 Hvn't hrd enough 34 27 33 37 31 36 30 42 52 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 3 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 38% 41% 46% 49% 43% 37% 57% 39% 41% Unfavorable 39 24 21 24 29 29 9 31 26 Hvn't hrd enough 22 34 32 26 26 33 33 29 31 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 34% 34% 30% 35% 41% 28% 35% 39% 37% Unfavorable 41 26 32 34 25 26 27 33 38 Hvn't hrd enough 23 39 37 30 32 45 36 26 23 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 13. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 35% 59% 16% 34% 40% 30% 40% 13% 27% Unfavorable 43 26 63 42 41 45 41 57 36 Hvn't hrd enough 19 14 20 19 16 22 16 27 34 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 2 4 3 2 3 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 46% 37% 42% 48% 46% 35% 46% 43% 38% Unfavorable 41 41 38 34 38 44 33 39 41 Hvn't hrd enough 10 20 17 15 13 19 20 15 17 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 3 1 3 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 41% 32% 35% 34% 39% 29% 32% 36% 48% Unfavorable 45 42 39 48 42 41 45 45 42 Hvn't hrd enough 10 23 23 15 17 28 22 16 8 REFUSED 4 3 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Oct 05 May 03 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 35 36 35 39 36 39 17 Unfavorable 43 31 35 28 27 28 16 Hvn't hrd enough 19 31 27 31 35 31 65 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 14. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 25% 51% 5% 22% 30% 21% 29% 8% 14% Unfavorable 56 34 78 59 53 59 56 67 46 Hvn't hrd enough 16 13 15 17 15 18 13 23 39 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 3 1 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 29% 30% 36% 35% 35% 24% 42% 27% 28% Unfavorable 62 53 49 53 51 60 40 60 55 Hvn't hrd enough 8 16 13 11 12 14 15 11 13 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 26% 25% 22% 27% 30% 21% 24% 28% 28% Unfavorable 63 53 54 61 54 52 56 57 64 Hvn't hrd enough 9 20 22 11 13 25 18 13 7 REFUSED 3 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Nov 22 Feb 21 2012 2011 2011 2010 2007 Favorable 25 30 26 30 22 Unfavorable 56 42 47 43 47 Hvn't hrd enough 16 26 26 25 30 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 15. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 47% 7% 87% 48% 44% 50% 39% 90% 56% Unfavorable 48 90 10 46 51 45 56 7 36 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 5 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 2 3 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 46% 36% 32% 38% 36% 43% 19% 44% 42% Unfavorable 52 59 65 58 60 53 78 51 53 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 2 2 1 3 2 1 3 REFUSED 1 3 2 2 3 2 1 3 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 51% 46% 49% 49% 41% 52% 45% 44% 50% Unfavorable 46 49 46 47 54 43 50 50 48 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 REFUSED 1 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Nov 12 Oct 05 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2008 2011 Favorable 47 47 49 42 47 67 42 Unfavorable 48 46 46 53 47 19 53 Hvn't hrd enough 2 4 2 3 3 11 3 REFUSED 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Approve 41% 4% 81% 37% 37% 44% 33% 84% 44% Disapprove 55 94 17 56 59 51 63 14 48 DK/NA 4 1 3 7 4 5 4 2 9 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 41% 30% 26% 30% 30% 37% 16% 36% 35% Disapprove 57 66 71 66 67 59 81 60 61 DK/NA 2 5 3 4 3 4 3 4 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 45% 39% 43% 42% 36% 43% 39% 39% 44% Disapprove 51 57 53 55 59 52 56 58 54 DK/NA 3 5 5 3 4 4 5 3 3 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011) APPROVE...... High Low Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 03 Oct 06 Sep 01 Mar 04 Oct 06 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011* Approve 41 33 37 32 32 57 32 Disapprove 55 61 60 64 62 33 64 DK/NA 4 6 4 4 6 10 4 25. Is your opinion of the - Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 32% 71% 6% 24% 36% 29% 38% 8% 25% Unfavorable 53 22 80 57 52 54 50 76 41 Hvn't hrd enough 12 6 13 15 10 13 10 11 29 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 2 4 2 4 4 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 35% 39% 42% 43% 41% 34% 51% 36% 35% Unfavorable 58 46 45 45 49 52 34 53 52 Hvn't hrd enough 5 12 10 10 8 12 12 8 10 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 31% 33% 34% 31% 34% 29% 33% 34% 35% Unfavorable 60 49 50 60 47 50 51 55 59 Hvn't hrd enough 5 15 13 8 14 18 12 9 5 REFUSED 3 3 3 1 5 4 4 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? (*Low also 25% Jul 2009) FAVORABLE.... High Low Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Sep 01 Nov 22 Nov 22 Oct 8 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 2009* Favorable 32 31 28 32 40 40 25 Unfavorable 53 54 57 53 45 45 53 Hvn't hrd enough 12 13 13 13 13 13 18 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 26. Is your opinion of the - Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Favorable 37% 4% 78% 30% 33% 41% 32% 73% 38% Unfavorable 49 87 12 52 56 42 56 13 33 Hvn't hrd enough 11 8 8 15 9 13 10 11 25 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 1 4 2 3 4 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 37% 29% 24% 31% 28% 35% 15% 34% 33% Unfavorable 57 56 63 57 64 49 71 55 52 Hvn't hrd enough 4 13 10 10 6 13 12 8 12 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 41% 35% 38% 40% 32% 38% 39% 35% 41% Unfavorable 52 48 47 49 53 41 47 55 52 Hvn't hrd enough 4 14 12 9 12 19 11 7 5 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 4 2 4 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Sep 01 Nov 22 Nov 12 Apr 21 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010 2008 2010 Favorable 37 35 36 35 38 55 32 Unfavorable 49 51 49 51 50 35 52 Hvn't hrd enough 11 11 13 12 10 6 12 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 27. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 14% 30% 3% 12% 18% 12% 17% 5% 12% No 81 66 92 84 79 82 79 89 80 DK/NA 5 4 6 4 3 7 4 6 9 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 13% 19% 21% 18% 20% 14% 27% 14% 17% No 85 76 74 81 77 81 68 82 78 DK/NA 2 5 5 2 3 6 5 4 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 11% 16% 15% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 11% No 86 78 81 82 77 79 80 80 88 DK/NA 3 6 4 4 8 7 4 3 2 TREND: Do you consider yourself part of the Tea Party movement or not? YES TEA PARTY High Low Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 03 Oct 06 Sep 01 Oct 06 Nov 23 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes 14 10 12 16 12 16 10 No 81 87 85 80 85 80 87 DK/NA 5 4 3 4 3 4 4 31. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 44% 5% 82% 44% 40% 48% 36% 89% 49% Romney 45 88 12 43 52 39 54 7 35 DK/NA 11 7 6 13 8 13 10 3 17 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 39% 35% 28% 34% 32% 40% 17% 38% 39% Romney 56 52 61 58 60 47 71 52 51 DK/NA 5 13 11 8 8 13 12 9 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 45% 43% 45% 45% 39% 49% 44% 42% 42% Romney 49 44 44 46 49 38 43 49 53 DK/NA 6 13 10 9 12 13 13 9 4 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 06 Sep 01 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Obama 44 41 46 39 42 Romney 45 46 43 49 46 DK/NA 11 13 11 11 12 32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 46% 5% 85% 47% 44% 48% 38% 90% 51% Santorum 42 87 7 38 46 38 50 4 29 DK/NA 12 8 8 15 10 14 12 6 20 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 45% 35% 28% 36% 36% 40% 16% 41% 41% Santorum 45 52 60 55 54 46 71 48 50 DK/NA 9 13 12 10 10 14 13 11 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 51% 44% 49% 47% 38% 49% 45% 45% 48% Santorum 40 43 38 43 50 37 43 44 44 DK/NA 9 14 13 10 12 14 12 11 7 33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Obama 50% 7% 89% 52% 47% 53% 42% 92% 62% Gingrich 39 84 5 34 44 35 48 5 22 DK/NA 11 9 6 15 10 12 11 3 16 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 48% 39% 31% 40% 39% 45% 19% 45% 43% Gingrich 45 49 57 50 52 43 69 44 47 DK/NA 7 13 11 9 9 12 11 11 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 54% 48% 52% 52% 43% 54% 50% 47% 51% Gingrich 40 39 36 41 44 32 38 43 42 DK/NA 6 13 12 7 13 14 12 9 6 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich? Feb 22 Nov 22 2012 2011 Obama 50 47 Gingrich 39 41 DK/NA 11 12 38. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 58% 24% 91% 60% 55% 60% 52% 92% 63% No 40 74 8 38 42 37 46 6 33 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 1 4 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 59% 48% 45% 50% 50% 54% 34% 56% 52% No 40 49 53 47 48 44 64 41 44 DK/NA 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 3 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 61% 56% 62% 59% 49% 62% 56% 56% 60% No 37 41 36 40 49 36 41 41 38 DK/NA 2 3 3 2 3 2 3 2 1 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Feb 22 Oct 05 Sep 01 Nov 12 2012 2011 2011 2008 Yes 58 54 54 70 No 40 43 42 22 DK/NA 2 3 3 7 39. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 40% 68% 21% 36% 44% 36% 45% 16% 34% No 50 25 70 52 48 51 46 72 46 DK/NA 11 7 10 12 8 13 9 12 20 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 50% 42% 47% 48% 49% 40% 50% 47% 40% No 45 47 43 43 44 48 36 46 48 DK/NA 5 11 10 9 7 11 14 7 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 45% 37% 42% 36% 41% 32% 34% 43% 50% No 48 50 46 56 48 55 55 49 44 DK/NA 6 13 12 8 11 13 11 9 5 TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Feb 22 Oct 05 2012 2011 Yes 40 43 No 50 35 DK/NA 11 22 40. Would you say that - Newt Gingrich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 34% 63% 13% 32% 40% 29% 39% 11% 28% No 55 29 78 57 52 57 51 75 54 DK/NA 11 8 9 11 8 13 10 14 18 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 41% 38% 45% 42% 45% 34% 54% 38% 37% No 53 50 46 48 48 55 35 54 53 DK/NA 6 11 10 10 8 11 11 9 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 37% 33% 33% 33% 39% 30% 31% 35% 40% No 56 54 54 60 52 57 58 55 54 DK/NA 7 12 13 8 9 12 11 9 6 41. Would you say that - Rick Santorum cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 46% 75% 24% 46% 51% 43% 52% 24% 40% No 36 12 60 37 35 37 32 58 37 DK/NA 17 13 16 18 14 20 16 18 23 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 54% 51% 58% 58% 56% 48% 66% 51% 50% No 36 30 26 26 33 32 15 34 31 DK/NA 10 19 15 15 12 20 18 14 19 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 50% 45% 45% 47% 49% 37% 45% 50% 55% No 39 35 37 39 32 40 37 37 34 DK/NA 11 20 18 14 19 22 18 13 11 42. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 64% 39% 90% 65% 63% 65% 59% 93% 71% No 28 53 6 25 28 28 33 4 18 DK/NA 8 8 4 10 9 7 8 3 11 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 68% 54% 51% 59% 58% 59% 42% 63% 58% No 26 37 41 33 33 34 50 28 32 DK/NA 7 9 9 8 10 7 8 9 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 71% 60% 68% 65% 55% 63% 60% 65% 72% No 23 31 24 29 35 28 31 28 22 DK/NA 6 9 8 6 10 8 9 7 6 43. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 41% 66% 21% 40% 48% 34% 46% 19% 37% No 41 20 61 41 36 46 37 64 36 DK/NA 18 14 18 19 15 21 17 17 27 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 53% 41% 49% 52% 53% 38% 54% 47% 42% No 33 39 32 33 32 42 26 37 42 DK/NA 13 20 19 16 15 20 20 16 16 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 48% 37% 42% 40% 42% 34% 37% 46% 49% No 38 43 40 46 38 46 43 38 40 DK/NA 14 20 18 14 20 20 20 16 12 44. Would you say that - Newt Gingrich cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 33% 61% 13% 31% 39% 28% 36% 18% 29% No 52 28 74 53 48 55 49 67 50 DK/NA 15 11 13 17 13 17 14 15 22 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 36% 36% 40% 42% 42% 30% 50% 35% 37% No 54 47 44 44 45 53 35 51 49 DK/NA 10 17 16 14 12 16 15 14 14 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 32% 34% 33% 32% 36% 33% 32% 34% 34% No 56 49 51 57 47 52 50 52 56 DK/NA 11 17 16 12 17 15 18 13 10 45. Would you say that - Rick Santorum cares about the needs and problems of women or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Yes 42% 72% 17% 41% 48% 36% 46% 25% 38% No 37 13 60 36 35 38 34 52 32 DK/NA 22 15 23 23 17 25 20 23 30 WHITE................................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEvngl Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 45% 46% 52% 56% 51% 41% 59% 48% 44% No 41 31 27 26 33 36 19 33 33 DK/NA 14 23 21 18 16 24 22 19 22 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 41% 42% 40% 43% 44% 36% 43% 45% 45% No 43 34 39 39 30 37 34 39 40 DK/NA 16 24 21 17 26 27 23 16 14 Demographic Summary
