April 19, 2012 - Big Lead With Women Gives Obama An Edge On Romney, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Christie, Rubio, Ryan Top GOP Running Mate List Word format President Barack Obama holds a thin 46 - 42 percent lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Wisconsin U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan lead the guess list for possible Romney running mates. Looking at personal characteristics, 81 percent of American voters think the president is likable, compared to 63 percent for Romney. Obama cares about their needs and problems, 57 percent say, compared to 44 percent for Romney. The Republican has strong leadership qualities, 61 percent say, compared to 60 percent for the president, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll of 2,577 American voters finds. Romney is seen as better on the economy 47 - 43 percent, better on creating jobs 45 - 42 percent, better on gas prices 44 - 31 percent and better on immigration 43 - 39 percent. The president is viewed 52 - 32 percent as better on women's issues and 46 - 40 percent on foreign policy. The two men are seen equally on taxes and health care. "The presidential race remains tight. With Gov. Mitt Romney now the de facto Republican nominee, a look at how the two men are perceived by the electorate reflects much of the historic differences between the two parties in close elections, which this seems likely to be," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "President Barack Obama has a big lead among women and is seen as the candidate most in tune with their needs. He is seen as more in touch with average Americans. Republican Romney seems to hold an edge on the economy - the top issue of the campaign - and holds his own against the incumbent on being a strong leader. His opening is that by 56 - 38 percent voters disapprove of the president's handling of the economy." "The gender gap remains, with Obama leading among women 49 - 39 percent and trailing slightly among men 46 - 43 percent," said Brown. "The racial gap is even wider: Romney leads 52 - 36 percent among whites, while the president is ahead among blacks 94 - 3 percent and among Hispanics 64 - 24 percent." Obama leads among Democrats 88 - 6 percent, while Romney leads 83 - 8 percent among Republicans and 46 - 39 percent among independent voters. More voters have an unfavorable opinion of the president, 49 percent, compared to the 45 percent who view him favorably. Romney is viewed favorably by 33 percent and unfavorably by 38 percent. First Lady Michelle Obama gets a 60 - 22 percent favorability rating. Ann Romney gets a 25 - 9 percent favorability with 64 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion. Obama gets split 47 - 48 percent overall job approval and American voters say 49 - 46 percent that he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office. Asked about potential Romney running mates, Christie, by far the best known of the potential picks, runs best with 31 percent calling him a good choice compared to 18 percent saying he would be a bad choice and 49 percent with no opinion yet. Independent voters, the key voting bloc, see Christie as a good choice 33 - 18 percent. Rubio was labeled a good choice 24 - 14 percent overall and 27 - 14 percent among independents, while Ryan has similar numbers, 23 - 17 percent good choice overall and 25 - 17 percent among independents. For other possible running mates, the "no opinion" count is 64 percent or higher. "Even Gov. Christopher Christie evokes a 'no opinion' from half the electorate, with Ryan and Rubio even more so. Other potential running mates who did not rate as highly as the three leaders are quite unknown. At this point Christie, who recently said he would not rule out running with Romney, has an edge with the public, but the vice presidency goes to the winner of an election with one voter - Mitt Romney," said Brown. From April 11 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,577 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican 39% 88% 4% 37% 43% 36% 47% 8% 33% Democratic 40 2 89 29 36 44 32 85 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 1 4 DK/NA 17 9 6 28 17 18 18 5 17 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Republican 44% 48% 57% 47% 49% 44% 63% 46% 44% Democratic 40 28 25 34 30 34 18 34 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 3 - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 - 1 DK/NA 13 21 17 16 16 19 16 19 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Republican 39% 40% 31% 41% 42% 49% 35% 40% 41% Democratic 44 39 44 41 42 36 41 39 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 2 1 DK/NA 14 19 21 16 13 13 19 18 15 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 Mar 31 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Republican 39 40 36 34 39 38 40 Democratic 40 38 40 42 39 38 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 3 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 17 18 20 19 19 19 20 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 46% 8% 88% 39% 43% 49% 36% 94% 64% Romney 42 83 6 46 46 39 52 3 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 3 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 - 3 DK/NA 7 6 4 8 6 8 6 3 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 45% 32% 26% 40% 34% 38% 20% 37% 43% Romney 47 55 63 51 55 50 67 52 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 4 8 7 5 5 8 8 6 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 51% 45% 51% 44% 49% 43% 52% 45% 45% Romney 41 42 33 45 44 49 36 43 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 5 1 1 4 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 4 8 9 5 5 5 4 8 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election" / *High also 47% Jun 2011, Jul 2011) OBAMA...... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Nov 02 Oct 05 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2011 Obama 46 46 45 47 42 47 42 Romney 42 44 44 42 46 42 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 4 2 4 2 DK/NA 7 4 7 5 7 5 7 3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 32% 42% 28% 30% 37% 28% 32% 40% 24% Less 24 24 14 30 23 25 26 11 26 About the same 43 32 57 38 39 46 41 49 48 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld More 33% 31% 34% 31% 38% 27% 34% 34% 40% Less 22 29 26 28 23 29 27 25 26 About the same 45 39 38 41 38 43 38 41 33 DK/NA - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 33% 31% 27% 32% 33% 35% 27% 31% 35% Less 21 26 26 25 24 22 26 24 23 About the same 45 42 45 42 42 42 45 45 41 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 1 - 1 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 5 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 More 32 32 29 31 30 Less 24 23 23 23 22 About the same 43 44 47 45 46 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 4. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 33% 62% 8% 35% 36% 30% 39% 8% 24% Unfavorable 38 12 65 33 36 39 35 48 40 Hvn't hrd enough 26 23 24 28 24 28 22 41 35 REFUSED 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 41% 38% 45% 39% 43% 36% 47% 40% 39% Unfavorable 43 31 27 34 34 36 22 35 35 Hvn't hrd enough 14 27 24 22 20 24 27 22 22 REFUSED 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 36% 31% 23% 35% 34% 42% 23% 33% 38% Unfavorable 46 34 38 33 41 42 37 38 39 Hvn't hrd enough 15 31 35 28 23 14 38 26 19 REFUSED 2 3 3 4 2 2 2 2 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Oct 05 May 03 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 33 35 36 35 39 39 17 Unfavorable 38 43 31 35 28 28 16 Hvn't hrd enough 26 19 31 27 31 31 65 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 5. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 45% 9% 86% 37% 42% 49% 36% 92% 58% Unfavorable 49 86 10 56 53 45 59 5 33 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 REFUSED 3 3 1 4 3 3 2 1 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 46% 31% 28% 40% 34% 38% 21% 38% 41% Unfavorable 50 63 68 54 62 57 74 57 54 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 51% 43% 49% 42% 47% 43% 50% 44% 44% Unfavorable 45 50 43 53 50 54 46 50 49 Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 5 2 2 1 3 3 3 REFUSED 2 3 4 3 2 1 2 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 05 Nov 12 Oct 05 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2008 2011 Favorable 45 47 47 49 42 67 42 Unfavorable 49 48 46 46 53 19 53 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 4 2 3 11 3 REFUSED 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 6. Is your opinion of Ann Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 25% 42% 11% 26% 27% 23% 29% 8% 19% Unfavorable 9 5 15 5 9 9 6 16 14 Hvn't hrd enough 64 52 71 66 61 66 62 75 65 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 7. Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 60% 34% 85% 57% 53% 67% 56% 91% 57% Unfavorable 22 41 6 24 27 18 25 3 25 Hvn't hrd enough 15 21 9 17 18 13 16 6 16 REFUSED 3 5 1 3 3 2 3 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Apr 19 Sep 09 Jul 21 Nov 12 2012 2010 2010 2008 Favorable 60 49 55 50 Unfavorable 22 22 19 17 Hvn't hrd enough 15 25 23 31 REFUSED 3 4 3 3 8. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - Ohio Senator Rob Portman as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 8% 12% 5% 8% 11% 6% 9% 2% 11% Bad choice 9 6 11 9 11 6 9 7 7 No opinion 79 77 80 78 74 83 77 89 76 DK/NA 5 4 4 5 4 5 5 2 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 9% 8% 9% 8% 11% 7% 9% 8% 8% Bad choice 10 9 9 6 12 6 8 9 9 No opinion 76 78 75 81 73 81 78 77 80 DK/NA 6 5 7 5 4 6 5 6 4 9. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - Florida Senator Marco Rubio as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 24% 40% 10% 27% 32% 18% 28% 6% 30% Bad choice 14 7 19 14 17 11 14 13 16 No opinion 58 50 67 55 49 66 55 77 51 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 2 5 4 4 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 35% 24% 31% 28% 35% 21% 30% 28% 30% Bad choice 17 12 11 12 17 11 9 13 13 No opinion 47 59 53 59 46 63 57 53 54 DK/NA 2 4 5 2 2 5 3 5 3 10. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 14% 13% 13% 15% 14% 13% 13% 11% 22% Bad choice 15 15 14 14 19 11 14 13 20 No opinion 68 68 70 66 63 72 68 74 54 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 4 4 4 2 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 14% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13% 15% 13% 15% Bad choice 15 14 15 11 16 12 16 12 13 No opinion 66 70 67 72 65 71 65 69 69 DK/NA 6 4 5 4 5 4 4 5 3 11. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 23% 34% 11% 25% 28% 17% 26% 8% 17% Bad choice 17 9 25 17 22 13 17 17 19 No opinion 58 54 62 57 48 67 55 73 60 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 30% 23% 29% 26% 32% 20% 31% 24% 26% Bad choice 27 12 13 15 21 14 9 18 17 No opinion 41 62 54 57 46 63 58 55 56 DK/NA 2 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 1 12. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 18% 29% 9% 19% 22% 15% 21% 6% 14% Bad choice 15 10 18 16 17 13 15 14 16 No opinion 64 58 70 60 58 68 60 77 66 DK/NA 3 3 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 25% 19% 24% 24% 26% 17% 25% 22% 23% Bad choice 23 11 12 12 17 13 10 14 15 No opinion 49 66 60 61 54 66 62 59 59 DK/NA 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 5 3 13. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 10% 14% 6% 9% 12% 8% 11% 6% 5% Bad choice 11 6 14 13 13 9 10 11 11 No opinion 76 76 76 74 72 79 75 82 77 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 1 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 13% 10% 12% 12% 13% 8% 13% 12% 12% Bad choice 15 8 8 9 12 9 7 9 11 No opinion 68 78 75 75 70 79 76 74 74 DK/NA 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 14. Suppose Mitt Romney selects - New Jersey Governor Chris Christie as his vice presidential running mate. Do you think that would be a good choice or a bad choice, or is that something you don't have an opinion on? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good choice 31% 44% 21% 33% 37% 26% 34% 22% 29% Bad choice 18 10 24 18 22 14 18 16 19 No opinion 49 44 53 47 40 57 46 61 47 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Good choice 41% 31% 35% 39% 40% 29% 34% 38% 36% Bad choice 24 15 16 17 21 15 14 17 16 No opinion 34 52 47 44 37 54 50 44 46 DK/NA 1 2 2 - 2 1 2 1 2 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 47% 11% 86% 39% 43% 50% 37% 92% 60% Disapprove 48 83 10 56 52 44 58 3 34 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 46% 33% 28% 42% 34% 40% 21% 38% 40% Disapprove 51 62 68 55 62 55 75 56 53 DK/NA 2 5 4 4 4 5 4 5 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 52% 45% 51% 44% 49% 44% 54% 46% 44% Disapprove 44 49 44 53 46 53 42 47 51 DK/NA 4 6 5 4 5 3 4 6 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 06 Jun 04 Oct 06 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009* 2011 Approve 47 45 44 47 41 59 41 Disapprove 48 49 50 49 55 31 55 DK/NA 5 5 6 4 4 10 4 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 27% 5% 59% 18% 23% 31% 20% 63% 33% Disapprove 63 89 31 72 68 58 72 24 55 DK/NA 10 6 10 10 9 11 9 13 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 25% 18% 15% 22% 18% 21% 12% 20% 23% Disapprove 70 72 77 72 75 68 80 73 67 DK/NA 5 10 8 6 7 10 8 8 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 28% 27% 31% 25% 29% 23% 27% 28% 26% Disapprove 66 61 55 67 66 72 58 64 64 DK/NA 6 12 14 9 5 5 15 7 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (*Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 06 Mar 4 Nov 23 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011* Approve 27 26 24 26 24 45 24 Disapprove 63 67 69 70 71 45 69 DK/NA 10 7 7 5 5 10 7 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 23% 47% 10% 19% 24% 23% 25% 14% 22% Disapprove 66 42 82 70 66 65 65 78 64 DK/NA 11 11 8 11 10 12 10 9 14 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 21% 26% 28% 27% 25% 24% 34% 23% 23% Disapprove 72 62 61 64 67 64 55 68 66 DK/NA 6 12 11 9 8 12 11 9 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 20% 24% 23% 24% 24% 22% 24% 23% 22% Disapprove 74 63 63 66 69 70 63 67 67 DK/NA 6 13 13 10 8 8 12 10 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (*High also 34% Mar 3, 2011 & Mar 2010) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 06 Mar 31 Nov 23 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2011 Approve 23 22 19 20 23 34 19 Disapprove 66 71 74 76 71 55 74 DK/NA 11 6 7 4 6 11 7 19. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Deserves 46% 8% 88% 37% 41% 49% 36% 92% 61% No/Does not 49 87 9 58 54 46 60 5 35 DK/NA 5 5 3 5 5 5 4 4 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes/Deserves 45% 32% 26% 40% 34% 39% 20% 38% 41% No/Does not 52 64 69 57 63 57 76 59 55 DK/NA 3 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Deserves 50% 44% 50% 42% 47% 43% 48% 46% 44% No/Does not 46 51 44 54 50 54 47 49 51 DK/NA 4 5 5 3 3 4 5 5 4 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?(*High also 47% Jul 2011)(**Low also 40% Mar 2010) YES DESERVES.. High Low Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Nov 02 Oct 05 Nov 02 Jul 21 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2010** Yes/Deserves 46 45 45 47 42 47 40 No/Does not 49 50 48 49 54 49 48 DK/NA 5 5 7 4 4 4 12 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 38% 7% 77% 28% 34% 42% 30% 81% 48% Disapprove 56 90 17 67 60 52 66 15 43 DK/NA 6 3 6 5 5 6 4 4 10 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 40% 25% 24% 30% 28% 32% 17% 30% 33% Disapprove 57 70 73 65 68 63 79 65 60 DK/NA 3 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 44% 36% 41% 36% 41% 38% 40% 38% 38% Disapprove 52 58 51 60 55 60 54 58 56 DK/NA 4 6 8 4 4 2 6 4 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011) APPROVE...... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 03 Oct 06 Mar 04 Oct 06 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011* Approve 38 41 33 37 32 57 32 Disapprove 56 55 61 60 64 33 64 DK/NA 6 4 6 4 4 10 4 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 44% 15% 77% 38% 42% 46% 38% 80% 46% Disapprove 47 78 15 54 50 44 55 10 41 DK/NA 9 7 8 7 8 9 7 10 13 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 50% 33% 29% 44% 38% 39% 22% 42% 40% Disapprove 46 59 64 49 56 53 71 50 53 DK/NA 4 8 7 7 6 8 6 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 55% 40% 42% 46% 46% 48% 41% 46% 45% Disapprove 40 50 46 48 49 48 46 46 49 DK/NA 5 10 13 6 5 4 13 8 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Nov 03 Oct 06 Apr 29 Mar 30 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 44 46 49 52 44 57 41 Disapprove 47 46 42 42 48 32 47 DK/NA 9 8 10 6 8 11 12 23. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 33% 71% 8% 29% 36% 29% 38% 10% 29% Unfavorable 49 16 77 49 48 50 46 63 48 Hvn't hrd enough 16 10 15 18 13 19 13 25 21 REFUSED 3 2 1 4 3 3 3 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? (*Low also 25% Jul 2009) FAVORABLE.... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Sep 01 Nov 22 Oct 8 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010 2009* Favorable 33 32 31 28 32 40 25 Unfavorable 49 53 54 57 53 45 53 Hvn't hrd enough 16 12 13 13 13 13 18 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 24. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 37% 5% 78% 27% 34% 39% 31% 70% 43% Unfavorable 46 80 10 53 53 40 55 9 33 Hvn't hrd enough 15 13 11 17 11 18 12 20 25 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 3 2 2 - TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 23 Nov 02 Sep 01 Nov 12 Apr 21 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2008 2010 Favorable 37 37 35 36 35 55 32 Unfavorable 46 49 51 49 51 35 52 Hvn't hrd enough 15 11 11 13 12 6 12 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 2 4 3 31. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 43% 7% 83% 33% 38% 46% 33% 91% 51% Romney 47 85 10 55 52 43 58 5 31 DK/NA 10 8 7 12 9 11 9 3 17 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 41% 30% 24% 36% 32% 35% 19% 34% 40% Romney 51 61 66 56 62 54 72 58 51 DK/NA 7 10 10 8 7 11 9 9 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 41% 48% 39% 44% 39% 46% 42% 42% Romney 45 48 38 52 50 54 45 47 48 DK/NA 8 11 13 9 7 7 9 11 10 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 22 Nov 02 Oct 06 Sep 01 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Obama 43 44 41 46 39 42 Romney 47 45 46 43 49 46 DK/NA 10 11 13 11 11 12 32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - creating jobs, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 42% 8% 80% 34% 38% 45% 33% 89% 53% Romney 45 81 10 50 49 40 54 7 29 DK/NA 14 11 10 16 13 14 13 4 18 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 39% 29% 24% 34% 31% 35% 20% 33% 40% Romney 50 56 63 54 58 51 69 54 48 DK/NA 11 14 12 12 11 15 11 13 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 45% 41% 47% 40% 43% 39% 45% 43% 40% Romney 43 45 36 48 48 52 41 44 48 DK/NA 12 14 17 12 9 9 15 13 12 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job creating jobs, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Apr 19 Nov 02 2012 2011 Obama 42 45 Romney 45 44 DK/NA 14 12 33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 46% 11% 83% 40% 44% 48% 38% 86% 62% Romney 40 76 7 45 44 37 49 6 25 DK/NA 14 13 10 15 13 15 13 9 13 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 48% 33% 28% 40% 36% 39% 23% 39% 43% Romney 42 52 59 46 53 46 65 48 45 DK/NA 10 15 13 14 12 15 12 13 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 53% 44% 49% 47% 46% 46% 48% 47% 46% Romney 37 41 32 43 45 46 40 39 42 DK/NA 10 15 19 10 9 8 12 14 12 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Apr 19 Oct 06 2012 2011 Obama 46 43 Romney 40 43 DK/NA 14 13 34. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 44% 9% 82% 38% 42% 46% 35% 88% 61% Romney 43 78 9 48 46 40 53 6 23 DK/NA 13 13 9 14 13 13 12 6 16 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 44% 30% 25% 37% 35% 35% 18% 37% 39% Romney 47 56 62 51 55 51 70 52 47 DK/NA 8 14 12 12 10 13 12 11 14 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 50% 42% 49% 40% 46% 41% 50% 43% 43% Romney 41 44 34 50 44 50 40 43 45 DK/NA 10 14 17 10 10 9 10 14 12 35. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on gas prices, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 31% 7% 61% 22% 27% 34% 23% 68% 42% Romney 44 79 13 48 46 41 52 12 27 DK/NA 26 15 27 30 26 25 25 20 31 36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 43% 10% 80% 36% 40% 46% 36% 85% 49% Romney 43 80 10 49 48 39 52 8 29 DK/NA 14 10 10 15 12 15 12 7 22 37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on immigration, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 39% 10% 72% 33% 36% 42% 32% 76% 53% Romney 43 76 12 48 48 38 51 11 24 DK/NA 18 14 17 20 16 20 18 13 24 38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job - on issues especially important to women, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 52% 20% 84% 48% 52% 53% 44% 89% 65% Romney 32 61 6 33 33 30 39 3 17 DK/NA 16 19 10 18 15 17 17 8 17 39. Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 60% 37% 88% 54% 55% 65% 53% 94% 68% No 36 61 8 43 41 32 43 4 29 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 2 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not? Apr 19 Oct 05 Sep 01 Jan 13 Sep 09 Jan 13 2012 2011 2011 2011 2010 2010 Yes 60 49 50 64 59 66 No 36 49 48 33 38 32 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 3 2 40. Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 61% 81% 45% 64% 64% 59% 67% 45% 52% No 24 7 38 23 24 24 21 37 25 DK/NA 15 11 17 13 12 16 12 18 23 TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney has strong leadership qualities or not? Apr 19 Oct 05 2012 2011 Yes 61 55 No 24 24 DK/NA 15 21 41. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 57% 31% 86% 52% 53% 61% 50% 92% 69% No 39 65 9 45 42 35 46 4 27 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 58% 46% 41% 55% 48% 52% 35% 53% 51% No 40 49 55 42 49 44 61 43 45 DK/NA 3 5 4 3 3 5 4 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 62% 55% 59% 55% 60% 58% 61% 58% 55% No 35 40 36 42 36 40 35 38 41 DK/NA 3 5 5 3 4 2 4 4 4 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Apr 19 Feb 22 Oct 05 Sep 01 Nov 12 2012 2012 2011 2011 2008 Yes 57 58 54 54 70 No 39 40 43 42 22 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 7 42. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 44% 72% 21% 47% 47% 41% 50% 18% 41% No 43 18 65 42 43 44 40 64 43 DK/NA 13 10 14 12 10 15 11 18 17 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 48% 51% 56% 50% 53% 47% 61% 50% 46% No 46 36 32 40 39 40 27 40 44 DK/NA 7 13 11 10 8 13 11 10 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 43% 44% 34% 48% 45% 54% 42% 46% 44% No 50 41 51 43 43 39 43 42 45 DK/NA 7 15 15 9 12 7 15 12 11 TREND: Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Apr 19 Feb 22 Oct 05 2012 2012 2011 Yes 44 40 43 No 43 50 35 DK/NA 13 11 22 43. Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 81% 67% 93% 82% 81% 81% 78% 99% 85% No 14 29 4 14 14 15 18 1 7 DK/NA 5 5 3 4 6 4 4 - 9 TREND: Would you say Barack Obama is a likable person or not? Apr 19 Nov 02 2012 2011 Yes 81 80 No 14 18 DK/NA 5 2 44. Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 63% 80% 49% 65% 63% 63% 69% 46% 48% No 24 10 36 23 24 23 21 36 31 DK/NA 13 10 16 12 13 14 10 17 21 TREND: Would you say Mitt Romney is a likable person or not? Apr 19 Nov 02 2012 2011 Yes 63 61 No 24 22 DK/NA 13 17 Demographic Summary
