May 1, 2013 - Obama, Dems Hope To Avoid 6-Year Jinx In 2014, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Voters Like Dems On Health Care, GOP On Deficit PDF format Eighteen months before the 2014 elections, American voters, by a slim margin, say they are more likely to vote Democratic than Republican for Congress, which would violate the historical model of the president's party losing ground in the sixth year of a presidency, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. If elections for Congress were held today, 41 percent of voters say they would vote Democratic for Congress and 37 percent say they would vote Republican, continuing a trend that began after an April 19, 2012, survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Democrats at 40 percent and Republicans at 39 percent. By small margins, voters trust Democrats on Capitol Hill more than Republicans to handle health care, while they prefer the Republicans on the budget deficit and gun policy, and they see the two about the same on the economy and immigration. Voters say 48 - 43 percent they would like one party to control both houses of Congress and the White House, which would be the case if the Democrats take the U.S. House and retain the U.S. Senate in next year's elections. Democrats want complete control 64 - 30 percent, while Republicans are for split control 50 - 44 percent. Independent voters favor splitting control 53 - 35 percent "The 1998 elections, during President Bill Clinton's second term, is the last recent exception to the rule that the sixth year of a president's term in office produces electoral gains for the opposition party," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The Democratic edge in the so-called congressional ballot is small at this point in the cycle, but there has been a consistent Democratic edge for several months." "The question, of course, is whether that margin will be there in 18 months when voters go to the polls," Brown added. "It is worth noting that in April of 2009, almost exactly four years ago, Democrats held a 41 - 34 percent lead in the generic ballot, according to a Quinnipiac University poll. That probably was influenced by President Barack Obama's 58 - 30 percent approval rating then. Eighteen months later, however, Republicans won a historic landslide, picking up 63 House seats. Nevertheless, being ahead at this point is certainly bringing smiles to Democratic faces given history. "The Democratic edge in the generic ballot does not seem to be linked to any strong public affection for the president's party. They are down on both groups, just Democrats a bit less," said Brown. "For instance voters say 62 - 33 percent that Republicans don't care about their needs and problems, but say the same thing about Democrats in Congress 54 - 41 percent. They give congressional Republicans a 67 - 24 percent disapproval rating. Democrats receive a 60 - 31 percent disapproval score. President Barack Obama is not on the 2014 ballot, but his ratings remain relatively stable with the country closely split on his performance. The president has a 48 - 45 percent job approval rating. Voters disapprove of his handling of the economy 53 - 41 percent, gun policy 52 - 41 percent and immigration 50 - 40 percent. The president gets positive grades 47 - 43 percent for foreign policy, 54 - 29 percent for his handling of North Korea, and 55 - 38 percent for his handling of terrorism. The Democratic edge in the generic ballot is driven by the same gender gap that affects most political measurements. Men are split as 39 percent say they will vote for Republicans in Congress, while 38 percent back Democrats. Women go Democratic 44 - 35 percent. Democrats say they will vote for their party candidate 86 - 2 percent as Republicans stay loyal 86 - 0 percent. Independent voters are divided 31 - 30 percent with 29 percent undecided From April 25 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,471 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (* Hispanic subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Republican 37% 86% 2% 31% 39% 35% 43% 8% 22% Democratic 41 - 86 30 38 44 33 76 65 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 7 4 1 3 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 - - DK/NA 19 12 11 29 18 19 19 16 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Republican 40% 45% 53% 47% 47% 41% 63% 45% 44% Democratic 40 30 25 32 28 37 18 33 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 3 2 4 2 4 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 2 - 1 2 DK/NA 17 21 17 19 19 19 15 19 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican 35% 37% 32% 40% 43% 26% 39% 38% 40% Democratic 44 39 46 38 39 44 36 44 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 4 1 4 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 - - 2 2 - DK/NA 17 19 18 17 17 26 21 14 19 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (*High also 40% Mar 2011, Feb 2012) REPUBLICAN.... High Low May 01 Apr 03 Jul 11 Apr 19 Feb 22 Jul 11 Nov 02 2013 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012* 2011 Republican 37 35 40 39 40 40 34 Democratic 41 43 43 40 38 43 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 1 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 DK/NA 19 18 15 17 18 15 19 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 48% 10% 86% 42% 45% 50% 40% 86% 63% Disapprove 45 83 8 48 48 41 53 7 27 DK/NA 8 7 7 10 7 8 7 7 10 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 47% 36% 31% 36% 36% 43% 22% 40% 36% Disapprove 49 55 63 55 57 50 71 53 55 DK/NA 4 9 5 9 7 7 7 6 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 51% 46% 51% 44% 50% 60% 46% 47% 40% Disapprove 44 45 40 49 48 28 47 46 54 DK/NA 5 9 10 7 2 11 7 7 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 59% Mar 2009) APPROVE....... High Low May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Feb 08 Dec 06 Jun 04 Oct 06 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2009* 2011 Approve 48 49 45 46 53 59 41 Disapprove 45 45 46 45 40 31 55 DK/NA 8 6 9 9 8 10 4 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 24% 46% 14% 18% 24% 24% 26% 18% 23% Disapprove 67 46 79 72 69 66 67 68 66 DK/NA 8 8 7 11 6 10 8 14 11 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 21% 28% 31% 25% 27% 25% 35% 25% 23% Disapprove 75 63 60 68 67 66 55 69 70 DK/NA 5 9 9 7 6 9 10 7 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 19% 27% 25% 23% 23% 30% 27% 22% 21% Disapprove 76 63 64 70 75 61 66 72 67 DK/NA 5 10 11 6 3 10 7 7 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (*High also 34% Mar 3, 2011 & Mar 2010, **Low also 19% Nov 2011, Feb 2013) APPROVE....... High Low May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Feb 08 Dec 06 Mar 31 Apr 03 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2011* 2013** Approve 24 19 20 19 23 34 19 Disapprove 67 71 71 72 69 55 71 DK/NA 8 10 9 8 8 11 10 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 31% 8% 60% 22% 29% 33% 25% 55% 54% Disapprove 60 87 31 67 64 58 67 31 42 DK/NA 9 5 9 10 8 9 8 14 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 25% 24% 20% 20% 23% 26% 16% 23% 23% Disapprove 70 66 70 74 70 65 74 69 72 DK/NA 4 10 9 6 7 9 10 8 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 30% 32% 38% 25% 28% 41% 30% 30% 26% Disapprove 65 58 51 70 69 46 65 63 63 DK/NA 5 10 11 6 2 13 6 7 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (*Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Feb 08 Dec 06 Mar 4 Nov 23 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2009 2011* Approve 31 34 32 33 37 45 24 Disapprove 60 59 60 59 54 45 69 DK/NA 9 7 8 9 9 10 7 6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Very satisfied 2% - 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 7% Smwht satisfied 25 12 45 17 24 26 21 38 34 Smwht dissatisfied 35 31 37 35 35 35 35 41 32 Very dissatisfied 37 55 14 45 38 36 42 14 26 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Very satisfied - 1% 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% Smwht satisfied 21 22 18 21 20 23 15 21 18 Smwht dissatisfied 42 32 31 37 36 34 30 36 32 Very dissatisfied 37 45 49 40 42 42 54 42 48 DK/NA 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Very satisfied 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% Smwht satisfied 24 26 28 25 23 30 25 25 22 Smwht dissatisfied 39 33 35 34 38 43 38 31 32 Very dissatisfied 35 38 34 39 37 25 35 40 43 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 2 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Feb 08 Dec 06 Dec 11 Nov 13 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2001 2008 Very satisfied 2 2 2 3 3 21 2 Smwht satisfied 25 28 23 28 32 47 14 Smwht dissatisfied 35 31 28 28 26 19 38 Very dissatisfied 37 38 46 40 38 10 44 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 41% 7% 78% 34% 38% 43% 35% 70% 53% Disapprove 53 90 15 59 55 51 60 20 42 DK/NA 6 3 6 8 7 6 6 10 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 40% 32% 27% 31% 33% 36% 20% 35% 30% Disapprove 56 61 69 61 61 58 76 59 62 DK/NA 4 7 4 8 6 5 4 6 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 45% 39% 42% 41% 41% 50% 37% 42% 36% Disapprove 51 54 51 54 54 44 58 51 57 DK/NA 4 7 7 5 5 6 5 7 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? (* Low also 32% Sep 2011) APPROVE...... High Low May 01 Jul 11 Apr 19 Feb 22 Nov 23 Mar 04 Oct 06 2013 2012 2012 2012 2011 2009 2011* Approve 41 40 38 41 33 57 32 Disapprove 53 55 56 55 61 33 64 DK/NA 6 4 6 4 6 10 4 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 47% 19% 78% 42% 45% 48% 41% 71% 58% Disapprove 43 72 14 47 45 41 49 13 36 DK/NA 10 9 8 11 9 11 10 16 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 52% 36% 34% 43% 41% 42% 25% 44% 40% Disapprove 44 51 58 46 51 47 62 48 51 DK/NA 4 13 9 12 8 11 13 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 54% 43% 47% 46% 51% 51% 47% 48% 40% Disapprove 41 44 40 46 45 33 46 43 48 DK/NA 5 13 12 8 5 16 7 9 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? APPROVE....... High Low May 01 Jul 11 Apr 19 Feb 23 Nov 23 Apr 29 Mar 30 2013 2012 2012 2012 2011 2009 2011 Approve 47 47 44 46 49 57 41 Disapprove 43 44 47 46 42 32 47 DK/NA 10 9 9 8 10 11 12 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - immigration issues? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 40% 11% 71% 34% 40% 40% 34% 71% 54% Disapprove 50 79 19 55 52 48 56 17 36 DK/NA 10 10 10 12 8 12 10 11 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 45% 28% 27% 27% 34% 33% 17% 34% 29% Disapprove 49 60 65 59 58 55 74 55 64 DK/NA 7 12 8 14 9 11 10 11 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 47% 37% 42% 36% 43% 52% 40% 40% 30% Disapprove 46 52 45 57 51 38 51 51 55 DK/NA 6 12 13 7 6 9 9 9 14 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in North Korea? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 54% 37% 75% 53% 56% 53% 51% 67% 55% Disapprove 29 45 11 31 29 28 31 17 30 DK/NA 17 18 14 16 15 19 18 17 15 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 61% 47% 43% 48% 56% 48% 39% 50% 52% Disapprove 25 34 39 34 30 32 41 32 33 DK/NA 14 20 19 18 15 20 20 18 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 62% 51% 52% 56% 61% 61% 55% 55% 47% Disapprove 24 31 31 27 28 25 31 29 30 DK/NA 14 18 17 18 11 14 14 16 24 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - terrorism? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 55% 31% 83% 49% 53% 55% 50% 75% 72% Disapprove 38 63 10 42 38 38 43 15 25 DK/NA 8 6 7 9 8 7 7 10 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 57% 46% 42% 55% 50% 50% 40% 51% 48% Disapprove 38 46 50 38 44 43 54 42 46 DK/NA 5 8 7 7 6 8 6 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 58% 53% 57% 54% 57% 60% 60% 54% 45% Disapprove 37 38 35 40 40 31 34 41 43 DK/NA 5 9 8 6 3 9 6 6 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling terrorism? (* Post Bin Laden Death) BinLaden Death APPROVE...... Post High Low May 01 Nov 03 Sep 01 Jun 09 May 05 May 05 Jan 13 2013 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2010 Approve 55 66 57 63 67 67 48 Disapprove 38 28 34 31 27 27 44 DK/NA 8 6 9 6 7 7 8 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - gun policy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 41% 15% 71% 34% 34% 47% 36% 67% 51% Disapprove 52 79 23 57 60 45 58 21 42 DK/NA 7 5 7 9 6 8 6 12 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 47% 30% 31% 37% 30% 40% 23% 39% 33% Disapprove 50 62 64 55 66 52 70 55 62 DK/NA 3 8 5 8 4 8 7 6 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 49% 37% 42% 40% 45% 41% 40% 42% 40% Disapprove 48 54 49 57 52 50 57 52 50 DK/NA 3 8 9 3 3 9 3 6 10 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the situation in Syria? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 37% 18% 59% 35% 38% 37% 34% 53% 46% Disapprove 35 56 13 39 39 32 39 18 27 DK/NA 27 26 28 26 23 31 28 28 27 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 42% 29% 29% 30% 38% 30% 26% 33% 34% Disapprove 37 40 43 38 41 37 46 39 45 DK/NA 22 31 28 32 22 33 27 28 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 45% 34% 38% 35% 47% 41% 38% 39% 33% Disapprove 35 35 31 41 35 24 35 38 39 DK/NA 20 31 31 25 18 35 27 23 28 15. Do you think the - Democrats in Congress care about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Yes 41% 23% 67% 33% 38% 44% 36% 62% 67% No 54 74 27 62 57 51 59 32 32 DK/NA 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 41% 33% 29% 37% 34% 38% 27% 36% 36% No 56 61 67 58 61 58 68 62 60 DK/NA 4 5 4 5 5 5 5 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 44% 40% 45% 40% 42% 53% 42% 38% 37% No 53 55 49 58 55 43 55 57 56 DK/NA 4 5 5 3 4 4 3 5 7 16. Do you think the - Republicans in Congress care about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Yes 33% 59% 19% 26% 33% 34% 36% 19% 32% No 62 36 78 70 62 63 60 74 66 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 6 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 35% 36% 40% 42% 37% 35% 42% 39% 33% No 61 60 56 54 58 62 53 59 63 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 5 3 5 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 33% 34% 32% 35% 38% 40% 35% 32% 30% No 63 62 64 61 60 56 62 64 65 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 2 4 3 4 5 17. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - the economy, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 38% 3% 77% 30% 34% 41% 33% 59% 54% Republicans 40 84 6 40 43 37 46 14 31 NO DIFF(VOL) 12 8 7 18 13 11 12 12 9 DK/NA 11 5 10 13 10 11 9 15 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 38% 30% 26% 30% 30% 35% 17% 33% 30% Republicans 45 47 53 49 51 43 62 46 47 NO DIFF(VOL) 10 13 13 10 13 11 13 11 14 DK/NA 7 10 8 11 6 11 8 10 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 41% 36% 41% 37% 35% 40% 37% 39% 35% Republicans 40 41 35 43 49 33 46 40 41 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 12 12 14 8 14 9 11 13 DK/NA 8 11 12 6 8 13 8 10 12 18. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - health care, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 43% 4% 86% 35% 41% 45% 35% 78% 65% Republicans 38 81 3 39 38 37 45 12 19 NO DIFF(VOL) 10 8 4 16 11 10 11 4 11 DK/NA 9 6 6 10 10 8 8 6 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 43% 32% 27% 33% 33% 38% 20% 35% 34% Republicans 41 47 55 48 48 43 63 45 44 NO DIFF(VOL) 10 12 11 12 12 11 7 13 14 DK/NA 6 10 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 48% 41% 47% 41% 45% 50% 47% 41% 38% Republicans 36 38 34 40 44 30 40 39 39 NO DIFF(VOL) 10 10 9 12 8 8 9 12 11 DK/NA 6 10 10 7 3 12 4 9 12 19. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - the federal budget deficit, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 34% 4% 69% 26% 32% 36% 30% 53% 45% Republicans 43 82 12 44 46 41 48 23 37 NO DIFF(VOL) 13 8 8 19 14 12 13 13 12 DK/NA 10 6 11 11 8 12 9 12 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 33% 28% 21% 23% 29% 31% 17% 27% 26% Republicans 48 48 55 55 52 45 61 50 49 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 14 14 12 13 13 13 13 20 DK/NA 8 10 10 10 6 11 8 10 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 36% 33% 38% 35% 29% 40% 31% 34% 32% Republicans 43 43 38 44 50 40 46 43 43 NO DIFF(VOL) 12 13 12 15 11 10 11 14 13 DK/NA 10 10 12 6 10 10 12 8 11 20. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - immigration issues, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 39% 6% 75% 34% 38% 41% 33% 59% 64% Republicans 38 77 8 37 40 36 43 19 22 NO DIFF(VOL) 12 9 7 17 12 11 12 11 10 DK/NA 11 8 10 13 10 12 12 12 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 42% 28% 23% 27% 32% 33% 19% 30% 33% Republicans 39 46 53 46 46 41 57 45 43 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 13 13 12 12 12 13 11 14 DK/NA 8 13 12 15 9 14 11 14 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 46% 36% 43% 35% 43% 49% 38% 38% 34% Republicans 35 39 33 42 44 27 48 37 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 12 12 13 7 11 7 15 12 DK/NA 8 13 12 10 6 12 8 10 18 21. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - gun policy, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 38% 6% 70% 34% 33% 42% 33% 59% 53% Republicans 42 81 13 38 48 37 47 18 35 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 5 10 15 11 10 10 13 11 DK/NA 10 7 8 12 8 11 10 10 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 45% 27% 24% 33% 29% 36% 15% 33% 28% Republicans 42 49 57 45 54 41 66 45 47 NO DIFF(VOL) 7 12 9 10 10 10 9 10 16 DK/NA 6 12 10 12 7 13 11 12 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 48% 33% 39% 36% 43% 42% 38% 38% 35% Republicans 38 44 40 45 44 42 50 39 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 8 12 11 11 8 8 7 12 12 DK/NA 6 11 10 8 6 8 4 11 16 22. Who do you think can do a better job of handling - taxes, the Democrats in Congress or the Republicans in Congress? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Democrats 39% 6% 78% 31% 36% 42% 32% 66% 59% Republicans 43 85 7 43 47 39 49 20 28 NO DIFF(VOL) 11 5 7 18 10 12 12 9 8 DK/NA 7 5 8 8 7 7 7 5 5 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 37% 30% 25% 27% 31% 34% 19% 32% 32% Republicans 49 48 58 52 54 45 64 50 46 NO DIFF(VOL) 9 13 10 12 10 13 10 12 16 DK/NA 5 8 7 9 5 8 7 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 42% 38% 44% 36% 37% 47% 41% 37% 34% Republicans 44 42 35 49 52 34 49 42 44 NO DIFF(VOL) 9 11 12 10 6 9 5 15 10 DK/NA 5 9 8 5 4 9 4 6 12 23. As you may know, the control of the Congress is currently divided, with Democrats controlling the Senate and Republicans controlling the House of Representatives, while a Democrat is President. Which of the following statements is closer to your point of view; I would like to see a Congress and President of the same party because they will get more things done, or I would like to see a Congress and President of different parties because they will balance each other out? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Same party 48% 44% 64% 35% 47% 49% 47% 63% 44% Different parties 43 50 30 53 46 41 44 31 50 DK/NA 9 6 6 12 7 10 9 6 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Same party 50% 45% 45% 43% 45% 48% 39% 50% 39% Different parties 44 44 47 48 48 41 53 42 52 DK/NA 6 11 9 9 7 11 8 8 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Same party 50% 47% 48% 48% 51% 48% 49% 50% 45% Different parties 43 43 43 45 42 46 44 41 43 DK/NA 7 10 9 7 7 6 6 10 12 Demographic Summary
