July 12, 2013 - Clinton Tops Christie By 6 Points In 2016 Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Republicans Take Bigger Hit For Gridlock PDF format Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie 46 - 40 percent among American voters in an early look at the 2016 presidential election, compared to her 45 - 37 percent lead in March, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. The former New York senator has a healthy 55 - 38 percent favorability rating, but the lesser known New Jersey governor has a 45 - 18 percent favorability, including 41 - 19 percent among Democrats, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. American voters blame both parties for gridlock in Washington, but they say Republicans are more responsible for Congress' inability to get things done. Looking at immigration, 54 percent of voters favor allowing those here illegally to stay and eventually become citizens, while 12 percent favor allowing them to stay but not become citizens and 28 percent say they should be deported. Because of gridlock, however, American voters say 69 - 27 percent that Republicans and Democrats in Congress will not be able to work together to pass immigration reform. On other issues, voters agree with the Supreme Court decision extending benefits to same-sex couples. They also overwhelming oppose the use of race as a factor in college admissions. "Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remains the front-runner for 2016 if she chooses to run," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie's favorability numbers are impressive and if he can win over a solid share of those who do not yet have an opinion about him, he could be a very formidable candidate in 2016. Candidates with more than 2-1 favorability ratios don't grow on trees." "Vice President Joseph Biden finds himself in the opposite situation as most Americans have an opinion about him and it is slightly negative, 38 percent favorable, 44 percent unfavorable," said Brown. "Biden trails Christie 46 - 35 percent in the 2016 face-off and is dead even 42 - 42 percent with Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, whose favorability is a split 31 - 28 percent. Clinton tops Paul 50 - 38 percent. There is gridlock because Republicans are determined to block any Obama initiative, 51 percent of voters say, while 35 percent say President Barack Obama lacks the skills to convince leaders of Congress to work together. Asked another way, 53 percent say Obama is doing "too little" to compromise with congressional Republicans, but 68 percent of voters say congressional Republicans are doing "too little." Ten percent of voters blame Democrats for gridlock, while 23 percent blame Republicans and 64 percent blame both parties equally. "Voters think the Democrats and Obama aren't playing nice, but they think the Republicans are worse," said Brown. Supreme Court Voters support 49 - 44 percent legalizing same-sex marriage in their state, and agree 62 - 34 percent with a Supreme Court ruling that married gay couples should be eligible for the same federal benefits as heterosexual couples. On another matter before the Supreme Court, voters say 74 - 21 percent that public universities should not be allowed to take race into account when deciding who to admit. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts has a 38 - 31 percent job approval, down from 46 - 34 percent in July, 2012, and 49 - 21 percent in April, 2010. The court itself gets a split 45 - 44 percent approval, compared to 47 - 41 percent last July and 49 - 33 percent in April, 2010. From June 28 - July 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,014 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican 34% 83% 2% 33% 38% 31% 42% 3% 23% Democratic 39 2 87 27 35 43 31 82 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 6 3 2 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 3 2 2 - 1 DK/NA 21 14 10 32 20 22 22 13 23 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Republican 40% 43% 51% 45% 46% 37% 58% 44% 41% Democratic 39 28 22 31 27 36 15 30 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 4 3 2 4 2 1 3 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 3 1 1 2 3 DK/NA 19 23 23 20 20 23 25 21 22 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican 34% 35% 30% 37% 45% 27% 35% 35% 37% Democratic 43 38 43 39 36 46 36 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 2 1 4 2 2 1 DK/NA 20 22 22 20 17 20 23 20 20 TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, or for the Democratic candidate in your district? (*High also 40% Mar 2011, Feb 2012, **Low also 34% Nov 2011) REPUBLICAN.... High Low Jul 12 May 30 May 01 Apr 03 Jul 11 Jul 11 Jul 12 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012* 2013** Republican 34 38 37 35 40 40 34 Democratic 39 38 41 43 43 43 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 DK/NA 21 20 19 18 15 15 21 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 19% 39% 8% 18% 20% 19% 20% 10% 28% Disapprove 71 49 85 72 72 70 70 79 64 DK/NA 10 12 7 10 9 11 10 11 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 16% 22% 24% 21% 21% 19% 25% 21% 20% Disapprove 78 66 65 72 71 70 62 71 72 DK/NA 6 12 11 7 9 11 13 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 15% 21% 21% 16% 17% 24% 19% 18% 21% Disapprove 77 68 69 77 76 62 72 73 72 DK/NA 7 11 10 7 7 14 9 9 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?(*High also 34% Mar 2011, Mar 2010 **Low also 19% Nov 2011, Feb 2013, Apr 2013) APPROVE....... High Low Jul 12 May 30 May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Mar 31 Jul 12 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011* 2013** Approve 19 24 24 19 20 34 19 Disapprove 71 67 67 71 71 55 71 DK/NA 10 9 8 10 9 11 10 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 29% 7% 60% 20% 24% 34% 23% 60% 31% Disapprove 62 86 32 71 68 57 68 30 58 DK/NA 9 7 8 9 8 9 8 10 11 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 30% 20% 18% 24% 18% 29% 14% 25% 26% Disapprove 64 71 75 68 75 62 79 68 67 DK/NA 5 10 7 8 8 9 8 7 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 33% 27% 33% 24% 28% 29% 28% 30% 29% Disapprove 60 64 58 68 67 56 64 63 63 DK/NA 7 10 9 7 6 15 8 7 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (*Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Jul 12 May 30 May 01 Apr 03 Mar 07 Mar 4 Nov 23 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2009 2011* Approve 29 30 31 34 32 45 24 Disapprove 62 60 60 59 60 45 69 DK/NA 9 11 9 7 8 10 7 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States Supreme Court is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 45% 34% 56% 43% 44% 46% 45% 44% 48% Disapprove 44 55 34 46 47 41 44 48 42 DK/NA 11 11 10 11 9 14 12 9 10 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 52% 41% 38% 46% 43% 47% 30% 48% 42% Disapprove 38 46 50 44 47 40 60 42 47 DK/NA 10 13 12 10 10 13 10 11 11 ATTEND SERVICES.......... Same-Sex Weekly..... Less....... MarriageQ37 Prot Cath Prot Cath Prot Cath Supp Opp Approve 39% 46% 34% 43% 44% 48% 61% 27% Disapprove 49 44 56 49 42 41 28 63 DK/NA 12 10 10 8 14 11 11 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 52% 41% 43% 50% 45% 58% 49% 42% 37% Disapprove 39 47 45 40 48 29 42 47 49 DK/NA 10 12 12 10 7 13 8 11 14 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the United States Supreme Court is handling its job? (* High also 62% May 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Jul 12 Jul 11 Apr 20 Apr 21 Jun 04 Jun 04 Jul 17 2013 2012 2012 2010 2009 2009* 2008 Approve 45 47 52 49 62 62 39 Disapprove 44 41 31 33 22 22 43 DK/NA 11 12 18 18 16 16 18 6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 46% 8% 87% 39% 38% 53% 38% 81% 59% Christie 40 82 6 41 43 36 47 7 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 6 5 2 4 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 4 2 3 2 3 DK/NA 8 7 5 10 9 8 8 9 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Clinton 43% 36% 27% 40% 31% 46% 18% 40% 40% Christie 47 48 57 51 52 43 64 50 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 4 1 5 2 3 3 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 1 4 2 4 2 4 DK/NA 5 9 9 6 8 7 10 5 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Clinton 48% 45% 51% 43% 41% 58% 43% 45% 43% Christie 41 39 35 45 48 25 43 41 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 4 2 4 2 3 2 DK/NA 6 10 9 6 5 8 8 7 9 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Christopher Christie) Jul 12 Mar 07 2013 2013* Clinton 46 45 Christie 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 DK/NA 8 12 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Clinton 50% 12% 92% 42% 42% 58% 43% 85% 65% Paul 38 79 3 41 45 32 46 6 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 3 2 3 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 4 3 2 3 2 3 DK/NA 7 6 4 8 7 7 6 6 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Clinton 51% 38% 33% 44% 34% 52% 22% 45% 44% Paul 41 48 55 48 54 38 66 45 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 DK/NA 4 7 8 5 6 6 8 6 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Clinton 55% 48% 54% 48% 48% 54% 48% 50% 49% Paul 37 39 34 42 42 30 40 40 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 1 2 4 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 2 5 2 2 3 DK/NA 5 8 7 6 5 6 8 5 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jul 12 May 31 2013 2013 Clinton 50 49 Paul 38 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 DK/NA 7 6 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 35% 4% 73% 26% 31% 39% 27% 78% 46% Christie 46 87 14 49 49 43 54 10 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 2 7 6 3 5 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 2 6 5 4 5 2 5 DK/NA 10 5 10 12 9 11 9 8 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Biden 32% 24% 18% 28% 23% 32% 13% 28% 30% Christie 55 54 62 57 58 50 66 55 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 6 5 3 6 3 5 5 6 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 5 3 5 5 6 4 6 DK/NA 6 11 10 9 8 10 10 9 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Biden 36% 35% 41% 33% 30% 45% 31% 35% 34% Christie 49 44 40 53 57 35 51 46 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 5 4 3 4 4 5 4 DK/NA 8 11 11 7 6 10 10 9 11 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Christopher Christie) Jul 12 Mar 07 2013 2013* Biden 35 40 Christie 46 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 DK/NA 10 9 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 42% 6% 83% 32% 37% 46% 33% 81% 52% Paul 42 83 4 48 48 36 50 7 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 5 3 3 3 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 5 4 4 4 2 1 DK/NA 9 7 8 10 8 11 9 10 13 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Biden 43% 28% 23% 37% 28% 38% 17% 35% 35% Paul 46 53 59 51 56 44 68 50 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 5 2 4 5 3 4 4 DK/NA 5 11 10 8 8 9 11 7 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Biden 47% 39% 46% 41% 39% 47% 39% 42% 40% Paul 39 43 38 45 48 38 45 43 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 3 4 DK/NA 7 11 10 7 6 7 9 9 12 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Jul 12 May 31 2013 2013 Biden 42 39 Paul 42 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 DK/NA 9 11 10. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 55% 20% 90% 49% 48% 61% 48% 88% 65% Unfavorable 38 74 4 42 43 32 45 6 19 Hvn't hrd enough 5 3 5 7 6 5 5 7 12 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 - 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 56% 44% 37% 52% 40% 56% 29% 51% 48% Unfavorable 39 48 55 43 52 37 65 42 45 Hvn't hrd enough 2 6 5 3 6 4 4 4 6 REFUSED 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 60% 52% 56% 55% 57% 57% 58% 55% 51% Unfavorable 35 39 34 39 40 31 34 40 40 Hvn't hrd enough 3 7 8 4 1 11 4 3 8 REFUSED 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 12 May 31 Feb 08 May 14 Oct 31 Feb 08 May 03 2013 2013 2013 2008 2007 2013 2007 Favorable 55 52 61 47 46 61 44 Unfavorable 38 40 34 44 46 34 46 Hvn't hrd enough 5 7 4 7 6 4 7 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 3 11. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 38% 7% 73% 31% 36% 40% 32% 77% 36% Unfavorable 44 80 10 49 49 40 53 6 32 Hvn't hrd enough 16 12 15 16 13 18 14 14 32 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 43% 26% 23% 34% 29% 35% 15% 34% 32% Unfavorable 49 55 63 51 58 48 70 52 50 Hvn't hrd enough 7 17 12 14 11 16 13 13 16 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 46% 34% 38% 39% 41% 44% 34% 38% 38% Unfavorable 43 45 40 47 51 33 48 46 45 Hvn't hrd enough 8 19 19 12 8 19 17 14 13 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 - 5 1 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 12 May 31 Feb 08 Nov 12 2013 2013 2013 2008 Favorable 38 37 46 50 Unfavorable 44 44 41 23 Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 11 25 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 12. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 31% 54% 6% 37% 39% 24% 37% 10% 20% Unfavorable 28 7 51 25 28 29 26 41 27 Hvn't hrd enough 39 38 43 37 32 46 36 49 52 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 35% 37% 42% 38% 44% 29% 50% 36% 37% Unfavorable 38 20 19 20 27 26 13 24 25 Hvn't hrd enough 26 41 38 41 28 43 36 38 35 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 32% 31% 27% 35% 35% 28% 31% 32% 32% Unfavorable 39 23 27 29 37 25 24 32 29 Hvn't hrd enough 29 44 45 34 28 46 43 35 37 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 12 May 31 2013 2013 Favorable 31 32 Unfavorable 28 24 Hvn't hrd enough 39 42 REFUSED 1 1 13. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 45% 55% 41% 46% 46% 45% 49% 36% 36% Unfavorable 18 12 19 19 22 14 18 15 21 Hvn't hrd enough 34 31 38 32 30 39 31 47 43 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 59% 43% 49% 57% 48% 49% 46% 54% 45% Unfavorable 20 17 17 11 22 14 17 15 20 Hvn't hrd enough 18 38 32 30 27 35 35 29 33 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 58% 39% 36% 53% 63% 30% 49% 47% 50% Unfavorable 19 17 15 22 21 23 19 18 13 Hvn't hrd enough 19 42 47 23 13 46 30 32 35 REFUSED 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 12 Oct 05 2013 2011 Favorable 45 23 Unfavorable 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 34 59 REFUSED 2 1 14. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 47% 12% 85% 40% 44% 49% 39% 88% 62% Unfavorable 49 86 12 54 52 46 57 9 36 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 REFUSED 3 1 2 3 2 3 3 1 - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 47% 34% 29% 38% 35% 42% 20% 38% 41% Unfavorable 50 61 67 59 62 53 75 58 55 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 2 - 2 1 2 1 2 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 53% 44% 49% 49% 45% 53% 48% 47% 43% Unfavorable 45 51 46 49 54 42 49 49 53 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 2 1 - 2 1 1 2 REFUSED 2 3 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 12 May 30 Feb 08 Jul 11 Apr 19 Nov 12 Oct 05 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2008 2011 Favorable 47 48 51 45 45 67 42 Unfavorable 49 49 46 48 49 19 53 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 4 3 11 3 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 3 3 3 16. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Almost all the time 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 1% 5% 4% Most of the time 14 8 26 9 11 17 12 23 23 Some of the time 46 44 53 43 45 46 45 51 45 Hardly ever 37 46 15 46 41 33 41 18 28 DK/NA 1 - 2 1 1 1 1 2 - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Almost all the time 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% Most of the time 15 11 9 12 10 15 5 12 14 Some of the time 52 41 42 53 43 46 39 48 41 Hardly ever 31 46 48 34 45 37 54 38 42 DK/NA 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Almost all the time 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% Most of the time 15 13 14 16 15 15 16 13 13 Some of the time 52 42 44 47 49 49 48 42 47 Hardly ever 30 41 38 35 36 30 34 41 37 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 2 TREND: How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right; almost all of the time, most of the time, only some of the time, or hardly ever? Jul 12 May 30 Jul 22 Mar 24 Feb 11 2013 2013 2010 2010 2010 Almost all the time 2 3 2 2 2 Most of the time 14 12 16 17 16 Some of the time 46 47 50 50 54 Hardly ever 37 36 31 30 27 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 29. Do you think President Obama is doing too much, too little or about the right amount to compromise with the Republican leaders in Congress on important issues? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too much 11% 2% 22% 9% 12% 11% 9% 23% 14% Too little 53 86 21 60 57 50 60 18 49 About right 29 9 51 25 28 31 25 53 33 DK/NA 6 4 6 6 4 8 6 6 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Too much 12% 7% 5% 6% 8% 10% 3% 8% 11% Too little 55 62 69 62 64 55 74 61 59 About right 29 23 19 29 24 27 16 26 23 DK/NA 3 7 7 3 3 8 7 6 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Too much 14% 10% 12% 12% 13% 16% 10% 13% 8% Too little 51 54 49 53 60 44 57 53 56 About right 32 28 32 30 25 34 28 28 30 DK/NA 3 7 6 5 2 6 5 6 7 30. Do you think the Republican leaders in Congress are doing too much, too little or about the right amount to compromise with President Obama on important issues? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too much 9% 14% 3% 10% 11% 7% 10% 4% 4% Too little 68 49 85 68 66 71 66 89 63 About right 17 32 8 16 18 16 18 5 29 DK/NA 6 5 4 6 5 7 6 3 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Too much 12% 9% 14% 8% 13% 8% 16% 9% 10% Too little 69 64 59 66 63 68 56 68 69 About right 16 19 20 23 20 16 21 19 16 DK/NA 3 7 6 3 4 8 8 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Too much 11% 8% 7% 8% 14% 4% 8% 12% 8% Too little 71 67 71 71 69 61 72 70 67 About right 15 18 17 18 15 29 14 14 17 DK/NA 3 7 6 3 2 6 6 4 7 31. Who do you blame for gridlock in Washington Democrats, Republicans, or both equally? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Democrats 10% 26% 2% 7% 11% 9% 12% 2% 7% Republicans 23 3 47 18 23 24 20 44 20 Both equally 64 69 48 72 64 64 65 49 70 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 4 3 4 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democrats 10% 13% 17% 12% 13% 11% 21% 11% 10% Republicans 28 15 13 17 20 20 8 18 22 Both equally 60 68 67 70 65 65 68 69 66 DK/NA 2 4 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Democrats 9% 11% 9% 11% 11% 4% 8% 12% 14% Republicans 29 20 23 25 26 17 19 27 26 Both equally 60 66 65 63 61 75 71 60 56 DK/NA 2 3 3 1 2 4 2 2 5 TREND: Who do you blame for gridlock in Washington, Democrats, Republicans or both equally? Jul 12 Mar 25 Feb 11 2013 2010 2010 Democrats 10 14 12 Republicans 23 16 17 Both equally 64 67 67 DK/NA 3 3 3 32. Which comes closer to your point of view; there is gridlock in Washington mainly because President Obama lacks the personal skills to convince leaders of Congress to work together, or there is gridlock in Washington mainly because Republicans in Congress are determined to block any President Obama initiative? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama lacks skills 35% 66% 10% 37% 38% 33% 40% 12% 27% Republicans block 51 19 82 49 46 55 45 79 61 DK/NA 14 15 8 15 15 12 14 9 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama lacks skills 31% 45% 49% 44% 42% 38% 55% 42% 42% Republicans block 57 39 35 42 41 49 29 44 46 DK/NA 12 15 16 14 16 12 16 14 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Obama lacks skills 27% 40% 34% 33% 42% 21% 34% 38% 40% Republicans block 61 46 53 55 49 63 49 50 47 DK/NA 12 15 13 12 10 16 17 12 13 33. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A) Stay/Citizenship 54% 41% 69% 52% 52% 56% 51% 66% 71% B) Stay/Not citizen 12 13 10 14 14 11 12 12 14 C) Not stay 28 41 16 28 29 27 32 18 14 DK/NA 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 4 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld A) Stay/Citizenship 63% 44% 44% 48% 49% 52% 39% 50% 49% B) Stay/Not citizen 11 12 12 19 13 10 12 14 13 C) Not stay 22 37 37 29 33 31 41 32 32 DK/NA 5 6 7 4 5 7 8 5 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ A) Stay/Citizenship 64% 49% 53% 55% 57% 61% 54% 50% 57% B) Stay/Not citizen 11 13 13 12 14 8 14 13 13 C) Not stay 19 32 28 29 24 27 27 31 25 DK/NA 5 6 6 4 5 4 5 6 5 TREND: Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S. Jul 12 May 31 May 02 Apr 04 Feb 07 Dec 05 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 A)Stay/Citizenship 54 54 52 59 56 57 B)Stay/Not citizen 12 12 11 11 10 11 C)Not stay 28 29 30 25 30 26 DK/NA 6 5 6 5 4 5 34. Do you think Republicans and Democrats in Congress will be able to work together to pass comprehensive immigration reform this year or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 27% 23% 34% 26% 28% 25% 25% 29% 37% No 69 73 60 71 69 68 70 62 63 DK/NA 5 4 6 3 3 6 5 9 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 28% 24% 23% 32% 26% 24% 21% 28% 21% No 68 71 72 65 70 70 73 68 75 DK/NA 4 5 5 3 3 6 6 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 31% 25% 26% 28% 28% 26% 26% 28% 26% No 66 70 69 69 69 72 71 66 67 DK/NA 3 5 5 4 3 1 3 6 7 TREND: Do you think Republicans and Democrats in Congress will be able to work together to pass comprehensive immigration reform this year or not? Jul 12 May 31 2013 2013 Yes 27 24 No 69 71 DK/NA 5 5 35. If your Senator or Congress member supports the immigration legislation being considered in Washington, would that make you more likely to vote for that person, less likely to vote for that person, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 28% 20% 44% 21% 29% 26% 26% 36% 35% Less likely 19 30 6 21 23 15 22 6 7 No difference 47 43 45 50 43 51 46 55 52 DK/NA 6 7 4 7 5 8 7 3 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld More likely 34% 22% 24% 24% 27% 25% 21% 25% 25% Less likely 18 24 27 21 26 17 32 22 27 No difference 43 47 41 49 43 49 38 48 42 DK/NA 5 8 8 6 5 9 8 6 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ More likely 36% 24% 27% 30% 33% 33% 27% 27% 29% Less likely 16 21 17 21 21 8 16 24 21 No difference 42 49 51 44 42 53 53 43 43 DK/NA 5 7 6 6 4 6 4 6 8 36. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Roberts is handling his job as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 38% 35% 42% 38% 40% 36% 39% 31% 39% Disapprove 31 32 25 35 36 26 32 32 29 DK/NA 31 33 33 27 24 38 30 37 32 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 44% 36% 36% 39% 41% 37% 31% 41% 38% Disapprove 34 30 34 30 36 27 40 30 35 DK/NA 22 34 31 30 23 37 29 29 26 ATTEND SERVICES.......... Same-Sex Weekly..... Less....... MarriageQ37 Prot Cath Prot Cath Prot Cath Supp Opp Approve 36% 36% 33% 39% 40% 34% 46% 30% Disapprove 32 31 35 33 30 29 25 38 DK/NA 32 33 32 27 30 37 29 32 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 45% 34% 35% 43% 44% 44% 39% 37% 36% Disapprove 32 31 29 30 37 23 27 34 33 DK/NA 23 35 36 27 19 34 33 29 31 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Roberts is handling his job as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court? Jul 12 Jul 11 Apr 21 2013 2012 2010 Approve 38 46 49 Disapprove 31 34 21 DK/NA 31 20 30 37. Would you support or oppose a law in your state that would allow same-sex couples to get married? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 49% 27% 63% 54% 47% 52% 49% 46% 53% Oppose 44 67 32 40 48 41 45 47 43 DK/NA 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Support 62% 43% 33% 54% 47% 52% 16% 54% 44% Oppose 34 51 61 42 47 42 78 40 48 DK/NA 4 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 7 ATTEND SERVICES.......... Weekly..... Less....... Prot Cath Prot Cath Prot Cath Support 34% 53% 20% 46% 48% 57% Oppose 60 41 73 48 45 36 DK/NA 6 6 6 6 6 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Support 62% 43% 47% 53% 59% 74% 53% 48% 33% Oppose 34 50 48 41 37 21 41 46 59 DK/NA 4 7 5 6 4 5 5 6 7 TREND: Would you support or oppose a law in your state that would allow same-sex couples to get married? Jul 12 Jul 14 Apr 30 2013 2011 2009 Support 49 46 38 Oppose 44 48 55 DK/NA 6 6 7 38. Do you think each state should make its own law on whether same-sex marriage is legal or illegal there, or do you think this should be decided for all states on the basis of the U.S. Constitution? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp State laws 40% 46% 28% 48% 45% 35% 43% 28% 33% Constitution 53 48 64 46 48 58 51 59 61 DK/NA 7 6 8 6 7 7 6 13 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld State laws 45% 42% 46% 41% 50% 36% 49% 42% 43% Constitution 50 51 46 53 44 57 41 53 48 DK/NA 5 7 8 6 6 7 10 5 8 ATTEND SERVICES.......... Same-Sex Weekly..... Less....... MarriageQ37 Prot Cath Prot Cath Prot Cath Supp Opp State laws 43% 41% 43% 41% 43% 41% 34% 47% Constitution 48 53 47 53 49 53 63 43 DK/NA 9 6 10 7 8 6 2 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ State laws 44% 39% 37% 45% 41% 43% 41% 38% 42% Constitution 51 53 54 50 56 54 54 55 46 DK/NA 5 8 9 5 3 3 5 7 12 TREND: Do you think each state should make its own law on whether same-sex marriage is legal or illegal there, or do you think this should be decided for all states on the basis of the U.S. Constitution? Jul 12 May 02 Apr 04 2013 2013 2013 States laws 40 36 36 Constitution 53 57 56 DK/NA 7 7 7 39. As you may know, the Supreme Court recently ruled that married gay and lesbian couples are entitled to federal benefits. Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court's decision? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Agree 62% 43% 74% 66% 59% 66% 61% 67% 57% Disagree 34 53 24 29 37 30 35 31 40 DK/NA 4 4 3 5 4 4 4 2 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Agree 74% 54% 48% 66% 57% 65% 35% 67% 58% Disagree 23 41 47 32 38 31 60 30 39 DK/NA 3 4 5 3 4 3 5 3 4 ATTEND SERVICES.......... Same-Sex Weekly..... Less....... MarriageQ37 Prot Cath Prot Cath Prot Cath Supp Opp Agree 51% 65% 39% 57% 64% 70% 94% 26% Disagree 44 32 57 38 31 29 4 69 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 5 2 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Agree 75% 56% 58% 70% 71% 75% 70% 62% 49% Disagree 22 40 37 29 28 20 29 35 45 DK/NA 3 4 5 1 1 5 1 3 6 40. Do you think public universities should be allowed to use race as one of the factors in admissions to increase diversity in the student body or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 21% 7% 37% 19% 21% 21% 17% 36% 35% No 74 89 57 77 76 73 79 55 62 DK/NA 5 3 7 5 4 6 4 9 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 30% 10% 11% 14% 16% 17% 10% 14% 20% No 67 85 84 82 81 77 85 82 77 DK/NA 2 5 5 3 3 6 5 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 33% 15% 19% 22% 28% 24% 22% 21% 19% No 64 79 76 75 69 74 76 72 74 DK/NA 3 6 6 4 3 2 2 7 7 Demographic Summary
