May 5, 2004 - Bush And His Team Get Lowest Approval Ever, Nationwide Poll By Quinnipiac University Finds; But Kerry Gains Little Ground In Matchup American voters give President George W. Bush a split 46 - 47 percent approval rating, his lowest ever measured, and give key members of the Bush Administration their lowest marks ever, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But President Bush still leads Democratic challenger John Kerry 43 - 40 percent, with 6 percent for independent candidate Ralph Nader, compared to the 46 - 40 percent lead in a March 24 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In this latest expanded survey, which allows for closer examination of subgroups, white women, a key voting block, back Bush 48 - 35 percent, with 6 percent for Nader. Approval ratings for other members of the Bush team are: 39 - 41 percent for Vice President Richard Cheney; 50 - 36 percent for Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld; 71 - 19 percent for Secretary of State Colin Powell; 54 - 30 percent for National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice. "President Bush and his team are going down in their approval ratings, but Sen. Kerry is going nowhere. Bush has lost three points in the three-way matchup, but those three points did not go to Kerry. The so-called gender gap, where men favor the Republican candidate and women favor the Democrat, is very narrow right now, with the exception of white women, who are lining up strongly for Bush," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The gender gap widens as we look into concerns about the war in Iraq and whether the U.S. should commit more troops," Carroll added. The U.S. was right to go to war in Iraq, American voters say 48 - 45 percent, the lowest level of support yet measured and down from 54 - 39 percent in a March 24 Quinnipiac University poll. A total of 31 percent of voters say the Bush Administration did an "excellent" or "good" job planning for the situation in Iraq, while 67 percent say planning was "not so good" or "poor." But voters say 48 - 37 percent that Bush would do a better job than Kerry in "bringing the situation in Iraq to a successful conclusion." "It could be a contradiction - or the key to the 2004 election. Americans think the Bush team fouled up the occupation of Iraq, but they still trust the President to do a better job than Kerry in wrapping things up," Carroll said. Voters split 46 - 47 percent on increasing the number of U.S. military forces in Iraq; men support the increase 56 - 38 percent, as women oppose it 55 - 37 percent. American voters say 54 - 36 percent the economy is more important than Iraq in deciding how they vote, a shift from earlier polls where voters picked the economy 2-1. Men pick the economy 58 - 33 percent, as women name the economy 50 - 39 percent. A terrorist attack in the U.S., causing the loss of many lives, is "very likely" or "somewhat likely," 76 percent of voters say. From April 26 - May 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,016 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/- 2.2 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 46 47 7 Mar 24, 2004 49 44 7 Feb 2, 2004 48 45 7 Jan 26, 2004 53 40 8 Dec 10, 2003 51 43 6 Oct 29, 2003 51 42 7 Sep 17,2003 53 39 7 Jul 24, 2003 53 41 6 Jun 11, 2003 57 35 8 Apr 16, 2003 73 22 5 Mar 6, 2003 53 39 8 Feb 4, 2003 54 39 7 Nov 13, 2002 62 30 8 Feb 22, 2002 76 16 8 Dec 11, 2001 83 11 6 TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote? JK GWB SmnEls Wld'tVt DK/NA May 5, 2004 43 44 2 1 9 Mar 24, 2004 43 46 2 1 7 Feb 2, 2004 51 43 1 1 4 Jan 26, 2004 45 49 - 1 5 Dec 10, 2003 39 51 2 2 6 Oct 29, 2003 43 49 1 1 5 Sep 17, 2003 38 53 2 2 6 Jul 24, 2003 40 51 1 1 7 Jun 11, 2003 37 53 2 1 6 Feb 6, 2003 42 50 1 1 7 TREND: If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican and Ralph Nader the Independent, for whom would you vote? JK GWB RN SmnEls Wld'tVt DK/NA May 5, 2004 40 43 6 1 1 9 Mar 24, 2004 40 46 6 1 1 6 TREND: Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Hvn't Fav UnFav Mixed heard REFUSED May 5, 2004 40 39 19 2 1 Mar 24, 2004 45 34 18 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Hvn't Fav UnFav Mixed heard REFUSED May 5, 2004 27 29 27 15 1 Mar 24, 2004 30 27 23 19 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Hvn't Fav UnFav Mixed heard REFUSED May 5, 2004 14 27 18 39 2 Mar 24, 2004 14 28 18 37 3 TREND: In general how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Very Smwht Smwht Very sat sat dis dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 10 34 29 26 1 Mar 24, 2004 12 36 27 24 1 Feb 2, 2004 14 35 26 24 1 Jan 26, 2004 15 36 25 23 1 Dec 10, 2003 12 33 27 26 1 Oct 29, 2003 10 38 25 26 1 Sep 17, 2003 12 38 22 28 1 Jul 24, 2003 13 34 27 24 2 Jun 11, 2003 17 38 22 22 1 Apr 17, 2003 19 46 20 14 1 Mar 6, 2003 9 35 28 26 1 Feb 4, 2003 11 36 27 25 1 Nov 13, 2002 12 43 27 17 1 Feb 22, 2002 15 52 21 11 1 Dec 11, 2001 21 47 19 10 3 TREND: Which one of the following issues is most important to you when you think about your vote in the general election for president in November -- the economy, health care, the situation in Iraq, terrorism, taxes, gay marriage, social security or Medicare and prescription drugs? 2004.......... May 5 Mar 24 Economy 27 33 Health care 10 10 Iraq 20 11 Terrorism 17 16 Taxes 5 5 Gay marriage na 4 Social security 5 8 Medicare/Pres drugs 6 8 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 2 DK/NA 6 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 41 52 7 Dec 10, 2003 46 50 4 Oct 29, 2003 39 55 6 Sep 17,2003 44 50 6 Jul 24, 2003 42 53 5 Jun 11, 2003 45 50 5 Apr 17, 2003 53 41 7 Feb 4, 2003 43 52 5 Feb 22, 2002 62 30 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling terrorism? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 54 37 8 Dec 10, 2003 59 36 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 42 51 6 Dec 10, 2003 46 48 6 Oct 29, 2003 45 50 5 Sep 17,2003 51 43 6 Jul 24, 2003 52 43 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dick Cheney is handling his job as vice-president? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 39 41 20 Oct 29,2003 48 35 17 Sep 17,2003 54 30 17 Jul 24, 2003 52 34 14 Jun 11, 2003 50 32 17 Apr 16, 2003 54 23 23 Feb 22, 2002 58 20 22 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Rumsfeld is handling his job as secretary of defense? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 50 36 14 Oct 29,2003 54 35 11 Sep 17,2003 60 29 11 Jul 24, 2003 58 32 10 Jun 11, 2003 64 27 9 Apr 16, 2003 75 17 8 Feb 22, 2002 76 11 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Colin Powell is handling his job as secretary of state? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 71 19 10 Oct 29,2003 76 16 8 Sep 17,2003 78 14 7 Jul 24, 2003 79 15 5 Jun 11, 2003 80 14 6 Apr 16, 2003 85 9 6 Feb 22, 2002 85 8 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Condoleeza Rice is handling her job as national security advisor? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 54 30 16 Feb 22, 2002 65 10 25 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Ashcroft is handling his job as attorney general? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 47 32 21 Feb 22, 2002 65 19 16 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Ridge is handling his job as Director of Homeland Security? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 55 23 22 Feb 22, 2002 59 15 25 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Tenet is handling his job as CIA Director? App Dis DK/NA May 5, 2004 30 33 37 Jul 24, 2003 41 30 29 TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Not so Exclnt Good good Poor DK/NA May 5, 2004 2 36 40 21 1 Dec 10, 2003 3 37 42 16 1 Oct 29, 2003 2 29 45 23 1 Sep 17, 2003 1 29 42 27 1 Jul 24, 2003 1 28 41 28 1 Jun 11, 2003 2 31 41 25 2 Apr 17, 2003 2 34 43 20 1 Feb 4, 2003 1 23 48 27 1 Nov 13, 2002 1 28 47 24 - Dec 11, 2001 2 28 50 18 1 TREND: During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in the United States will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA May 5, 2004 39 18 37 6 Dec 10, 2003 48 14 36 2 Oct 29, 2003 40 19 38 3 Sep 17, 2003 38 20 39 3 Jul 24, 2003 40 19 37 4 Jun 11, 2003 46 17 33 4 Apr 17, 2003 50 13 36 2 Feb 4, 2003 30 26 39 5 Nov 13, 2002 40 20 36 4 TREND: Which issue will matter more in deciding how you vote for President next year -- Iraq or the economy? Iraq Econ DK/NA May 5, 2004 36 54 10 Feb 2, 2004 21 67 12 Jan 26, 2004 22 67 11 Dec 10, 2003 26 62 12 Oct 29, 2003 20 69 11 Sep 17, 2003 22 67 10 TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Right Wrong DK/NA May 5, 2004 48 45 7 Mar 24, 2004 54 39 7 Feb 2, 2004 52 42 6 Jan 26, 2004 52 40 7 Feb 2, 2004 52 42 6 Jan 26, 2004 52 40 7 Dec 10, 2003 54 40 6 Oct 29, 2003 53 42 6 Sep 17, 2003 58 37 5 TREND: How good a job do you think the Bush Administration did in planning for the situation in Iraq after the major fighting was over: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Exlnt Good NtGood Poor DK/NA May 5, 2004 4 27 30 37 3 Jul 24, 2003 8 34 28 27 2 TREND: Five years from now, do you think it is more likely that Iraq will have a democratically elected government or is it more likely that Iraq will be governed by some form of a dictatorship? Dem Dict DK/NA May 5, 2004 39 46 14 Jul 24, 2003 48 37 14 Apr 16, 2003 66 21 13 TREND: How likely do you think it is that in the near future there will be a terrorist attack in the United States causing large numbers of lives to be lost? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all. Very Smwht Not Not Likely likely very at all DK/NA May 5, 2004 26 50 16 5 3 Feb 21, 2002 31 49 14 3 4 Dec 10, 2001 31 43 17 7 3 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? WHITE...... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk His Men Wom Approve 46% 48% 44% 51% 18% 48% 52% 50% Disapprove 47 46 48 42 74 47 42 42 DK/NA 7 6 8 7 8 5 6 8 REGION...................... Rep Dem Ind NthEst MidWst South West Approve 84% 13% 42% 45% 47% 47% 44% Disapprove 11 81 48 51 44 46 48 DK/NA 5 6 9 5 9 7 7 RELIGION.... ATTEND SERVICES Lib Mod Con Prot Cath Weekly Less Approve 20% 42% 68% 53% 45% 54% 40% Disapprove 77 49 26 39 49 38 53 DK/NA 4 9 7 8 6 8 6 AGE........................ No col College Union 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ degree degree HsHold Approve 45% 52% 45% 39% 47% 44% 39% Disapprove 50 42 47 51 46 51 56 DK/NA 5 6 7 10 8 5 5 4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican and Ralph Nader the Independent for whom would you vote? WHITE...... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk His Men Wom Kerry 40% 38% 41% 35% 68% 44% 36% 35% Bush 43 45 41 48 13 44 49 48 Nader 6 7 6 6 7 3 6 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 9 8 10 8 10 8 6 9 REGION...................... Rep Dem Ind NthEst MidWst South West Kerry 8% 79% 33% 43% 38% 40% 37% Bush 85 9 39 41 45 43 43 Nader 2 4 12 6 6 6 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 2 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 1 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 4 7 13 9 8 9 8 RELIGION.... ATTEND SERVICES Lib Mod Con Prot Cath Weekly Less Kerry 64% 44% 21% 34% 41% 34% 44% Bush 14 40 67 51 42 52 37 Nader 12 6 3 4 7 5 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 8 9 7 9 9 7 10 AGE........................ No col College Union 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ degree degree HsHold Kerry 41% 34% 39% 47% 38% 45% 50% Bush 39 50 44 37 43 43 35 Nader 10 6 5 4 7 5 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 DK/NA 9 8 9 9 10 5 7 25. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? WHITE...... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk His Men Wom Right thing 48% 51% 46% 54% 17% 46% 56% 52% Wrong thing 45 43 46 40 77 45 38 41 DK/NA 7 5 8 7 7 8 6 8 REGION...................... Rep Dem Ind NthEst MidWst South West Right thing 79% 21% 48% 44% 50% 49% 50% Wrong thing 17 72 45 49 43 43 44 DK/NA 4 7 7 7 7 7 6 RELIGION.... ATTEND SERVICES Lib Mod Con Prot Cath Weekly Less Right thing 28% 48% 64% 54% 48% 55% 44% Wrong thing 67 45 30 39 46 38 49 DK/NA 6 7 6 7 5 7 6 AGE........................ No col College Union 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ degree degree HsHold Right thing 50% 54% 48% 38% 49% 46% 45% Wrong thing 46 40 44 52 43 50 50 DK/NA 4 6 8 10 8 4 5 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 46% 84% 13% 42% 48% 44% Disapprove 47 11 81 48 46 48 DK/NA 7 5 6 9 6 8 2. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for President -- a lot, some, only a little, or none at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom A lot 43% 48% 44% 40% 47% 40% Some 35 35 37 34 33 37 Only a little 15 13 15 18 16 15 None at all 6 4 5 8 4 8 DK/NA - - - 1 - - 3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Kerry 43% 8% 80% 39% 41% 44% Bush 44 87 9 41 46 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 5 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 9 4 8 14 8 10 4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican and Ralph Nader the Independent for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Kerry 40% 8% 79% 33% 38% 41% Bush 43 85 9 39 45 41 Nader 6 2 4 12 7 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 9 4 7 13 8 10 5. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? Kerry Bush Nader Tot Voters Voters Voters Made up 77% 80% 78% 46% Might change 22 19 21 52 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 6. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 40% 79% 7% 35% 41% 38% Unfavorable 39 7 69 39 38 40 Mixed 19 14 20 24 18 20 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 2 1 2 1 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 7. Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 27% 6% 55% 20% 25% 30% Unfavorable 29 56 6 29 31 27 Mixed 27 24 25 34 27 27 Hvn't hrd enough 15 12 14 16 15 15 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 8. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 14% 10% 12% 19% 16% 12% Unfavorable 27 32 27 25 31 24 Mixed 18 20 17 19 19 18 Hvn't hrd enough 39 36 41 36 33 45 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 2 9. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 10% 21% 1% 6% 11% 8% Smwht satisfied 34 55 15 35 36 32 Smwht dissatisfied 29 17 36 33 31 27 Very dissatisfied 26 6 45 25 21 31 DK/NA 1 - 2 - 1 1 10. Which one of the following issues is most important to you when you think about your vote in the general election for president in November; the economy, health care, the situation in Iraq, terrorism, taxes, social security or Medicare and prescription drugs? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Economy 27% 25% 27% 28% 28% 25% Health care 10 8 13 11 10 11 Iraq 20 17 26 20 18 22 Terrorism 17 30 7 17 19 15 Taxes 5 9 3 4 6 3 Social security 5 3 6 5 5 5 Medicare/prscrp drugs 6 4 9 5 5 8 SOMETHING ELSE (VOL) 4 2 4 4 4 4 DK/NA 6 3 5 6 5 6 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling -- the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 41% 78% 11% 38% 42% 40% Disapprove 52 16 82 55 52 51 DK/NA 7 5 7 8 6 9 12. ... of the way George W. Bush is handling -- terrorism? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 54% 87% 27% 53% 59% 50% Disapprove 37 10 61 39 34 40 DK/NA 8 3 12 8 7 10 13. ... of the way George W. Bush is handling -- the situation with Iraq? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 42% 76% 14% 41% 47% 38% Disapprove 51 20 81 52 49 54 DK/NA 6 5 5 7 4 8 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dick Cheney is handling his job as vice-president? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 39% 68% 16% 35% 39% 39% Disapprove 41 17 62 44 43 39 DK/NA 20 15 22 21 18 22 15. ... of the way Donald Rumsfeld is handling his job as secretary of defense? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 50% 76% 28% 48% 52% 48% Disapprove 36 15 57 37 38 35 DK/NA 14 9 15 15 10 17 16. ... of the way Colin Powell is handling his job as secretary of state? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 71% 89% 54% 73% 73% 69% Disapprove 19 6 32 17 19 19 DK/NA 10 5 14 10 8 12 17. ... of the way Condoleezza Rice is handling her job as national security advisor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 54% 82% 32% 53% 53% 54% Disapprove 30 9 49 31 31 30 DK/NA 16 9 19 17 16 16 18. ... of the way George Tenet is handling his job as CIA Director? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 30% 41% 20% 30% 32% 28% Disapprove 33 23 41 35 36 29 DK/NA 37 36 39 35 32 43 19. ... of the way John Ashcroft is handling his job as attorney general? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 47% 71% 26% 46% 47% 47% Disapprove 32 13 50 32 34 30 DK/NA 21 15 24 22 19 24 20. ... of the way Tom Ridge is handling his job as Director of Homeland Security? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 55% 73% 41% 56% 59% 51% Disapprove 23 11 35 21 21 24 DK/NA 22 16 24 23 20 25 21. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 2% 4% 1% 3% 3% 1% Good 36 61 14 33 40 31 Not so good 40 26 50 42 37 42 Poor 21 8 34 22 18 24 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 22. During the next 12 months, do you think the economic conditions in the United States will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Get better 39% 56% 27% 37% 44% 35% Get worse 18 9 26 17 16 20 Stay the same 37 31 41 40 35 39 DK/NA 6 4 6 6 5 6 23. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Better off 43% 62% 30% 42% 47% 39% Worse off 34 18 46 37 30 37 SAME(VOL) 22 19 23 20 22 22 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 24. Which issue will matter more in deciding how you vote for President this year, Iraq or the economy? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Iraq 36% 41% 34% 37% 33% 39% Economy 54 50 57 55 58 50 DK/NA 10 10 9 8 9 11 25. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 48% 79% 21% 48% 51% 46% Wrong thing 45 17 72 45 43 46 DK/NA 7 4 7 7 5 8 26. How good a job do you think the Bush Administration did in planning for the situation in Iraq after the major fighting was over: Excellent, good, not so good, or poor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Excellent 4% 8% 2% 3% 4% 4% Good 27 51 7 24 26 28 Not so good 30 29 30 33 30 30 Poor 37 11 60 37 38 35 DK/NA 3 2 1 3 2 3 27. Who do you think will do a better job of bringing the situation in Iraq to a successful conclusion George W. Bush or John Kerry? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Bush 48% 86% 14% 47% 51% 45% Kerry 37 9 67 35 35 39 DK/NA 15 5 19 18 15 16 28. Would you support or oppose increasing the number of U.S military forces in Iraq? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 46% 65% 31% 46% 56% 37% Oppose 47 29 63 48 38 55 DK/NA 7 6 6 6 5 8 29. Five years from now, do you think it is more likely that Iraq will have a democratically elected government or is it more likely that Iraq will be governed by some form of a dictatorship? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Dem government 39% 57% 30% 34% 42% 37% Dictatorship 46 30 58 50 45 47 DK/NA 14 14 12 15 13 16 30. Do you favor or oppose reinstating the military draft? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favor 26% 32% 19% 27% 31% 21% Oppose 67 60 76 65 63 71 DK/NA 7 9 5 7 6 9 31. How likely do you think it is that in the near future there will be a terrorist attack in the United States causing large numbers of lives to be lost? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very likely 26% 24% 28% 28% 26% 27% Smwht likely 50 53 50 50 50 50 Not very likely 16 17 14 17 16 16 Not likely at all 5 4 5 4 5 4 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 2 4 32. How likely do you think it is that there will be a terrorist attack in New York City when the Republican party holds its convention there this summer? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very likely 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 6% Smwht likely 30 29 35 30 27 34 Not very likely 39 46 35 39 41 38 Not likely at all 17 16 16 18 20 14 DK/NA 8 4 8 9 7 8 33. How likely do you think it is that there will be a terrorist attack in Boston when the Democratic party holds its convention there this summer? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very likely 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% Smwht likely 24 22 29 24 21 27 Not very likely 44 51 40 43 44 44 Not likely at all 21 21 19 20 25 17 DK/NA 8 4 8 9 7 8 34. How likely do you think it is that there will be a terrorist attack around the time of the Presidential election this November? Very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very likely 13% 11% 13% 14% 13% 12% Smwht likely 37 39 39 33 37 37 Not very likely 30 31 27 35 30 31 Not likely at all 15 14 16 13 17 12 DK/NA 6 5 6 5 4 7
