November 2, 2009 - New Jersey Gov Race Tips To Christie By 2 Points, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Daggett Voters Key As Race Is Too Close To Call Word format In the see-saw New Jersey Governor's race, Republican challenger Christopher Christie has 42 percent to Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine's 40 points, with 12 percent for independent candidate Christopher Daggett, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent remain undecided. This compares to a 43 - 38 percent Gov. Corzine lead, with 13 percent for Daggett, in an October 28 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Among Daggett supporters, 38 percent say they might change their mind: 39 percent say Corzine is their second choice, while 29 percent say Christie is number two. Only 10 percent of Christie voters and 13 percent of Corzine backers say they might change their mind. Corzine leads 77 - 6 percent among Democratic likely voters, with 12 percent for Daggett. Christie leads 78 - 10 percent among Republicans, with 9 percent for Daggett, and 47 - 32 percent among independent voters, with 17 percent for Daggett. "Daggett is the key to an incredibly close New Jersey election," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. From October 27 - November 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,533 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and nationally as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat, Christopher Christie the Republican, and Christopher Daggett the independent, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Corzine, Christie, or Daggett? (If Already Voted q1) Did you vote for Corzine, Christie or Daggett? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Corzine 40% 10% 77% 32% 36% 44% Christie 42 78 6 47 47 37 Daggett 12 9 12 17 12 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 6 3 6 4 4 8 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Corzine 53% 46% 28% 42% 29% Christie 30 37 58 35 52 Daggett 8 11 11 13 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - DK/NA 9 7 3 8 4 1a. (If candidate choice given q1, excludes already voted) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS......................... CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Made up 85% 88% 85% 81% 85% 85% Might change 15 12 14 19 15 15 DK/NA - - - - - - CAND CHOICE Q1.... Corz Chris Dagg Made up 86% 90% 61% Might change 13 10 38 DK/NA - - - 1b. (If voting for Daggett q1) Who is your second choice for Governor? DAGGETT VOTERS Q1 Corzine 39% Christie 29 Someone else 7 No one/wldn't vote 17 DK/NA 8 2. Is your opinion of - Christopher Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 70% 12% 42% 45% 36% Unfavorable 40 13 66 42 38 41 Hvn't hrd enough 16 15 20 13 13 19 REFUSED 4 2 2 4 4 4 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 35% 34% 49% 36% 55% Unfavorable 41 45 33 42 32 Hvn't hrd enough 23 18 14 17 9 REFUSED 2 3 5 5 4 3. Is your opinion of - Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 39% 14% 70% 30% 37% 41% Unfavorable 53 83 19 64 56 49 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 6 3 3 5 REFUSED 4 1 6 3 4 5 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 50% 45% 30% 38% 28% Unfavorable 40 47 68 48 63 Hvn't hrd enough 8 4 - 7 4 REFUSED 2 4 3 8 5 4. Is your opinion of - Christopher Daggett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS......................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 23% 21% 20% 29% 25% 21% Unfavorable 17 25 12 15 20 15 Hvn't hrd enough 57 52 66 54 53 62 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 2 3 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 22% 21% 22% 20% 28% Unfavorable 19 16 26 13 15 Hvn't hrd enough 57 61 48 63 55 REFUSED 2 2 3 4 3
