February 29, 2012 - Christie As VP Doesn't Help Romney Enough In NJ, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Back 10 % Tax Cut, Say It's Fair To Them Word format With Gov. Christopher Christie as his running mate, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the GOP front-runner, cuts into President Barack Obama's lead in New Jersey, but still falls short, trailing 49 - 43 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Without Gov. Christie, Romney trails President Obama 49 - 39 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. There is a big gender gap with or without Christie. With Christie, men vote Republican 51 - 43 percent while women vote Democratic 55 - 35 percent. New Jersey voters support 56 - 33 percent Christie's proposed 10 percent tax cut. Support is 83 - 11 percent among Republicans and 54 - 34 percent among independent voters. Democrats are opposed 51 - 38 percent. Support for the tax cut rises with household income. Voters also say 55 - 31 percent the tax cut is fair to people like them. Democrats say unfair 48 - 38 percent. "Gov. Christopher Christie says he'd be a terrible vice-president and we may never find out. Putting him on the ticket helps the Republicans a little, but not enough, in New Jersey. If the measure of a vice presidential pick is carrying his or her home state, then Gov. Christie comes up short," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But voters continue to give the Gov good marks on how he's doing his job in Trenton. New Jersey voters approve 55 - 38 percent of the job Christie is doing as governor, compared to his all-time high of 58 - 38 percent October 12. Approval is 62 - 32 percent among men and 49 - 44 percent among women. "No sooner did Christie propose his 10 percent income tax cut then legislative Democrats denounced it. But - so far - he wins with the voters. Even non-millionaires think the plan is fair to them," Carroll added. In other presidential matchups, without Christie: Obama tops former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum 52 - 34 percent; The president buries former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 55 - 30 percent. New Jersey voters approve 51 - 45 percent of the job Obama is doing, his best score in eight months, and say 51 - 44 percent he deserves four more years in the White House, also his best score so far. U.S. Senate Race Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez leads State Sen. Joe Kyrillos, his virtually unknown Republican challenger, 49 - 34 percent. Independent voters back the Democrat 44 - 33 percent. Menendez gets a 48 - 31 percent job approval rating, his best score ever, and voters say 48 - 34 percent he deserves to be reelected, also his best score ever. By a 38 - 24 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Menendez while 36 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion. For Kyrillos, 82 percent of voters don't know enough about him to form an opinion. "Sen. Robert Menendez's numbers are only so-so, but nobody has heard of State Sen. Joe Kyrillos. He gets only the generic Republican vote," Carroll said. U.S. Sen. Frank Lautenberg gets a 49 - 36 percent approval rating, his highest score since a 55 - 22 percent approval July 27, 2000. Republican Presidential Primary In the presidential primary, Romney tops Santorum among Republicans 38 - 24 percent, with 12 percent for Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul and 9 percent for Gingrich. From February 21 - 27, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,396 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 446 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Gingrich 9% 9% 9% 11% 6% 14% 7% Romney 38 40 37 38 41 34 41 Santorum 24 25 24 32 15 28 22 Paul 12 15 9 9 14 13 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 1 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 7 - 8 - 5 DK/NA 11 10 12 10 12 10 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <50K 50-100 >100K Gingrich 8% 9% 5% 7% 15% 10% 11% 6% Romney 41 37 42 41 36 31 43 43 Santorum 22 25 24 30 20 20 22 28 Paul 12 12 18 6 8 20 13 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 7 2 5 1 4 2 3 6 DK/NA 9 12 5 11 15 16 5 7 TREND: (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........ Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 2012 2012 2011 2011 Gingrich 9 14 22 5 Romney 38 40 29 28 Santorum 24 14 1 1 Paul 12 12 6 11 Bachmann na na 3 4 Cain na na 12 17 Huntsman na 4 4 2 Perry na 2 3 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 2 DK/NA 11 13 16 18 2. (If Registered Republican) Does Governor Christie's endorsement of Mitt Romney for the Republican nomination make you more likely to vote for Romney in the primary, less likely to vote for Romney in the primary, or doesn't it make a difference? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No More likely 18% 21% 15% 19% 18% 18% 17% Less likely 8 6 10 5 12 3 11 Doesn't make diff 74 73 75 76 70 79 72 DK/NA - - - - 1 1 - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <50K 50-100 >100K More likely 20% 17% 21% 17% 14% 12% 10% 29% Less likely 9 7 8 8 10 9 13 4 Doesn't make diff 71 75 71 75 76 78 77 66 DK/NA - - - - 1 - - 1 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Obama 52% 10% 87% 52% 49% 55% 42% 94% Santorum 34 79 4 30 40 29 43 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 2 7 4 5 5 - DK/NA 8 5 7 9 5 10 8 5 WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 51% 37% 36% 38% 39% 45% 30% 40% 46% Santorum 38 46 53 46 49 38 63 44 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 1 2 1 - 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 3 5 4 5 3 5 4 DK/NA 4 10 5 10 5 10 4 9 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 58% 49% 55% 55% 43% 59% 53% 51% 52% Santorum 30 37 31 34 40 28 40 33 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 6 3 4 3 1 7 5 DK/NA 5 9 6 6 12 9 6 7 7 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Obama 55% 13% 88% 57% 54% 57% 46% 95% Gingrich 30 72 3 25 35 25 37 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 1 3 3 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 6 2 8 5 7 7 1 DK/NA 7 5 6 8 5 9 7 3 WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 53% 42% 46% 42% 45% 48% 36% 45% 51% Gingrich 35 39 39 42 42 33 55 38 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 8 6 6 6 7 3 7 7 DK/NA 4 8 7 7 4 9 5 7 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 61% 52% 59% 57% 47% 62% 57% 51% 58% Gingrich 28 31 29 29 33 21 32 34 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 6 5 7 5 3 6 6 DK/NA 4 9 4 6 10 9 6 7 4 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Feb 29 Nov 16 2012 2011 Obama 55 53 Gingrich 30 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 4 DK/NA 7 6 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Obama 49% 8% 84% 47% 46% 52% 40% 96% Romney 39 85 8 36 44 34 48 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 5 2 5 4 - DK/NA 7 2 6 9 5 8 6 2 WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 46% 36% 36% 35% 36% 43% 36% 37% 47% Romney 46 50 55 52 54 43 63 50 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 2 1 - 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 2 4 3 5 1 4 4 DK/NA 5 7 6 7 4 8 - 8 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 53% 46% 49% 53% 43% 56% 56% 48% 47% Romney 36 41 38 38 43 30 37 42 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 4 4 5 1 4 3 DK/NA 6 7 8 4 9 7 3 5 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 2012 2012 2011 2011 Obama 49 48 49 47 Romney 39 38 40 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 3 DK/NA 7 9 7 7 6. Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Christopher Christie for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Democratic ticket 49% 7% 85% 47% 43% 55% 41% 92% Republican ticket 43 88 11 40 51 35 51 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 1 3 2 - DK/NA 5 3 3 7 5 6 5 - WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Democratic ticket 47% 38% 38% 36% 37% 45% 37% 39% 47% Republican ticket 47 53 58 55 58 45 60 53 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 1 2 1 3 - 2 2 DK/NA 4 5 2 6 3 6 2 6 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Democratic ticket 54% 46% 51% 51% 44% 60% 51% 49% 47% Republican ticket 40 44 42 40 47 33 46 42 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 DK/NA 4 6 5 6 6 4 3 4 6 7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Robert Menendez the Democrat and Joe Kyrillos the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Menendez 49% 11% 86% 44% 44% 53% Kyrillos 34 77 3 33 42 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 14 10 8 19 10 17 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Menendez 54% 47% 45% 67% 52% 37% 46% 44% Kyrillos 28 36 39 19 32 46 30 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 DK/NA 15 15 14 11 13 14 20 12 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Menendez 52% 47% 49% 53% 46% 54% 52% 52% 44% Kyrillos 32 35 34 31 38 23 35 34 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 3 - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 2 2 3 1 1 4 DK/NA 12 15 13 14 12 17 12 12 13 8. Is your opinion of Robert Menendez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 16% 59% 35% 36% 40% Unfavorable 24 47 6 25 31 18 Hvn't hrd enough 36 34 34 38 30 41 REFUSED 2 3 - 2 2 1 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 44% 31% 32% 57% 40% 32% 28% 36% Unfavorable 19 25 27 17 20 38 21 29 Hvn't hrd enough 35 43 40 26 38 27 50 33 REFUSED 2 1 1 - 2 3 1 2 9. Is your opinion of Joe Kyrillos favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 11% 21% 6% 9% 15% 7% Unfavorable 6 - 9 7 8 4 Hvn't hrd enough 82 78 85 83 76 88 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Favorable 9% 11% 15% 7% 9% 11% 10% 18% Unfavorable 7 6 8 9 6 4 4 7 Hvn't hrd enough 82 82 78 82 85 84 85 74 REFUSED 2 - - 2 - - 1 1 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 55% 86% 27% 59% 62% 49% Disapprove 38 11 61 36 32 44 DK/NA 7 3 12 5 7 7 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 44% 56% 58% 33% 51% 72% 53% 64% Disapprove 48 38 37 55 41 24 41 31 DK/NA 8 6 5 12 8 4 6 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 53% 56% 55% 52% 58% 49% 51% 55% 58% Disapprove 41 37 40 39 34 43 41 39 34 DK/NA 7 7 5 9 9 7 8 6 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*Low approve also 44% Jun 2010) APPROVE....... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Oct 12 Jun 21 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* Approve 55 53 56 58 47 58 44 Disapprove 38 39 38 38 46 38 47 DK/NA 7 8 6 4 7 4 10 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Stephen Sweeney is handling his job as State Senate President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 27% 30% 30% 32% 25% Disapprove 26 27 23 28 31 22 DK/NA 46 46 47 42 37 53 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 30% 25% 27% 24% 25% 29% 32% 33% Disapprove 29 27 30 24 26 27 30 23 DK/NA 41 48 43 51 49 44 38 44 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Stephen Sweeney is handling his job as State Senate President? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 2012 2012 2011 2011 Approve 28 27 23 23 Disapprove 26 26 28 29 DK/NA 46 47 50 48 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheila Oliver is handling her job as Assembly Speaker? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 24% 19% 29% 24% 26% 21% Disapprove 20 25 13 21 24 16 DK/NA 57 55 58 55 50 63 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 25% 20% 22% 28% 25% 17% 22% 23% Disapprove 20 20 22 19 18 29 16 21 DK/NA 55 60 56 53 57 54 62 56 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheila Oliver is handling her job as Assembly Speaker? (*High also 24% Jan 2012, Jun 2011, **Low also 19% Aug 2010, Nov 2010) APPROVAL...... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Feb 29 Nov 16 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012* 2011** Approve 24 24 19 21 21 24 19 Disapprove 20 20 21 23 25 20 21 DK/NA 57 55 60 55 54 57 60 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state assembly is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 33% 31% 38% 33% 34% 33% Disapprove 44 44 38 48 48 39 DK/NA 23 25 24 20 18 27 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 34% 29% 30% 29% 35% 31% 37% 32% Disapprove 44 46 49 42 45 45 39 45 DK/NA 22 25 21 29 20 25 24 22 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state assembly is handling its job? (*Low also 25% Dec 2010) APPROVAL...... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Feb 29 Aug 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2011* Approve 33 31 30 29 25 33 25 Disapprove 44 47 46 49 55 44 55 DK/NA 23 22 24 22 20 23 20 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state senate is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 36% 34% 40% 36% 35% 36% Disapprove 46 45 43 48 50 41 DK/NA 19 21 17 16 14 23 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 39% 32% 31% 31% 38% 33% 37% 36% Disapprove 46 47 51 47 46 44 45 45 DK/NA 15 21 18 22 16 23 19 19 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state senate is handling its job? APPROVAL...... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Feb 29 Aug 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2011 Approve 36 33 32 29 27 36 27 Disapprove 46 50 47 53 57 46 57 DK/NA 19 17 21 18 16 19 16 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 48% 23% 71% 45% 47% 49% Disapprove 31 56 12 31 40 23 DK/NA 21 21 17 24 14 28 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 54% 41% 40% 59% 53% 37% 43% 43% Disapprove 25 34 37 25 27 43 25 38 DK/NA 21 25 23 16 20 19 32 19 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 Feb 29 Feb 20 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2008 Approve 48 42 43 42 39 48 30 Disapprove 31 39 34 35 42 31 31 DK/NA 21 20 23 23 19 21 39 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 49% 30% 69% 45% 46% 52% Disapprove 36 57 16 36 43 29 DK/NA 15 13 14 19 12 18 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 53% 41% 40% 57% 53% 42% 42% 47% Disapprove 32 41 44 32 29 48 35 41 DK/NA 15 18 16 11 18 9 23 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Frank Lautenberg is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High approve also 55% Sep 1999 & Jul 1999) APPROVE....... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 Jul 27 Feb 20 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2000* 2008 Approve 49 42 45 46 43 55 39 Disapprove 36 43 38 37 45 22 31 DK/NA 15 15 17 17 12 23 29 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Approve 51% 11% 86% 48% 46% 54% 42% 93% Disapprove 45 87 11 47 50 41 55 4 DK/NA 4 2 3 6 4 4 3 3 WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 46% 39% 36% 40% 38% 45% 35% 40% 50% Disapprove 52 57 59 58 59 51 65 56 46 DK/NA 2 4 5 3 2 4 - 4 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 53% 49% 54% 51% 47% 63% 55% 47% 50% Disapprove 42 47 42 45 49 33 42 50 45 DK/NA 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 Jun 10 Oct 13 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 51 49 48 43 44 68 43 Disapprove 45 48 48 52 52 25 52 DK/NA 4 3 5 5 4 7 5 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kim Guadagno is handling her job as Lieutenant Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 31% 43% 18% 33% 36% 26% Disapprove 19 12 26 17 21 17 DK/NA 50 45 55 51 43 57 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 29% 32% 36% 29% 29% 33% 29% 35% Disapprove 25 19 19 15 22 18 16 18 DK/NA 46 50 46 57 49 49 55 46 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kim Guadagno is handling her job as Lieutenant Governor? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Nov 09 2012 2012 2011 2011 2010 Approve 31 35 34 32 31 Disapprove 19 22 20 24 18 DK/NA 50 43 46 44 50 19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 6% 10% 3% 6% 6% 5% Smwht satisfied 44 57 33 44 48 39 Smwht dissatisfied 30 21 37 31 27 34 Very dissatisfied 20 11 25 19 18 21 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Very satisfied 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6% Smwht satisfied 36 43 41 44 40 50 40 48 Smwht dissatisfied 29 32 30 30 34 28 26 31 Very dissatisfied 31 20 24 20 20 15 28 15 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Very satisfied 4% 7% 5% 4% 8% 8% 7% 3% 6% Smwht satisfied 42 44 45 41 47 40 46 38 49 Smwht dissatisfied 34 28 32 32 28 31 27 32 30 Very dissatisfied 18 20 18 24 17 20 18 26 14 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New Jersey today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 71% Feb 1999) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Feb 29 Jan 19 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Dec 26 Jun 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2000* 2010 Very satisfied 6 4 5 6 3 10 2 Smwht satisfied 44 38 40 38 31 61 22 Smwht dissatisfied 30 34 33 28 35 21 36 Very dissatisfied 20 24 22 26 31 7 39 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 20. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Yes/Deserves 51% 9% 87% 48% 46% 55% 41% 96% No/Does not 44 88 8 46 49 40 55 2 DK/NA 5 3 4 6 5 5 4 2 WHITE............................................... COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Mltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes/Deserves 47% 37% 35% 38% 36% 45% 33% 39% 47% No/Does not 51 58 61 58 59 51 66 56 47 DK/NA 2 5 3 5 5 4 1 5 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes/Deserves 55% 48% 54% 51% 45% 61% 51% 48% 51% No/Does not 41 47 41 46 49 32 43 49 44 DK/NA 4 6 6 3 6 6 7 3 5 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 51 49 50 47 45 No/Does not 44 46 45 48 49 DK/NA 5 6 5 5 6 21. Do you feel that Robert Menendez deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes/Deserves 48% 17% 76% 43% 45% 50% No/Does not 34 64 11 32 42 26 DK/NA 19 19 12 25 13 24 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Yes/Deserves 56% 43% 42% 62% 51% 34% 45% 44% No/Does not 26 35 38 26 30 47 31 38 DK/NA 18 22 20 12 18 19 24 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes/Deserves 50% 46% 48% 48% 47% 52% 52% 48% 44% No/Does not 34 33 32 32 37 27 28 35 39 DK/NA 16 20 20 19 16 21 20 17 17 TREND: Do you feel that Robert Menendez deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 13 Aug 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 48 45 44 40 41 No/Does not 34 38 37 38 43 DK/NA 19 17 20 21 16 22. Regardless of how you feel about Christopher Christie's policies, would you say you like or don't like Christopher Christie as a person? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Like 56% 85% 30% 60% 64% 48% Don't Like 32 8 55 28 25 37 DK/NA 13 7 15 12 10 15 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Like 47% 60% 62% 36% 55% 66% 54% 64% Don't Like 42 26 24 46 34 24 33 24 DK/NA 11 14 14 18 12 10 12 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Like 52% 58% 56% 52% 62% 49% 54% 58% 59% Don't Like 35 29 33 34 27 35 33 30 31 DK/NA 13 12 11 14 11 16 13 12 10 TREND: Regardless of how you feel about Christopher Christie's policies, would you say you like or don't like Christopher Christie as a person? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Jun 21 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Like 56 55 55 59 50 49 Don't Like 32 32 32 26 35 33 DK/NA 13 13 12 14 16 19 23. And regardless of how you feel about Christopher Christie as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Christopher Christie's policies? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Like 54% 86% 23% 60% 61% 47% Don't Like 42 12 71 36 35 48 DK/NA 5 2 6 4 4 5 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Like 46% 56% 58% 30% 51% 70% 51% 63% Don't Like 49 40 38 61 43 27 47 33 DK/NA 5 4 5 8 6 3 3 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Like 52% 54% 53% 52% 58% 44% 49% 54% 59% Don't Like 43 40 44 43 35 46 48 44 36 DK/NA 4 5 3 5 7 10 3 2 4 TREND: And regardless of how you feel about Christopher Christie as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of Christopher Christie's policies? Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 16 Oct 12 Aug 17 Jun 21 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Like 54 52 54 54 48 45 Don't Like 42 44 40 42 47 49 DK/NA 5 4 6 4 5 6 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling the state budget? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 55% 85% 26% 62% 63% 47% Disapprove 38 12 64 32 33 43 DK/NA 7 3 10 6 4 10 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 44% 57% 58% 31% 54% 68% 55% 62% Disapprove 49 37 35 58 39 26 38 33 DK/NA 7 7 6 11 8 5 7 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 53% 56% 53% 54% 57% 49% 52% 54% 58% Disapprove 39 37 41 40 32 40 42 40 35 DK/NA 8 7 6 6 11 11 6 6 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling the state budget? APPROVE High Low Feb 29 Jan 18 Nov 17 Aug 17 Jun 21 Feb 29 Jun 17 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2010 Approve 55 52 54 50 47 55 45 Disapprove 38 42 39 46 48 38 49 DK/NA 7 6 7 4 6 7 6 25. Have you heard or read anything about Governor Christie's recent proposal for a 10 percent across-the-board income tax cut? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 76% 79% 76% 75% 80% 73% No 23 20 24 25 20 26 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Yes 80% 72% 76% 79% 78% 76% 64% 81% No 20 27 24 20 21 23 36 19 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 78% 75% 68% 83% 82% 74% 72% 78% 77% No 21 24 32 16 17 25 28 21 22 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 2 1 - 1 - 26. Do you support or oppose Governor Christie's proposal for a 10 percent across-the-board income tax cut? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 56% 83% 38% 54% 61% 52% Oppose 33 11 51 34 33 33 DK/NA 11 6 11 12 6 15 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Support 51% 60% 60% 38% 54% 62% 59% 65% Oppose 35 29 31 46 36 28 29 27 DK/NA 14 10 9 16 10 9 12 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Support 51% 60% 58% 54% 56% 49% 53% 56% 60% Oppose 37 30 30 37 34 32 31 37 32 DK/NA 12 10 11 10 10 19 16 8 7 27. Do you think this tax proposal is fair or unfair to people like you? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Fair 55% 79% 38% 54% 64% 47% Unfair 31 13 48 31 29 34 DK/NA 13 8 14 15 7 19 Union HAVE KIDS.... Philly HsHlds <18 PubSch Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Fair 50% 60% 61% 47% 51% 65% 56% 60% Unfair 34 28 28 40 36 24 28 27 DK/NA 16 12 11 13 13 12 17 13 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Fair 58% 54% 58% 53% 52% 37% 49% 56% 66% Unfair 29 33 27 35 36 43 35 34 22 DK/NA 13 13 15 12 12 19 17 10 13 Demographic Summary
