September 6, 2012 - Obama Tops Romney Among New Jersey Likely Voters, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Menendez Has 10-Point Lead Over Kyrillos Word format President Barack Obama tops Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, 51 - 44 percent among New Jersey likely voters, who say the president will do a better job on Medicare and health care while Romney will do a better job on the economy, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is the first measure of New Jersey likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters. The gender and racial gaps are wide as Obama leads 57 - 38 percent among women and 92 - 3 percent among blacks. Romney leads 51 - 44 percent among men and 54 - 41 percent among white voters. Romney has a thin 48 - 44 percent lead among independent voters. New Jersey voters give Obama a 52 - 44 percent favorability, while Romney has a 43 - 41 percent score. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a 44 - 41 percent favorability. U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, has a split 33 - 34 percent favorability, with 33 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. "Gov. Mitt Romney trails President Barack Obama by 7 points in blue, blue New Jersey. Is it a post-convention bounce for Romney and will the president get his own bounce this week?" asked Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The votes look to be locked in. Almost 90 percent of Obama's New Jersey voters and more than 90 percent of Romney backers say they'll stand by their man." "U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, gets mixed reviews: 33 percent of Garden State voters say he's qualified to be president, while 29 percent say no and 37 percent don't know. Vice President Joseph Biden is qualified to step up, voters say 46 - 37 percent." New Jersey voters say 59 - 38 percent that Obama cares about their needs and problems. Only 45 percent say Romney cares, while 48 percent say he doesn't care. Voters list several issues as "extremely important" in their presidential vote: 67 percent say the economy; 54 percent cite health care; 46 percent point to taxes; 45 percent list the budget deficit; 44 percent say Medicare. Romney would do a better job on the economy, 48 percent of voters say, while 45 percent pick Obama. Obama does a better job on health care, voters say 52 - 43 percent, and on Medicare, voters say 51 - 41 percent. Government is doing too many things better left to business and individuals, 51 percent of New Jersey voters say, while 43 percent say government should do more. "The big party split is on government's role: Half of all voters, including 83 percent of Republicans, say government is doing too much; a bit less than half, including 70 percent of Democrats, say government should solve problems," Carroll said. U.S. Senate Race Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Robert Menendez leads State Sen. Joseph Kyrillos, his Republican challenger, 50 - 40 percent in this first likely voter survey. Women back Menendez 55 - 33 percent while men are divided with 47 percent for Kyrillos and 44 percent for Menendez. Independent voters go Democratic 46 - 39 percent. White voters back Kyrillos 49 - 41 percent while black voters back Menendez 89 - 5 percent. New Jersey voters approve 49 - 33 percent of the job Menendez is doing. The incumbent has a 42 - 28 percent favorability. For Kyrillos, 65 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion. From August 27 - September 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,471 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 51% 6% 95% 44% 44% 57% 41% 92% Romney 44 91 3 48 51 38 54 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - DK/NA 4 2 1 6 3 4 3 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Obama 47% 37% 32% 33% 37% 46% 20% 36% Romney 49 58 64 63 59 49 76 60 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 54% 49% 58% 51% 51% 48% 67% 51% 46% Romney 42 46 33 45 46 49 29 46 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 4 4 9 3 2 2 3 2 5 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Obama Romney Mind made up 89% 86% 92% Might change 10 12 7 DK/NA 1 2 1 2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 43% 85% 7% 45% 49% 37% 53% 7% Unfavorable 41 6 77 35 39 43 35 71 Hvn't hrd enough 13 7 14 17 9 17 9 18 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 3 3 2 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable 49% 56% 59% 62% 58% 48% 71% 59% Unfavorable 41 32 29 29 33 37 18 30 Hvn't hrd enough 8 10 10 7 7 12 7 9 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 3 4 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 41% 44% 33% 44% 41% 48% 27% 42% 48% Unfavorable 45 39 44 42 41 40 52 40 39 Hvn't hrd enough 12 14 16 13 14 10 19 15 9 REFUSED 2 3 7 1 3 2 1 2 4 3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 52% 8% 93% 48% 46% 58% 43% 93% Unfavorable 44 89 4 47 52 36 55 2 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 2 - 3 1 1 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Favorable 49% 38% 32% 36% 39% 47% 19% 37% Unfavorable 49 59 65 61 60 49 75 60 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 1 3 4 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 56% 50% 59% 55% 50% 50% 70% 50% 48% Unfavorable 41 46 33 41 45 49 25 47 48 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 2 2 2 - 3 1 2 REFUSED 2 3 6 2 3 1 2 2 3 4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Robert Menendez the Democrat and Joe Kyrillos the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Menendez or Kyrillos? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Menendez 50% 7% 89% 46% 44% 55% 41% 89% Kyrillos 40 85 5 39 47 33 49 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 10 8 6 14 8 11 10 7 4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS......... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4... Tot Menendez Kyrillos Mind made up 80% 77% 83% Might change 20 23 17 DK/NA - - - 5. Is your opinion of Robert Menendez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 42% 11% 70% 39% 40% 43% 36% 69% Unfavorable 28 57 5 29 36 21 34 4 Hvn't hrd enough 28 32 25 29 21 35 29 24 REFUSED 1 - - 3 3 - 1 3 6. Is your opinion of Joe Kyrillos favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 23% 47% 6% 21% 28% 20% 27% 12% Unfavorable 10 3 19 8 10 10 9 23 Hvn't hrd enough 65 50 75 69 61 69 64 61 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 3 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Robert Menendez is handling his job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 49% 17% 78% 45% 46% 51% 43% 71% Disapprove 33 62 8 33 41 25 38 8 DK/NA 19 22 14 22 12 25 19 21 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 51% 7% 93% 44% 44% 57% 40% 96% Disapprove 46 91 6 51 54 39 58 1 DK/NA 3 2 1 5 2 4 2 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve 45% 36% 32% 33% 36% 44% 22% 34% Disapprove 52 62 67 65 63 53 76 63 DK/NA 2 2 1 3 1 3 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 52% 49% 60% 52% 49% 46% 66% 49% 47% Disapprove 45 48 34 44 48 53 29 49 50 DK/NA 3 3 6 3 3 1 5 2 3 17. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 41% 53% 37% 37% 41% 41% 41% 46% Less 17 13 14 23 16 19 18 9 About the same 42 34 49 40 44 40 41 46 DK/NA - - - - - - - - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No More 36% 45% 46% 44% 40% 42% 49% 44% Less 19 17 19 14 17 19 20 16 About the same 45 38 35 41 43 39 32 41 DK/NA - - - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 34% 46% 43% 43% 43% 33% 39% 37% 45% Less 18 17 16 16 19 18 16 19 16 About the same 48 37 41 41 39 48 46 44 39 DK/NA - - - - - - - - - 18. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 46% 5% 89% 36% 39% 52% 37% 83% Unfavorable 45 88 7 50 54 38 55 9 Hvn't hrd enough 7 6 4 10 6 8 6 4 REFUSED 2 1 - 4 2 2 2 3 19. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 39% 83% 4% 37% 43% 34% 46% 6% Unfavorable 51 9 88 48 47 54 44 80 Hvn't hrd enough 8 6 7 12 7 10 7 9 REFUSED 2 2 - 3 2 2 2 4 20. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 44% 7% 76% 41% 40% 47% 36% 74% Unfavorable 41 81 6 44 48 35 51 4 Hvn't hrd enough 14 12 16 13 10 17 12 20 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 2 21. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 33% 67% 4% 34% 41% 25% 40% 2% Unfavorable 34 5 57 34 35 33 32 46 Hvn't hrd enough 33 29 39 31 23 41 28 50 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 - 2 22. Does Barack Obama's choice of Joe Biden for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Obama for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More likely 14% 3% 27% 10% 9% 18% 10% 35% Less likely 14 27 2 16 17 12 17 1 No difference 71 70 70 73 72 69 73 61 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 4 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No More likely 8% 11% 7% 9% 7% 12% 1% 9% Less likely 16 18 19 20 19 15 21 19 No difference 76 71 74 71 73 73 78 72 DK/NA - - - - - - 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 10% 17% 23% 13% 14% 9% 11% 13% 15% Less likely 14 15 17 10 13 16 15 12 17 No difference 76 68 56 76 72 75 73 74 68 DK/NA 1 1 4 - - 1 1 1 - 23. Does Mitt Romney's choice of Paul Ryan for Vice President make you more likely to vote for Romney for President, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More likely 23% 46% 2% 24% 28% 19% 28% 5% Less likely 25 6 38 26 23 27 21 36 No difference 51 47 58 49 48 52 50 58 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No More likely 23% 31% 33% 32% 32% 24% 40% 30% Less likely 27 17 19 15 20 23 14 18 No difference 49 51 48 52 48 52 45 51 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 20% 25% 20% 26% 24% 21% 15% 21% 27% Less likely 30 21 28 25 26 24 33 22 25 No difference 49 52 46 48 50 54 50 55 47 DK/NA 1 2 6 1 - 1 1 2 1 24. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Qualified 46% 16% 72% 44% 47% 45% 41% 67% Not qualified 37 72 9 38 43 32 45 9 Don't know enough 16 12 18 16 9 21 13 22 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 3 25. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Qualified 33% 61% 8% 34% 41% 25% 39% 11% Not qualified 29 5 48 31 28 30 27 41 Don't know enough 37 33 44 34 30 44 34 46 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 1 2 Q26a. (Summary table for ques 26-33 & ques 36-43) Will -issue- be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on -issue- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (This table reports only those saying an issue is extremely important to their vote) LIKELY VOTERS SAYING -ISSUE- IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO VOTE IssueExtremely CAND WHO WOULD BETTER HANDLE ISSUE Q36-43 (Issue) ImpToVote Q26-33 Obama Romney DK/NA The economy 67 40 55 6 Health care 54 56 40 4 Taxes 46 40 55 5 Budget deficit 45 27 68 5 Medicare 44 59 36 5 Foreign policy 33 45 49 6 Reproductive health 33 80 15 5 Abortion 27 68 26 5 26. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 54% 51% 64% 48% 51% 58% 53% 67% Very important 33 34 30 35 33 32 33 30 Somewhat important 11 12 6 14 13 9 11 3 Not important 2 3 1 2 3 2 2 - DK/NA - - - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 52% 57% 55% 66% 57% 48% 59% 52% 56% Very important 32 33 37 24 33 32 31 34 31 Somewhat important 14 8 5 10 7 17 9 11 10 Not important 2 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 DK/NA - - - - - - - - - 27. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 46% 57% 40% 43% 47% 46% 46% 50% Very important 35 33 38 34 33 37 35 31 Somewhat important 15 7 18 18 17 14 16 17 Not important 2 2 2 4 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 42% 50% 40% 51% 48% 47% 45% 49% 44% Very important 36 34 37 30 36 34 30 37 36 Somewhat important 20 12 17 15 14 16 21 11 16 Not important 2 3 4 3 2 3 3 2 3 DK/NA - 1 2 1 1 - - - 1 28. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 67% 78% 62% 62% 67% 66% 66% 75% Very important 28 20 32 31 28 28 29 20 Somewhat important 5 2 6 6 5 5 5 4 Not important 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - DK/NA - - - - - - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 67% 66% 60% 63% 70% 69% 70% 71% 60% Very important 27 29 35 33 25 26 24 24 34 Somewhat important 6 4 4 3 5 5 4 4 5 Not important - 1 2 - - - 2 - - DK/NA - - - - - - - - - 29. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 45% 58% 30% 49% 47% 43% 47% 38% Very important 32 32 35 29 29 35 32 29 Somewhat important 19 8 30 17 20 18 17 26 Not important 4 1 5 5 3 4 3 6 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 40% 49% 46% 49% 46% 42% 46% 43% 47% Very important 31 33 35 32 29 33 26 35 32 Somewhat important 24 15 15 16 22 20 22 19 18 Not important 5 3 4 3 2 5 6 3 4 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - - - 30. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 33% 36% 26% 37% 35% 31% 35% 34% Very important 42 44 45 38 43 42 44 24 Somewhat important 22 19 25 22 20 24 19 40 Not important 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 DK/NA - - 1 - - 1 - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 32% 34% 37% 33% 34% 30% 29% 29% 38% Very important 44 41 38 39 43 45 46 43 42 Somewhat important 23 22 19 26 21 23 23 26 18 Not important 1 3 6 2 2 2 2 3 2 DK/NA - - - 1 - - - - - 31. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 44% 40% 53% 41% 39% 49% 42% 63% Very important 34 32 33 36 32 37 35 27 Somewhat important 18 24 12 18 23 13 21 6 Not important 3 4 2 4 5 1 2 2 DK/NA - - - - - - - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 36% 50% 54% 54% 49% 32% 32% 35% 60% Very important 35 34 30 31 36 35 41 35 31 Somewhat important 25 12 10 14 13 29 19 27 8 Not important 4 3 5 - 2 4 8 4 - DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - 1 32. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 33% 18% 48% 30% 26% 39% 28% 55% Very important 27 22 32 26 27 28 27 29 Somewhat important 23 30 14 27 26 21 25 12 Not important 15 28 3 15 19 11 19 3 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Extremely important 29% 26% 18% 22% 21% 35% 10% 23% Very important 26 28 30 28 27 27 30 28 Somewhat important 23 26 29 26 27 22 35 26 Not important 20 18 20 22 23 14 22 21 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 32% 32% 36% 40% 30% 28% 52% 28% 29% Very important 27 28 37 23 28 25 27 26 29 Somewhat important 23 24 14 18 26 28 14 27 23 Not important 17 14 10 17 14 19 6 18 16 DK/NA 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 33. Will - abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 27% 20% 36% 24% 22% 32% 26% 31% Very important 22 21 24 19 20 23 21 20 Somewhat important 27 29 23 31 31 24 28 28 Not important 22 28 15 24 25 19 23 19 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Extremely important 25% 26% 23% 21% 20% 31% 30% 22% Very important 20 23 23 22 20 23 22 21 Somewhat important 30 27 28 30 32 24 23 31 Not important 24 22 23 24 25 20 24 23 DK/NA 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 25% 28% 28% 34% 31% 22% 39% 26% 24% Very important 21 22 30 20 18 20 17 20 25 Somewhat important 30 25 23 21 30 28 25 27 28 Not important 23 22 14 23 19 29 17 26 21 DK/NA 1 3 5 2 2 1 2 2 2 34. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 59% 20% 95% 54% 53% 64% 50% 96% No 38 77 4 41 44 33 47 1 DK/NA 3 3 1 5 3 3 3 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Yes 56% 45% 40% 44% 46% 54% 33% 45% No 41 52 58 53 51 44 65 52 DK/NA 3 3 2 3 3 3 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 62% 56% 61% 63% 60% 56% 75% 58% 55% No 35 40 34 36 38 42 23 40 42 DK/NA 3 3 5 1 2 2 2 3 3 35. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 45% 84% 13% 46% 50% 40% 53% 10% No 48 13 79 46 44 52 41 78 DK/NA 7 3 8 8 6 7 6 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Yes 50% 56% 58% 62% 57% 50% 73% 58% No 46 38 38 33 39 43 24 37 DK/NA 5 6 5 5 4 7 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 44% 46% 36% 42% 47% 47% 38% 45% 47% No 50 47 55 54 46 47 55 49 45 DK/NA 6 7 9 4 7 5 7 5 8 36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 52% 7% 94% 47% 47% 56% 42% 96% Romney 43 88 3 45 48 37 52 1 DK/NA 6 5 3 9 5 7 5 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 54% 50% 59% 54% 51% 49% 65% 51% 48% Romney 40 44 34 42 44 47 27 43 47 DK/NA 6 5 7 4 5 5 7 6 5 Health Care Extrmly Imp To Vote Q26 Obama 56% Romney 40 DK/NA 4 37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 46% 7% 85% 40% 39% 52% 37% 87% Romney 48 90 10 51 57 39 58 5 DK/NA 6 3 6 10 4 9 5 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 46% 46% 56% 55% 44% 41% 54% 46% 44% Romney 47 48 35 42 51 53 37 48 50 DK/NA 7 6 9 3 5 6 10 5 6 Taxes Extrmly Imp To Vote Q27 Obama 40% Romney 55 DK/NA 5 38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 45% 6% 85% 37% 38% 50% 35% 87% Romney 48 92 6 53 56 41 59 2 DK/NA 7 2 8 10 6 8 6 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 46% 44% 51% 50% 44% 42% 56% 45% 41% Romney 47 49 37 45 50 53 30 50 53 DK/NA 7 7 12 5 6 5 14 5 6 Economy Extrmly Imp To Vote Q28 Obama 40% Romney 55 DK/NA 6 39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 41% 5% 80% 34% 34% 48% 31% 85% Romney 52 93 12 57 60 44 63 7 DK/NA 7 2 9 9 5 8 6 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 40% 43% 51% 49% 38% 36% 53% 41% 38% Romney 53 51 38 47 55 59 36 55 55 DK/NA 7 7 11 4 7 5 11 5 7 Deficit Extrmly Imp To Vote Q29 Obama 27% Romney 68 DK/NA 5 40. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 50% 11% 85% 48% 47% 53% 42% 85% Romney 41 83 7 41 47 36 51 9 DK/NA 8 6 8 11 6 11 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 55% 47% 59% 47% 49% 51% 61% 50% 47% Romney 36 45 32 41 43 43 25 44 45 DK/NA 9 8 9 12 7 6 14 6 8 Foreign Policy Extrmly Imp To Vote Q30 Obama 45% Romney 49 DK/NA 6 41. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 51% 9% 89% 48% 47% 55% 43% 93% Romney 41 86 4 42 48 35 51 1 DK/NA 8 5 7 11 5 10 6 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 54% 50% 59% 53% 51% 50% 64% 51% 48% Romney 37 44 31 42 43 44 23 42 47 DK/NA 9 7 10 5 6 6 13 6 6 Medicare Extrmly Imp To Vote Q31 Obama 59% Romney 36 DK/NA 5 42. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 58% 22% 89% 56% 55% 60% 51% 92% Romney 27 61 4 25 29 26 33 2 DK/NA 15 17 7 19 16 14 16 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Obama 62% 42% 44% 42% 51% 50% 32% 45% Romney 24 40 41 40 32 34 55 37 DK/NA 14 18 15 19 16 16 12 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 66% 52% 59% 54% 57% 63% 73% 59% 52% Romney 21 32 26 28 28 27 11 28 33 DK/NA 13 16 15 18 15 10 16 13 16 Women's rep health Extrmly Imp To Vote Q32 Obama 80% Romney 15 DK/NA 5 43. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 55% 20% 85% 53% 52% 57% 48% 84% Romney 29 64 5 27 33 26 36 4 DK/NA 16 17 10 20 15 17 16 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Obama 60% 39% 41% 38% 47% 49% 27% 41% Romney 28 42 44 44 38 33 62 40 DK/NA 13 18 15 19 15 18 11 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 63% 48% 55% 49% 54% 60% 70% 55% 49% Romney 24 33 28 29 31 29 14 30 35 DK/NA 12 19 17 21 15 11 16 14 17 Abortion Extrmly Imp To Vote Q33 Obama 68% Romney 26 DK/NA 5 44. Which comes closer to your view, Government should do more to solve national problems or government is doing too many things better left to businesses and individuals. LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Should do more 43% 14% 70% 40% 39% 46% 37% 64% Doing too much 51 83 21 53 57 45 58 25 DK/NA 6 4 9 7 3 9 4 11 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Should do more 42% 34% 30% 32% 34% 41% 24% 33% Doing too much 53 62 64 65 64 53 69 63 DK/NA 5 4 6 3 2 7 7 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Should do more 48% 39% 51% 47% 42% 40% 58% 39% 41% Doing too much 46 54 43 42 54 56 34 56 52 DK/NA 6 7 6 11 4 4 8 6 7 45. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 63% 34% 88% 64% 58% 68% 58% 79% Oppose 33 62 11 32 39 28 38 18 DK/NA 4 4 1 4 3 4 4 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Support 60% 57% 55% 52% 52% 65% 46% 55% Oppose 38 38 39 44 45 32 50 41 DK/NA 2 5 6 3 3 4 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Support 64% 62% 70% 63% 63% 62% 68% 65% 60% Oppose 33 33 24 32 33 37 29 33 35 DK/NA 2 4 6 5 5 1 2 2 5 46. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal all cases 33% 19% 45% 33% 32% 35% 32% 35% Legal most cases 35 31 35 37 36 35 34 42 Illegal most cases 17 30 10 16 19 15 19 9 Illegal all cases 8 13 6 6 7 9 9 7 DK/NA 7 7 4 8 7 6 6 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Legal all cases 38% 28% 30% 24% 31% 33% 17% 28% Legal most cases 38 31 36 33 34 33 29 35 Illegal most cases 13 23 21 24 19 18 32 21 Illegal all cases 6 12 6 12 8 10 19 9 DK/NA 5 7 7 7 7 5 4 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal all cases 38% 29% 22% 32% 34% 40% 42% 34% 30% Legal most cases 39 33 36 35 37 35 33 35 36 Illegal most cases 13 20 18 17 19 14 14 17 18 Illegal all cases 5 10 10 11 7 6 8 7 9 DK/NA 5 8 13 6 3 4 4 6 8 47. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal 84% 76% 89% 87% 84% 83% 84% 82% Illegal 9 16 6 7 8 10 10 9 DK/NA 7 8 6 6 8 7 6 10 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Legal 90% 80% 82% 81% 85% 84% 63% 84% Illegal 5 14 13 12 9 12 34 9 DK/NA 5 6 5 7 6 5 3 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal 90% 79% 75% 80% 86% 90% 91% 82% 84% Illegal 4 12 11 14 9 6 2 10 11 DK/NA 5 8 14 6 5 3 6 8 5 59. (Post 8/28 speech) Did you watch Ann Romney's televised speech at the Republican National Convention? LIKELY VOTERS......................... WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 54% 63% 42% 57% 54% 54% No 45 37 57 43 46 45 DK/NA - - - 1 - - 60. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Ann Romney's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of Mitt Romney, less favorably of Mitt Romney, or didn't it affect your opinion of Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS......................... WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More favorably 32% 59% 7% 33% 36% 29% Less favorably 7 1 10 9 7 8 Not affect opinion 54 35 75 51 51 57 DK/NA 7 5 8 7 6 7 61. (Post 8/28 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Ann Romney's speech at the Republican National Convention make you think more favorably of Ann Romney, less favorably of Ann Romney, or didn't it affect your opinion of Ann Romney? LIKELY VOTERS......................... WEDNESDAY THRU SUNDAY................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More favorably 37% 63% 17% 34% 41% 33% Less favorably 8 2 10 9 6 9 Not affect opinion 49 32 65 50 46 52 DK/NA 7 4 8 7 7 6 Demographic Summary
