October 17, 2012 - Booker Is Strongest Dem To Face Christie, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Say Show Me The Money Before Tax Cut Vote Word format Watch Video: Polling Institute Director Maurice Carroll discusses poll results Clip Information and Download: FLV File - For Website (1920x1080 / 55.1MB) Original .MP4 File - For Broadcast (1920x1080 / 346.6MB) New Jersey voters approve 56 - 38 percent of the job Gov. Christopher Christie is doing and say 52 - 40 percent that he deserves reelection 12 months from now, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Gov. Christie's approval rating is up from a 53 - 42 percent score in a September 5 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, shortly after he delivered the keynote address at the Republican National Convention, but short of his 59 - 36 percent all- time high score April 11. In today's survey, men approve of the governor 62 - 33 percent while women approve 50 - 42 percent. White voters approve 61 - 34 percent, but black voters disapprove 69 - 26 percent. Independent voters approve 62 - 32 percent. In an early look at the 2013 election for governor, Christie leads Newark Mayor Cory Booker, a possible Democratic challenger, by a narrow 46 - 42 percent. "New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie's job-approval edges up a couple of points, but short of his all-time high. More than half of the state's registered voters think he's earned a second term," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "A sneak peak at the 2013 election for governor shows Newark Mayor Cory Booker could give Gov. Christie a run for his money, if the mayor decides to run." Christie runs better against other possible Democratic challengers: Topping State Sen. Richard Codey, the frequent fill-in governor, 47 - 41 percent; Beating State Sen. Barbara Buono 49 - 33 percent; Besting Assembly member Lou Greenwald 50 - 31 percent. "Let's see how the field shapes up if Booker takes a pass. Each of the possible challengers draw 60 to 74 percent of the Democratic vote, in this very blue state, with State Sen. Richard Codey a bit stronger than State Sen. Barbara Buono or Assembly member Lou Greenwald," Carroll said. Tax Cuts New Jersey voters say 52 - 39 percent that they support a Democratic plan to delay a vote in the State Legislature for a possible tax cut until they see if tax revenues are strong enough to support such a cut. Democrats back the delay 83 - 10 percent while Republicans back Christie's call for an immediate vote on a tax cut 76 - 16 percent. Independent voters are divided with 47 percent saying wait and see and 44 percent saying vote now. Voters with household income of more than $250,000 per year say vote now 53 - 44 percent, while voters in all other income, age and education groups say wait and see. "It's been obscured by the focus on the presidential election, but taxes remain a live New Jersey issue," Carroll said. "In the tax cut debate, Christie's vote-to-cut-now plan loses to the legislative Democrats' wait-and-see position." From October 10 - 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,405 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 7. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Cory Booker the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Booker 42% 7% 74% 34% 39% 46% 37% 77% Christie 46 88 12 51 52 40 54 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - DK/NA 11 4 12 14 8 14 8 15 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Booker 57% 46% 34% 45% 29% Christie 27 42 54 44 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - DK/NA 15 11 10 9 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Booker 48% 39% 50% 42% 40% 47% 44% 42% 37% Christie 40 49 37 48 49 39 45 47 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - - 1 - DK/NA 10 12 12 9 9 13 10 9 6 TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Cory Booker the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Oct 17 Sep 05 2012 2012 Booker 42 40 Christie 46 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 DK/NA 11 11 8. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Richard Codey the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Codey 41% 8% 74% 29% 36% 44% 36% 75% Christie 47 88 14 55 56 40 54 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 1 1 - - 1 DK/NA 11 4 10 13 6 15 9 13 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Codey 61% 40% 33% 45% 29% Christie 29 44 55 46 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - - DK/NA 10 14 10 9 9 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Codey 45% 38% 44% 39% 39% 44% 41% 42% 35% Christie 44 50 42 51 49 40 47 50 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 - - - - 1 DK/NA 10 11 13 8 10 14 12 6 8 9. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Barbara Buono the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Buono 33% 3% 63% 23% 30% 36% 28% 67% Christie 49 88 16 58 57 42 58 12 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 17 8 20 17 12 21 14 19 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Buono 45% 35% 25% 42% 19% Christie 33 45 58 46 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - - DK/NA 21 18 17 11 18 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Buono 37% 30% 43% 32% 30% 37% 35% 34% 30% Christie 46 51 44 52 51 41 50 53 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - - 1 1 - - - DK/NA 15 18 13 15 17 20 15 12 12 10. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were - Lou Greenwald the Democrat and Christopher Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Greenwald 31% 6% 60% 20% 28% 34% 27% 61% Christie 50 89 18 58 57 43 58 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - DK/NA 17 5 21 20 12 21 14 24 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Greenwald 50% 30% 22% 41% 18% Christie 32 46 59 48 64 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 - 1 - DK/NA 16 21 18 10 17 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Greenwald 34% 30% 41% 29% 28% 37% 31% 33% 28% Christie 47 52 45 53 52 43 49 52 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 2 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - - 1 1 DK/NA 16 17 14 16 18 17 19 14 13 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 56% 90% 28% 62% 62% 50% 61% 26% Disapprove 38 7 65 32 33 42 34 69 DK/NA 7 2 7 7 5 8 5 5 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Approve 39% 53% 64% 55% 67% Disapprove 52 41 30 39 26 DK/NA 8 6 6 6 7 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Approve 52% 58% 51% 58% 58% 52% 53% 58% 61% Disapprove 42 35 43 37 36 40 40 39 31 DK/NA 6 7 5 5 6 8 6 3 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christopher Christie is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 44% Jun 2010) APPROVE....... High Low Oct 17 Sep 05 Jul 17 May 16 Apr 11 Apr 11 Jun 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011* Approve 56 53 54 57 59 59 44 Disapprove 38 42 39 38 36 36 47 DK/NA 7 5 7 6 5 5 10 14. Do you feel that Christopher Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 52% 89% 19% 60% 59% 46% 59% 12% No/Does not 40 7 73 31 35 46 35 76 DK/NA 8 3 7 9 7 8 6 12 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Yes/Deserves 33% 50% 59% 51% 66% No/Does not 60 42 33 43 27 DK/NA 7 9 8 6 7 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Yes/Deserves 48% 55% 46% 54% 54% 46% 51% 53% 56% No/Does not 44 38 49 40 38 47 42 41 37 DK/NA 8 8 4 6 8 7 7 6 7 15. As you may know, Governor Christie ordered a special vote on a tax cut. Legislative Democrats want to wait to see if tax revenues are strong enough to support it. Governor Christie wants an immediate vote. Whose position is closer to your point of view, Governor Christie's or legislative Democrats? REGISTERED VOTERS.......................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Christie's 39% 76% 10% 44% 44% 36% 46% 6% Democrats' 52 16 83 47 51 53 46 91 DK/NA 8 7 6 8 5 11 8 3 Philly Urban SbUrbn ExUrbn land Shore Christie's 21% 37% 45% 39% 53% Democrats' 70 56 46 54 36 DK/NA 9 7 9 7 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ <50K 50-100 100-250 >250 Christie's 36% 41% 31% 44% 42% 31% 41% 40% 53% Democrats' 57 49 61 51 48 54 54 55 44 DK/NA 6 10 8 5 10 14 5 5 2 TREND: As you may know, Governor Christie ordered a special vote on a tax cut. Legislative Democrats want to wait to see if tax revenues are strong enough to support it. Governor Christie wants an immediate vote. Whose position is closer to your point of view, Governor Christie's or legislative Democrats'? Oct 17 Jul 17 2012 2012 Christie's 39 43 Democrats' 52 49 DK/NA 8 7 Demographic Summary
