November 6, 2000 - Corzine-Franks New Jersey Race Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gore Leads Bush 49 - 41 Percent In New Jersey's U.S. Senate race, Republican Bob Franks gets 45 percent of likely voters to Democrat Jon Corzine's 43 percent, a statistical tie, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today. Twelve percent are undecided. Corzine led 47 - 39 percent among likely voters, with 14 percent undecided, in a November 1 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University. Vice President Al Gore leads Texas Gov. George W. Bush 49 - 41 percent among likely voters, with 5 percent undecided. From November 1 - 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 770 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percent. Franks leads 52 - 37 percent among men, while Corzine leads 48 - 39 percent among women. Independent voters, who backed Corzine 44 - 38 percent in the Nov. 1 poll, now give him a too-close-to-call 44 - 41 percent margin. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut as a public service and for research. Quinnipiac University Political Science Professor Scott McLean is available to discuss these results. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu 1. Is your opinion of Bob Franks favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 34% 62% 12% 29% 42% 27% Unfavorable 16 3 29 15 15 17 Mixed 23 14 22 32 23 24 Hvn't hrd enough 26 19 34 23 20 31 REFUSED 1 1 2 2 1 2 2. Is your opinion of Jon Corzine favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 29% 10% 52% 28% 25% 33% Unfavorable 30 58 8 26 37 25 Mixed 28 18 27 37 28 29 Hvn't hrd enough 11 13 11 8 10 12 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 3. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Jon Corzine the Democrat and Bob Franks the Republican for whom would you vote? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Corzine 43% 7% 79% 44% 37% 48% Franks 45 87 8 41 52 39 DK/NA 12 7 13 14 11 13 4. Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? .. Likely Voters ... Corzine Franks Voters Voters Made up 77% 82% Might change 22 17 DK/NA 2 1 5. Would you describe your support for Corzine/Franks as strongly favoring him, or do you like Corzine/Franks but with reservations, or do you support Corzine/Franks because you dislike the other candidate? .. Likely Voters ... Corzine Franks Voters Voters Strongly favor 40% 43% Like with reservations 41 30 Dislike other candidate 9 22 DK/NA 10 5 6. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 46% 11% 83% 47% 40% 52% Unfavorable 35 75 4 28 41 31 Mixed 17 13 12 25 19 16 Haven't hrd enough 1 1 1 - 1 1 REFUSED - - - - - 1 7. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 81% 7% 28% 44% 34% Unfavorable 38 5 72 38 32 43 Mixed 22 13 20 34 24 21 Haven't hrd enough 1 1 1 - - 1 REFUSED 1 - 1 - - 1 8. Is your opinion of Pat Buchanan favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 8% 14% 2% 5% 8% 7% Unfavorable 62 54 68 66 64 60 Mixed 11 14 11 9 10 12 Haven't hrd enough 17 17 16 18 16 19 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 1 3 9. Is your opinion of Ralph Nader favorable, unfavorable, mixed, or haven't you heard enough about him? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 22% 20% 20% 25% 26% 19% Unfavorable 34 37 35 32 37 33 Mixed 24 24 22 28 26 23 Haven't hrd enough 18 17 22 13 11 23 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 1 2 10. If the election for President were being held today and the candidates were Al Gore the Democrat, George W. Bush the Republican, Pat Buchanan the Reform Party candidate and Ralph Nader the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote? ............. Likely Voters ............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Gore 49% 7% 88% 53% 41% 55% Bush 41 87 4 32 46 36 Buchanan 1 - - 1 2 - Nader 4 1 1 11 7 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 - - - DK/NA 5 5 6 4 4 6
