November 23, 2010 - Schools Chancellor Should Have Education Experience, New York City Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Bloomberg Approval At Lowest Point In 5 Years Word format New York City voters say 64 - 26 percent that a schools chancellor needs education experience more than management experience, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters say 51 - 26 percent that Cathleen Black, Mayor Michael Bloomberg's nominee to be schools chancellor, does not have the right kind of experience for the job, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Another 23 percent are undecided. By a smaller 47 - 29 percent margin, with 25 percent undecided, New York City voters disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's appointment of Ms. Black. Voters with children in public schools disapprove of the appointment 62 - 25 percent and say 63 - 21 percent that Black does not have the right experience. New York City voters approve 55 - 35 percent of the job Mayor Bloomberg is doing, his lowest score since a 55 - 36 percent rating June 22, 2005. Voters disapprove 48 - 41 percent of the way Bloomberg is handling the public schools and say 63 - 25 percent that they are dissatisfied with public schools citywide. Voters also are dissatisfied 46 - 38 percent with public schools in their own community. But voters say 46 - 35 percent that Chancellor Joel Klein's tenure has been a success. "The City Hall spin machine better shift into high gear. So far, all the negative news stories are murdering Cathleen Black - and not doing Mayor Michael Bloomberg much good, either," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Do New Yorkers approve of the Black appointment? Does she have the right experience? No and no, voters say. The only positive sign for her is that about one quarter of voters don't know enough to say whether they approve or disapprove of her appointment. So there's some room for the spinners to make Bloomberg's case." "Overwhelmingly, voters would sooner put an educator than a business executive at the head of the class," Carroll added. "Voters - particularly black voters - flunk Bloomberg on schools. Chancellor Joel Klein? As a going-away present, New Yorkers say - not heavily, but positively - that he's more of a success than a failure." New York City voters say 61 - 29 percent that Bloomberg would not make a good president and think 57 - 29 percent that he will not run for president. Voters say 65 - 24 percent that talk of Bloomberg-for-president is "political gossip" rather than a "serious political movement." The so-called movement comes up short among every political or racial group and in every borough. But voters say 58 - 26 percent that it's good for New York City when Bloomberg speaks out on national issues. Democrats like the mayor speaking out even more than Republicans. "That Bloomberg-for-president chatter? Fuhgedaboutit, New Yorkers say. Don't people have anything more important to think about? The talk isn't serious, New Yorkers say; it's just political gossip," Carroll said. "We don't think Mayor Mike will go for the White House and we don't think he'd do a good job if he got there." Police Commissioner Ray Kelly continues to lead all citywide officials, with a 67 - 19 percent approval rating, including 79 - 11 percent among white voters, 52 - 31 percent among black voters and 64 - 21 percent among Hispanic voters. Approval ratings for other New York City officials are: 50 - 24 percent for City Council Speaker Christine Quinn; 48 - 16 percent for Comptroller John Liu, with 37 percent undecided; 36 - 16 percent for Public Advocate Bill de Blasio, with 48 percent undecided. From November 16 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,287 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 55% 63% 57% 51% 62% 44% 54% 46% Disapprove 35 32 31 40 32 38 37 41 DK/NA 11 5 12 9 6 19 10 12 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 51% 46% 53% 65% 54% 50% 55% 55% Disapprove 42 37 36 27 37 41 36 33 DK/NA 8 17 12 8 9 8 9 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (*High also 75% Oct 2008, Mar 2008, Jan 2007 & Nov 2005) APPROVE....... DIS.. High Low High Nov 23 Jun 30 May 21 Mar 23 Oct 21 Jul 2 Jul 2 2010 2010 2010 2010 2008* 2003 2003 Approve 55 57 57 61 75 31 31 Disapprove 35 33 29 27 20 60 60 DK/NA 11 10 14 12 6 8 8 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 67% 78% 65% 68% 79% 52% 64% 67% Disapprove 19 14 20 17 11 31 21 22 DK/NA 14 8 15 15 11 16 15 10 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 55% 67% 71% 69% 71% 67% 67% Disapprove 29 19 15 19 15 23 17 DK/NA 16 14 14 11 14 11 16 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? (*High also 70% Feb 2010, Mar 2006 & Feb 2006) APPROVE....... DIS.. High Low High Nov 23 Jun 30 May 24 Feb 18 May 24 Jan 16 Jan 16 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010* 2007 2007 Approve 67 66 70 70 70 52 52 Disapprove 19 20 17 16 17 34 34 DK/NA 14 14 13 14 13 14 14 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 36% 27% 43% 32% 33% 45% 35% 39% Disapprove 16 24 13 17 14 17 21 17 DK/NA 48 49 45 50 52 37 43 44 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 39% 41% 33% 33% 32% 35% 38% Disapprove 19 17 13 15 17 17 15 DK/NA 43 42 55 51 50 48 48 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? Nov 23 Jun 30 May 21 Feb 17 2010 2010 2010 2010 Approve 36 35 34 37 Disapprove 16 17 16 13 DK/NA 48 48 50 50 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 50% 35% 57% 48% 50% 51% 52% 49% Disapprove 24 31 18 30 23 24 25 32 DK/NA 26 34 25 23 27 25 23 20 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 50% 52% 52% 47% 39% 43% 55% Disapprove 28 20 19 28 35 32 18 DK/NA 22 28 29 25 26 25 27 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? APPROVE....... High Low Nov 23 Jun 30 May 21 Feb 17 Feb 24 Mar 14 Nov 25 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2007 2008 Approve 50 45 44 44 42 51 40 Disapprove 24 27 26 28 25 12 29 DK/NA 26 28 30 27 33 37 31 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 48% 40% 51% 46% 46% 53% 42% 53% Disapprove 16 22 13 18 13 14 25 17 DK/NA 37 38 36 37 42 33 33 30 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 43% 49% 40% 58% 45% 50% 47% Disapprove 25 14 15 13 12 17 15 DK/NA 32 37 44 29 43 34 39 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Nov 23 Jun 30 May 21 Feb 17 2010 2010 2010 2010 Approve 48 47 49 44 Disapprove 16 17 13 11 DK/NA 37 36 38 45 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 66% 23% 84% 54% 49% 90% 72% 71% Disapprove 30 72 13 40 46 7 24 25 DK/NA 4 4 3 6 5 3 5 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Nov 23 Feb 17 Aug 26 Jul 28 Jun 16 Feb 25 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 66 72 76 74 79 78 Disapprove 30 25 19 20 16 13 DK/NA 4 3 5 6 6 9 7. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Very satisfied 6% 4% 6% 5% 7% 3% 7% 5% Smwht satisfied 44 43 48 38 45 44 37 38 Smwht dissatisfied 31 31 30 35 32 31 32 34 Very dissatisfied 19 22 15 22 15 20 24 23 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 2 - - Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Very satisfied 3% 5% 8% 6% 3% 5% 6% Smwht satisfied 41 45 50 39 33 46 42 Smwht dissatisfied 33 29 29 34 31 29 33 Very dissatisfied 21 20 12 21 32 19 19 DK/NA 2 1 - - - 1 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? VERY+SMWHT... High Low Nov 23 Jun 30 May 21 Feb 17 Jul 28 Feb 11 Jul 2 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 1998 2003 Very satisfied 6 6 7 8 8 18 7 Smwht satisfied 44 43 44 51 51 58 23 Smwht dissatisfied 31 30 32 26 26 18 32 Very dissatisfied 19 20 16 14 14 5 38 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8. Are you generally optimistic or pessimistic about the next four years with Andrew Cuomo as Governor? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Optimistic 73% 52% 86% 63% 70% 78% 76% 69% Pessimistic 20 40 9 26 23 13 15 26 DK/NA 7 8 5 11 6 8 9 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Optimistic 71% 72% 78% 75% 59% 66% 78% Pessimistic 19 17 18 20 35 26 15 DK/NA 10 11 4 5 6 8 7 9. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 29% 38% 26% 33% 35% 18% 32% 24% No 61 53 63 61 58 72 59 67 DK/NA 9 8 11 5 7 11 9 9 TREND: Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not? Nov 23 Mar 12 Jan 9 2010 2008 2008 Yes 29 45 52 No 61 43 39 DK/NA 9 12 9 10. Do you think Michael Bloomberg will run for President in 2012 or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 29% 27% 30% 27% 24% 36% 33% 29% No 57 63 57 59 63 48 55 58 DK/NA 14 10 13 14 13 15 12 13 11. Do you think the Bloomberg-for-President talk represents a serious political movement or just political gossip? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Serious political movement 24% 24% 24% 27% 23% 21% 29% 25% Political gossip 65 70 66 63 66 68 63 65 DK/NA 11 6 11 10 11 11 8 9 12. If Mayor Bloomberg leaves before his term expires, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio would become the Mayor. Do you think Bill de Blasio would make a good mayor or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 27% 20% 30% 23% 24% 34% 27% 27% No 29 36 26 26 25 29 36 28 DK/NA 45 43 43 50 51 37 38 45 13. In recent weeks Mayor Bloomberg has spoken out on a number of national issues. Do you think this is good for New York City or don't you think so? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 58% 52% 64% 53% 59% 60% 53% 56% No 26 33 22 32 24 26 30 27 DK/NA 16 14 15 15 17 14 16 18 TREND: In recent weeks Mayor Bloomberg has spoken out on a number of national issues. Do you think this is good for New York City or don't you think so? Nov 23 Jul 12 2010 2010 Good 58 70 Not good 26 16 DK/NA 16 13 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 41% 55% 39% 40% 43% 36% 41% 33% Disapprove 48 31 51 50 43 57 51 61 DK/NA 11 14 11 10 13 7 8 7 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 43% 34% 42% 46% 38% 45% 45% 38% Disapprove 52 53 46 41 55 46 44 51 DK/NA 4 13 12 13 7 8 10 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling the public schools? APPROVE....... DIS.. High Low High Nov 23 Jul 29 Jun 17 Mar 24 Jul 29 May 7 May 7 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2003 2003 Approve 41 57 51 47 57 35 35 Disapprove 48 30 37 40 30 52 52 DK/NA 11 13 12 13 13 12 12 15. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Satisfied 25% 24% 27% 20% 24% 21% 29% 29% Not satisfied 63 60 63 67 60 72 63 64 DK/NA 12 16 10 13 16 7 8 8 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Satisfied 42% 19% 29% 18% 26% 41% 29% 22% Not satisfied 53 73 59 69 63 46 59 67 DK/NA 5 8 13 13 11 13 12 11 TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in New York City, or are you not satisfied? (*Low also 12% on Feb 2004, Mar 2002, Apr 2000 & Mar 1997) SATISFIED.... High Low Nov 23 Feb 25 Jan 28 Jul 16 Nov 21 Jan 28 Feb 5 2010 2009 2009 2008 2007 2009 2004* Satisfied 25 30 32 29 27 32 12 Not satisfied 63 58 55 59 55 55 74 DK/NA 12 12 14 12 18 14 13 16. Are you generally satisfied with the quality of public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Satisfied 38% 48% 36% 37% 45% 27% 38% 41% Not satisfied 46 37 50 45 36 62 52 48 DK/NA 15 14 14 19 20 10 10 10 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Satisfied 46% 32% 39% 30% 43% 61% 39% 37% Not satisfied 52 57 48 47 43 28 47 46 DK/NA 2 12 13 23 14 11 13 17 TREND: Are you generally satisfied with the quality of the public schools in your neighborhood, or are you not satisfied? SATISFIED.... High Low Nov 23 Feb 25 Jan 28 Jul 16 Nov 21 Feb 25 Feb 5 2010 2009 2009 2008 2007 2009 2004 Satisfied 38 48 42 43 40 48 27 Not satisfied 46 39 41 45 40 39 56 DK/NA 15 13 17 12 20 13 17 17. Do you think Joel Klein's eight years as New York City School's Chancellor were mainly a success or mainly a failure? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Mainly a success 46% 53% 44% 47% 51% 43% 40% 39% Mainly a failure 35 29 36 37 31 39 39 46 DK/NA 19 18 20 16 18 19 20 14 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Mainly a success 46% 46% 47% 49% 43% 40% 50% 43% Mainly a failure 40 37 34 32 39 36 32 38 DK/NA 14 18 20 19 18 23 18 20 18. Do you approve or disapprove of Mayor Bloomberg's appointment of Cathleen Black to be New York City Schools chancellor? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Approve 29% 35% 29% 29% 30% 29% 28% 23% Disapprove 47 33 48 50 43 52 49 56 DK/NA 25 31 23 21 27 19 23 21 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Approve 25% 27% 30% 32% 28% 22% 29% 29% Disapprove 62 42 43 45 51 61 49 45 DK/NA 13 31 27 23 22 17 22 27 19. Do you think Cathleen Black has the right kind of experience to be New York City's Schools chancellor or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 26% 29% 23% 31% 27% 24% 24% 21% No 51 38 56 47 48 55 53 61 DK/NA 23 33 21 21 24 20 22 18 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 21% 27% 25% 28% 22% 28% 28% 24% No 63 47 47 50 58 58 52 51 DK/NA 16 25 27 23 20 14 20 26 20. Which kind of experience do you think is more important for New York City's Schools chancellor - management experience or education experience? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Management 26% 41% 21% 30% 34% 18% 18% 20% Education 64 51 68 62 57 68 78 68 DK/NA 10 8 11 8 9 14 5 12 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Management 21% 22% 27% 34% 22% 17% 27% 25% Education 71 68 63 58 66 77 64 65 DK/NA 8 10 10 8 12 6 9 10 21. As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with public funds. Do you think there should be an expansion of charter schools in New York City or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp HsHld Yes 59% 69% 57% 59% 54% 64% 67% 50% No 32 21 34 34 35 27 25 43 DK/NA 10 10 9 7 11 9 8 7 HvKids PubSch Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom Yes 60% 63% 57% 62% 56% 52% 58% 60% No 36 22 34 31 34 39 34 30 TREND: As you may know, charter schools are operated by private or non-profit organizations. The schools are paid for with public funds. Do you think there should be anexpansion of charter schools in New York City or not? Nov 23 Mar 24 Feb 25 2010 2009 2009 Yes 59 62 67 No 32 29 26 DK/NA 10 9 8
