May 22, 2013 - Quinn At 25% In New York City Dem Primary, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Little Support For Kelly For Mayor PDF format City Council Speaker Christine Quinn leads the pack for the Democratic nomination for New York City mayor with 25 percent, with former U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner at 15 percent, followed by Public Advocate Bill de Blasio and former Comptroller William Thompson in a horse race for third place, according to a Quinnipiac University poll today. This compares to Speaker Quinn's 28 percent top position in an April 19 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Weiner's 15 percent of the Democratic vote is unchanged. Today, Thompson and de Blasio are at 10 percent each, with 6 percent for Comptroller John Liu, 2 percent for former Council member Sal Albanese and 27 percent undecided. A total of 32 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" would vote for Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, if he runs as an independent candidate, while 56 percent say they would "probably not" or "definitely not" vote for him. A total of 12 percent of voters say they "definitely" or "probably" will vote for former Bronx Borough President Adolfo Carrion, running as the Independence Party candidate, while 69 percent say they "probably" or "definitely" won't vote for him. If former Metropolitan Transportation Authority Chair Joseph Lhota wins the Republican nomination for mayor, only 13 percent of voters are more likely to vote for him in the general election, while 61 percent are more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate. "Can we color New York City blue and throw away the crayons? At this stage of the mayoral campaign, none of the non-Democrats - the popular police commissioner, the Republican or the independent - lays a glove on the Democrats," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "With former Congressman Anthony Weiner seeking the Democratic nod, it still looks like Council Speaker Christine Quinn against the guys," Carroll said. "But where she once was brushing up against the magic 40 percent number that could get her past a run-off, the wear and tear of the campaign, and possibly the addition of Weiner, are taking a toll on the front-runner. "This poll says there's a run-off. It just doesn't say who's in the runoff." New York City voters say 45 - 38 percent that Kelly should run for mayor. Weiner should not run, voters say 49 - 38 percent. On April 19, 44 percent said he should not run and 41 percent said he should run. Today, women say 52 - 35 percent Weiner should not run. Men say 46 - 43 percent he should not run. "Should Kelly run? A slim yes. Should Weiner run? More, especially women, say no," Carroll said. "Weiner has been at 15 percent two polls in a row. Can he get to 16 percent?" Looking at how issues affect support for mayoral candidates, 45 percent of voters are more likely to support someone who would create a Police Department inspector general, while 18 percent are less likely and 32 percent say it won't affect their vote. On other issues: Continuing Mayor Michael Bloomberg's public health initiatives: 36 percent more likely, 23 percent less likely, 36 percent no difference; Keep Kelly as Police Commissioner: 39 percent more likely, 19 percent less likely, 39 percent no difference; Continue "stop and frisk:" 29 percent more likely, 37 percent less likely, 30 percent no difference; Continue mayoral control of public schools: 32 percent more likely, 27 percent less likely, 34 percent no difference; Raise taxes on the wealthy: 56 percent more likely, 15 percent less likely, 26 percent no difference; Encourage increased use of bicycles: 30 percent more likely, 20 percent less likely, 48 percent no difference; "Will there be a Bloomberg legacy? More voters than not like a candidate who would keep the public health initiatives and mayoral control of the school," Carroll said. "One thing voters like that is not part of Mayor Michael Bloomberg's legacy is raising taxes on rich folks." From May 14 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,082 New York City voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 701 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................. Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Liu 6% 4% 8% 3% 8% 5% Quinn 25 23 26 31 14 25 Thompson 10 14 8 10 13 8 de Blasio 10 10 10 13 11 4 Weiner 15 17 13 11 20 14 Albanese 2 3 1 5 - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 1 1 5 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 4 2 1 DK/NA 27 23 30 21 31 38 TREND: (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were: John Liu, Christine Quinn, William Thompson, Bill de Blasio, Anthony Weiner and Sal Albanese, for whom would you vote? (Data from May 2012 available upon request) REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.................................. May 22 Apr 19 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov 21 Aug 15 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 Liu 6 9 7 9 9 5 9 Quinn 25 28 32 37 35 32 29 Thompson 10 10 13 11 10 10 10 de Blasio 10 11 14 14 11 9 9 Weiner 15 15 na na na na na Albanese 2 na na na na na na Stringer na na na na na 4 4 Allon na na na na na na 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 - 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 27 24 30 27 31 37 34 2. If Joseph Lhota is the Republican candidate for Mayor, would you be more likely to vote for Lhota or for the Democratic candidate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Lhota 13% 48% 3% 22% 15% 10% 21% 3% 10% Democrat 61 12 84 36 56 66 51 78 68 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 7 13 3 9 6 7 9 4 3 DK/NA 20 28 10 33 22 17 20 15 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Lhota 12% 13% 11% 13% 15% 11% 12% 15% Democrat 63 60 63 62 62 64 61 62 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 6 7 7 4 5 5 7 6 DK/NA 19 20 19 20 17 20 20 17 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Lhota 8% 15% 11% 12% 21% Democrat 64 56 70 61 51 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 9 5 4 7 11 DK/NA 19 24 15 19 17 TREND: If Joseph Lhota is the Republican candidate for Mayor, would you be more likely to vote for Lhota or for the Democratic candidate? (* If MTA head Joseph Lhota runs for mayor as a Republican) May 22 Nov 21 2013 2012* Lhota 13 9 Democrat 61 60 DEPENDS ON CAND(VOL) 7 7 DK/NA 20 23 3. How likely are you to vote for Adolfo Carrion for Mayor, who is running as the Independence Party candidate; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Definitely 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% - 6% Probably 11 10 11 13 11 12 5 15 22 Probably not 36 35 37 37 37 36 36 40 36 Definitely not 33 35 37 26 33 33 40 28 25 DK/NA 18 19 12 24 19 18 19 17 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Definitely 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% Probably 7 15 19 7 3 18 11 9 Probably not 38 35 31 43 40 49 35 30 Definitely not 39 29 29 36 42 20 33 41 DK/NA 16 20 20 14 14 11 18 19 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Definitely 4% - - 3% - Probably 17 10 9 10 14 Probably not 36 37 37 33 41 Definitely not 26 32 39 36 24 DK/NA 18 20 14 18 21 4. If Ray Kelly runs for Mayor as an independent candidate, how likely are you to vote for him; do you think you will definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Definitely 10% 24% 6% 15% 9% 11% 14% 6% 5% Probably 22 38 17 30 24 21 22 22 26 Probably not 29 18 33 24 27 31 26 28 36 Definitely not 27 11 32 20 29 25 26 36 20 DK/NA 12 10 12 11 12 12 11 9 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Definitely 7% 12% 11% 10% 8% 3% 10% 15% Probably 19 25 26 21 16 28 19 23 Probably not 31 27 26 32 32 42 29 22 Definitely not 32 22 24 28 33 17 31 27 DK/NA 11 13 12 9 11 9 12 13 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Definitely 15% 11% 6% 8% 17% Probably 21 26 18 23 23 Probably not 27 28 32 26 36 Definitely not 26 27 30 28 12 DK/NA 11 9 14 15 12 5. Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Should run 38% 23% 41% 37% 43% 35% 32% 44% 42% Should not 49 71 44 57 46 52 61 38 41 DK/NA 12 5 14 6 11 13 8 18 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Should run 36% 40% 41% 37% 41% 45% 42% 32% Should not 55 45 44 55 54 42 49 55 DK/NA 9 14 15 8 6 13 9 13 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Should run 40% 33% 39% 45% 33% Should not 43 56 51 41 60 DK/NA 17 11 10 14 7 TREND: Do you think Anthony Weiner should or should not run for Mayor this year? May 22 Apr 19 2013 2013 Should run 38 41 Should not 49 44 DK/NA 12 15 6. Do you think Ray Kelly should or should not run for Mayor this year? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Should run 45% 66% 36% 56% 45% 44% 51% 29% 53% Should not 38 25 44 31 39 38 34 49 32 DK/NA 17 9 20 13 16 18 16 22 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Should run 42% 47% 46% 46% 42% 52% 42% 43% Should not 41 36 38 38 45 32 43 38 DK/NA 17 17 16 15 13 16 14 19 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Should run 40% 44% 39% 51% 59% Should not 46 36 42 36 29 DK/NA 15 21 19 13 12 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 68% 87% 63% 74% 73% 65% 77% 51% 71% Disapprove 23 10 28 21 22 25 16 37 21 DK/NA 8 2 10 5 6 11 7 12 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 68% 69% 66% 73% 67% 70% 68% 71% Disapprove 24 23 26 21 24 22 26 20 DK/NA 8 8 8 6 9 8 6 9 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Approve 64% 64% 66% 74% 82% Disapprove 25 24 27 21 16 DK/NA 11 12 7 5 2 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? APPROVE....... High Low May 22 Apr 11 Feb 28 Jan 17 Nov 21 Jan 17 Jan 16 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2013 2007 Approve 68 65 66 75 68 75 52 Disapprove 23 25 26 18 23 18 34 DK/NA 8 10 9 8 9 8 14 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dennis Walcott is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 39% 38% 41% 34% 40% 38% 34% 41% 49% Disapprove 37 38 38 38 33 41 37 39 34 DK/NA 24 24 21 28 27 22 29 20 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 34% 42% 41% 36% 41% 36% 43% 38% Disapprove 39 36 38 39 36 40 38 37 DK/NA 27 21 21 24 23 25 19 25 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Approve 36% 33% 41% 46% 36% Disapprove 43 39 32 36 43 DK/NA 21 28 27 18 22 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dennis Walcott is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor? APPROVE....... High Low May 22 Apr 11 Feb 28 Jan 17 Nov 21 Jan 17 May 11 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2013 2011 Approve 39 39 41 45 42 45 31 Disapprove 37 37 38 34 33 34 21 DK/NA 24 24 21 22 25 22 48 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 47% 41% 52% 39% 47% 47% 44% 57% 47% Disapprove 20 25 15 29 21 19 21 17 20 DK/NA 33 34 33 32 32 34 35 26 33 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 45% 48% 49% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% Disapprove 19 21 23 20 16 18 19 23 DK/NA 36 31 29 32 37 33 32 33 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Approve 46% 52% 47% 43% 41% Disapprove 22 22 17 19 24 DK/NA 33 27 36 38 34 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Public Advocate? (*High also 50% Feb 2013) APPROVE....... High Low May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov 21 Apr 10 May 21 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2013* 2010 Approve 47 50 50 48 49 50 34 Disapprove 20 15 19 16 14 15 16 DK/NA 33 34 31 36 37 34 50 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 53% 35% 59% 50% 49% 57% 48% 57% 57% Disapprove 30 50 25 38 33 28 39 25 22 DK/NA 16 16 16 12 18 15 14 18 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 55% 52% 57% 55% 50% 61% 57% 47% Disapprove 31 30 27 30 38 18 30 39 DK/NA 13 18 16 15 11 21 13 14 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Approve 56% 52% 50% 54% 60% Disapprove 26 29 34 31 31 DK/NA 18 19 15 15 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker? APPROVE....... High Low May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov 21 Nov 21 Nov 25 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2008 Approve 53 59 60 64 65 65 40 Disapprove 30 22 24 18 18 18 29 DK/NA 16 19 16 18 18 18 31 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 44% 34% 48% 40% 42% 45% 35% 55% 46% Disapprove 33 41 30 37 35 32 39 22 29 DK/NA 23 25 22 24 23 23 25 23 25 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 42% 45% 49% 43% 42% 44% 47% 42% Disapprove 37 30 28 36 38 32 30 36 DK/NA 21 25 24 21 20 25 23 22 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Approve 43% 44% 40% 47% 48% Disapprove 39 30 33 34 28 DK/NA 18 26 27 19 23 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Liu is handling his job as City Comptroller? APPROVE....... High Low May 22 Apr 10 Feb 27 Jan 16 Nov 21 May 11 Dec 15 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2011 2011 Approve 44 48 50 46 48 57 38 Disapprove 33 22 26 27 22 14 35 DK/NA 23 30 25 27 30 30 27 19. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 36% 30% 37% 38% 37% 34% 40% 28% 41% Less likely 23 42 19 24 25 22 26 26 11 No difference 36 27 40 31 32 40 29 40 44 DK/NA 5 1 4 7 6 4 5 7 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 43% 31% 33% 35% 47% 31% 40% 35% Less likely 22 24 21 25 22 19 25 22 No difference 31 40 39 37 27 45 32 37 DK/NA 4 6 6 3 3 5 2 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl SmokesQ14 HvKids<18 More likely 37% 28% 46% 38% 21% 29% 33% Less likely 26 25 16 22 31 19 25 No difference 31 41 34 35 41 43 40 DK/NA 5 6 4 4 7 9 3 TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing Mayor Bloomberg's public health initiatives, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? May 22 Feb 28 2013 2013 More likely 36 36 Less likely 23 24 No difference 36 36 DK/NA 5 4 20. If a candidate for Mayor supports - keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 39% 61% 32% 46% 42% 36% 49% 26% 35% Less likely 19 6 21 19 19 19 12 31 15 No difference 39 32 44 32 37 41 36 39 48 DK/NA 3 - 3 3 2 4 3 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 37% 40% 40% 37% 35% 24% 40% 47% Less likely 20 18 21 15 21 15 22 19 No difference 39 40 35 45 42 57 36 30 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 2 4 2 3 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl More likely 36% 40% 34% 42% 44% Less likely 27 18 23 15 6 No difference 36 37 40 41 46 DK/NA 2 5 3 2 3 TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports keeping Ray Kelly as Police Commissioner, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? May 22 Feb 28 2013 2013 More likely 39 32 Less likely 19 21 No difference 39 46 DK/NA 3 2 21. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 29% 65% 21% 36% 31% 28% 40% 18% 24% Less likely 37 10 46 27 35 39 27 54 38 No difference 30 22 30 35 31 29 30 26 33 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 2 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 28% 30% 28% 28% 29% 17% 30% 36% Less likely 40 35 39 39 38 41 39 33 No difference 29 30 30 30 31 40 29 26 DK/NA 3 5 4 3 2 1 2 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl More likely 36% 29% 25% 27% 37% Less likely 30 42 39 37 27 No difference 28 27 33 31 34 DK/NA 6 3 4 5 3 TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports continuing the Police Department's 'Stop and Frisk' Policy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? May 22 Feb 28 2013 2013 More likely 29 22 Less likely 37 44 No difference 30 31 DK/NA 4 3 22. If a candidate for Mayor supports - a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 19% 17% 20% 19% 20% 19% 18% 19% 24% Less likely 33 50 29 35 34 32 38 36 24 No difference 46 33 50 46 44 47 43 42 51 DK/NA 2 1 1 - 1 2 1 2 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 21% 18% 22% 14% 21% 16% 23% 17% Less likely 29 37 35 34 31 32 34 33 No difference 48 44 41 51 48 50 42 48 DK/NA 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HvKids<18 More likely 15% 19% 27% 18% 7% 17% Less likely 36 34 25 35 45 36 No difference 47 46 46 45 46 46 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 1 - TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports a ban on supersized sodas and sugary drinks, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? May 22 Feb 28 2013 2013 More likely 19 21 Less likely 33 29 No difference 46 48 DK/NA 2 2 23. If a candidate for Mayor supports - continuing Mayoral control of public schools, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 32% 35% 33% 30% 34% 31% 32% 33% 38% Less likely 27 25 28 28 22 32 24 38 24 No difference 34 38 33 37 39 31 39 24 34 DK/NA 6 2 6 4 5 7 6 4 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 32% 33% 35% 32% 29% 30% 35% 32% Less likely 29 26 27 28 27 24 28 30 No difference 33 36 33 35 39 42 35 30 DK/NA 6 6 5 5 5 4 2 8 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl HvKids<18 More likely 37% 31% 34% 34% 20% 35% Less likely 28 30 23 28 29 23 No difference 30 35 35 33 43 39 DK/NA 6 4 8 5 8 4 24. If a candidate for Mayor supports - raising taxes on the wealthy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 56% 20% 69% 45% 53% 58% 51% 67% 60% Less likely 15 49 6 21 16 15 22 9 8 No difference 26 29 23 31 28 24 24 22 29 DK/NA 3 1 2 2 4 2 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 55% 56% 66% 53% 48% 61% 55% 54% Less likely 16 15 10 16 20 11 17 17 No difference 26 25 22 29 28 25 26 27 DK/NA 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 3 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl More likely 61% 51% 61% 55% 51% Less likely 9 17 15 16 19 No difference 28 28 21 25 28 DK/NA 2 3 3 4 2 TREND: If a candidate for Mayor supports raising taxes on the wealthy, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? May 22 Feb 27 2013 2013 More likely 56 55 Less likely 15 17 No difference 26 26 DK/NA 3 2 25. If a candidate for Mayor supports - creating the position of inspector general to independently monitor the Police Department, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 45% 26% 49% 46% 49% 42% 35% 61% 46% Less likely 18 38 14 23 19 16 26 8 16 No difference 32 33 34 28 27 37 35 28 35 DK/NA 5 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 43% 46% 52% 45% 41% 52% 48% 39% Less likely 18 18 15 14 21 7 17 25 No difference 35 30 28 37 34 39 30 31 DK/NA 4 5 4 4 5 2 5 5 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl More likely 50% 49% 44% 40% 36% Less likely 18 18 15 18 20 No difference 25 26 37 37 39 DK/NA 8 6 3 4 5 26. If a candidate for Mayor supports - encouraging increased use of bicycles, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who held this position, less likely, or wouldn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More likely 30% 21% 31% 29% 35% 25% 30% 25% 36% Less likely 20 22 20 18 19 20 22 20 15 No difference 48 54 46 52 44 52 47 53 48 DK/NA 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 36% 26% 30% 23% 38% 34% 32% 26% Less likely 17 22 23 18 18 9 19 27 No difference 47 49 44 58 43 53 49 45 DK/NA 1 4 3 1 2 3 - 2 Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl More likely 23% 29% 41% 28% 16% Less likely 20 23 14 20 22 No difference 53 47 43 49 53 DK/NA 4 1 2 3 9 Demographic Summary
