September 12, 2005 - Ferrer At 32% In NYC Dem Primary, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Weiner Moves Up As Miller, Fields Fade Fernando Ferrer is stuck at 32 percent among likely Democratic primary voters just one day before the New York City Democratic primary for Mayor, coming no closer to the 40 percent goal needed to avoid a run off, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. U.S. Rep. Anthony Weiner appears to have locked up second place, with 25 percent. City Council Speaker Gifford Miller and Manhattan Borough President C. Virginia Fields each have 14 percent, with 13 percent of likely Democratic primary voters undecided. This compares to September 7 results of 32 percent for Ferrer, 21 percent for Weiner, 17 percent for Miller and 13 percent for Fields, in a poll of likely Democratic primary voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In this latest survey, 41 percent say they might change their mind before tomorrow. "Congressman Weiner's on the move, but he hasn't caught Fernando Ferrer yet. So they might have to do it again in two weeks. Will Weiner's surge continue? Will there be a Latino surge for Ferrer? It's a Democratic barn-burner," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. From September 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 717 New York City likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu or call (203) 582-5201 1. If the Democratic primary for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Gifford Miller, Fernando Ferrer, C. Virginia Fields, and Anthony Weiner for whom would you vote? 1a. If undecided: Well as of today, do you lean more towards Miller, Ferrer, Fields, or Weiner? * This table includes Leaners LIKELY VOTERS WITH LEANERS................. Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Hisp Miller 14% 15% 14% 19% 11% 13% Ferrer 32 33 32 20 29 63 Fields 14 14 15 6 29 7 Weiner 25 28 23 44 12 10 SMONE ELSE 1 2 1 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE - - - - - - DK/NA 13 9 16 10 19 6 Brnx Kngs Man Qns Miller 11% 14% 17% 11% Ferrer 47 34 28 26 Fields 11 13 15 18 Weiner 18 22 27 31 SMONE ELSE 2 - 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE - - - - DK/NA 12 17 11 12 1b. (If candidate choice Q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary? LIKELY VOTERS..................... Cand choice .............. Tot GM FF CVF AW Made up 58% 48% 58% 54% 63% Might change 41 49 41 44 34 DK/NA 2 3 1 1 3
