November 7, 2005 - Bloomberg Has 38-Point Lead One Day Before Election, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds
Republican Mayor Michael Bloomberg leads Democratic challenger Fernando Ferrer 68 - 30 percent among New York City likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Conservative candidate Thomas Ognibene gets 2 percent. In this final survey, undecided voters are allocated to the candidates they are most likely to support, a step not taken in prior surveys.

The independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey shows Bloomberg leading Ferrer 81 - 17 percent among white likely voters and 58 - 40 percent among black likely voters, while Hispanic likely voters back Ferrer 57 - 40 percent.

Bloomberg leads 60 - 40 percent among Democrats, 89 - 7 percent among Republicans and 82 - 16 percent among independent voters.

"Mayor Bloomberg is poised for a win of historic proportions. He has waged a very well-financed and highly effective campaign to convince New York City voters that he deserves four more years," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

From October 31 - November 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 712 New York City likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida and nationwide as a public service and for research. For additional data -- www.quinnipiac.edu and quicklinks or call (203) 582-5201.

1. If the election for mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Fernando Ferrer the Democrat, and Michael Bloomberg the Republican, and Thomas Ognibene the Conservative Party candidate for whom would you vote? If undecided: Well as of today, do you lean more towards Ferrer, Bloomberg or Ognibene? * This table includes Leaners 



                      INCLUDES ALLOCATION OF UNDECIDED VOTERS
                      LIKELY VOTERS WITH LEANERS.................
                      Tot     Rep     Dem     Ind     Men     Wom



Ferrer                30%      7%     40%     16%     27%     31%
Bloomberg             68      89      60      82      69      68
Ognibene               2       4       1       1       4       -
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)      -       -       -       -       -       -



                      Brnx    Kngs    Man     Qns     StIsl



Ferrer                49%     34%     25%     24%     13%
Bloomberg             51      64      74      73      79
Ognibene               -       1       1       3       7
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)      -       1       -       -       1



                      Wht     Blk     Hisp



Ferrer                17%     40%     57%
Bloomberg             81      58      40
Ognibene               2       1       2
SOMEONE ELSE(VOL)      -       -       1