February 14, 2007 - New York Voters Luv Clinton Over Giuliani For '08, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Both New Yorkers Clear Choice Of Their Parties Sen. Hillary Clinton leads former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani 50 - 40 percent among New York State voters in an early test of the 2008 presidential campaign, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Clinton tops Arizona Sen. John McCain 56 - 35 percent. In other possible presidential matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds: Clinton over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney 61 - 25 percent; Illinois Sen. Barack Obama over McCain 46 - 35 percent; 2004 vice presidential candidate John Edwards over McCain 48 - 35 percent. Clinton is the choice of 47 percent of Democratic voters, followed by Obama with 16 percent, former Vice President Al Gore with 11 percent and Edwards with 7 percent. Among Republicans, Giuliani gets 51 percent, followed by McCain with 17 percent, former Gov. George Pataki with 7 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 6 percent and Romney at 1 percent. "Happy Valentine's Day, Sen. Clinton. New York State voters say you're the fairest of them all, even Mayor Giuliani," said Maurice Carroll, Director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "New Yorkers remember Tip O'Neill's line that all politics is local and pick a native son and a not-so-native daughter as their favorites for the 2008 Presidential Prom," Carroll added. "After that, New Yorkers remember that their state is blue and Democrats win in any of the matchups we've tested so far. "Gov. Mitt Romney from neighboring Massachusetts is the invisible man so far." New York State voters give Clinton a 59 - 35 percent favorability rating, similar to her scores in recent Quinnipiac University polls of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, potentially critical swing states in 2008. Favorability ratings for other contenders are: 56 - 30 percent for Giuliani; 48 - 24 percent for McCain; 44 - 9 percent for Obama, with 46 percent who haven't heard enough to form an opinion; 44 - 21 percent for Edwards, with 33 percent who haven't heard enough; 52 - 40 percent for Gore; 19 - 53 percent for Gingrich; 35 - 55 percent for Pataki; For Romney, 72 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion. President Bush's Approval New York State voters disapprove 72 - 24 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Voters disapprove 75 - 20 percent of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq and oppose 72 - 24 percent the President's plan to send 22,000 more troops to Iraq. From February 6 -11 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,049 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent. The survey includes 324 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5.4 percent, and 485 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data - www.quinnipiac.edu and click on Institutes and Centers, or call (203) 582-5201. 1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Al Gore, Tom Vilsack, Joe Biden, John Edwards, Bill Richardson, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Chris Dodd, Wesley Clark and Dennis Kucinich for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS Tot Men Wom Gore 11% 16% 7% Vilsack - - - Biden 1 1 1 Edwards 7 7 8 Richardson 1 2 1 Clinton 47 41 52 Obama 16 16 15 Dodd 1 1 1 Clark 1 1 1 Kucinich 1 2 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 DK/NA 12 9 13 2. (If registered Republican) If the 2008 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Duncan Hunter, Sam Brownback, Tommy Thompson, Jim Gilmore, Chuck Hagel, Mike Huckabee, George Pataki and Tom Tancredo for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Tot Men Wom Giuliani 51% 51% 51% McCain 17 18 16 Romney 1 1 - Gingrich 6 10 2 Hunter 1 1 - Brownback - 1 - Thompson - - - Gilmore - - 1 Hagel 1 1 1 Huckabee 2 2 2 Pataki 7 5 9 Tancredo 1 - 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 3 DK/NA 9 7 11 3. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 50% 13% 80% 40% 43% 57% Giuliani 40 80 13 49 47 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 1 - 2 1 DK/NA 6 2 5 9 6 6 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 45% 47% 47% 59% 43% Giuliani 43 44 43 30 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 1 - 2 DK/NA 8 6 6 8 4 4. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 61% 18% 92% 50% 54% 66% Romney 25 64 2 29 29 21 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 3 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 1 2 3 2 DK/NA 9 10 4 16 9 10 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 58% 55% 56% 70% 54% Romney 22 31 30 16 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 2 2 6 DK/NA 12 9 10 10 8 5. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 56% 17% 87% 44% 50% 60% McCain 35 74 8 45 41 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 - 2 3 1 DK/NA 6 4 5 9 4 8 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Clinton 51% 47% 48% 68% 50% McCain 39 41 41 23 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 2 3 DK/NA 6 9 9 6 2 6. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Obama 46% 18% 68% 39% 42% 50% McCain 35 69 14 42 39 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 2 2 5 2 DK/NA 14 8 15 17 11 16 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Obama 57% 40% 43% 53% 40% McCain 24 43 39 25 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 3 5 DK/NA 15 14 14 16 9 7. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were John Edwards the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Edwards 48% 11% 76% 37% 44% 51% McCain 35 77 10 41 38 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 - 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 1 3 4 3 DK/NA 12 4 11 18 10 13 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Edwards 41% 43% 42% 55% 47% McCain 44 42 42 24 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 5 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 6 DK/NA 14 12 13 14 6 8. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 59% 23% 89% 48% 50% 67% Unfavorable 35 75 8 41 43 28 Hvn't hrd enough 4 2 3 8 5 3 REFUSED 2 - - 4 2 2 9. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 44% 31% 52% 47% 43% 44% Unfavorable 9 21 3 8 11 6 Hvn't hrd enough 46 47 44 43 44 49 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 10. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 48% 72% 35% 53% 52% 44% Unfavorable 24 13 31 22 31 18 Hvn't hrd enough 26 14 31 23 15 35 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 3 11. Is your opinion of -- Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 56% 81% 40% 62% 58% 54% Unfavorable 30 8 46 24 29 31 Hvn't hrd enough 11 8 12 11 11 11 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 4 12. Is your opinion of -- Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 13% 24% 6% 13% 17% 9% Unfavorable 14 8 19 11 19 10 Hvn't hrd enough 72 67 74 75 63 80 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 13. Is your opinion of -- John Edwards favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 44% 22% 62% 41% 45% 44% Unfavorable 21 42 7 23 27 16 Hvn't hrd enough 33 35 30 34 27 38 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 14. Is your opinion of -- Al Gore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 52% 23% 72% 46% 53% 51% Unfavorable 40 70 22 47 40 40 Hvn't hrd enough 5 6 5 4 5 6 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3 15. Is your opinion of -- Bill Richardson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 15% 7% 17% 17% 18% 12% Unfavorable 11 16 10 10 12 11 Hvn't hrd enough 73 77 72 72 69 77 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 16. Is your opinion of -- Chris Dodd favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 5% 15% 8% 11% 9% Unfavorable 17 25 13 19 22 13 Hvn't hrd enough 71 70 70 72 66 76 REFUSED 2 - 2 2 1 2 17. Is your opinion of -- Chuck Hagel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 8% 13% 11% 15% 6% Unfavorable 13 21 10 10 18 8 Hvn't hrd enough 76 71 76 77 67 84 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 1 18. Is your opinion of -- Duncan Hunter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 1% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% Unfavorable 8 10 9 6 11 6 Hvn't hrd enough 90 87 89 92 85 93 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 - 19. Is your opinion of -- Dennis Kucinich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 2% 15% 11% 15% 5% Unfavorable 17 23 15 13 20 14 Hvn't hrd enough 73 75 68 75 64 81 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 20. Is your opinion of -- George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 35% 47% 30% 33% 35% 35% Unfavorable 55 45 61 57 55 55 Hvn't hrd enough 7 6 7 9 9 6 REFUSED 2 2 3 1 1 4 21. Is your opinion of -- Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 19% 12% 25% 18% 22% 16% Unfavorable 25 38 18 25 31 20 Hvn't hrd enough 54 49 54 55 45 62 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 22. Is your opinion of -- Jim Gilmore favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 3% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% Unfavorable 7 9 8 3 8 6 Hvn't hrd enough 88 87 88 91 87 90 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 2 23. Is your opinion of -- Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 7% 9% 5% 6% 8% 6% Unfavorable 12 14 14 10 14 10 Hvn't hrd enough 81 77 81 83 77 83 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 - 24. Is your opinion of -- Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 19% 41% 9% 15% 22% 16% Unfavorable 53 40 63 56 59 47 Hvn't hrd enough 27 19 28 25 17 36 REFUSED 1 1 1 4 2 1 25. Is your opinion of -- Sam Brownback favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 5% 9% 3% 5% 8% 3% Unfavorable 11 8 14 10 15 7 Hvn't hrd enough 83 82 83 83 75 90 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 - 26. Is your opinion of -- Tom Vilsack favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 4% 1% 6% 4% 7% 2% Unfavorable 7 4 10 5 7 7 Hvn't hrd enough 88 95 84 89 85 91 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 - 27. Is your opinion of -- Tom Tancredo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 4% 7% 1% 5% 5% 3% Unfavorable 8 7 12 5 11 6 Hvn't hrd enough 88 86 86 89 84 91 REFUSED - - - 1 1 - 28. Is your opinion of -- Tommy Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 4% 6% 4% 2% 5% 3% Unfavorable 12 11 12 13 15 10 Hvn't hrd enough 83 83 83 83 77 87 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 2 1 29. Is your opinion of -- Wesley Clark favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 18% 10% 26% 14% 25% 11% Unfavorable 21 30 15 25 27 15 Hvn't hrd enough 61 60 59 59 47 74 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 1 TREND:. Is your opinion of -- favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him/her? Score = Favorable (Haven't Heard Enough) Feb 14 2007 Biden, Joe 19(54) Brownback, Sam 5(83) Clark, Wesley 18(61) Clinton, Hillary 59( 4) Dodd, Chris 10(71) Edwards, John 44(33) Gilmore, Jim 3(88) Gingrich, Newt 19(27) Giuliani, Rudy 56(11) Gore, Al 52( 5) Hagel, Chuck 10(76) Huckabee, Mike 7(81) Hunter, Duncan 1(90) Kucinich, Dennis 10(73) McCain, John 48(26) Obama, Barack 44(46) Pataki, George 35( 7) Richardson, Bill 15(73) Romney, Mitt 13(72) Tancredo, Tom 4(88) Thompson, Tommy 4(83) Vilsack, Tom 4(88) 38. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 24% 60% 4% 24% 29% 19% Disapprove 72 36 93 72 69 75 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 2 5 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 33% 31% 31% 16% 23% Disapprove 66 66 66 80 71 DK/NA 1 3 3 3 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? (* also 82% on 10/2/01) Highest Lowest Approve Approve Feb 14 Dec 14 Oct 5 Aug 24 Jun 22 Nov 14 May 18 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2001 * 2006 Approve 24 26 28 27 28 82 22 Disapprove 72 71 67 69 68 15 75 DK/NA 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 39. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 20% 51% 3% 20% 24% 16% Disapprove 75 43 95 75 72 78 DK/NA 5 6 3 5 3 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? Feb 14 Oct 5 May 18 Mar 30 Jan 20 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 Approve 20 26 22 27 32 Disapprove 75 70 74 69 63 DK/NA 5 4 4 3 5 40. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Right thing 30% 67% 9% 31% 36% 24% Wrong thing 66 30 86 65 61 69 DK/NA 5 3 5 5 2 7 TREND: Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? Feb 14 Oct 5 May 18 Mar 30 Jan 20 Dec 14 Oct 5 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 Right thing 30 30 27 34 34 34 31 Wrong thing 66 63 67 61 57 61 64 DK/NA 5 7 6 6 9 6 5 41. Do you support or oppose Bush's plan to send approximately 22,000 additional U.S. military forces to Iraq? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support 24% 54% 6% 26% 32% 16% Oppose 72 41 91 66 62 80 DK/NA 5 5 3 8 6 4
