February 3, 2010 - Voters, Including Blacks, See No Race Problem For Cuomo, Quinnipiac University New York State Poll Finds; Gillibrand Tops Unknown Ford 2-1, But Many Undecided Word format New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo's possible challenge of Gov. David Paterson in a Democratic primary will not be racially divisive, voters say 80 - 14 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Black voters say 73 - 22 percent that a Cuomo challenge won't be racially divisive. Cuomo leads Paterson 55 - 23 percent among Democrats, compared to 60 - 23 percent in a December 15 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Cuomo leads Paterson 66 - 15 percent among white Democrats, while Paterson leads 42 - 34 percent among black Democrats. But all blacks give Cuomo better scores on approval and favorability. New York State voters approve 71 - 15 percent of the job Cuomo is doing, compared to a negative 37 - 54 percent score for Paterson. Cuomo's approval has topped 70 percent in every Quinnipiac University survey for 12 months, except when it hit 68 percent in May. Paterson has had negative grades in every survey for nine months. By a 78 - 15 percent margin, voters say they are not impatient with Cuomo for delaying an announcement about his plans to run for Governor. This high level of patience is consistent among all political and racial groups and in every region of the state. "Does Hamlet-on-the-Hudson run in the family? Unlike the media, New Yorkers aren't impatient for Attorney General Cuomo to admit he's running for Governor," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "And unlike some black politicians, New Yorkers are not worried that a Cuomo primary against Paterson would be racially divisive. In the Democratic match-up - Cuomo v Paterson - the Attorney General continues his lop-sided lead. Plus, Cuomo's job approval is good and Paterson's isn't." Looking at black voter opinion: Cuomo gets a 78 - 12 percent approval rating to Paterson's 60 - 30 percent; Cuomo gets a 68 - 7 percent favorability rating to Paterson's 52 - 23 percent; Cuomo tops Republican Rick Lazio in a general election matchup for Governor 81 - 4 percent while Paterson tops Lazio 70 - 9 percent. Among all voters, Cuomo tops Lazio 57 - 25 percent while Paterson gets 39 percent to Lazio's 40 percent. Gillibrand-Ford Senate Race U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leads possible challenger Harold Ford 36 - 18 percent in a Democratic primary, with 40 percent undecided. Sen. Gillibrand tops Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman 44 - 27 percent while Ford beats Blakeman 35 - 26 percent. New York State voters approve 42 - 28 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing, her highest score in her first year as Senator. She gets a 33 - 22 percent favorability, with 44 percent who haven't heard enough about her to form an opinion. The 'haven't heard enough' score for Ford is 70 percent, with Blakeman at 84 percent. "Right now, the Senate race matches the little-known Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand against largely unknown Harold Ford and almost totally unknown Bruce Blakeman," Carroll said. "The announced Republican challengers - Lazio for Governor and Blakeman for Senator - don't show much oomph at this stage. Are they the best the GOP has to offer?" President Obama, Sen. Schumer Approval New York State voters approve 57 - 38 percent of the job President Obama is doing, compared to 59 - 36 percent December 15. U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected this year, voters say 54 - 33 percent. Voters approve 58 - 30 percent of the job he is doing, down from 62 - 27 percent in December. From January 27 - February 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,182 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points. The survey includes 921 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points and 142 black Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 8.2 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS........... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Paterson 23% 28% 19% 15% 42% Cuomo 55 52 58 66 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - DK/NA 20 18 21 17 23 TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................................. Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 Apr 6 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Paterson 23 23 19 15 20 17 18 Cuomo 55 60 61 61 57 62 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 DK/NA 20 16 17 22 20 18 17 2. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand, Harold Ford and John Tasini, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS........... Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Gillibrand 36% 39% 33% 40% 31% Ford 18 23 14 16 25 Tasini 4 4 4 4 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 - DK/NA 40 31 45 36 42 3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Paterson 39% 9% 65% 33% 38% 39% 33% 70% Lazio 40 74 16 45 43 38 47 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 3 3 4 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 DK/NA 16 14 14 17 12 19 15 14 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Paterson 52% 31% 34% 48% 33% Lazio 29 46 44 30 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 3 DK/NA 12 17 16 16 14 TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2009 2009 Paterson 39 41 38 Lazio 40 37 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 6 DK/NA 16 16 16 4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cuomo 57% 19% 86% 54% 52% 61% 53% 81% Lazio 25 59 4 27 31 20 30 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 1 4 DK/NA 15 21 8 15 12 17 16 9 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Cuomo 71% 51% 54% 66% 47% Lazio 14 28 26 18 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 11 18 17 13 12 TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2009 2009 Cuomo 57 62 61 Lazio 25 22 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 DK/NA 11 14 13 5. Is your opinion of - Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 54% 36% 70% 52% 52% 56% 53% 68% Unfavorable 16 27 4 19 24 9 19 7 Hvn't hrd enough 28 34 24 28 22 33 26 23 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 58% 54% 54% 60% 46% Unfavorable 12 15 15 13 23 Hvn't hrd enough 27 30 29 26 29 REFUSED 3 1 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 Jun 24 May 13 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009* 2009 Favorable 54 57 61 52 63 63 51 Unfavorable 16 14 13 12 15 15 13 Hvn't hrd enough 28 27 23 34 20 20 34 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 6. Is your opinion of - David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 34% 20% 41% 35% 35% 33% 30% 52% Unfavorable 49 65 37 49 50 48 55 23 Hvn't hrd enough 15 12 18 14 13 16 11 21 REFUSED 3 2 4 2 3 3 3 4 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 37% 30% 31% 38% 32% Unfavorable 46 55 53 43 50 Hvn't hrd enough 15 13 13 16 16 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 Jan 26 May 13 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 34 38 28 26 28 48 24 Unfavorable 49 44 52 53 54 25 55 Hvn't hrd enough 15 15 15 18 14 24 18 REFUSED 3 3 5 3 4 3 3 7. Is your opinion of - Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 20% 38% 7% 24% 27% 14% 23% 11% Unfavorable 15 3 25 11 18 12 14 19 Hvn't hrd enough 64 58 66 64 53 73 62 68 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 2 1 1 2 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 12% 17% 16% 17% 33% Unfavorable 11 10 10 20 14 Hvn't hrd enough 77 72 73 61 52 REFUSED - 1 1 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2009 2009 Favorable 20 19 15 Unfavorable 15 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 64 67 70 REFUSED 1 1 2 8. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Gillibrand 44% 10% 71% 39% 43% 45% 39% 66% Blakeman 27 64 2 30 31 24 33 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 26 23 24 26 22 29 25 26 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Gillibrand 43% 44% 44% 52% 29% Blakeman 18 29 27 17 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 1 DK/NA 38 24 26 25 25 9. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Harold Ford the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Ford 35% 5% 63% 27% 36% 34% 28% 63% Blakeman 26 63 2 26 30 22 32 7 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 35 30 31 42 29 41 37 26 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Ford 37% 28% 29% 48% 24% Blakeman 13 29 27 16 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 1 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 4 1 DK/NA 45 40 41 31 33 10. Is your opinion of - Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 33% 16% 41% 35% 34% 31% 33% 33% Unfavorable 22 40 9 24 29 16 27 7 Hvn't hrd enough 44 43 49 39 35 51 39 59 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 30% 39% 38% 31% 26% Unfavorable 13 22 21 21 28 Hvn't hrd enough 55 37 40 48 45 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Feb 3 Dec 15 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 17 Jan 26 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 33 26 25 24 24 25 Unfavorable 22 15 10 11 9 10 Hvn't hrd enough 44 58 63 64 65 63 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1 11. Is your opinion of - Harold Ford favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 16% 10% 21% 17% 21% 12% 15% 26% Unfavorable 13 12 11 14 16 10 12 11 Hvn't hrd enough 70 78 68 69 62 77 72 62 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 19% 14% 14% 19% 16% Unfavorable 5 9 8 17 14 Hvn't hrd enough 76 76 76 64 70 REFUSED - 1 1 - - 12. Is your opinion of - Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 11% 24% 3% 11% 15% 8% 12% 8% Unfavorable 4 2 7 4 6 3 3 8 Hvn't hrd enough 84 74 89 85 78 88 83 83 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Favorable 7% 10% 10% 8% 20% Unfavorable 1 2 2 6 6 Hvn't hrd enough 92 87 87 85 74 REFUSED - 1 1 1 - 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 37% 21% 46% 41% 39% 36% 34% 60% Disapprove 54 72 44 52 56 53 58 30 DK/NA 8 8 10 7 5 11 8 10 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 45% 35% 36% 39% 38% Disapprove 46 58 56 51 55 DK/NA 9 7 8 10 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 28% May 2009 & Apr 2009 / **High dis also 61% May 2009) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Aug 6 Jun 24 Jun 24 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2009* 2009** Approve 37 40 30 30 64 28 28 Disapprove 54 49 57 59 14 61 61 DK/NA 8 11 14 12 22 12 12 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 42% 25% 55% 41% 40% 43% 40% 45% Disapprove 28 46 11 32 36 21 31 12 DK/NA 31 29 34 27 24 36 28 44 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 48% 48% 48% 39% 33% Disapprove 16 28 26 25 36 DK/NA 36 24 25 36 32 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 17 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 42 40 32 33 37 33 28 Disapprove 28 21 20 19 15 13 10 DK/NA 31 39 48 48 48 54 62 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 58% 34% 78% 56% 53% 63% 56% 78% Disapprove 30 54 8 35 40 21 34 10 DK/NA 12 12 15 9 7 16 10 11 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 55% 59% 58% 63% 52% Disapprove 29 28 28 24 42 DK/NA 15 13 14 13 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Dec 8 Apr 15 Feb 3 2010 2009 2009 2009 2004* 1999 2010 Approve 58 62 62 58 69 51 58 Disapprove 30 27 24 27 16 22 30 DK/NA 12 11 14 15 15 28 12 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 57% 14% 89% 51% 53% 60% 49% 90% Disapprove 38 81 8 43 45 33 47 5 DK/NA 5 6 3 6 2 7 4 5 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 74% 51% 54% 68% 44% Disapprove 23 43 40 27 53 DK/NA 3 6 5 5 3 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 19 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 57 59 62 60 67 71 72 Disapprove 38 36 32 35 26 21 17 DK/NA 5 5 6 6 7 7 10 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 16% 10% 22% 15% 14% 18% 12% 25% Disapprove 71 80 61 76 78 66 76 58 DK/NA 13 11 17 9 8 16 12 17 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 21% 15% 16% 17% 15% Disapprove 65 73 72 69 74 DK/NA 13 13 13 14 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*High Dis also 72% Aug 2009) APPROVE...... DIS... High Low High Feb 3 Dec 16 Oct 21 Aug 18 Apr 4 Feb 3 Dec 16 2010 2009 2009 2009 2007 2010 2009* Approve 16 17 19 18 34 16 17 Disapprove 71 72 67 72 43 71 72 DK/NA 13 11 14 10 23 13 11 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 71% 54% 81% 73% 72% 70% 71% 78% Disapprove 15 26 5 16 19 11 15 12 DK/NA 15 20 14 12 10 19 14 10 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 70% 71% 71% 72% 68% Disapprove 11 14 14 13 19 DK/NA 19 15 16 15 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Feb 17 Feb 13 Jul 31 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2007 2007 Approve 71 74 71 74 76 42 68 Disapprove 15 12 11 10 11 16 19 DK/NA 15 14 18 17 13 42 14 19. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very satisfied 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5% Smwht satisfied 24 13 33 22 21 26 20 42 Smwht dissatisfied 35 36 39 31 31 38 34 36 Very dissatisfied 39 49 24 45 45 35 44 17 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Very satisfied 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% Smwht satisfied 31 17 19 27 26 Smwht dissatisfied 25 33 32 38 34 Very dissatisfied 42 48 47 31 39 DK/NA - - - 1 - TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Feb 3 Dec 16 Oct 21 Aug 18 Jun 22 Feb 25 Dec 16 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 1998 2009 Very satisfied 2 2 2 3 2 13 2 Smwht satisfied 24 22 28 25 26 60 22 Smwht dissatisfied 35 37 37 37 34 20 37 Very dissatisfied 39 38 31 34 37 7 38 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 20. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for Governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4-year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4-year term? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 28% 13% 36% 29% 30% 25% 24% 48% No/Does not 61 79 52 60 61 61 66 36 DK/NA 11 8 13 11 8 13 10 16 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Yes/Deserves 37% 23% 25% 30% 28% No/Does not 55 66 65 56 63 DK/NA 8 10 10 14 9 TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4-year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4-year term? Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 Apr 6 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Yes/deserves 28 28 23 20 22 21 22 No/does not 61 59 63 67 64 64 63 DK/NA 11 13 13 13 13 15 16 21. Are you impatient with Andrew Cuomo for delaying an announcement for whether he will run for governor or don't you feel that way? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 15% 15% 18% 15% 16% 15% 14% 23% No 78 77 77 79 78 78 80 74 DK/NA 6 7 5 6 6 7 6 4 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Yes 18% 13% 14% 18% 14% No 77 79 79 76 81 DK/NA 5 8 7 6 6 22. Some people say that if Andrew Cuomo runs against David Paterson in a Democratic primary for Governor that it would be racially divisive. Do you agree or disagree? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Agree 14% 17% 15% 14% 16% 13% 13% 22% Disagree 80 76 78 83 80 79 81 73 DK/NA 6 8 7 4 4 8 6 5 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Agree 20% 12% 13% 17% 14% Disagree 74 82 81 78 80 DK/NA 6 6 6 5 7 23. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/deserves 54% 30% 71% 52% 51% 57% 51% 71% No/does not 33 59 13 38 41 27 37 17 DK/NA 13 12 16 10 8 16 12 12 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Yes/deserves 47% 53% 53% 61% 46% No/does not 29 33 32 28 43 DK/NA 24 14 15 11 11
