April 13, 2010 - Cuomo Stomps Little-Known Republicans 2-1, Quinnipiac University New York State Poll Finds; Pataki Would Top GOP Field, Lead Gillibrand Word format New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo has a 74 - 14 percent job approval rating and commanding leads of 2-1 or more against the little-known Republican contenders in the race for Governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. With 40 percent of Republican voters undecided, former U.S. Senate candidate Rick Lazio leads in a primary for Governor with 34 percent, followed by Buffalo businessman Carl Paladino and Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy, each with 11 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Cuomo leads in possible general election: 55 - 26 percent over Lazio; 60 - 24 percent over Paladino; 57 - 24 percent over Levy. In each matchup, Cuomo gets at least 80 percent of the Democratic vote, plus 20 percent or more of the Republican vote and 50 percent or more of the independent vote. Cuomo's 74 percent job approval, continuing a nine-month string of plus 70 scores, includes a 64 - 24 percent approval among Republicans. "None of the Republican wannabes draws more than the generic Republican vote against Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, but let's see what happens when we have a campaign," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Besides burying the opposition, Cuomo continues to score high on job-performance. "Who are those guys? Steve Levy and Carl Paladino don't register at this stage. But neither of them is a shrinking violet. As they start to make noise, we'll see if they can cut into Rick Lazio's lead - for the questionable reward of facing Cuomo." New York State voters give Cuomo a 59 - 19 percent favorability rating. For Lazio, Paladino and Levy, 56 to 79 percent of voters say they don't know enough about each candidate to form an opinion. U.S. Senate Race If former Gov. George Pataki jumps into the U.S. Senate race, he would get 45 percent to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand's 40 percent. In a Republican primary, Pataki leads announced candidate Bruce Blakeman 64 - 15 percent. Gillibrand tops Blakeman 47 - 25 percent. New York State voters approve 47 - 25 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 37 - 23 percent favorability, as 39 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion. This is her highest approval and best favorability score since she was named Senator last year. Pataki gets a 52 - 33 percent favorability while 87 percent of voters don't know enough about Blakeman to form an opinion. "The threat to Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand always has been from the Democratic left, but that seems to have evaporated," Carroll said. "On the Republican side, former Gov. George Pataki could give her a run. IF he decides to run, that is. Bruce Blakeman remains anonymous." New York State voters disapprove 65 - 25 percent of the job Gov. David Paterson is doing, but say 62 - 33 percent that he should serve his full term rather than resign. This ties Gov. Paterson's worst approval score since he became Governor in 2008. New York State voters approve 61 - 26 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer is doing and say 53 - 32 percent that he should be reelected. "Sen. Chuck Schumer is back over 60 percent on his job approval, defying the conventional wisdom that this is a bad year for incumbents," Carroll said. President Barack Obama gets a 62 - 33 percent approval, up from 57 - 38 percent February 3 and reversing a slide that began last fall. From April 6 - 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,381 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 411 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If registered Republican) If the 2010 Republican primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Rick Lazio, Steve Levy and Carl Paladino, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPS.. Tot Men Wom Lazio 34% 40% 29% Levy 11 14 9 Paladino 11 13 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 DK/NA 40 30 49 2. (If registered Republican) If the 2010 Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Pataki and Bruce Blakeman, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPS.. Tot Men Wom Pataki 64% 72% 57% Blakeman 15 12 19 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 19 15 23 3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cuomo 55% 21% 82% 50% 50% 60% 50% 73% Lazio 26 65 4 26 34 18 32 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 4 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 15 12 13 18 11 19 14 19 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Cuomo 62% 49% 50% 65% 49% Lazio 13 31 29 17 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 3 3 1 - DK/NA 25 15 16 14 16 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 Cuomo 55 57 62 61 Lazio 26 25 22 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 DK/NA 15 11 14 13 4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Steve Levy the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cuomo 57% 27% 82% 50% 53% 60% 52% 74% Levy 24 57 5 27 31 18 30 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 4 3 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 - 3 3 1 2 2 DK/NA 15 11 12 17 10 19 13 20 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Cuomo 71% 50% 53% 69% 43% Levy 11 28 25 16 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 4 4 1 1 DK/NA 17 16 16 13 17 5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Carl Paladino the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cuomo 60% 23% 88% 55% 56% 64% 54% 77% Paladino 24 58 4 24 31 17 29 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 - 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 14 16 6 16 10 17 14 15 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Cuomo 70% 50% 52% 72% 54% Paladino 20 32 30 15 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 3 3 1 1 DK/NA 11 15 14 11 18 6. Is your opinion of - Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 59% 39% 75% 55% 54% 62% 56% 63% Unfavorable 19 38 4 25 29 11 25 4 Hvn't hrd enough 20 21 19 18 15 24 17 29 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Jun 24 May 13 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009* 2009 Favorable 59 54 57 61 52 63 51 Unfavorable 19 16 14 13 12 15 13 Hvn't hrd enough 20 28 27 23 34 20 34 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 7. Is your opinion of - Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 24% 47% 14% 19% 30% 19% 27% 8% Unfavorable 19 9 26 19 21 17 19 17 Hvn't hrd enough 56 44 57 60 47 63 51 73 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 3 1 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 Favorable 24 20 19 15 Unfavorable 19 15 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 56 64 67 70 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 8. Is your opinion of - Steve Levy favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 13% 17% 9% 16% 14% 12% 15% 8% Unfavorable 11 9 14 10 12 10 10 9 Hvn't hrd enough 74 73 75 74 71 77 73 81 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 - 1 2 9. Is your opinion of - Carl Paladino favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 12% 22% 8% 10% 14% 10% 13% 6% Unfavorable 8 3 10 8 8 7 7 10 Hvn't hrd enough 79 74 81 81 76 82 80 84 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 - - 10. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Gillibrand 47% 15% 72% 43% 47% 47% 40% 61% Blakeman 25 62 5 23 30 21 31 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 5 2 4 1 DK/NA 24 20 19 28 17 30 24 30 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Gillibrand 46% 42% 42% 60% 34% Blakeman 18 29 28 15 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 4 3 2 DK/NA 31 24 25 21 28 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 13 Feb 3 2010 2010 Gillibrand 47 44 Blakeman 25 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 DK/NA 24 26 11. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and George Pataki the . Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Gillibrand 40% 9% 65% 32% 40% 40% 34% 55% Pataki 45 81 22 49 50 40 50 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 3 1 2 - DK/NA 13 7 11 16 7 18 13 17 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Gillibrand 42% 36% 37% 49% 31% Pataki 39 48 47 37 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 18 13 13 12 14 12. Is your opinion of - Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 37% 23% 51% 32% 40% 34% 35% 36% Unfavorable 23 43 11 24 27 20 28 10 Hvn't hrd enough 39 32 38 43 32 45 36 55 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Jun 24 Apr 6 Feb 17 Jan 26 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 37 33 26 25 24 24 25 Unfavorable 23 22 15 10 11 9 10 Hvn't hrd enough 39 44 58 63 64 65 63 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 13. Is your opinion of - Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 7% 16% 4% 5% 10% 5% 8% 3% Unfavorable 6 3 10 4 6 6 5 6 Hvn't hrd enough 87 81 87 90 84 89 87 91 REFUSED - - - 1 - - - - TREND: Is your opinion of Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 13 Feb 3 2010 2010 Favorable 7 11 Unfavorable 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 87 84 REFUSED - 1 14. Is your opinion of - George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 52% 75% 42% 52% 56% 48% 56% 46% Unfavorable 33 14 43 32 34 32 30 35 Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 14 12 9 18 13 18 REFUSED 2 - - 4 1 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of George Pataki favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 13 Feb 14 2010 2007 Favorable 52 35 Unfavorable 33 55 Hvn't hrd enough 14 7 REFUSED 2 2 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 25% 22% 25% 27% 29% 22% 25% 36% Disapprove 65 70 66 64 64 66 67 54 DK/NA 10 9 9 8 7 12 8 10 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 27% 27% 27% 25% 24% Disapprove 61 64 64 65 67 DK/NA 13 9 9 11 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 21% Mar 5 2010) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Apr 13 Mar 10 Mar 5 Mar 3 Aug 6 Mar 10 Apr 13 2010 2010 2010 2010 2008 2010 2010 Approve 25 21 21 24 64 21* 25 Disapprove 65 61 61 62 14 61 65 DK/NA 10 17 18 15 22 17 10 16. Do you think Governor Paterson should serve his full term until December 31 or should he resign? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Serve full term 62% 53% 66% 62% 68% 57% 61% 75% Resign 33 42 28 34 31 36 34 24 DK/NA 5 5 5 4 2 8 5 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Serve full term 58% 59% 59% 64% 63% Resign 34 37 36 30 32 DK/NA 8 4 4 6 5 TREND: Do you think Governor Paterson should serve his full term until December 31 or should he resign? Apr 13 Mar 10 Mar 5 Mar 3 2010 2010 2010 2010 Serve full term 62 50 46 61 Resign 33 39 42 31 DK/NA 5 11 12 9 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 30% 64% 40% 49% 45% 43% 43% Disapprove 25 44 9 31 30 20 29 15 DK/NA 29 26 27 29 21 35 28 43 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 48% 47% 47% 50% 40% Disapprove 19 28 26 20 29 DK/NA 33 25 26 30 31 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Apr 13 Feb 17 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010 2009 Approve 47 42 40 32 33 47 28 Disapprove 25 28 21 20 19 25 10 DK/NA 29 31 39 48 48 29 62 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 61% 41% 78% 59% 59% 62% 59% 71% Disapprove 26 44 10 31 31 21 29 13 DK/NA 13 15 12 10 10 17 12 16 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 55% 58% 57% 70% 51% Disapprove 18 24 23 21 37 DK/NA 26 18 19 8 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Dec 8 Apr 15 Feb 3 2010 2010 2009 2009 2004* 1999 2010 Approve 61 58 62 62 69 51 58 Disapprove 26 30 27 24 16 22 30 DK/NA 13 12 11 14 15 28 12 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 62% 21% 89% 58% 56% 66% 52% 96% Disapprove 33 74 7 36 39 29 43 3 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 5 5 5 1 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 78% 54% 57% 72% 52% Disapprove 19 42 39 22 43 DK/NA 3 4 4 6 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE...... High Low Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 Aug 16 Feb 19 Feb 3 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 62 57 59 62 60 72 57 Disapprove 33 38 36 32 35 17 38 DK/NA 5 5 5 6 6 10 5 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 74% 64% 84% 71% 73% 74% 72% 81% Disapprove 14 24 6 17 17 12 17 4 DK/NA 12 13 10 12 10 14 11 15 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Approve 75% 71% 72% 80% 66% Disapprove 8 15 14 12 19 DK/NA 16 14 14 8 15 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Apr 13 Mar 3 Feb 3 Dec 15 Feb 17 Feb 13 Jul 31 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2007 2007 Approve 74 70 71 74 76 42 68 Disapprove 14 16 15 12 11 16 19 DK/NA 12 14 15 14 13 42 14 24. Is your opinion of - Richard Ravitch favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 12% 10% 15% 14% 16% 9% 15% 8% Unfavorable 7 5 5 9 9 5 7 4 Hvn't hrd enough 80 85 79 76 74 85 78 87 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Ravitch favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 13 Mar 10 Mar 3 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 12 12 12 Unfavorable 7 6 9 Hvn't hrd enough 80 80 78 REFUSED 1 1 1 25. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/deserves 53% 29% 75% 48% 52% 55% 52% 70% No/does not 32 54 13 39 39 25 33 16 DK/NA 15 16 12 13 9 20 14 13 UpState..... UpState Urban Othr Total NYC Sub Yes/deserves 64% 47% 49% 61% 48% No/does not 20 35 32 26 40 DK/NA 17 19 18 13 12 TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Charles Schumer deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Apr 13 Feb 3 2010 2010 Yes/deserves 53 54 No/does not 32 33 DK/NA 15 13
