September 1, 2010 - Cuomo Tops Lazio Or Paladino More Than 2-1, Quinnipiac University New York State Poll Finds; Voters Want To Know How Cuomo Will Fix Budget Word format New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, the Democratic candidate for Governor, leads either of his Republican rivals by more than 2-1, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Cuomo tops former Congressman Rick Lazio 57 - 25 percent and leads Carl Paladino 60 - 23 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Independent voters back Cuomo over Lazio 55 - 23 percent and support the Democrat over Paladino 54 - 24 percent. New York State voters approve 69 - 20 percent of the job Cuomo is doing as Attorney General and by 54 - 21 percent, they have a favorable opinion of him. Lazio gets a split 25 - 24 percent favorability and 49 percent of voters don't know enough about him to form an opinion. For Paladino, 70 percent don't know enough about him. Voters say 63 - 23 percent that Cuomo has not done enough to explain how he will fix New York State's budget problems. Even Democrats say 52 - 35 percent that Cuomo hasn't explained enough. Asked if Cuomo is deferring to Gov. David Paterson or "ducking his responsibility as a candidate," voters say 44 - 32 percent that he's ducking. "Is it fair to ask if Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, as the runaway favorite for Governor, has done enough to tell New Yorkers where he stands on issues? Voters think it is. Almost two- thirds of New Yorkers would like him to say more," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Is Cuomo's reticence to speak out simply polite deference to the sitting Governor, David Paterson, or is he ducking his responsibilities? Lots of New Yorkers agree with each of those arguments, but more say 'ducking,'" Carroll added. "Rick Lazio or Carl Paladino - take your pick. Cuomo trounces either of them." U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, the Democrat, dominates any of her three possible Republican challengers: 44 - 26 percent over Bruce Blakeman; 45 - 24 percent over David Malpass; 43 - 28 percent over Joseph DioGuardi. New York State voters approve 46 - 27 percent of the job Sen. Gillibrand is doing and give her a 38 - 21 percent favorability rating, with 39 percent who haven't heard enough about her to form an opinion. The "don't know enough" factor for each of the three Republicans ranges from 76 percent to 85 percent. "Who are those guys who want to run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand? In match-ups, each of the three gets the generic Republican vote. But most voters don't know much about any of them," Carroll said. Worst Score Ever for State Legislature New York State voters disapprove 75 - 15 percent of the job the State Legislature is doing, matching the 76 - 16 percent disapproval from a June 23 Quinnipiac University poll for the worst overall net score ever. Voters say 55 - 31 percent that their local state senator should be voted out of office as part of an overall house-cleaning in Albany, the highest anti-incumbent score ever. Their State Assembly member should go, too, voters say 53 - 33 percent, the highest anti- incumbent score for Assembly members as well. "State legislators ought to be nervous. More than half of voters say that, to clean house in Albany, they'd even vote against their own senator or Assembly member. That sort of mass movement never has happened - but the Legislature overall gets terrible marks, and New Yorkers, overall, are unhappy with the state of the state," Carroll said. From August 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,497 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Cuomo 57% 24% 81% 55% 55% 59% Lazio 25 67 5 23 29 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 4 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 1 DK/NA 14 8 12 16 11 16 UpStat NYC Suburbs Cuomo 52% 72% 43% Lazio 26 15 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 DK/NA 17 10 15 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rick Lazio the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 Cuomo 57 56 58 55 57 62 61 Lazio 25 26 26 26 25 22 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 DK/NA 14 14 13 15 11 14 13 5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Carl Paladino the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Cuomo 60% 27% 86% 54% 58% 62% Paladino 23 59 3 24 29 19 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 DK/NA 14 13 10 17 10 16 UpStat NYC Suburbs Cuomo 54% 74% 48% Paladino 29 12 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 DK/NA 12 12 19 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Carl Paladino the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 2010 2010 2010 2010 Cuomo 60 55 59 60 Paladino 23 25 23 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 DK/NA 14 16 15 14 6. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 54% 30% 69% 55% 54% 55% Unfavorable 21 44 4 25 26 16 Hvn't hrd enough 22 21 25 18 17 25 REFUSED 3 5 2 3 3 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 63% Apr 2009 and Feb 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Jun 24 May 13 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009* 2009 Favorable 54 57 59 54 57 63 51 Unfavorable 21 18 19 16 14 15 13 Hvn't hrd enough 22 22 20 28 27 20 34 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 7. Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 25% 52% 12% 23% 31% 21% Unfavorable 24 9 30 29 28 21 Hvn't hrd enough 49 36 56 47 39 57 REFUSED 2 3 2 1 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Lazio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Oct 21 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 Favorable 25 24 24 20 19 15 Unfavorable 24 18 19 15 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 49 56 56 64 67 70 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 1 2 8. Is your opinion of Carl Paladino favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 16% 36% 5% 16% 24% 10% Unfavorable 13 7 16 13 13 12 Hvn't hrd enough 70 55 78 71 62 77 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Carl Paladino favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 16 10 12 Unfavorable 13 10 8 Hvn't hrd enough 70 79 79 REFUSED 1 1 1 9. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Gillibrand 44% 9% 70% 37% 42% 45% Blakeman 26 68 5 24 33 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 1 3 DK/NA 27 21 23 34 23 31 UpStat NYC Suburbs Gillibrand 39% 55% 34% Blakeman 30 15 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 DK/NA 28 26 28 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Bruce Blakeman the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 Gillibrand 44 48 46 47 44 Blakeman 26 27 26 25 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 DK/NA 27 21 26 24 26 10. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held tod Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Gillibrand 45% 13% 72% 38% 44% 47% Malpass 24 63 4 24 30 19 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 2 3 DK/NA 27 23 22 33 23 30 UpStat NYC Suburbs Gillibrand 41% 58% 33% Malpass 28 14 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 1 DK/NA 26 25 31 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and David Malpass the Republican, for whom would you vote? Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 2010 2010 2010 Gillibrand 45 49 47 Malpass 24 24 25 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 DK/NA 27 23 25 11. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Joe DioGuardi the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Gillibrand 43% 14% 69% 37% 42% 44% DioGuardi 28 65 8 27 34 22 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 2 3 DK/NA 25 19 21 31 20 29 UpStat NYC Suburbs Gillibrand 40% 54% 33% DioGuardi 29 19 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 2 2 DK/NA 25 24 25 12. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 18% 51% 35% 36% 39% Unfavorable 21 36 6 27 25 18 Hvn't hrd enough 39 42 41 35 37 41 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (*Low also 24% Feb 2009) FAVORABLE.... High Low Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 Dec 15 Sep 01 Apr 6 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2010 2009* Favorable 38 37 37 33 26 38 24 Unfavorable 21 23 23 22 15 21 11 Hvn't hrd enough 39 39 39 44 58 39 64 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 13. Is your opinion of Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 10% 19% 5% 9% 12% 7% Unfavorable 5 1 7 6 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 84 78 86 85 79 88 REFUSED 1 2 2 - 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Bruce Blakeman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 2010 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 10 8 7 11 Unfavorable 5 5 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 84 87 87 84 REFUSED 1 - - 1 14. Is your opinion of David Malpass favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 8% 20% 3% 6% 11% 5% Unfavorable 6 1 10 6 7 6 Hvn't hrd enough 85 76 85 89 81 89 REFUSED 1 3 2 - 2 1 15. Is your opinion of Joe DioGuardi favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 17% 29% 11% 15% 23% 12% Unfavorable 6 2 7 7 7 5 Hvn't hrd enough 76 67 80 78 69 82 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 1 2 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 29% 28% 30% 28% 34% 25% Disapprove 60 64 58 62 58 61 DK/NA 11 8 12 11 8 14 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 30% 32% 25% Disapprove 61 56 62 DK/NA 9 12 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 21% Mar 2010) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Aug 6 Mar 10 Apr 13 2010 2010 2010 2010 2008 2010* 2010 Approve 29 31 29 25 64 21 25 Disapprove 60 57 62 65 14 61 65 DK/NA 11 12 9 10 22 17 10 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 46% 22% 61% 46% 42% 49% Disapprove 27 49 14 29 35 21 DK/NA 27 29 25 24 23 29 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 45% 52% 37% Disapprove 30 19 36 DK/NA 24 29 27 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 3 Jul 28 Feb 17 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 Approve 46 48 44 47 42 48 28 Disapprove 27 26 27 25 28 26 10 DK/NA 27 26 29 29 31 26 62 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 58% 38% 73% 53% 58% 58% Disapprove 31 52 14 38 37 26 DK/NA 11 10 13 9 5 16 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 53% 67% 52% Disapprove 33 22 42 DK/NA 13 11 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Dec 8 Apr 15 Jul 28 2010 2010 2010 2010 2004* 1999 2010 Approve 58 55 60 61 69 51 55 Disapprove 31 33 28 26 16 22 33 DK/NA 11 12 12 13 15 28 12 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 15% 13% 21% 13% 15% 16% Disapprove 75 80 67 79 81 70 DK/NA 9 7 12 8 4 14 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 10% 21% 16% Disapprove 82 68 75 DK/NA 9 10 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? APPROVE...... DIS... High Low High Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 23 Apr 14 Apr 4 Sep 01 Jun 23 2010 2010 2010 2010 2007 2010 2010 Approve 15 16 16 21 34 15 16 Disapprove 75 74 76 68 43 75 76 DK/NA 9 10 7 10 23 9 7 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 69% 51% 79% 69% 69% 69% Disapprove 20 35 11 20 23 17 DK/NA 11 14 9 11 9 14 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 67% 75% 60% Disapprove 22 13 28 DK/NA 11 12 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General? APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 22 Apr 13 Feb 17 Feb 13 Sep 01 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2007 2010 Approve 69 69 72 74 76 42 69 Disapprove 20 17 16 14 11 16 20 DK/NA 11 14 12 12 13 42 11 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 28% 24% 34% 23% 29% 26% Disapprove 43 47 33 52 53 35 DK/NA 29 29 33 25 18 39 UpStat NYC Suburbs Approve 25% 34% 23% Disapprove 48 36 46 DK/NA 28 30 31 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sheldon Silver is handling his job as State Assembly Speaker? APPROVE....... High Low Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 23 Apr 14 Apr 6 Dec 24 Apr 14 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2008 2010 Approve 28 26 26 25 28 38 25 Disapprove 43 44 39 40 36 34 40 DK/NA 29 30 34 35 36 38 35 23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Very satisfied 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% Smwht satisfied 19 12 28 16 18 20 Smwht dissatisfied 31 27 37 30 28 34 Very dissatisfied 47 61 33 53 52 43 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 1 UpStat NYC Suburbs Very satisfied 1% 1% 1% Smwht satisfied 13 26 20 Smwht dissatisfied 26 36 32 Very dissatisfied 60 37 43 DK/NA - 1 4 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York State today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Sep 01 Jul 28 Jun 23 Apr 14 Feb 3 Feb 25 Jun 23 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 1998 2010 Very satisfied 1 3 1 2 2 13 1 Smwht satisfied 19 20 18 20 24 60 18 Smwht dissatisfied 31 32 33 32 35 20 33 Very dissatisfied 47 45 47 46 39 7 47 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 24. Which comes closer to your view about your state Senator - there are a lot of problems in Albany but your state Senator has done a good job and deserves to be reelected or almost everyone in the State Senate should be thrown out including your state Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Deserves reelection 31% 23% 41% 28% 27% 35% Shld be thrown out 55 64 43 62 61 50 DK/NA 14 13 16 10 12 15 UpStat NYC Suburbs Deserves reelection 25% 37% 32% Shld be thrown out 63 46 56 DK/NA 12 17 12 TREND: Which comes closer to your view about your State Senator - there are a lot of problems in Albany but your State Senator has done a good job and deserves to be reelected or almost everyone in the State Senate should be thrown out including your State Senator? Sep 01 Apr 14 Dec 16 Aug 18 2010 2010 2009 2009 Deserves reelection 31 39 41 40 Shld be thrown out 55 50 46 49 DK/NA 14 11 13 11 25. Which comes closer to your view about your State Assembly member - there are a lot of problems in Albany but your State Assembly member has done a good job and deserves to be reelected or almost everyone in the State Assembly should be thrown out including your State Assembly member. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Deserves reelection 33% 25% 43% 27% 30% 35% Shld be thrown out 53 61 42 60 60 47 DK/NA 14 13 16 13 10 18 UpStat NYC Suburbs Deserves reelection 27% 39% 34% Shld be thrown out 61 43 52 DK/NA 11 18 13 TREND: Which comes closer to your view about your State Assembly member - there are a lot of problems in Albany but your State Assembly member has done a good should be thrown out including your State Assembly member? Sep 01 Apr 14 2010 2010 Deserves reelection 33 35 Shld be thrown out 53 48 DK/NA 14 17 26. Do you think Andrew Cuomo has done enough to explain what he will do to correct New York State's budget problems if he is elected governor or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 23% 17% 35% 14% 24% 23% No 63 75 52 69 67 60 DK/NA 13 8 14 17 10 16 UpStat NYC Suburbs Yes 25% 22% 23% No 64 61 66 DK/NA 11 17 11 TREND: Do you think Andrew Cuomo has done enough to explain what he will do to correct New York State's budget problems if he is elected governor or not? Sep 01 Jun 22 2010 2010 Yes 23 21 No 63 64 DK/NA 13 15 27. Which comes closer to your point of view: Andrew Cuomo is politely deferring to the current governor on the budget or Andrew Cuomo is ducking his responsibility as a candidate to make his positions known? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Deferring 32% 21% 42% 30% 31% 33% Ducking 44 58 32 48 50 39 DK/NA 24 21 26 22 19 28 UpStat NYC Suburbs Deferring 28% 36% 32% Ducking 47 38 49 DK/NA 25 26 19 TREND: Which comes closer to your point of view: Andrew Cuomo is politely deferring to thecurrent governor on the budget or Andrew Cuomo is ducking his responsibility as a candidate to make his positions known? Sep 01 Jun 22 2010 2010 Deferring 32 38 Ducking 44 41 DK/NA 24 21
