July 25, 2012 - New Yorkers Like Cuomo As Gov, Clinton As President, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama, Gillibrand Bury GOP Challengers Word format New York State voters push Gov. Andrew Cuomo's approval rating to a new high 73 - 16 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But voters are not ready to think about Gov. Cuomo running for president in 2016 and say not-so-native daughter Hillary Clinton would make a better president. Cuomo's 69 - 19 percent approval rating just among Republicans is much better than the overall approval rating for any governor in the seven states surveyed by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Only 36 percent of New York State voters want Cuomo to run for president in 2016, while 39 percent say don't run, with 26 percent undecided. Cuomo would make a good president, voters say 40 - 30 percent, with 30 percent undecided. Secretary of State Clinton would make a good president, voters say 61 - 34 percent. Clinton would make a better president than Cuomo, voters say 54 - 30 percent. The former first lady leads 58 - 26 percent among women and 51 - 34 percent among men. Republicans pick Cuomo 47 - 37 percent, while Clinton leads 67 - 21 percent among Democrats and 52 - 30 percent among independent voters. "New York voters don't accept 'father knows best' when it comes to Gov. Andrew Cuomo for President in 2016. Former governor and current First Father Mario Cuomo has floated the idea, but New Yorkers clearly aren't ready to talk yet about Andrew Cuomo and the White House in the same breath," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Former Senator and now Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads the 2016 guess list as we do a little mid-summer speculation." "But New York State voters really like the man in Albany. The governor gets high marks - over 70 percent job approval for the second straight poll.," Carroll added. Presidential, U.S. Senate Races In the race for the White House, President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney among New York State voters 55 - 32 percent. The president leads 86 - 7 percent among Democrats and 51 - 32 percent among independent voters, while Republicans back Romney 75 - 14 percent. Obama leads 51 - 35 percent among men and 59 - 29 percent among women. White voters are divided with 44 percent for Obama and 42 percent for Romney. Obama leads 93 - 2 percent among black voters and 72 - 14 percent among Hispanic voters. He leads by more than 20 percentage points among all income and age groups, except for his 18-point lead among voters making more than $100,000 per year. Romney leads 48 - 36 percent among white Catholics and 49 - 40 percent among white Protestants. Voters approve 57 - 38 percent of the job Obama is doing and give him a 57 - 35 percent favorability rating. Romney gets a negative 28 - 45 percent favorability. Democratic incumbent U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops Republican/Conservative challenger Wendy Long 57 - 24 percent. Sen. Gillibrand leads 83 - 4 percent among Democrats and 55 - 26 percent among independent voters while Long takes Republicans 58 - 21 percent. New York State voters approve 54 - 20 percent of the job Gillibrand is doing and give her a 44 - 16 percent favorability, with 39 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion. For Long, 78 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion. "In the race for the White House and the U.S. Senate, it looks as if you could color New York blue and throw away the crayon. Both Democratic incumbents, President Barack Obama and Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, chalk up seemingly insurmountable leads," Carroll said. From July 17 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,779 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Obama 55% 14% 86% 51% 51% 59% 44% 93% 72% Romney 32 75 7 32 35 29 42 2 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 - - DK/NA 10 10 6 12 10 10 11 5 13 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom HsHld Obama 51% 40% 40% 36% 41% 47% 44% Romney 40 43 49 48 46 38 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 - 2 2 1 1 DK/NA 6 13 9 13 9 12 14 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AGE IN YEARS..... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 59% 53% 59% 56% 56% 53% 57% 55% 55% Romney 31 32 23 33 35 35 30 32 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 DK/NA 7 12 16 7 7 8 10 10 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jul 25 May 31 Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 Obama 55 56 56 52 53 Romney 32 31 33 35 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 4 2 DK/NA 10 8 7 7 7 2. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 57% 18% 84% 54% 53% 59% 46% 94% 69% Unfavorable 35 76 10 36 40 32 47 1 18 Hvn't hrd enough 5 4 4 5 3 6 4 3 8 REFUSED 3 3 2 5 4 3 3 2 5 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom HsHld Favorable 53% 41% 42% 40% 42% 49% 48% Unfavorable 44 50 51 55 53 43 42 Hvn't hrd enough 2 6 5 3 2 6 5 REFUSED 2 3 3 2 3 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AGE IN YEARS..... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 61% 54% 59% 58% 58% 55% 54% 60% 56% Unfavorable 34 36 25 35 37 41 32 35 37 Hvn't hrd enough 2 7 13 4 1 1 8 3 4 REFUSED 3 3 4 4 4 2 6 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 25 May 31 Jan 18 Dec 24 Jun 11 Dec 24 Feb 14 2012 2012 2009 2008 2008 2008 2007 Favorable 57 57 71 74 55 74 44 Unfavorable 35 37 11 12 28 12 9 Hvn't hrd enough 5 3 16 11 14 11 46 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 3 2 1 3. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 28% 64% 9% 27% 31% 25% 35% 4% 16% Unfavorable 45 12 63 47 44 45 41 62 40 Hvn't hrd enough 24 21 25 22 21 27 21 29 39 REFUSED 3 3 2 4 4 3 2 5 4 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom HsHld Favorable 36% 35% 41% 41% 41% 31% 35% Unfavorable 49 36 34 33 40 42 36 Hvn't hrd enough 13 27 22 24 17 24 24 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 2 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AGE IN YEARS..... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 28% 28% 24% 22% 31% 33% 23% 28% 30% Unfavorable 54 39 40 44 50 48 43 43 47 Hvn't hrd enough 14 30 34 31 16 16 25 27 21 REFUSED 4 3 3 2 4 3 9 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 25 May 31 Oct 3 Jun 20 Apr 5 Feb 14 2012 2012 2007 2007 2007 2007 Favorable 28 29 22 17 14 13 Unfavorable 45 47 28 22 16 14 Hvn't hrd enough 24 21 48 60 69 72 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 1 1 4. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 28% 31% 31% 25% 31% 26% 26% 40% 31% Less 26 27 22 26 22 28 28 13 26 About the same 46 42 47 47 46 46 45 46 43 DK/NA 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1 1 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom HsHld More 27% 24% 23% 28% 32% 21% 37% Less 28 29 27 31 24 32 24 About the same 45 46 49 42 43 47 38 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AGE IN YEARS..... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 30% 27% 26% 26% 30% 31% 23% 29% 31% Less 26 25 28 23 23 28 20 31 23 About the same 44 47 44 50 46 41 57 40 45 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 - - - 1 1 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Jul 25 May 31 2012 2012 More 28 27 Less 26 24 About the same 46 48 DK/NA 1 1 5. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democratic party candidate, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Long 24% 58% 4% 26% 30% 18% 29% 5% 18% Gillibrand 57 21 83 55 53 60 52 76 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 DK/NA 16 18 11 16 14 18 16 18 17 UpStat NYC Sub Long 27% 18% 28% Gillibrand 53 63 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 DK/NA 17 16 15 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democratic party candidate, for whom would you vote? Jul 25 May 30 Apr 05 2012 2012 2012 Long 24 24 25 Gillibrand 57 58 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 DK/NA 16 15 13 6. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 44% 23% 60% 43% 43% 45% 45% 48% 33% Unfavorable 16 37 3 18 22 11 19 2 12 Hvn't hrd enough 39 39 37 39 35 43 35 49 55 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 44% 46% 41% Unfavorable 18 13 18 Hvn't hrd enough 37 41 39 REFUSED 1 - 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (*Low also 24% Feb 2009) FAVORABLE.... High Low Jul 25 May 30 Sep 01 Jun 22 Apr 13 May 30 Apr 6 2012 2012 2010 2010 2010 2012 2009* Favorable 44 50 38 37 37 50 24 Unfavorable 16 18 21 23 23 18 11 Hvn't hrd enough 39 29 39 39 39 29 64 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 7. Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 13% 24% 7% 13% 15% 11% 13% 10% 17% Unfavorable 8 1 12 7 9 7 7 8 7 Hvn't hrd enough 78 74 80 80 74 82 79 82 76 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - - UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 13% 11% 15% Unfavorable 5 11 7 Hvn't hrd enough 81 77 76 REFUSED - 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her? Jul 25 May 30 2012 2012 Favorable 13 6 Unfavorable 8 8 Hvn't hrd enough 78 84 REFUSED 1 1 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 73% 69% 80% 72% 73% 73% 74% 75% 69% Disapprove 16 19 10 17 17 14 15 16 18 DK/NA 12 13 10 11 10 13 11 9 13 UpStat NYC Sub Approve 69% 75% 75% Disapprove 17 14 14 DK/NA 13 10 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor? APPROVE....... High Low Jul 25 May 30 Apr 04 Feb 15 Dec 20 Jul 25 Feb 23 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011 Approve 73 71 68 69 68 73 56 Disapprove 16 16 19 19 17 16 15 DK/NA 12 13 13 12 15 12 29 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 61% 47% 74% 59% 58% 64% 59% 76% 51% Disapprove 25 41 11 29 32 19 28 8 21 DK/NA 14 12 15 11 10 17 12 16 29 UpStat NYC Sub Approve 56% 64% 63% Disapprove 28 19 28 DK/NA 15 16 9 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 69% Oct 2001) APPROVE....... High Low Jul 25 May 30 Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 Dec 08 Apr 15 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2004* 1999 Approve 61 64 63 60 62 69 51 Disapprove 25 26 25 29 27 16 22 DK/NA 14 10 12 11 11 15 28 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 54% 34% 68% 54% 52% 56% 54% 62% 51% Disapprove 20 40 6 23 27 14 22 9 18 DK/NA 26 26 26 23 21 30 24 29 30 UpStat NYC Sub Approve 54% 54% 53% Disapprove 22 17 22 DK/NA 24 29 25 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? (*High also 60% Apr 2012) APPROVE....... High Low Jul 25 May 30 Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 May 30 Feb 17 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012* 2009 Approve 54 60 60 47 50 60 28 Disapprove 20 22 21 26 23 22 10 DK/NA 26 18 19 27 27 18 62 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 57% 17% 86% 53% 53% 61% 46% 96% 77% Disapprove 38 79 11 40 42 34 49 2 20 DK/NA 5 3 3 7 5 6 5 2 2 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom HsHld Approve 51% 43% 42% 39% 43% 49% 50% Disapprove 44 52 55 56 54 45 45 DK/NA 5 5 3 4 3 6 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME AGE IN YEARS..... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 60% 55% 64% 60% 56% 52% 59% 58% 56% Disapprove 35 40 29 39 39 42 35 38 38 DK/NA 5 5 6 1 5 6 6 3 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jul 25 May 31 Apr 05 Feb 15 Dec 21 Feb 19 Aug 12 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2009 2011 Approve 57 58 56 50 50 72 45 Disapprove 38 39 38 46 45 17 49 DK/NA 5 3 6 5 5 10 6 14. Do you think Andrew Cuomo would make a good President or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 40% 34% 48% 38% 40% 41% 42% 42% 34% No 30 41 22 31 34 26 30 28 32 DK/NA 30 25 31 31 26 33 28 30 35 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 40% 41% 39% No 29 29 33 DK/NA 31 29 28 15. Do you want Andrew Cuomo to run for President in 2016 or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 36% 26% 44% 35% 34% 37% 34% 42% 42% No 39 52 29 41 44 34 40 31 38 DK/NA 26 23 27 24 23 29 25 27 20 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 34% 39% 33% No 39 37 40 DK/NA 27 24 27 16. Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes 61% 38% 78% 60% 57% 65% 56% 74% 70% No 34 59 18 35 38 30 39 20 25 DK/NA 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 6 5 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 57% 66% 62% No 38 28 34 DK/NA 5 6 4 17. Who do you think would make a better President, Andrew Cuomo or Hillary Clinton? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Cuomo 30% 47% 21% 30% 34% 26% 34% 17% 25% Clinton 54 37 67 52 51 58 49 70 68 NEITHER(VOL) 6 11 2 7 7 5 7 2 2 BOTH(VOL) 1 - 2 1 1 2 1 1 - DK/NA 9 6 8 9 8 9 9 10 5 UpStat NYC Sub Cuomo 35% 25% 29% Clinton 50 60 53 NEITHER(VOL) 6 6 7 BOTH(VOL) 1 1 2 DK/NA 9 8 9 Demographic Summary
