September 13, 2012 - Obama Tops Romney Almost 2-1 In New York, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Gillibrand Does Even Better In Senate Race Word format President Barack Obama buries Gov. Mitt Romney, his Republican challenger, 62 - 34 percent among New York State likely voters, with a 20-point lead among men and a 35-point lead among women, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is the first measure of likely voters by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and can not be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters. In today's survey, President Obama leads 94 - 4 percent among Democrats and 58 - 37 percent among independent voters, while Republicans turn to Romney 89 - 10 percent. Obama has big leads among all income and age groups. White Catholics back Romney 56 - 42 percent while white Protestants back Obama by a narrow 51 - 47 percent. White men are split 48 - 48 percent while white women back the president 57 - 40 percent. "The only reason President Barack Obama or Gov. Mitt Romney will come to New York is to raise money. Unless something unforeseen happens, the poll numbers say it's an Obama blow-out," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Besides his usual close to unanimous vote in the Black community, Obama also carries the white vote in New York. Men like him a lot; women like him even more." President Obama gets a 61 - 36 percent favorability rating from New York State likely voters, compared to Romney's negative 34 - 52 percent rating. Vice President Joseph Biden gets a 51 - 34 percent favorability, while U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan, Romney's running mate, gets a negative 27 - 45 percent score. New York State likely voters say 49 - 31 percent that Biden is qualified to be president. Ryan is not qualified to be president, voters say 35 - 30 percent, with 35 percent undecided. U.S. Senate Race In the first likely voter look at New York's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 64 - 27 percent. Republicans back long 71 - 23 percent, but Gillibrand takes every other group by wide margins. By a 54 - 16 percent margin, likely voters have a favorable opinion of Gillibrand. For Long, 74 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion. "The significant number in the Senate race is how many voters don't know enough to decide whether they like or dislike Wendy Long," Carroll said. "Hardly anyone knew Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand when she was first appointed but it looks like an easy six more years. The economy is "extremely" important to their vote for president, 62 percent of voters say, followed by 54 percent who list health care as "extremely important" and 49 percent who cite Medicare. Obama will do a better job than Romney on each issue, voters say: 57 - 36 percent on the economy; 63 - 32 percent on health care; 61 - 32 percent on Medicare. "Issues? Just like everywhere else, New Yorkers list the economy first, then health care," Carroll said. "New York voters say the president will do a better job than the challenger on every issue." From September 4 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,486 New York State likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or Romney? (Table includes leaners) (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Obama 62% 10% 94% 58% 58% 66% 52% 95% 84% Romney 34 89 4 37 38 31 44 2 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 1 2 - - DK/NA 2 - 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Obama 66% 42% 51% 42% 48% 57% Romney 30 54 47 56 48 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 - 3 1 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 71% 57% 67% 64% 63% 61% 75% 64% 57% Romney 26 39 28 33 35 35 20 33 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 1 1 4 1 - DK/NA 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 2 3 1a. (If candidate chosen q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS....... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q1 Tot Obama Romney Mind made up 91% 92% 90% Might change 8 7 9 DK/NA 1 1 1 2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Favorable 34% 82% 9% 38% 39% 30% 42% 9% 12% Unfavorable 52 8 79 47 49 55 47 69 75 Hvn't hrd enough 11 9 11 13 10 13 10 20 10 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 33% 49% 43% 54% 47% 38% Unfavorable 59 38 42 37 44 49 Hvn't hrd enough 6 12 13 8 8 11 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 28% 38% 27% 36% 34% 36% 26% 32% 40% Unfavorable 63 45 52 51 55 54 58 57 46 Hvn't hrd enough 6 15 20 12 9 8 15 10 12 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 - 2 2 3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Favorable 61% 13% 92% 54% 57% 65% 52% 94% 80% Unfavorable 36 85 6 41 39 33 45 4 14 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 1 4 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 1 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 66% 42% 50% 42% 48% 56% Unfavorable 32 54 47 54 49 41 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 3 1 1 1 REFUSED 1 2 - 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 69% 56% 66% 65% 62% 58% 72% 63% 57% Unfavorable 28 40 27 34 35 40 28 34 39 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 3 - 1 2 - 1 2 REFUSED 2 2 4 1 2 - - 2 2 4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Wendy Long the Republican and Conservative party candidate and Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Long or Gillibrand? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Long 27% 71% 2% 29% 33% 21% 32% 7% Gillibrand 64 23 92 56 60 68 59 83 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - DK/NA 9 6 6 15 7 11 9 10 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Long 25% 37% 36% 41% 40% 25% Gillibrand 67 53 51 52 54 63 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - DK/NA 7 10 13 7 6 12 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Long 22% 30% 25% 22% 26% 29% 18% 26% 31% Gillibrand 71 59 61 68 66 64 64 67 62 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 11 13 10 8 6 18 8 7 4a. (If Senate candidate chosen q4) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY VOTERS........... CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q4..... Tot Long Gillibrand Mind made up 81% 81% 81% Might change 19 19 19 DK/NA - 1 - 5. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 54% 24% 74% 50% 51% 56% 53% 64% Unfavorable 16 42 2 17 20 12 20 4 Hvn't hrd enough 29 34 23 33 27 31 27 32 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 6. Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 15% 37% 5% 12% 18% 12% 16% 9% Unfavorable 10 3 16 6 9 10 9 16 Hvn't hrd enough 74 59 78 81 72 77 74 75 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 60% 33% 77% 59% 56% 64% 59% 72% Disapprove 20 50 4 21 26 15 23 8 DK/NA 20 18 19 20 18 21 18 20 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp* Approve 61% 12% 91% 56% 57% 64% 52% 93% 84% Disapprove 36 87 7 41 40 33 46 5 16 DK/NA 3 1 2 3 2 3 2 2 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 66% 42% 49% 43% 48% 55% Disapprove 33 56 49 55 51 42 DK/NA 1 2 2 2 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 69% 56% 67% 64% 61% 60% 71% 62% 58% Disapprove 28 42 28 35 37 39 26 36 40 DK/NA 3 2 5 2 1 1 3 2 3 14. Currently, Republicans control the House of Representatives and Democrats control the United States Senate. After the election in November, would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of Congress, the Republicans control both houses of Congress, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Democrats control 45% 4% 72% 40% 45% 46% 41% 62% Republicans control 27 73 2 27 32 21 34 2 Control is split 24 21 23 28 20 29 21 35 DK/NA 4 3 2 5 3 4 4 2 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Democrats control 57% 30% 33% 31% 41% 41% Republicans control 23 41 34 43 41 27 Control is split 16 25 27 22 15 27 DK/NA 3 5 6 4 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Democrats control 60% 36% 41% 43% 47% 50% 50% 47% 43% Republicans control 20 30 21 26 27 28 20 25 30 Control is split 17 29 32 29 23 19 28 24 23 DK/NA 2 4 6 2 3 2 1 3 4 15. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 42% 51% 42% 35% 42% 42% 40% 46% Less 14 9 11 22 13 15 15 5 About the same 43 40 46 42 45 42 44 46 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom More 36% 43% 38% 45% 40% 40% Less 16 14 16 13 14 16 About the same 47 42 45 42 45 43 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 38% 45% 45% 46% 42% 38% 35% 42% 46% Less 15 13 13 12 13 15 14 14 13 About the same 46 42 42 42 44 47 50 44 40 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 16. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 56% 8% 90% 46% 52% 60% 48% 87% Unfavorable 36 85 7 43 42 30 45 5 Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 2 7 4 8 5 8 REFUSED 2 - 1 4 2 2 2 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 60% 39% 43% 40% 43% 52% Unfavorable 36 51 44 55 52 38 Hvn't hrd enough 2 8 10 4 2 8 REFUSED 2 2 3 2 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 63% 52% 60% 61% 57% 57% 64% 58% 52% Unfavorable 32 38 27 36 35 40 28 36 39 Hvn't hrd enough 2 8 11 3 6 2 7 4 7 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 3 1 - 2 2 17. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 32% 85% 5% 33% 35% 30% 38% 6% Unfavorable 59 10 87 55 57 60 54 83 Hvn't hrd enough 6 4 6 8 5 8 5 8 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 4 2 2 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 26% 47% 39% 51% 40% 37% Unfavorable 70 43 48 42 54 54 Hvn't hrd enough 3 7 9 5 3 7 REFUSED 1 3 4 2 4 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 23% 38% 29% 32% 33% 31% 26% 31% 36% Unfavorable 72 50 51 60 60 65 68 61 53 Hvn't hrd enough 3 8 17 6 2 3 5 6 8 REFUSED 2 4 2 2 5 1 1 2 3 18. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 51% 8% 78% 46% 48% 53% 46% 71% Unfavorable 34 80 7 40 40 29 41 8 Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 15 13 12 16 12 20 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 19. Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 27% 69% 5% 27% 32% 22% 34% 2% Unfavorable 45 7 67 44 45 45 43 55 Hvn't hrd enough 28 24 28 29 23 33 23 42 REFUSED - - - - - - - 1 20. Do you think Joe Biden is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Joe Biden to say? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Qualified 49% 13% 71% 44% 46% 51% 45% 68% Not qualified 31 68 9 34 35 28 37 9 Don't know enough 20 18 19 22 18 21 18 22 DK/NA - - 1 - 1 - - 1 21. Do you think Paul Ryan is or is not qualified to serve as President if it becomes necessary, or don't you know enough about Paul Ryan to say? LIKELY VOTERS....................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Qualified 30% 65% 13% 29% 35% 25% 37% 10% Not qualified 35 6 51 32 35 34 31 41 Don't know enough 35 30 35 38 29 40 32 49 DK/NA - - - - - - - 1 Q22a. (Summary table for ques 22-29 & ques 32-39) Will -issue- be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on -issue- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? (This table reports only those saying an issue is extremely important to their vote) LIKELY VOTERS SAYING -ISSUE- IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT TO VOTE IssueExtremely CAND WHO WOULD BETTER HANDLE ISSUE Q32-39 (Issue) ImpToVote Q22-29 Obama Romney DK/NA The economy 62 49 44 7 Health care 54 66 30 5 Medicare 49 68 26 6 Budget deficit 42 37 57 6 Taxes 39 50 45 5 Reproductive health 36 85 11 3 Foreign policy 33 56 39 5 Abortion 29 74 23 3 22. Will - health care be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 54% 47% 60% 50% 46% 61% 55% 59% Very important 34 36 32 36 38 30 31 38 Somewhat important 10 13 7 13 12 8 12 3 Not important 2 3 1 1 3 - 2 - DK/NA - - - - 1 - 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 58% 51% 51% 58% 56% 52% 56% 53% 54% Very important 28 38 43 33 31 32 32 31 37 Somewhat important 12 9 3 8 10 16 10 13 7 Not important 1 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 DK/NA - 1 1 - - - - 1 - 23. Will - taxes be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 39% 47% 33% 38% 39% 39% 40% 46% Very important 41 40 41 46 40 42 39 40 Somewhat important 17 12 22 12 16 18 17 12 Not important 3 1 3 4 5 1 3 3 DK/NA 1 - 1 - 1 - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 40% 37% 32% 44% 40% 40% 33% 42% 38% Very important 35 46 53 38 39 38 41 38 44 Somewhat important 21 14 12 15 18 19 22 19 13 Not important 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 4 DK/NA - 1 - 1 1 - - - 1 24. Will - the economy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 62% 73% 55% 64% 60% 64% 65% 54% Very important 31 25 37 27 32 31 29 38 Somewhat important 5 1 5 9 7 4 5 3 Not important 1 - 2 - 1 1 1 4 DK/NA - - - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 61% 63% 56% 60% 66% 66% 62% 68% 57% Very important 31 32 38 35 28 28 31 26 36 Somewhat important 7 4 5 4 5 5 6 5 5 Not important 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 DK/NA - - - - - - - - - 25. Will - the budget deficit be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 42% 61% 31% 40% 41% 42% 45% 33% Very important 35 31 40 33 34 37 31 48 Somewhat important 18 7 23 23 20 17 20 14 Not important 4 1 6 5 5 4 5 5 DK/NA - - - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 37% 45% 38% 42% 39% 45% 36% 46% 42% Very important 33 37 46 36 35 29 39 29 37 Somewhat important 25 14 12 18 22 21 20 20 17 Not important 6 3 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - - 26. Will - foreign policy be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 33% 40% 30% 32% 35% 31% 34% 30% Very important 41 38 45 41 38 44 40 43 Somewhat important 22 19 22 24 22 22 23 22 Not important 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 3 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - - 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 35% 31% 27% 32% 34% 34% 30% 32% 36% Very important 42 41 44 43 40 42 42 42 39 Somewhat important 22 23 23 22 23 22 26 24 19 Not important 1 4 6 4 2 2 2 2 4 DK/NA - 1 1 - 2 - - - 2 27. Will - Medicare, which is the government program which pays for health care for seniors be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 49% 42% 56% 44% 43% 55% 47% 58% Very important 33 36 33 33 36 31 32 39 Somewhat important 15 19 10 20 17 13 17 3 Not important 2 4 1 3 4 1 3 - DK/NA - - - - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 44% 53% 55% 57% 47% 42% 42% 44% 56% Very important 31 35 37 32 35 32 34 30 36 Somewhat important 22 10 6 11 16 24 18 22 8 Not important 2 2 3 1 3 2 6 3 - DK/NA - - - - - - - - - 28. Will - women's reproductive health issues be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 36% 19% 52% 26% 25% 47% 34% 48% Very important 27 19 29 30 30 24 25 27 Somewhat important 21 32 13 25 24 18 22 17 Not important 14 27 4 17 19 10 17 4 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 39% 34% 37% 40% 36% 36% 42% 39% 33% Very important 26 27 31 28 25 25 23 24 29 Somewhat important 18 23 14 20 25 20 23 19 22 Not important 14 14 15 9 13 18 11 17 13 DK/NA 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 29. Will - the issue of abortion be extremely important, very important, only somewhat important or not at all important to your vote for President? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Extremely important 29% 22% 37% 22% 22% 36% 30% 27% Very important 24 19 26 25 23 25 22 27 Somewhat important 23 29 21 24 25 21 24 19 Not important 21 28 14 26 26 17 22 24 DK/NA 3 2 2 4 3 2 2 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Extremely important 32% 29% 29% 29% 21% 37% Very important 23 21 22 21 22 22 Somewhat important 23 25 24 30 27 22 Not important 22 22 22 19 28 17 DK/NA 1 2 3 1 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Extremely important 31% 28% 23% 31% 28% 33% 30% 28% 29% Very important 26 23 28 30 22 20 25 22 24 Somewhat important 23 23 23 21 28 19 19 23 25 Not important 20 22 22 13 20 28 24 25 18 DK/NA 1 4 4 4 2 - 1 1 4 30. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 66% 19% 94% 62% 62% 69% 57% 95% No 31 79 5 33 35 28 40 3 DK/NA 3 2 2 5 3 3 3 1 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes 70% 48% 55% 48% 54% 61% No 28 48 42 49 44 36 DK/NA 2 3 3 2 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 73% 61% 69% 69% 67% 65% 76% 66% 62% No 24 36 26 30 30 33 21 32 35 DK/NA 2 3 4 1 3 2 4 2 3 31. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 36% 75% 13% 40% 39% 33% 43% 12% No 57 21 81 52 55 59 51 81 DK/NA 7 4 6 9 6 8 6 6 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes 34% 49% 46% 51% 48% 38% No 62 43 48 43 47 54 DK/NA 4 8 6 6 5 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 30% 39% 33% 36% 32% 38% 33% 31% 41% No 66 52 56 56 62 59 60 63 52 DK/NA 4 9 11 8 6 3 7 7 7 32. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 63% 13% 92% 61% 60% 65% 52% 97% Romney 32 83 5 33 36 28 41 3 DK/NA 5 4 3 6 4 7 6 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Hlth Care Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q22 Obama 68% 41% 50% 42% 49% 55% 66% Romney 28 51 43 54 46 37 30 DK/NA 4 8 7 4 5 8 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 72% 56% 69% 65% 61% 62% 75% 63% 58% Romney 25 37 23 31 34 34 19 32 37 DK/NA 3 7 9 4 5 4 6 5 5 33. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 60% 11% 92% 53% 56% 64% 51% 91% Romney 34 85 5 40 39 30 43 5 DK/NA 6 5 3 7 4 7 6 5 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Taxes Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q23 Obama 64% 42% 47% 41% 46% 55% 50% Romney 33 51 45 55 50 38 45 DK/NA 3 7 8 3 4 7 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 68% 55% 65% 64% 59% 59% 72% 61% 55% Romney 28 38 26 32 36 38 22 34 39 DK/NA 4 7 9 4 4 3 6 5 5 34. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 57% 10% 88% 50% 55% 60% 48% 92% Romney 36 88 6 43 41 32 46 5 DK/NA 6 2 5 7 4 8 6 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Economy Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q24 Obama 60% 40% 43% 39% 44% 51% 49% Romney 35 53 49 57 52 41 44 DK/NA 5 7 8 4 4 8 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 65% 52% 61% 60% 58% 55% 66% 59% 53% Romney 30 40 30 34 37 40 26 35 42 DK/NA 5 7 10 6 5 6 8 7 5 35. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 53% 8% 82% 45% 49% 57% 43% 86% Romney 39 89 11 45 44 35 49 8 DK/NA 8 2 7 10 7 8 8 6 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Defict Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q25 Obama 54% 36% 40% 35% 37% 49% 37% Romney 40 55 53 59 56 42 57 DK/NA 6 9 7 6 7 9 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 60% 49% 56% 56% 55% 50% 60% 54% 49% Romney 34 43 33 37 39 44 31 39 44 DK/NA 6 9 12 7 6 6 9 7 7 36. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 61% 15% 88% 59% 58% 63% 52% 89% Romney 31 80 4 33 36 26 39 3 DK/NA 8 5 9 8 5 11 9 8 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Forgn Plcy Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q26 Obama 68% 41% 50% 42% 50% 55% 56% Romney 27 47 42 49 44 34 39 DK/NA 4 12 7 9 6 11 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 71% 54% 63% 64% 61% 61% 67% 62% 58% Romney 24 35 29 27 31 33 21 31 36 DK/NA 5 10 8 10 8 6 11 7 7 37. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 61% 12% 91% 58% 59% 64% 51% 96% Romney 32 83 4 36 36 29 42 1 DK/NA 6 5 5 5 5 8 7 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Medicare Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q27 Obama 65% 41% 47% 42% 48% 54% 68% Romney 30 50 44 53 46 37 26 DK/NA 5 9 9 5 6 9 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 70% 56% 68% 62% 61% 59% 73% 61% 58% Romney 26 36 23 31 35 35 22 32 37 DK/NA 5 8 9 7 4 6 5 7 5 38. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 67% 27% 92% 65% 63% 71% 60% 93% Romney 20 54 3 19 22 19 25 2 DK/NA 13 19 4 17 15 10 15 5 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Wom RepHth Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q28 Obama 73% 50% 57% 49% 55% 64% 85% Romney 15 33 28 34 28 23 11 DK/NA 11 17 15 16 17 12 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 76% 62% 63% 70% 71% 71% 77% 72% 61% Romney 13 25 22 21 17 16 12 15 27 DK/NA 11 14 15 9 12 13 11 13 12 39. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on - the issue of abortion, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 64% 24% 88% 63% 61% 67% 57% 90% Romney 22 59 5 21 24 21 28 4 DK/NA 13 17 7 16 14 12 15 6 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Abortion Extrmly Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Imp to Vote Q29 Obama 70% 47% 53% 45% 51% 61% 74% Romney 18 35 31 40 31 26 23 DK/NA 11 18 16 15 18 13 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 74% 58% 57% 68% 68% 70% 77% 71% 56% Romney 16 27 24 21 22 18 15 18 30 DK/NA 10 15 19 10 9 12 9 11 15 40. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal all cases 39% 19% 50% 39% 35% 43% 38% 46% Legal most cases 33 35 33 33 35 31 34 35 Illegal most cases 14 25 8 12 14 13 15 5 Illegal all cases 7 13 6 5 8 7 7 8 DK/NA 7 7 3 11 9 5 6 5 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Legal all cases 45% 33% 32% 26% 32% 43% Legal most cases 34 34 35 38 37 31 Illegal most cases 12 17 18 19 16 14 Illegal all cases 3 9 8 10 6 7 DK/NA 6 7 8 8 9 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal all cases 46% 35% 32% 42% 41% 46% 45% 45% 33% Legal most cases 35 32 29 31 37 37 29 35 33 Illegal most cases 11 15 14 17 12 10 13 12 15 Illegal all cases 3 10 15 6 5 3 7 4 11 DK/NA 5 8 11 5 6 3 5 4 9 41. How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? LIKELY VOTERS.............................................. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal 88% 79% 93% 87% 87% 89% 88% 92% Illegal 7 14 4 6 6 8 6 7 DK/NA 5 7 3 6 8 3 6 1 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Legal 92% 85% 85% 82% 87% 89% Illegal 4 8 6 11 5 7 DK/NA 3 7 9 7 8 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal 93% 84% 76% 90% 92% 94% 95% 93% 81% Illegal 4 9 15 7 5 4 3 5 11 DK/NA 3 7 9 3 3 2 2 2 8 42. (Post 9/6 speech) Did you watch Barack Obama's televised speech at the Democratic National Convention? LIKELY VOTERS................................ FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY........................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Yes 66% 53% 73% 64% 67% 64% 61% No 34 46 27 36 33 36 39 DK/NA - - - - - - - 43. (Post 9/6 speech) Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, did Obama's speech at the Democratic National Convention make you think more favorably of Barack Obama, less favorably of Barack Obama, or didn't it affect your opinion of Barack Obama? LIKELY VOTERS................................ FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY........................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht More favorably 30% 7% 48% 19% 26% 34% 22% Less favorably 10 31 1 9 11 9 12 Not affect opinion 56 59 47 69 59 53 62 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 4 3 4
