December 13, 2012 - Stricter Codes Needed For Seashore Rebuilding, New York State Voters Tell Quinnipiac University Poll; Cuomo Gets Mixed Grades On Natural Gas Drilling Word format Watch Video: Polling Institute Director Mickey Carroll discusses poll results Clip Information and Download: FLV File - For Website (1920x1080 / 42.7 MB) Original .MP4 File - For Broadcast (1920x1080 / 287.4 MB) Stricter building codes should be imposed before owners are allowed to rebuild homes or businesses destroyed by Hurricane Sandy, 65 percent of New York State voters say in a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 23 percent say owners should be allowed to rebuild property as it was before the storm, but 8 percent say there should be no rebuilding. Support for stricter codes is 67 percent on Long Island and 68 percent in New York City, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. A total of 74 percent of New York State voters are "very concerned" or "somewhat concerned" about climate change and a total of 67 percent of voters say it is "very likely" or "somewhat likely" their community will be hit in the next 10 years by a storm as bad as Sandy. But voters say 50 - 45 percent that Sandy's severity was not the result of climate change. Denying the climate change case are Republicans 83 - 15 percent and independent voters 53 - 41 percent. Democrats believe climate change caused Sandy 64 - 31 percent. Men deny it 54 - 41 percent, while women believe it by a narrow 49 - 46 percent. Voters with college degrees believe it 50 - 45 percent while voters without degrees deny it 53 - 43 percent. "The clean-up after Sandy: Most New York State voters say there should be tougher building standards," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Voters on Long Island and in New York City, the areas hardest hit, support stricter codes. There'll be more storms like Sandy, most voters say, but most don't blame climate change." New York State voters say 51 - 44 percent that marijuana use should be made legal in the state. Men support legalization 56 - 41 percent while women are divided 47 - 46 percent. Support is 62 - 34 percent among voters 18 to 29 years old, dropping through the age groups. Voters over 65 years old oppose legalization 56 - 37 percent, the only age group opposed. Drilling for natural gas continues to divide voters, with 44 percent in favor because of economic benefits and 42 percent opposed because of environmental concerns. Voters support 54 - 32 percent a tax on gas drilling companies and believe 78 - 15 percent that drilling will create jobs. Hydro-fracking will damage the environment, voters say 50 - 17 percent. Gov. Andrew Cuomo is "carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking," 26 percent of voters say, but 25 percent say the governor is "dragging his feet to avoid making a decision." Another 44 percent are undecided. New York State voters support 80 - 18 percent, including 61 - 38 percent among Republicans, raising the minimum wage. Support is strong among all groups. Offered several choices: 43 percent say raise the minimum wage to more than $8.50 per hour; 28 percent say raise the wage to $8.50 per hour; 6 percent say raise the current $7.25 per hour minimum wage to something less than $8.50; 18 percent oppose any increase. By a narrow 49 - 44 percent margin, voters do not believe small businesses will reduce hiring if the minimum wage is increased. "Approval of natural gas drilling is a stand-off. A lot of New Yorkers still think it would bring jobs. A lot - although fewer - think it would damage the environment," Carroll said. "Voters split over whether Gov. Andrew Cuomo is giving the politically touchy issue careful study or just dragging his feet." From December 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,302 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information or RSS feed, visit - http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 11. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Allow drilling 44% 70% 29% 48% 48% 40% 51% 26% No drilling 42 17 55 41 41 42 38 50 DK/NA 15 13 16 11 11 17 12 23 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Allow drilling 41% 45% 40% 50% 47% 42% 42% 47% 42% No drilling 50 37 40 44 44 46 46 41 35 DK/NA 9 18 20 7 9 12 13 12 23 HEARD OF FRACKING Q14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes No Allow drilling 48% 33% 54% 44% 44% No drilling 39 49 34 48 30 DK/NA 13 17 12 9 26 TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view? DRILLING...... High Low Dec 13 Sep 12 Jul 26 Dec 21 Oct 27 Aug 11 Jul 26 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 Drilling 44 45 43 44 44 47 43 No drilling 42 41 44 45 43 42 44 DK/NA 15 13 13 11 12 12 13 12. Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 54% 41% 61% 58% 54% 54% 53% 62% Oppose 32 48 24 31 37 28 34 22 DK/NA 14 11 16 11 9 17 13 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Support 59% 52% 54% 59% 57% 58% 62% 55% 43% Oppose 30 33 32 33 31 32 30 33 33 DK/NA 11 15 15 8 12 10 8 12 23 HEARD OF FRACKING Q14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes No Support 52% 58% 52% 58% 47% Oppose 34 28 35 31 34 DK/NA 14 14 13 10 19 TREND: Do you support or oppose a new tax on companies drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale? SUPPORT........ High Low Dec 13 Sep 12 Jul 26 Dec 21 Oct 27 Aug 11 Jul 26 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 Support 54 51 47 57 55 59 47 Oppose 32 34 39 31 32 29 39 DK/NA 14 15 14 12 13 12 14 13. Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 78% 88% 71% 80% 81% 75% 81% 68% No 15 7 20 13 14 16 13 21 DK/NA 8 4 9 7 6 9 6 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 77% 78% 74% 81% 81% 87% 78% 77% 72% No 17 14 16 15 14 10 16 15 16 DK/NA 6 8 10 4 6 3 5 8 12 HEARD OF FRACKING Q14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes No Yes 78% 73% 84% 76% 81% No 15 18 10 18 9 DK/NA 7 9 5 6 10 TREND: Do you think that drilling for natural gas in the state's Marcellus Shale will create jobs or not? YES........... High Low Dec 13 Sep 12 Jul 26 Dec 21 Oct 27 Sep 12 Oct 27 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2012 2011 Yes 78 81 75 75 73 81 73 No 15 12 17 18 19 12 19 DK/NA 8 7 8 7 9 7 9 14. Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 66% 74% 59% 75% 74% 60% 76% 42% No 33 26 40 25 26 39 24 58 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 77% 60% 58% 73% 79% 48% 67% 75% 65% No 23 39 42 27 20 52 33 25 34 DK/NA - - - - 1 - - - 1 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 83% 54% 58% No 17 45 41 DK/NA - 1 1 TREND: Have you heard or read anything about hydro-fracking? Dec 13 Sep 12 Jul 26 Dec 21 Oct 27 Sep 21 Aug 11 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes 66 65 62 59 54 53 57 No 33 34 37 39 44 46 42 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 15. Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Will damage 50% 25% 61% 54% 45% 55% 48% 51% No/Won't Damage 17 33 6 18 25 10 21 4 Don't Know 33 42 32 27 30 35 30 44 REFUSED - - 1 - - 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes/Will damage 56% 47% 52% 51% 52% 62% 54% 48% 41% No/Won't Damage 16 17 14 20 19 12 17 19 15 Don't Know 28 35 34 29 28 26 29 32 43 REFUSED - - - - - - - - - HEARD OF FRACKING Q14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes No Yes/Will damage 50% 54% 44% 55% 42% No/Won't Damage 20 13 16 20 10 Don't Know 30 31 40 25 48 REFUSED - 1 - - 1 TREND: Natural gas drilling companies want to practice hydro-fracking in New York State. Hydro-fracking is the process of pumping water and chemicals into the ground under high pressure to fracture rocks. This releases natural gas trapped in the rocks which is then collected. Do you think hydro-fracking will cause environmental damage or not, or don't you know? Dec 13 Sep 12 Jul 26 Dec 21 Oct 27 Sep 21 Aug 11 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Will damage 50 48 53 55 50 51 52 No/Won't damage 17 14 12 13 14 13 15 Don't Know 33 37 34 31 35 35 33 REFUSED - 1 1 1 1 - - 16. Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Carefully evaluating 26% 17% 29% 31% 27% 26% 28% 25% Dragging his feet 25 38 17 26 31 20 28 12 No opinion 44 39 49 40 38 49 40 56 DK/NA 4 5 5 3 3 5 4 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Carefully evaluating 27% 26% 26% 29% 26% 20% 27% 29% 27% Dragging his feet 30 22 22 27 31 17 29 26 24 No opinion 40 47 48 41 40 60 42 40 43 DK/NA 3 5 4 3 3 2 3 5 5 HEARD OF FRACKING Q14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes No Carefully evaluating 29% 26% 22% 31% 17% Dragging his feet 30 22 21 33 10 No opinion 36 47 53 33 67 DK/NA 4 5 4 3 6 17. Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 80% 61% 93% 78% 73% 87% 75% 96% Oppose 18 38 5 21 26 12 23 3 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Support 77% 83% 85% 80% 74% 85% 77% 81% 79% Oppose 22 16 13 19 25 14 21 19 18 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 UpStat NYC Sub Support 74% 86% 82% Oppose 25 13 16 DK/NA 1 1 2 TREND: Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? Dec 13 May 30 Apr 04 2012 2012 2012 Support 80 79 78 Oppose 18 18 20 DK/NA 1 2 3 18. (If support q17) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour? SUPPORTS INCREASE Q17...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Exactly $8.50 35% 41% 30% 44% 34% 36% 40% 19% Less than $8.50 7 10 5 11 8 7 10 2 More than $8.50 54 46 62 42 55 53 46 76 DK/NA 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Exactly $8.50 37% 35% 33% 39% 41% 49% 30% 32% 37% Less than $8.50 9 7 6 7 10 8 9 8 5 More than $8.50 51 56 58 51 47 38 60 59 50 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 2 5 1 1 7 UpStat NYC Sub Exactly $8.50 41% 28% 39% Less than $8.50 13 2 8 More than $8.50 42 66 52 DK/NA 5 4 1 TREND: (If support) Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour? SUPPORT INCREASE...... Dec 13 May 30 Apr 04 2012 2012 2012 Exactly $8.50 35 40 37 Less than $8.50 7 7 8 More than $8.50 54 50 52 DK/NA 3 2 3 18a. (COMBINED Q17 & Q18)Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Increase to $8.50 28% 25% 28% 34% 25% 31% 30% 19% Increase < $8.50 6 6 4 9 6 6 8 2 Increase > $8.50 43 28 58 33 40 46 35 73 Oppose increase 18 38 5 21 26 12 23 3 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 3 5 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Increase to $8.50 28% 28% 28% 31% 30% 42% 23% 26% 30% Increase < $8.50 7 6 5 6 8 7 7 6 4 Increase > $8.50 39 46 49 41 35 32 46 48 40 Oppose increase 22 16 13 19 25 14 21 19 18 DK/NA 4 4 5 3 3 5 3 2 8 UpStat NYC Sub Increase to $8.50 30% 24% 32% Increase < $8.50 9 2 7 Increase > $8.50 31 57 42 Oppose increase 25 13 16 DK/NA 5 4 3 TREND: (COMBINED)Would you support or oppose raising the minimum wage in New York State, which is now $7.25 an hour? IF SUPPORT: Do you think that the minimum wage should be $8.50 an hour, should be less than $8.50 an hour, or should be more than $8.50 an hour? Dec 13 May 30 Apr 04 2012 2012 2012 Increase to $8.50 28 32 29 Increase < $8.50 6 6 6 Increase > $8.50 43 40 41 Oppose increase 18 18 20 DK/NA 4 4 5 19. Do you think small businesses will reduce the number of people they hire if the minimum wage is raised, or don't you think so? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 44% 58% 34% 46% 43% 45% 43% 44% No 49 35 58 46 51 47 50 47 DK/NA 7 6 8 7 6 9 7 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 41% 46% 44% 42% 42% 52% 46% 43% 38% No 55 45 48 53 54 45 48 52 48 DK/NA 4 9 9 5 4 3 5 6 14 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 48% 41% 41% No 46 51 51 DK/NA 7 8 8 TREND: Do you think small businesses will reduce the number of people they hire if the minimum wage is raised, or don't you think so? Dec 13 May 30 Apr 04 2012 2012 2012 Yes 44 41 41 No 49 51 51 DK/NA 7 8 8 25. If a home or business was destroyed by Hurricane Sandy, do you think: A) The owner should be prevented from ever building on that site again, as long as they are reimbursed, or B) The owner should be allowed to build with stricter building codes to protect the property against future storms, or C) The owner should be allowed to rebuild their property as it was before? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A)Prevent rebuilding 8% 8% 8% 7% 9% 7% 7% 12% B)Allow w/new codes 65 58 69 67 62 68 65 66 C)Allow as before 23 31 19 23 26 21 25 17 DK/NA 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ A)Prevent rebuilding 6% 9% 9% 5% 9% 5% 9% 7% 10% B)Allow w/new codes 70 63 62 74 66 62 65 67 65 C)Allow as before 20 25 25 19 22 32 24 22 18 DK/NA 4 4 3 2 3 1 2 4 7 SUBURBS...... UpStat NYC Tot LongIsl A)Prevent rebuilding 7% 9% 7% 7% B)Allow w/new codes 61 68 67 67 C)Allow as before 29 19 21 21 DK/NA 3 4 5 5 26. How concerned are you about global warming or climate change; very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not concerned at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very concerned 44% 12% 65% 39% 41% 47% 37% 73% Smwht concerned 30 32 25 35 27 32 32 19 Not too concerned 13 25 6 15 13 13 16 4 Not concerned 13 31 4 11 18 8 15 4 DK/NA - - 1 - - - - - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Very concerned 53% 40% 48% 41% 43% 42% 46% 45% 44% Smwht concerned 25 33 33 29 28 28 27 31 31 Not too concerned 11 14 9 15 16 15 15 12 12 Not concerned 11 13 11 15 12 15 12 12 13 DK/NA 1 - - - - - - 1 - SUBURBS...... UpStat NYC Tot LongIsl Very concerned 35% 58% 37% 40% Smwht concerned 34 25 30 27 Not too concerned 17 7 17 18 Not concerned 14 8 16 15 DK/NA - 1 - - 27. Do you think the severity of Hurricane Sandy was most likely the result of global climate change, or is it just the kind of severe weather event that happens from time to time? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Climate change 45% 15% 64% 41% 41% 49% 38% 65% Don't think so 50 83 31 53 54 46 57 30 DK/NA 5 2 5 5 4 5 5 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Climate change 50% 43% 49% 42% 46% 52% 44% 46% 41% Don't think so 45 53 46 55 50 43 51 52 50 DK/NA 5 4 5 3 5 5 4 2 9 SUBURBS...... UpStat NYC Tot LongIsl Climate change 38% 55% 43% 44% Don't think so 58 39 53 54 DK/NA 4 6 3 3 28. How likely do you think it is that your community will be hit at some point in the next 10 years by another storm as bad as Sandy; very likely, somewhat likely, not so likely, or not likely at all? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very likely 34% 16% 46% 28% 26% 40% 27% 50% Smwht likely 33 36 33 30 35 32 35 29 Not so likely 19 28 11 24 22 17 23 11 Not likely at all 11 18 7 15 16 7 14 4 DK/NA 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Very likely 38% 31% 38% 29% 37% 34% 44% 30% 28% Smwht likely 34 33 30 36 35 37 31 32 34 Not so likely 17 21 18 24 17 19 16 21 20 Not likely at all 10 12 11 9 11 7 8 14 13 DK/NA 1 3 3 3 - 2 1 3 5 SUBURBS...... UpStat NYC Tot LongIsl Very likely 21% 45% 37% 37% Smwht likely 33 31 38 37 Not so likely 25 15 16 15 Not likely at all 19 6 7 8 DK/NA 2 3 3 2 29. In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 60% 34% 74% 63% 56% 64% 60% 52% Oppose 33 57 21 29 38 29 32 41 DK/NA 7 9 6 8 7 7 7 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Support 71% 54% 80% 64% 58% 45% Oppose 24 38 14 32 33 47 DK/NA 5 8 6 4 9 8 WHITE...... ATTEND SRVCS No Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Weekly Less Religion Support 49% 58% 58% 48% 57% 32% 68% 90% Oppose 42 35 36 42 37 62 25 7 DK/NA 9 8 6 10 7 6 7 3 UpStat NYC Sub Support 56% 63% 63% Oppose 36 30 31 DK/NA 7 7 7 TREND: In general, do you support or oppose same-sex marriage? Dec 13 May 31 2012 2012 Support 60 54 Oppose 33 37 DK/NA 7 9 30. Do you think that the use of marijuana should be made legal in New York State, or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 51% 33% 56% 57% 56% 47% 52% 53% No 44 63 39 38 41 46 43 44 DK/NA 5 4 6 5 3 7 6 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 58% 47% 62% 55% 53% 37% No 37 48 34 40 43 56 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 4 8 WHITE...... ATTEND SRVCS No Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Weekly Less Religion Yes 48% 48% 46% 46% 46% 31% 56% 70% No 48 47 50 50 47 65 38 24 DK/NA 4 5 4 4 6 4 6 6 UpStat NYC Sub Yes 49% 54% 50% No 44 43 44 DK/NA 7 3 6 Demographic Summary
