June 6, 2013 - New York State Voters Back Cuomo On Abortion 3-1, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Split On Gas Drilling, Casinos PDF format New York State voters support 67 - 24 percent Gov. Andrew Cuomo's proposal to expand a woman's right to an abortion, allowing late-term abortions when the woman's health is at risk, but her life is not at risk, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Support for the expanded abortion right is 77 - 14 percent among Democrats and 70 - 21 percent among independent voters. Republicans are divided 46 - 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. There is almost no gender gap as women support the measure 67 - 22 percent, compared to 66 - 26 percent among men. Support is 63 - 27 percent among Protestants, 58 - 32 percent among Catholics and 60 - 27 percent among Jews. Offered four choices on abortion: 26 percent of voters say abortion should be legal in all cases; 36 percent say legal in most cases; 20 percent say illegal in most cases; 9 percent say illegal in all cases. "Gov. Andrew Cuomo says he wants to establish Roe v Wade in state law, in case the U.S. Supreme Court overturns the landmark decision, and voters are with him on its controversial support for late-term abortions," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "On abortion overall, the numbers don't change much: a small right-to-life minority, a larger abortion-on-demand minority, a majority in the middle saying it depends on the case." Legalizing medical marijuana, with a doctor's prescription, is a good idea, New York State voters say 70 - 26 percent, including 58 - 39 percent among Republicans. Support is strong among all groups. By a smaller 34 - 20 percent margin, voters say legalizing mixed martial arts is a good idea. Another 42 percent say they haven't heard enough about it to form an opinion. Almost everyone has an opinion on legalizing Atlantic City-type casinos in New York State, with support at 51 - 39 percent. Only 48 percent of voters say changing the State Constitution to allow casino gambling is a good idea, while 45 percent say bad idea. Support for a constitutional amendment is 49 - 43 percent upstate and 50 - 44 percent in the suburbs. New York City voters are divided as 46 percent say good idea and 47 percent say bad idea. And voters oppose 55 - 41 percent having casino gambling in the town or city where they live. Opposition to a casino nearby is 50 - 46 percent among upstate voters, 53 - 44 percent among New York City voters and 67 - 28 percent among suburban voters. New York State voters remain divided on drilling for natural gas as 46 percent support drilling because of economic benefits while 44 percent oppose it because of environmental concerns. Support for drilling is 52 - 41 percent upstate and 50 - 40 percent in the suburbs, while New York City voters are opposed 50 - 39 percent. Gov. Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of natural gas drilling, 22 percent of voters say, while 36 percent say he is dragging his feet to avoid making a decision. "New Yorkers are OK with Atlantic City-type casinos, but not in my backyard," Carroll said. "They are divided on changing the State Constitution, which must happen if they want casinos. New York City voters are not enthusiastic about changing the Constitution and lots of them will be voting in November because there are races for mayor, City Council and city-wide offices. Even upstate voters, presumably with the most to gain from casinos, are lukewarm," From May 29 - June 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,075 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 15. Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Drilling 46% 70% 31% 50% 52% 41% 49% 45% No drilling 44 22 58 42 40 48 43 45 DK/NA 9 8 11 8 8 10 8 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Drilling 37% 52% 47% 46% 48% 50% 48% 45% No drilling 54 38 43 47 47 45 43 44 DK/NA 9 10 10 8 5 5 9 11 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind Drilling 52% 39% 50% 70% 29% 56% No drilling 41 50 40 25 66 36 DK/NA 7 12 10 6 5 7 TREND: Some people say there should be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the economic benefits. Others say there should not be drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale because of the environmental impact. Which comes closer to your point of view? DRILLING...... High Low Jun 06 Apr 18 Mar 20 Jan 31 Dec 13 Aug 11 Mar 20 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012 2011 2013 Drilling 46 42 39 43 44 47 39 No drilling 44 46 46 42 42 42 46 DK/NA 9 12 14 15 15 12 14 16. Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Carefully evaluating 22% 14% 28% 23% 24% 21% 24% 20% Dragging his feet 36 44 25 41 42 31 38 29 No opinion 38 39 41 34 30 44 34 50 DK/NA 4 4 6 3 5 4 4 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Carefully evaluating 27% 19% 24% 19% 25% 18% 19% 25% Dragging his feet 38 34 28 48 38 25 44 36 No opinion 31 42 44 32 32 51 34 35 DK/NA 5 4 5 2 5 5 3 4 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind Carefully evaluating 25% 18% 23% 14% 36% 29% Dragging his feet 41 32 33 49 26 43 No opinion 32 45 37 35 36 27 DK/NA 2 5 7 2 3 1 TREND: Which comes closer to your point of view; Governor Cuomo is carefully evaluating the issue of hydro-fracking, or Governor Cuomo is dragging his feet and trying to avoid making a decision on the issue of hydro-fracking, or don't you have an opinion on that? Jun 06 Apr 18 Mar 20 Dec 13 2013 2013 2013 2012 Carefully evaluating 22 24 21 26 Dragging his feet 36 32 30 25 No opinion 38 41 46 44 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 17. Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 51% 52% 50% 50% 55% 47% 50% 53% Oppose 39 37 41 40 36 42 41 32 DK/NA 10 11 9 10 9 11 9 15 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Support 46% 53% 48% 53% 52% 64% 50% 46% Oppose 44 37 42 34 42 27 43 43 DK/NA 10 10 10 13 6 10 7 11 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... Union UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind HsHld Support 52% 48% 53% 47% 54% 54% 48% Oppose 37 42 39 39 40 35 41 DK/NA 10 10 8 15 6 11 10 TREND: Do you support or oppose the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas? Jun 06 Mar 20 May 30 Feb 15 Dec 21 Sep 21 2013 2013 2012 2012 2011 2011 Support 51 52 56 54 64 56 Oppose 39 38 33 38 31 37 DK/NA 10 11 11 8 5 7 18. There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Good idea 48% 51% 49% 46% 52% 44% 47% 56% Bad idea 45 41 46 47 41 49 46 38 DK/NA 7 8 5 7 7 7 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Good idea 44% 50% 44% 52% 49% 58% 48% 44% Bad idea 49 42 49 38 46 36 45 48 DK/NA 6 7 7 10 4 6 7 8 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... Union UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind HsHld Good idea 49% 46% 50% 49% 51% 49% 45% Bad idea 43 47 44 44 44 43 49 DK/NA 8 7 6 8 5 8 6 TREND: There is a proposal to change the state constitution to allow for the creation of non-indian casinos in New York State, similar to those in Atlantic City and Las Vegas. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea? Jun 06 Mar 20 May 30 Feb 15 2013 2013 2012 2012 Good idea 48 46 49 50 Bad idea 45 46 42 42 DK/NA 7 9 9 8 19. Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favor 41% 41% 45% 40% 45% 37% 40% 49% Oppose 55 53 52 57 50 59 56 48 DK/NA 4 6 3 3 4 4 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favor 35% 45% 41% 47% 40% 54% 42% 36% Oppose 60 51 55 51 56 44 55 59 DK/NA 4 4 4 2 5 2 3 5 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... Union UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind HsHld Favor 46% 44% 28% 42% 50% 48% 40% Oppose 50 53 67 53 45 50 56 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 5 2 4 TREND: Do you favor or oppose having casino gambling in the town or city you live in? Jun 06 Mar 20 Nov 15 2013 2013 2001 Favor 41 41 30 Oppose 55 54 66 DK/NA 4 5 4 20. Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal all cases 26% 10% 35% 27% 22% 30% 26% 24% Legal most cases 36 31 42 37 37 36 38 42 Illegal most cases 20 35 13 20 22 19 20 14 Illegal all cases 9 14 5 9 9 9 9 8 DK/NA 8 11 5 7 9 7 7 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal all cases 32% 23% 26% 29% 28% 28% 31% 22% Legal most cases 43 32 32 37 46 38 33 39 Illegal most cases 15 24 22 21 18 16 25 19 Illegal all cases 7 10 10 8 5 10 5 11 DK/NA 4 11 10 5 4 8 6 9 WHITE...... Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Legal all cases 20% 16% 32% 23% 15% Legal most cases 35 40 31 33 43 Illegal most cases 23 24 29 23 22 Illegal all cases 14 10 1 16 11 DK/NA 8 9 7 6 8 TREND: Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases? Jun 06 May 31 Jun 22 Feb 9 Mar 18 2013 2012 2006 2005 2003 Legal all cases 26 30 28 25 32 Legal most cases 36 37 41 37 34 Illegal most cases 20 19 18 20 16 Illegal all cases 9 10 7 11 13 DK/NA 8 5 7 8 5 21. How about late-term abortions when the pregnant woman's - health is at risk? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal 68% 51% 77% 72% 68% 68% 70% 69% Illegal 22 36 16 19 22 23 22 21 DK/NA 10 13 7 10 10 9 9 10 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal 76% 63% 65% 73% 73% 63% 72% 67% Illegal 17 25 22 22 21 29 19 22 DK/NA 7 11 14 6 6 8 9 11 WHITE...... Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Legal 65% 57% 75% 67% 58% Illegal 26 33 13 24 32 DK/NA 9 10 12 9 10 22. How about late-term abortions when the pregnant woman's - life is at risk? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Legal 76% 66% 83% 79% 77% 75% 78% 68% Illegal 15 22 12 13 14 17 13 26 DK/NA 9 12 5 8 9 8 9 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Legal 83% 72% 76% 80% 79% 75% 80% 74% Illegal 10 18 13 14 15 21 12 15 DK/NA 7 10 11 6 6 4 9 11 WHITE...... Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Legal 71% 69% 86% 73% 71% Illegal 19 22 5 16 20 DK/NA 10 9 9 11 9 23. New York State law currently makes it legal for a woman to have a late-term abortion if her life is at risk. Governor Cuomo has proposed legislation to change the state law to make it legal for a woman to have a late-term abortion also if her health is at risk. Do you support or oppose this legislation? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 67% 46% 77% 70% 66% 67% 66% 77% Oppose 24 45 14 21 26 22 26 15 DK/NA 9 9 9 9 8 11 9 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Support 71% 64% 69% 65% 69% 60% 73% 65% Oppose 22 25 21 27 27 30 20 25 DK/NA 7 11 9 8 5 10 7 10 WHITE...... Prot Cath Jew Prot Cath Support 63% 58% 60% 58% 58% Oppose 27 32 27 29 34 DK/NA 10 10 13 13 8 24. There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if their doctor prescribes it. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Good idea 70% 58% 74% 73% 69% 71% 74% 72% Bad idea 26 39 23 22 28 25 23 25 DK/NA 4 3 3 5 3 4 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Good idea 80% 64% 67% 71% 78% 75% 75% 65% Bad idea 16 32 29 26 19 23 22 31 DK/NA 4 4 4 4 3 2 4 5 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind Good idea 74% 65% 72% 60% 83% 77% Bad idea 22 31 26 37 14 18 DK/NA 4 4 3 3 3 4 TREND: There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow adults to legally use marijuana for medical purposes if their doctor prescribes it. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea? Jun 06 Feb 4 2013 2010 Good idea 70 71 Bad idea 26 25 DK/NA 4 4 25. There is a proposal in the state legislature that would allow mixed martial arts as a sport. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea, or haven't you heard enough about it? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Good idea 34% 38% 27% 39% 43% 26% 33% 39% Bad idea 20 21 21 19 22 18 22 16 Hvn't hrd enough 42 39 47 40 30 54 41 44 DK/NA 4 3 5 2 4 3 4 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Good idea 31% 36% 31% 38% 35% 63% 40% 16% Bad idea 21 19 23 19 20 10 14 29 Hvn't hrd enough 43 42 44 38 43 24 42 52 DK/NA 4 3 2 5 2 3 4 3 AREA............. UPSTATE NY....... UpStat NYC Sub Rep Dem Ind Good idea 35% 35% 30% 33% 31% 40% Bad idea 21 17 22 22 28 17 Hvn't hrd enough 40 44 44 42 36 40 DK/NA 3 3 4 3 5 2 Demographic Summary