March 31, 2010 - Democrats On Top In Ohio Senate, Governor Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Bounces Back From Big Negative To A Split Word format Democrats are having a mini-surge in Ohio as two possible candidates for the open U.S. Senate seat have come from behind to pass the Republican contender, and Gov. Ted Strickland remains ahead of Republican challenger John Kasich, 43 - 38 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. And President Barack Obama's job approval is up from a negative 44 - 52 percent February 23 to an almost even 47 - 48 percent today, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds. In the Senate race, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher leads Republican Rob Portman 41 - 37 percent, reversing a 40 - 37 percent Portman lead February 24. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner edges Portman 38 - 37 percent, reversing a 40 - 35 percent Republican lead. Although Ohioans remain opposed to President Obama's health care plan, the margin is down from a 55 - 36 percent disapproval in November to a 50 - 43 percent thumbs down today. But voters say 38 - 25 percent they are more likely to vote against their congressman if he or she voted for the Obama plan. "Perhaps it's the passage of the health care overhaul and the fact that people like being with a winner: There has been a small, but consistent movement toward Democratic candidates and causes in Ohio in the last month," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Whether this is the beginning of a long-term move or not won't be clear for some time, perhaps until November." Strickland's reelection lead matches his 44 - 39 percent lead February 23. The Governor's 49 - 40 percent job approval and his 46 - 35 percent favorability rating both are statistically the same as his scores in February. There is no gender gap in the Governor's race with 44 percent of men and 42 percent of women backing Strickland. "The good news for the Governor is that he remains ahead. The bad news is there is a long way to go until November and on virtually all measures he receives below 50 percent support and with no movement - typically worrisome signs for an incumbent," said Brown. President Obama's jump in approval is driven at least partly by a shift among independent voters, who move from a negative 38 - 57 percent in February to a negative 40 - 54 percent today, from minus 19 points to minus 14 points. He gets exceptionally strong 84 percent support among Democrats. Women give him a thumbs up 51 - 45 percent while men disapprove 53 - 43 percent. Obama is a better President than George W. Bush, voters say 45 - 32 percent. Even independents, who have been a particular political problem for Obama in recent months, say he has been better than Bush 35 - 31 percent. "So much for absence makes the heart grow fonder, or the grass is always greener," said Brown, "although Ohio voters say 46 - 44 percent they don't want the state's next U.S. Senator to generally support Obama's policies." Fisher has a narrow 33 - 26 percent lead in the May 4 primary, Quinnipiac University reported Tuesday in a survey of likely Democratic primary voters, a separate group from those polled for today's survey. "Undecided voters, 17 percent in the Governor's race and 21 to 23 percent in the two possible Senate matchups, will decide both those races in November," said Brown. Sen. George Voinovich, who is not seeking re-election, has a 46 - 36 percent approval rating while Sen. Sherrod Brown gets a 45 - 30 percent score. From March 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,526 registered Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 2. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 43% 9% 80% 34% 44% 42% 30% Kasich 38 75 9 38 41 35 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 - DK/NA 17 15 10 26 14 21 15 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Strickland 36% 46% 44% 55% 40% 42% 58% Kasich 48 33 33 39 39 41 27 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 3 - - 1 1 DK/NA 14 20 20 4 21 15 14 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 May 6 Mar 17 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Strickland 43 44 40 46 43 51 51 Kasich 38 39 40 36 38 32 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 DK/NA 17 15 18 15 16 16 15 3. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Fisher 41% 7% 79% 31% 39% 42% 26% Portman 37 76 6 41 42 33 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - 1 1 DK/NA 21 17 14 27 18 23 20 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Fisher 40% 43% 37% 43% 35% 42% 51% Portman 39 34 25 43 49 37 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 6 - - - - DK/NA 20 22 32 13 16 20 17 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 Mar 18 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Fisher 41 37 36 42 37 42 41 Portman 37 40 39 31 33 31 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 - 2 DK/NA 21 21 24 26 26 26 24 4. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Brunner 38% 2% 77% 31% 38% 38% 27% Portman 37 78 5 38 39 35 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - - 1 1 DK/NA 23 18 17 29 21 24 19 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Brunner 36% 41% 36% 43% 31% 40% 49% Portman 37 33 25 40 52 38 30 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 5 - 1 - - DK/NA 24 23 35 17 16 21 20 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 Mar 18 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Brunner 38 35 34 39 35 40 39 Portman 37 40 38 34 34 32 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 - 2 DK/NA 23 23 27 25 29 27 25 5. Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 46% 24% 72% 41% 46% 46% 34% Unfavorable 35 57 12 39 36 33 47 Hvn't hrd enough 16 16 14 18 16 17 14 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 TREND: Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 Feb 5 Nov 11 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 46 45 38 43 42 60 38 Unfavorable 35 36 37 34 37 19 37 Hvn't hrd enough 16 16 23 20 18 17 23 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 6. Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 24% 43% 10% 25% 29% 21% 33% Unfavorable 10 4 17 9 15 7 7 Hvn't hrd enough 64 52 71 66 55 71 59 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 26% Jul 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 Feb 23 Dec 10 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010* 2008 Favorable 24 26 23 22 26 26 18 Unfavorable 10 10 7 10 7 10 8 Hvn't hrd enough 64 62 69 68 66 62 73 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 7. Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 27% 11% 41% 25% 28% 26% 18% Unfavorable 13 21 6 12 16 10 15 Hvn't hrd enough 60 67 51 62 56 63 66 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 Dec 10 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2008 Favorable 27 26 25 33 29 37 23 Unfavorable 13 12 15 13 17 13 10 Hvn't hrd enough 60 61 58 54 53 48 66 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 8. Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 21% 5% 38% 20% 23% 20% 16% Unfavorable 12 25 3 12 15 10 15 Hvn't hrd enough 65 69 59 67 61 69 68 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 Feb 4 Nov 12 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 21 21 20 27 27 34 20 Unfavorable 12 12 18 14 16 10 18 Hvn't hrd enough 65 66 61 58 56 55 61 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9. Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 25% 40% 10% 28% 30% 20% 30% Unfavorable 8 2 19 4 11 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 66 57 71 67 57 73 66 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 25% Feb 2010 & Mar 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 Mar 31 Dec 10 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010* 2008 Favorable 25 25 22 20 21 25 12 Unfavorable 8 7 7 7 6 8 7 Hvn't hrd enough 66 66 70 72 72 66 80 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 37% 76% 14% 32% 38% 36% 50% Unfavorable 45 10 71 46 47 44 36 Hvn't hrd enough 14 9 13 16 11 15 9 REFUSED 5 5 2 6 4 5 4 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 Favorable 37 37 Unfavorable 45 46 Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 REFUSED 5 3 11. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 41% 7% 81% 31% 38% 44% 28% Unfavorable 45 83 9 53 50 41 63 Hvn't hrd enough 9 8 7 11 8 11 7 REFUSED 4 3 2 5 4 4 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 Favorable 41 38 Unfavorable 45 50 Hvn't hrd enough 9 10 REFUSED 4 3 12. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 35% 57% 14% 39% 39% 32% 51% Unfavorable 29 11 49 25 34 25 19 Hvn't hrd enough 35 30 36 35 27 42 29 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 Favorable 35 32 Unfavorable 29 23 Hvn't hrd enough 35 43 REFUSED 1 2 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 49% 26% 71% 46% 46% 50% 39% Disapprove 40 64 19 42 45 36 51 DK/NA 11 10 10 12 9 13 10 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 43% 51% 52% 55% 48% 45% 59% Disapprove 46 38 35 37 42 41 34 DK/NA 12 11 14 8 10 14 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 45% Feb 2007) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Feb 5 Nov 11 Nov 11 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009* 2009 Approve 49 48 45 48 63 45 45 Disapprove 40 40 43 42 25 43 43 DK/NA 11 12 12 10 12 12 12 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 45% 20% 67% 42% 45% 44% 32% Disapprove 30 50 12 32 38 24 40 DK/NA 25 29 21 26 17 32 28 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 44% 47% 44% 43% 38% 46% 55% Disapprove 30 29 30 33 36 28 27 DK/NA 27 24 27 24 25 26 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... DIS.... High Low High Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 11 Sep 15 May 6 Jul 7 Sep 15 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 45 43 46 48 52 41 48 Disapprove 30 30 31 33 24 29 33 DK/NA 25 26 23 20 24 30 20 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 46% 45% 45% 48% 43% 48% 44% Disapprove 36 38 38 34 42 31 38 DK/NA 18 18 18 18 14 22 18 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 48% 46% 40% 54% 38% 50% 47% Disapprove 36 38 39 32 39 26 42 DK/NA 16 16 21 14 22 24 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 55% Feb 2009 / **Disapprove high also 36% Nov 2009) APPROVE....... DIS.... High Low High Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 11 Sep 15 May 6 Dec 13 Mar 31 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009* 2006 2010** Approve 46 51 47 52 55 41 46 Disapprove 36 32 36 34 30 33 36 DK/NA 18 17 17 14 15 26 18 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 34% 26% 42% 33% 34% 34% 31% Disapprove 46 59 35 48 53 41 50 DK/NA 20 16 23 19 14 25 20 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 35% 32% 32% 32% 32% 43% 45% Disapprove 48 45 45 45 50 46 41 DK/NA 18 23 23 23 18 11 14 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 Dec 10 Dec 12 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2006 Approve 34 31 33 33 31 46 25 Disapprove 46 51 47 48 49 35 55 DK/NA 20 19 20 19 20 19 20 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 43% 26% 59% 41% 43% 42% 37% Disapprove 23 37 11 23 28 18 28 DK/NA 35 37 30 36 29 40 35 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 42% 45% 40% 42% 36% 46% 52% Disapprove 26 20 22 21 23 26 21 DK/NA 32 35 38 37 41 29 27 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor? Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 43 39 39 44 39 49 Disapprove 23 22 23 21 24 17 DK/NA 35 39 37 35 38 33 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 42% 21% 63% 39% 45% 39% 38% Disapprove 23 40 8 25 27 20 30 DK/NA 34 39 29 36 28 40 32 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 40% 45% 39% 40% 36% 48% 55% Disapprove 30 20 17 22 25 27 19 DK/NA 30 35 44 38 39 25 25 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State? APPROVE...... High Low Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 Feb 24 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 42 36 38 41 38 45 36 Disapprove 23 25 25 23 25 20 25 DK/NA 34 39 37 36 37 34 39 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 47% 10% 84% 40% 43% 51% 28% Disapprove 48 87 12 54 53 45 67 DK/NA 5 3 4 6 5 5 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 Feb 6 Feb 23 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 47 44 45 53 49 67 44 Disapprove 48 52 50 42 44 16 52 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 8 17 5 20. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Better 45% 11% 84% 35% 44% 45% 28% Worse 32 70 5 31 34 31 52 About the same 20 16 10 30 20 20 17 DK/NA 3 4 1 3 2 4 4 21. Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Support 44% 7% 84% 36% 42% 46% 28% Oppose 46 85 10 52 50 42 63 DK/NA 10 8 6 12 8 12 9 22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Very satisfied 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 2% Smwht satisfied 35 25 48 31 33 36 30 Smwht dissatisfied 35 38 32 35 35 35 36 Very dissatisfied 26 35 14 29 28 24 31 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Very satisfied 5% 2% 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% Smwht satisfied 35 34 42 27 43 24 42 Smwht dissatisfied 36 34 30 45 35 37 30 Very dissatisfied 23 29 22 23 20 32 24 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 - 2 - TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 32% Mar 2009) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 7 Mar 21 Feb 23 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2007 2010* Very satisfied 3 2 3 2 2 5 2 Smwht satisfied 35 30 32 37 31 49 30 Smwht dissatisfied 35 36 37 35 36 28 36 Very dissatisfied 26 32 27 25 30 16 32 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 23. Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 36% 22% 51% 32% 37% 34% 31% No 41 55 29 41 42 40 46 DK/NA 24 23 20 26 21 26 23 TREND: Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not? YES.......... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 Aug 14 Nov 11 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2009 Yes 36 34 32 37 34 47 32 No 41 45 43 40 40 31 43 DK/NA 24 21 25 23 25 22 25 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 35% 16% 58% 30% 36% 34% 27% Disapprove 52 72 30 56 53 50 60 DK/NA 13 13 13 14 10 16 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? (*Low also 33% Sep 2009 & Jul 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 Feb 5 Nov 11 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009* Approve 35 35 33 33 33 44 33 Disapprove 52 53 52 54 53 37 52 DK/NA 13 12 15 12 13 19 15 25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 40% 7% 76% 33% 39% 42% 24% Disapprove 54 89 19 61 58 50 70 DK/NA 6 4 5 6 3 8 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 Feb 6 Feb 23 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 40 39 42 48 46 58 39 Disapprove 54 57 53 46 48 21 57 DK/NA 6 4 5 6 6 21 4 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 37% 19% 55% 35% 41% 34% 27% Disapprove 47 66 30 49 46 47 55 DK/NA 16 16 16 15 14 18 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? (*Low also 32% Jul 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Mar 31 Feb 23 Sep 15 Jul 3 May 6 Feb 5 Feb 23 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010* Approve 37 32 36 32 43 48 32 Disapprove 47 51 47 53 40 30 51 DK/NA 16 17 17 15 17 21 17 27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 38% 12% 67% 31% 41% 36% 25% Kasich 38 67 14 39 42 34 51 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 22 20 16 27 15 28 23 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2009 Strickland 38 35 33 Kasich 38 41 41 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 - DK/NA 22 22 27 28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 38% 11% 68% 31% 38% 37% 27% Kasich 39 69 14 42 44 35 51 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 - DK/NA 21 18 16 25 16 26 21 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2009 Strickland 38 36 34 Kasich 39 42 42 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 1 - DK/NA 21 21 25 29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 40% 16% 70% 33% 41% 40% 30% Kasich 35 62 12 35 39 31 44 NO DIFF(VOL) 5 3 3 8 5 5 5 DK/NA 20 18 15 24 16 24 22 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Mar 31 Feb 23 2010 2010 Strickland 40 35 Kasich 35 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 5 6 DK/NA 20 22 30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 42% 14% 72% 37% 45% 40% 30% Kasich 34 64 9 35 38 30 44 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 1 3 1 3 2 DK/NA 22 20 18 24 15 27 23 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Mar 31 Feb 23 2010 2010 Strickland 42 40 Kasich 34 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 3 DK/NA 22 21 31. Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Democrats 24% - 51% 17% 23% 24% 14% Republicans 23 60 1 17 24 23 40 Split 50 38 46 61 49 50 44 DK/NA 4 2 2 5 5 3 3 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Democrats 23% 26% 23% 21% 23% 19% 27% Republicans 23 21 19 28 28 25 20 Split 51 49 52 48 45 52 50 DK/NA 3 4 6 4 4 3 3 TREND: Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 2010 2010 2009 Democrats 24 22 19 Republicans 23 21 22 Split 50 51 52 DK/NA 4 7 6 37. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Right thing 50% 65% 37% 52% 56% 45% 59% Shld not be inv 43 29 57 40 40 46 34 DK/NA 7 7 6 8 4 9 6 TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2009 Right thing 50 55 48 Shouldn't be inv 43 39 43 DK/NA 7 6 9 38. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 41% 6% 77% 34% 39% 43% 25% Disapprove 51 88 15 59 54 49 68 DK/NA 8 6 8 8 7 8 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 2010 2010 2009 2009 Approve 41 34 36 44 Disapprove 51 58 57 45 DK/NA 8 7 6 10 39. Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Support 43% 8% 80% 34% 41% 44% 24% Oppose 50 87 13 58 53 47 67 DK/NA 8 5 7 8 6 9 8 TREND: Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan? Mar 31 Nov 12 Sep 16 2010 2009 2009 Support 43 36 44 Oppose 50 55 44 DK/NA 8 9 12 40. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or Republicans in Congress? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Pres Obama 45% 5% 85% 38% 44% 46% 29% Reps in Congress 39 80 7 40 41 37 55 DK/NA 16 14 8 22 15 17 16 VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39 Sup Opp Pres Obama 92% 5% Reps in Congress 3 74 DK/NA 5 21 TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 2010 2010 2009 2009 President Obama 45 40 40 49 Reps in Congress 39 37 40 28 DK/NA 16 23 21 23 41. If your member of Congress voted - for - President Obama's health care reform plan, does that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More likely 25% 3% 52% 19% 27% 24% 15% Less likely 38 73 8 41 41 35 53 No difference 35 23 38 40 31 39 30 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld More likely 27% 28% 19% 20% 20% 26% 29% Less likely 40 34 27 41 49 37 31 No difference 32 36 50 37 29 36 40 DK/NA 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39 Sup Opp More likely 55% 2% Less likely 3 72 No difference 41 24 DK/NA 1 1 42. If your member of Congress voted - against - President Obama's health care reform plan, does that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More likely 33% 61% 11% 34% 32% 33% 48% Less likely 25 11 43 19 29 22 19 No difference 40 26 43 46 38 42 32 DK/NA 2 1 3 1 1 3 1 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld More likely 33% 31% 31% 36% 37% 33% 26% Less likely 25 25 26 19 29 24 30 No difference 41 42 41 41 33 40 43 DK/NA 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39 Sup Opp More likely 5% 60% Less likely 46 9 No difference 47 29 DK/NA 2 2 43. If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but completely disagreed on the issue of health care reform, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 46% 29% 52% 52% 48% 44% 39% No 43 60 34 39 43 43 48 DK/NA 11 11 14 8 9 13 12 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Yes 47% 47% 46% 48% 37% 50% 45% No 40 41 40 43 53 41 44 DK/NA 12 11 14 8 11 10 10 VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39 Sup Opp Yes 59% 33% No 31 57 DK/NA 10 10 44. In general, how well do you understand President Obama's health care reform plan - very well, somewhat well, not too well, or not at all? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Very well 17% 22% 19% 13% 19% 16% 19% Smwht well 55 49 60 55 53 57 50 Not too well 20 19 17 24 20 20 24 Not at all 7 9 4 8 8 6 7 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - - - VIEW ON HLTH PLAN Q39 Sup Opp Very well 16% 21% Smwht well 63 50 Not too well 19 19 Not at all 2 9 DK/NA - 1 45. Does President Obama's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of him, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More favorably 33% 6% 60% 28% 33% 32% 20% Less favorably 42 78 11 46 44 40 60 Doesn't make diff 24 14 28 25 22 26 17 DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 46. Does the Republican party's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of the party, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More favorably 25% 55% 6% 23% 24% 27% 36% Less favorably 40 12 66 38 43 38 30 Doesn't make diff 32 30 26 37 31 33 32 DK/NA 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 47. Does the Democratic party's handling of health care reform make you think more favorably of the party, less favorably, or doesn't it make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More favorably 28% 4% 55% 21% 27% 29% 19% Less favorably 44 79 13 49 48 40 57 Doesn't make diff 28 17 30 29 25 30 22 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 48. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed healthcare overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Good idea 39% 70% 12% 42% 41% 38% 54% Bad idea 54 22 83 51 52 55 40 DK/NA 7 8 6 7 7 8 6
