April 29, 2010 - Ohio Senate, Governor Races Remain Tight, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Still Under Water Word format Democrats have small leads for governor and U.S. Senator in Ohio, while President Barack Obama's job approval remains stuck in the mid 40s, and the new health care legislation is decidedly unpopular, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Gov. Ted Strickland leads Republican John Kasich 44 - 38 percent, statistically unchanged from the 43 - 38 percent lead he held in the March 31 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In the U.S. Senate race, Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher gets 40 percent to Republican Rob Portman's 37 percent while Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner edges Portman 40 - 36 percent. Fisher and Brunner meet May 4 in a primary to determine who will face Portman in November. President Obama's job approval is underwater in Ohio, considered by many to be the nation's bellwether state, with 45 percent approving of his job performance and 50 percent disapproving. That's compared to 47 percent approve, 48 percent disappove March 31. Ohio voters disapprove 38 - 55 percent of the health care overhaul Obama signed into law last month. But these voters say 44 - 40 percent that Obama, rather than congressional Republicans, does a better job handling health care. "Ohio is upholding its reputation as a battleground state. Democrats seem to have a slight edge in the key races, but those leads are small and have gone back and forth in recent months. As has historically been the key in Ohio elections, the undecided vote - many of whom are independents - could well hold the balance of power come November," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. " "Although Gov. Ted Strickland remains ahead, there are a couple of numbers that might be of some concern to his re-election committee," Brown added. "Only 37 percent of voters say he has kept his campaign promises and the race remains close even though 62 percent of voters don't know enough about Kasich to have an opinion of him. "The Senate numbers reflect the same level of voter unfamiliarity with the candidates, which means that race has a long, long way to go once the Democratic nomination is settled." Obama's approval rating reflects continued disillusionment with him among independents, who disapprove of his job performance 55 - 38 percent, while Democrats approve 82 - 15 percent and Republicans disapprove 85 - 12 percent. Obama's approval rating in Ohio has been 45 percent plus or minus two percent since November. "The President's approval has remained in the mid-40s percentage range for six months. His numbers aren't great, but they are not awful either. It's worth remembering that George W. Bush won re-election in 2004 with those kinds of numbers," Brown said. Both of Ohio's U.S. senators have positive job approval ratings. Democrat Sherrod Brown has a 45 - 31 percent score, and Republican George Voinovich, who is retiring and whose seat is up for grabs this November, gets a 47 - 35 percent score. From April 21 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,568 registered Ohio voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Florida, Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 2. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 44% 9% 83% 33% 41% 45% 30% Kasich 38 76 10 38 42 34 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - DK/NA 17 14 6 26 14 19 13 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Strickland 43% 46% 41% 54% 43% 37% 43% Kasich 42 35 33 29 38 45 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 5 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - - DK/NA 14 18 21 16 16 17 19 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Ted Strickland the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Jul 3 May 6 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Strickland 44 43 44 40 46 43 51 Kasich 38 38 39 40 36 38 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 1 2 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 17 17 15 18 15 16 16 3. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Fisher 40% 7% 79% 31% 37% 43% 32% Portman 37 80 7 35 42 33 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - 1 DK/NA 21 13 13 30 19 23 19 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Fisher 44% 46% 39% 29% 28% 39% 47% Portman 40 31 31 30 51 44 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 4 - 2 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 2 - DK/NA 15 22 26 41 18 15 20 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Lee Fisher the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Fisher 40 41 37 36 42 37 42 Portman 37 37 40 39 31 33 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 2 - DK/NA 21 21 21 24 26 26 26 4. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Brunner 40% 7% 77% 32% 39% 42% 25% Portman 36 79 6 34 40 33 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 2 1 2 2 DK/NA 21 14 15 29 19 23 24 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Brunner 46% 44% 31% 37% 31% 38% 44% Portman 35 30 33 32 50 44 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 3 - 2 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 1 2 1 DK/NA 18 23 30 31 16 16 23 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Jennifer Brunner the Democrat and Rob Portman the Republican, for whom would you vote? (Data available upon request back to Feb 2009) Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Brunner 40 38 35 34 39 35 40 Portman 36 37 40 38 34 34 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 1 1 - DK/NA 21 23 23 27 25 29 27 5. Is your opinion of - Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 45% 23% 71% 37% 42% 47% 33% Unfavorable 32 54 11 38 37 29 48 Hvn't hrd enough 20 18 17 21 18 21 17 REFUSED 3 5 1 4 3 4 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Feb 5 Nov 11 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 45 46 45 38 43 60 38 Unfavorable 32 35 36 37 34 19 37 Hvn't hrd enough 20 16 16 23 20 17 23 REFUSED 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 6. Is your opinion of - John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 27% 49% 15% 22% 32% 22% 36% Unfavorable 10 4 17 8 11 9 6 Hvn't hrd enough 62 47 67 68 56 68 57 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Apr 29 Dec 10 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2010 2008 Favorable 27 24 26 23 22 27 18 Unfavorable 10 10 10 7 10 10 8 Hvn't hrd enough 62 64 62 69 68 62 73 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 7. Is your opinion of - Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 27% 11% 47% 21% 26% 28% 20% Unfavorable 13 25 4 12 16 10 17 Hvn't hrd enough 59 61 48 66 56 60 61 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Lee Fisher favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 May 6 Dec 10 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 Favorable 27 27 26 25 33 37 23 Unfavorable 13 13 12 15 13 13 10 Hvn't hrd enough 59 60 61 58 54 48 66 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 8. Is your opinion of - Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 25% 9% 41% 22% 23% 27% 15% Unfavorable 14 23 4 15 17 11 17 Hvn't hrd enough 60 64 55 62 58 61 66 REFUSED 1 3 - 2 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Jennifer Brunner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Feb 4 Nov 12 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 25 21 21 20 27 34 20 Unfavorable 14 12 12 18 14 10 18 Hvn't hrd enough 60 65 66 61 58 55 61 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9. Is your opinion of - Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 25% 51% 9% 22% 30% 22% 31% Unfavorable 8 1 15 8 9 7 4 Hvn't hrd enough 65 47 75 69 60 70 64 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Rob Portman favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 25% Mar 2010, Feb 2010 & Mar 2009) FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Apr 29 Dec 10 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2010* 2008 Favorable 25 25 25 22 20 25 12 Unfavorable 8 8 7 7 7 8 7 Hvn't hrd enough 65 66 66 70 72 65 80 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 36% 80% 10% 32% 35% 37% 50% Unfavorable 44 12 72 41 47 41 33 Hvn't hrd enough 16 5 16 20 13 18 11 REFUSED 5 3 2 7 5 4 5 TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 36 37 37 Unfavorable 44 45 46 Hvn't hrd enough 16 14 13 REFUSED 5 5 3 11. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 42% 6% 85% 30% 40% 44% 28% Unfavorable 43 87 7 45 48 38 58 Hvn't hrd enough 11 4 6 19 7 14 9 REFUSED 4 3 2 6 4 3 4 TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 42 41 38 Unfavorable 43 45 50 Hvn't hrd enough 11 9 10 REFUSED 4 4 3 12. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Favorable 38% 65% 16% 40% 43% 33% 49% Unfavorable 28 13 48 22 31 26 16 Hvn't hrd enough 32 21 35 37 25 39 33 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 2010 2010 2010 Favorable 38 35 32 Unfavorable 28 29 23 Hvn't hrd enough 32 35 43 REFUSED 1 1 2 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 47% 22% 75% 41% 46% 47% 35% Disapprove 38 64 13 44 43 35 51 DK/NA 15 14 12 14 11 18 14 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 49% 48% 48% 51% 46% 38% 53% Disapprove 39 37 39 32 37 45 37 DK/NA 12 15 13 17 17 17 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 45% Feb 2007) APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Feb 5 Nov 11 Nov 11 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009* 2009 Approve 47 49 48 45 63 45 45 Disapprove 38 40 40 43 25 43 43 DK/NA 15 11 12 12 12 12 12 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 45% 26% 68% 39% 43% 46% 38% Disapprove 31 47 13 37 38 24 36 DK/NA 24 27 19 25 18 29 27 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 46% 50% 40% 37% 37% 45% 55% Disapprove 30 31 42 14 30 33 27 DK/NA 24 20 17 49 33 23 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... DIS.... High Low High Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 11 May 6 Jul 7 Sep 15 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 45 45 43 46 52 41 48 Disapprove 31 30 30 31 24 29 33 DK/NA 24 25 26 23 24 30 20 15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 47% 43% 60% 41% 44% 50% 54% Disapprove 35 38 28 40 41 30 31 DK/NA 18 19 12 19 15 20 14 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 48% 51% 49% 45% 39% 42% 52% Disapprove 38 34 40 27 36 34 33 DK/NA 13 15 11 28 25 24 15 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George Voinovich is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 55% Feb 2009 / **Disapprove high also 36% Nov 2009) APPROVE....... DIS.... High Low High Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 11 May 6 Dec 13 Mar 31 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009* 2006 2010** Approve 47 46 51 47 55 41 46 Disapprove 35 36 32 36 30 33 36 DK/NA 18 18 17 17 15 26 18 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 35% 28% 49% 29% 33% 36% 32% Disapprove 47 55 32 55 49 44 48 DK/NA 19 17 19 16 17 20 19 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 37% 33% 32% 35% 37% 37% 40% Disapprove 47 47 53 39 43 46 47 DK/NA 16 20 15 26 20 17 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Dec 10 Dec 12 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2008 2006 Approve 35 34 31 33 33 46 25 Disapprove 47 46 51 47 48 35 55 DK/NA 19 20 19 20 19 19 20 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 42% 21% 66% 37% 42% 42% 37% Disapprove 27 44 13 28 31 24 32 DK/NA 30 34 21 35 27 34 31 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 47% 45% 35% 34% 42% 36% 49% Disapprove 30 27 25 24 24 32 22 DK/NA 23 28 40 42 34 32 29 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Lee Fisher is handling his job as Ohio's Lieutenant Governor? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 Jul 7 May 6 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 42 43 39 39 44 39 49 Disapprove 27 23 22 23 21 24 17 DK/NA 30 35 39 37 35 38 33 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 42% 21% 65% 39% 42% 43% 31% Disapprove 27 48 8 29 31 23 33 DK/NA 31 32 27 33 27 34 36 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Approve 43% 45% 34% 49% 42% 37% 47% Disapprove 34 21 27 18 25 37 22 DK/NA 23 33 38 33 33 27 31 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jennifer Brunner is handling her job as Ohio's Secretary of State? APPROVE...... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 24 Nov 12 Sep 16 May 6 Feb 24 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 42 42 36 38 41 45 36 Disapprove 27 23 25 25 23 20 25 DK/NA 31 34 39 37 36 34 39 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 45% 12% 82% 38% 43% 47% 27% Disapprove 50 85 15 55 54 47 69 DK/NA 5 2 3 7 4 6 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 Feb 6 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 45 47 44 45 53 67 44 Disapprove 50 48 52 50 42 16 52 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 5 17 5 20. Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Better 44% 10% 80% 38% 41% 46% 23% Worse 34 69 4 37 36 32 54 About the same 19 18 16 22 20 19 21 DK/NA 3 3 1 4 3 3 2 TREND: Do you think Barack Obama has been a better President than George W. Bush, worse, or about the same as President Bush? Apr 29 Mar 31 2010 2010 Better 44 45 Worse 34 32 About the same 19 20 DK/NA 3 3 21. Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Support 45% 11% 84% 36% 42% 48% 26% Oppose 48 84 10 55 53 44 67 DK/NA 7 4 5 9 6 8 7 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Support 47% 50% 43% 36% 40% 39% 52% Oppose 46 43 50 54 55 53 43 DK/NA 6 7 7 10 5 8 6 TREND: Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies? Apr 29 Mar 31 2010 2010 Support 45 44 Oppose 48 46 DK/NA 7 10 22. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Very satisfied 3% 2% 7% 2% 3% 3% 2% Smwht satisfied 38 23 55 32 36 40 32 Smwht dissatisfied 30 37 25 33 33 28 31 Very dissatisfied 28 37 13 33 28 28 34 DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1 1 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Very satisfied 2% 3% 2% 4% 8% 1% 4% Smwht satisfied 44 36 37 44 36 35 42 Smwht dissatisfied 27 31 31 29 30 35 29 Very dissatisfied 26 30 28 22 26 28 25 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 32% Mar 2009) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Mar 21 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2007 2010* Very satisfied 3 3 2 3 2 5 2 Smwht satisfied 38 35 30 32 37 49 30 Smwht dissatisfied 30 35 36 37 35 28 36 Very dissatisfied 28 26 32 27 25 16 32 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 23. Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 37% 22% 59% 28% 34% 39% 30% No 41 56 24 46 43 39 48 DK/NA 22 22 16 27 23 22 22 TREND: Do you think that Ted Strickland has kept his campaign promises so far or not? YES.......... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Aug 14 Nov 11 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2008 2009 Yes 37 36 34 32 37 47 32 No 41 41 45 43 40 31 43 DK/NA 22 24 21 25 23 22 25 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 36% 17% 59% 31% 36% 36% 29% Disapprove 53 75 30 59 54 53 60 DK/NA 11 8 11 10 10 11 11 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy? (*Low also 33% Sep 2009 & Jul 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 Sep 15 Feb 5 Nov 11 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009* Approve 36 35 35 33 33 44 33 Disapprove 53 52 53 52 54 37 52 DK/NA 11 13 12 15 12 19 15 25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 42% 11% 78% 33% 39% 45% 24% Disapprove 55 88 19 63 59 52 74 DK/NA 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 Feb 6 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 42 40 39 42 48 58 39 Disapprove 55 54 57 53 46 21 57 DK/NA 3 6 4 5 6 21 4 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 36% 17% 59% 31% 38% 35% 30% Disapprove 48 69 29 50 49 47 52 DK/NA 16 14 12 19 13 18 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the state budget? (*Low also 32% Jul 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Sep 15 Jul 3 Feb 5 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2010* Approve 36 37 32 36 32 48 32 Disapprove 48 47 51 47 53 30 51 DK/NA 16 16 17 17 15 21 17 27. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 39% 11% 71% 29% 39% 38% 28% Kasich 41 72 14 45 45 37 54 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 DK/NA 18 14 13 23 14 22 16 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio's economy - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2010 2009 Strickland 39 38 35 33 Kasich 41 38 41 41 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 2 - DK/NA 18 22 22 27 28. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 39% 11% 71% 30% 40% 39% 30% Kasich 40 70 14 44 43 37 54 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 DK/NA 19 16 13 24 15 21 15 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling Ohio's state budget - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2010 2009 Strickland 39 38 36 34 Kasich 40 39 42 42 NO DIFF(VOL) 2 2 1 - DK/NA 19 21 21 25 29. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 41% 15% 74% 30% 38% 43% 29% Kasich 35 64 12 36 39 32 50 NO DIFF(VOL) 7 5 4 8 7 6 4 DK/NA 18 15 11 26 16 19 16 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you trust more to do in office what they say they will do during the campaign - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 Strickland 41 40 35 Kasich 35 35 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 7 5 6 DK/NA 18 20 22 30. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values - Ted Strickland or John Kasich? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Strickland 42% 17% 75% 33% 40% 44% 31% Kasich 36 67 12 36 41 31 53 NO DIFF(VOL) 3 3 2 3 2 3 1 DK/NA 19 13 11 28 16 22 14 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values, Ted Strickland or John Kasich? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 2010 2010 2010 Strickland 42 42 40 Kasich 36 34 36 NO DIFF(VOL) 3 2 3 DK/NA 19 22 21 31. Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Democrats 23% - 54% 12% 20% 27% 13% Republicans 24 59 1 19 27 21 38 Split 48 38 42 61 49 47 46 DK/NA 5 4 2 7 4 6 3 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Democrats 23% 28% 18% 20% 20% 20% 26% Republicans 24 21 22 10 26 34 17 Split 48 48 51 67 43 41 55 DK/NA 4 3 8 4 11 5 1 TREND: Currently, Democrats control the Ohio House and Republicans control the Ohio Senate. After the 2010 election would you prefer that the Democrats control both houses of the legislature, the Republicans control both houses of the legislature, or would you prefer that control is split as it is today? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 11 2010 2010 2010 2009 Democrats 23 24 22 19 Republicans 24 23 21 22 Split 48 50 51 52 DK/NA 5 4 7 6 37. Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Right thing 48% 69% 32% 47% 57% 39% 54% Shld not be inv 45 23 63 45 38 51 41 DK/NA 7 8 5 8 4 9 5 TREND: Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 2010 2010 2010 2009 Right thing 48 50 55 48 Shouldn't be inv 45 43 39 43 DK/NA 7 7 6 9 38. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 39% 9% 73% 31% 36% 41% 21% Disapprove 55 89 19 61 59 51 73 DK/NA 7 2 8 9 5 8 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 Approve 39 41 34 36 44 Disapprove 55 51 58 57 45 DK/NA 7 8 7 6 10 39. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Pres Obama 44% 10% 82% 36% 41% 47% 24% Reps in Cong 40 78 10 40 43 37 59 DK/NA 16 12 8 24 17 16 16 TREND: Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Nov 12 Sep 16 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 President Obama 44 45 40 40 49 Reps in Congress 40 39 37 40 28 DK/NA 16 16 23 21 23 40. Do you approve or disapprove of the federal health care overhaul? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 38% 11% 72% 28% 35% 40% 21% Disapprove 55 85 21 63 59 51 72 DK/NA 7 4 7 9 6 9 7 41. If your member of Congress voted for the health care overhaul just passed by Congress, would that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or not make a difference? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl More likely 22% 6% 43% 16% 23% 22% 12% Less likely 39 71 7 45 43 35 56 No diff 36 21 47 35 33 38 27 DK/NA 3 3 3 3 1 5 5 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld More likely 26% 22% 17% 20% 24% 19% 25% Less likely 35 35 44 46 44 44 35 No diff 35 40 37 30 28 33 37 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 4 4 4 42. If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but disagreed on the health care overhaul, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes 49% 32% 64% 50% 52% 47% 40% No 37 56 21 39 38 36 48 DK/NA 14 12 15 12 10 17 13 Union Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt HsHld Yes 47% 51% 44% 55% 46% 50% 53% No 40 35 37 34 43 36 33 DK/NA 14 14 19 12 11 13 14 TREND: If you agreed with a candidate for Congress on other issues, but completely disagreed on the health care overhaul, do you think you could still vote for that candidate or not? (*disagreed on the issue of health care reform) Apr 29 Mar 31 2010 2010 Yes 49 46 No 37 43 DK/NA 14 11 43. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed health care overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Good idea 41% 67% 14% 46% 46% 37% 56% Bad idea 52 25 82 47 50 55 36 DK/NA 6 8 4 7 5 8 8 TREND: Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the recently passed healthcare overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea? Apr 29 Mar 31 2010 2010 Good idea 41 39 Bad idea 52 54 DK/NA 6 7
