July 21, 2011 - Ohio Voters Like Republicans Less Than Obama, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But Romney Trails By Only 4 Points Word format Although Ohio voters split 46 - 47 percent on whether President Barack Obama deserves a second term, and they give him a negative 46 - 50 percent job approval, he defeats four leading Republican presidential contenders, three by double digits, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. In the Ohio U.S. Senate race, State Treasurer Josh Mandel defeats State Sen. Kevin Coughlin 35 - 12 percent in the race for the Republican nomination, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds, but 46 percent of Republicans are undecided. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown beats both of them by double digits: 49 - 34 percent over Mandel; 50 - 32 percent over Coughlin. In the race for Ohio's support among GOP presidential contenders the leader by a large margin is "don't know," with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney at 16 percent, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin at 15 percent, Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachman at 11 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry at 8 percent. No other candidate tops 6 percent. President Obama leads Romney 45 - 41; tops Palin 51 - 35 percent; beats Bachmann 49 - 36 percent and leads Perry 47 - 35 percent. "Ohio voters may not be wild about President Barack Obama, but at this point they appear to like his potential Republican challengers less, and in some cases a lot less," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "His middling job and re-election ratings show that there may be a potential opportunity to defeat President Obama in 2012 in Ohio, but for that to occur the GOP will have to nominate a candidate that can capture the public's imagination to a degree not yet evident." Obama has an 84 - 11 percent job approval among Democrats, an 89 - 9 percent disapproval among Republicans and a 54 - 42 percent disapproval among independent voters. The numbers on whether he deserves re-election follow the same trend. Democrats think he deserves re-election 86 - 7 percent; Republicans say no 89 - 7 percent and independents say no 51 - 40 percent. "Voters in the key independent bloc are against Obama when it comes to his job performance and whether he deserves a second term, but when he is matched against a real live Republican they are slightly in his corner," said Brown. "No Republican presidential candidate has emerged in the eye of Ohio Republicans. To say the race is wide open in Ohio is an understatement," said Brown. Following the top four GOP contenders are businessman Herman Cain with 6 percent, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul with 5 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 4 percent, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty with 3 percent, former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum with 2 percent and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman at 1 percent. Ohio voters approve 49 - 30 percent of the job Sen. Brown is doing and say 47 - 33 percent he deserves to be re-elected. "Sen. Sherrod Brown has very healthy leads over his potential challengers with 16 months to go before the election. He is just around the magic 50 percent threshold that many see as the dividing line for incumbents to ensure their re-election," said Brown. From July 12 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,659 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 563 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (Republicans) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were - Rick Perry, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, Jon Huntsman, Herman Cain and Thaddeus McCotter for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS.................. WtBrnAgn Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Perry 8% 7% 9% 9% Palin 15 14 15 14 Gingrich 4 6 2 3 Romney 16 13 20 12 Pawlenty 3 3 3 3 Bachmann 11 13 9 9 Santorum 2 4 - 3 Paul 5 8 2 7 Huntsman 1 - 1 - Cain 6 7 6 9 McCotter - - - - DK/NA 28 24 33 29 1a. (If voting for Perry q1) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Perry using second choice question) Q1 WITHOUT PERRY REPUBLICANS.................. WtBrnAgn Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Palin 15% 15% 15% 15% Gingrich 5 7 2 4 Romney 19 15 23 14 Pawlenty 3 3 4 4 Bachmann 14 16 11 13 Santorum 2 4 - 3 Paul 5 8 2 7 Huntsman 1 - 1 - Cain 7 7 6 9 McCotter - - 1 - DK/NA 29 25 34 30 1b. (If voting for Palin q1) Who is your second choice? (Recalculated primary vote without Palin using second choice question) Q1 WITHOUT PALIN REPUBLICANS.................. WtBrnAgn Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Perry 8% 7% 9% 9% Gingrich 6 7 4 5 Romney 19 16 23 17 Pawlenty 3 3 3 4 Bachmann 16 16 14 14 Santorum 3 5 - 3 Paul 6 9 2 8 Huntsman 1 1 1 - Cain 7 8 7 10 McCotter - - - - DK/NA 31 27 36 31 2. (Republicans) If the 2012 Republican primary for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Josh Mandel and Kevin Coughlin for whom would you vote? REPUBLICANS.................. WtBrnAgn Tot Men Wom Evnglcl Mandel 35% 39% 30% 31% Coughlin 12 13 11 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 6 2 5 DK/NA 46 38 56 55 3. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Perry the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 47% 8% 88% 43% 43% 51% 28% Perry 35 78 3 35 39 32 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 5 2 3 DK/NA 11 8 6 16 10 13 13 4. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Michele Bachmann the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 49% 9% 89% 45% 45% 53% 30% Bachmann 36 77 4 35 39 33 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 1 5 5 2 4 DK/NA 9 8 5 11 8 10 10 5. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 45% 4% 86% 40% 42% 49% 24% Romney 41 85 5 41 43 38 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 4 2 4 DK/NA 9 7 6 11 8 9 10 6. If the 2012 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Sarah Palin the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Obama 51% 9% 88% 51% 48% 54% 30% Palin 35 76 5 32 37 33 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 2 7 5 4 5 DK/NA 6 6 4 6 7 5 7 7. If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Brown 49% 9% 88% 42% 46% 52% 34% Mandel 34 79 3 32 38 30 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 DK/NA 14 10 8 22 12 15 16 TREND: If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat, and Josh Mandel the Republican for whom would you vote? Jul 21 May 19 2011 2011 Brown 49 45 Mandel 34 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 DK/NA 14 21 8. If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Kevin Coughlin the Republican for whom would you vote? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Brown 50% 11% 87% 45% 47% 53% 35% Coughlin 32 76 2 28 35 28 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 4 4 1 1 DK/NA 15 12 9 22 13 17 18 TREND: If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat, and Kevin Coughlin the Republican for whom would you vote? Jul 21 May 19 2011 2011 Brown 50 44 Coughlin 32 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 DK/NA 15 23 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 40% 59% 26% 40% 47% 34% 49% Disapprove 21 7 33 19 21 21 14 DK/NA 39 35 41 40 32 45 37 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? Jul 21 May 19 Mar 24 Jan 20 2011 2011 2011 2011 Approve 40 38 30 34 Disapprove 21 21 25 16 DK/NA 39 41 45 51 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 49% 25% 76% 43% 48% 50% 38% Disapprove 30 52 9 32 35 26 39 DK/NA 21 23 16 25 17 24 23 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... DIS.... High Low High Jul 21 May 19 Mar 24 Jan 20 May 06 Jul 07 Sep 15 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2009 2009 Approve 49 49 43 45 52 41 48 Disapprove 30 30 27 25 24 29 33 DK/NA 21 21 30 30 24 30 20 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 46% 9% 84% 42% 42% 50% 28% Disapprove 50 89 11 54 55 45 68 DK/NA 4 2 5 5 3 5 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jul 21 May 19 Mar 24 Jan 20 Jun 30 Feb 06 Feb 23 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 2009 2010 Approve 46 49 47 49 45 67 44 Disapprove 50 45 48 46 49 16 52 DK/NA 4 6 5 5 6 17 5 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 28% 6% 52% 22% 24% 32% 23% Disapprove 65 90 40 71 70 61 70 DK/NA 7 4 7 6 6 8 7 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 27% 56% 7% 26% 29% 24% 38% Disapprove 67 37 90 68 66 69 54 DK/NA 6 7 4 6 5 7 8 15. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes/Deserves 46% 7% 86% 40% 42% 49% 26% No/Does not 47 89 7 51 50 44 67 DK/NA 7 4 7 9 8 7 7 TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Jul 21 May 19 Mar 24 Jan 20 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 46 47 45 48 No/Does not 47 47 46 44 DK/NA 7 6 9 8 16. Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Yes/Deserves 47% 19% 78% 39% 46% 48% 34% No/Does not 33 62 7 35 38 28 41 DK/NA 20 19 16 26 16 24 25 TREND: Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Jul 21 May 19 Mar 24 Jan 20 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 47 49 45 45 No/Does not 33 31 30 30 DK/NA 20 20 25 25 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 37% 6% 71% 30% 34% 40% 22% Disapprove 58 93 23 64 62 55 74 DK/NA 5 1 6 6 4 5 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? APPROVE....... High Low Jul 21 May 19 Jun 30 Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 6 Jul 21 2011 2011 2010 2010 2010 2009 2011 Approve 37 39 41 42 40 58 37 Disapprove 58 55 54 55 54 21 58 DK/NA 5 5 5 3 6 21 5 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - foreign policy? WtBrnAgn Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Evnglcl Approve 47% 17% 78% 44% 45% 49% 31% Disapprove 47 78 16 51 50 44 62 DK/NA 6 5 7 5 4 7 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy? Jul 21 May 19 2011 2011 Approve 47 50 Disapprove 47 44 DK/NA 6 6
