January 18, 2012 - Romney Takes The Lead In GOP Presidential Pack In Ohio, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Approval Still Sags As He Ties Romney Word format A nine-point jump combined with the collapse of former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gives former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney the lead over the Republican field in the race for Ohio's Republican presidential primary, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. In the general election, Romney has 42 percent to President Barack Obama's 44 percent in the race for the state's crucial Electoral College votes. Ohio voters give President Obama 51 - 44 percent thumbs down on his job performance and say 51 - 45 percent he does not deserve a second term in the Oval Office, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Romney leads in the Republican presidential primary with 27 percent, followed by former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum with 18 percent, Gingrich with 17 percent, down from 36 percent December 8, Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul with 10 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 4 percent. "Gov. Mitt Romney is comfortably ahead of the Republican field," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "If he continues to win primaries elsewhere, that margin will likely increase by the time the voting comes to Ohio on March 6. But if he should lose his momentum - and some primaries - then that lead might not be safe." The last time Quinnipiac University surveyed Ohio Republicans on December 8, Gingrich held a 36 - 18 percent lead over Romney with Paul at 7 percent, Perry at 4 percent and Santorum at 2 percent. Among Republicans, 43 percent say Gingrich is the best qualified when it comes to foreign affairs, with Romney second at 16 percent. Gingrich has the right kind of knowledge and experience to be president, 38 percent of Republicans say, as 25 percent point to Romney. Romney is best able to handle the economy, 36 percent of Republicans say, with 19 percent for Gingrich. Romney is a strong leader, 32 percent say, with 31 percent for Gingrich. "GOP voters think highly of Gingrich, but are much less likely to back his candidacy," said Brown. The Obama - Romney virtual tie in the general election is in line with previous Quinnipiac University polls. In five surveys since July, the two men have swapped the lead back and forth with four points being the largest margin between them. In today's survey, Obama holds leads of 48 - 37 percent over Santorum, 48 - 39 percent over Paul and 52 - 38 percent over Gingrich. Romney beats Obama 89 - 5 percent among Republicans and the two men tie among independent voters 39 - 40 percent. The president carries Democrats 87 - 7 percent. Romney gets 45 percent of men to Obama's 42 percent. Women back Obama 47 - 38 percent. "With Ohio being perhaps the most important single state in the country when it comes to the Electoral College math, all indications are that if Romney is the Republican nominee it will be a very, very close contest," said Brown. "The president's problem is getting back the voters who voted for him in 2008 but went for John Kasich for governor in 2010. His main obstacle may be that voters say 48 - 42 percent that Romney is better able to fix the economy." The biggest problems demographically for the president are among white voters, where only 38 percent say he deserves re-election. Ohio voters don't have a very good opinion of any of the candidates, giving Romney a split 36 - 34 percent favorability. Scores for other candidates are: Obama: 48 - 47 percent; Santorum: 25 - 25 percent; Paul: Negative 28 - 33 percent; Gingrich: Negative 26 - 51 percent. From January 9 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,610 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 542 voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. (If Registered Republican)If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% Gingrich 17 20 13 19 10 18 15 23 14 Romney 27 26 28 24 33 25 30 22 29 Santorum 18 16 22 23 7 24 17 25 15 Paul 10 13 6 11 7 7 10 12 8 Huntsman 2 5 - 2 3 1 3 - 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 4 2 1 1 2 DK/NA 20 15 25 15 32 18 20 12 24 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 2% 4% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 4% Gingrich 16 17 13 21 16 13 20 22 11 Romney 30 25 27 22 34 26 33 23 32 Santorum 20 18 10 24 19 13 14 22 20 Paul 8 10 16 9 3 13 10 13 4 Huntsman 6 1 4 3 1 - - 3 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 3 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 - 3 1 1 DK/NA 16 22 27 13 21 25 15 15 19 TREND: (If Registered Republican) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and Jon Huntsman, for whom would you vote? (na=not asked, 2011 wording referenced "2012 election") REGISTERED REPUBLICANS........................ Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jul 21 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Perry 4 4 4 4 20 8 Gingrich 17 36 11 7 4 4 Romney 27 18 20 23 24 16 Santorum 18 2 1 1 4 2 Paul 10 7 9 8 6 5 Huntsman 2 1 2 2 1 1 Bachmann na 5 4 4 3 11 Cain na 7 25 28 7 6 McCotter na na na na na - Palin na na na na 9 15 Pawlenty na na na na na 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 na WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 na DK/NA 20 15 20 18 21 28 1a. (If voting for Huntsman q1) Who is your second choice? (*q1 Recalculated primary vote without Huntsman using second choice question) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS WITHOUT HUNTSMAN................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 2% 5% 3% Gingrich 17 21 13 19 10 18 16 23 15 Romney 28 28 28 25 34 25 33 22 31 Santorum 19 17 22 24 7 24 17 25 16 Paul 10 13 6 11 8 7 10 12 9 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 4 2 1 1 2 DK/NA 20 15 25 15 33 18 20 12 24 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 2% 4% 2% 4% 4% 5% 5% 1% 4% Gingrich 17 17 13 22 16 13 20 22 12 Romney 33 25 28 24 35 27 33 24 37 Santorum 22 18 11 24 19 13 14 22 22 Paul 9 11 16 9 3 13 10 14 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 3 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 - 3 1 1 DK/NA 16 22 27 14 21 25 15 16 19 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 44% 5% 87% 40% 42% 47% 39% 89% Romney 42 89 7 39 45 38 47 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 - 6 4 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 2 3 3 - DK/NA 8 3 5 11 6 10 8 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 47% 43% 46% 46% 40% 50% 44% 41% 41% Romney 43 41 38 41 50 32 47 45 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 2 3 5 - 4 1 DK/NA 5 10 9 8 7 10 6 7 4 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 45% 36% 30% 40% 22% 41% 37% Romney 46 47 57 49 62 47 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 4 2 DK/NA 4 10 8 6 10 7 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jul 21 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Obama 44 42 45 45 44 45 Romney 42 43 42 41 42 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 4 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 3 DK/NA 8 8 7 9 9 9 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 48% 9% 90% 43% 47% 48% 42% 90% Santorum 37 83 2 34 39 35 42 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 3 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 6 4 3 4 - DK/NA 9 5 5 12 7 12 9 8 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 54% 45% 53% 46% 40% 52% 49% 46% 47% Santorum 38 37 30 40 46 27 40 43 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 5 2 3 5 3 3 2 DK/NA 4 11 9 9 9 13 6 7 4 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 51% 37% 32% 43% 25% 43% 39% Santorum 40 43 53 41 58 41 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 3 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 4 4 2 5 3 DK/NA 4 12 10 9 12 9 9 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 48% 10% 87% 43% 42% 54% 40% 92% Paul 39 76 7 40 46 32 46 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 2 7 4 5 5 1 DK/NA 6 8 3 6 5 8 7 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 49% 48% 51% 49% 39% 57% 42% 43% 50% Paul 42 38 39 37 43 29 48 47 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 3 4 2 4 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 5 4 5 5 1 6 6 DK/NA 5 7 4 7 9 7 5 4 5 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 46% 38% 30% 41% 25% 40% 41% Paul 45 46 52 43 56 46 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 4 2 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 5 7 5 6 3 DK/NA 5 8 10 7 10 6 6 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 52% 10% 90% 49% 48% 55% 44% 94% Gingrich 38 83 4 35 41 34 44 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 - 6 5 1 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 1 5 2 4 4 - DK/NA 5 5 4 4 4 7 5 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 54% 51% 58% 49% 41% 58% 47% 52% 52% Gingrich 40 37 29 43 47 29 41 41 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 2 3 5 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 5 - 3 4 2 2 1 DK/NA 3 6 5 4 7 6 6 3 2 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 51% 41% 34% 42% 25% 45% 42% Gingrich 43 45 56 45 62 44 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 4 2 2 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 5 2 3 2 4 1 DK/NA 3 6 6 7 8 4 7 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 52 42 49 Gingrich 38 43 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 DK/NA 5 7 7 6. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 25% 52% 7% 23% 29% 22% 28% 9% Unfavorable 25 6 42 24 28 22 24 27 Hvn't hrd enough 48 41 50 51 42 54 46 61 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 29% 24% 17% 30% 32% 17% 26% 28% 35% Unfavorable 38 20 28 24 22 23 20 29 35 Hvn't hrd enough 32 55 54 44 44 57 53 41 29 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Favorable 31% 27% 35% 33% 38% 30% 31% Unfavorable 38 18 15 22 12 23 25 Hvn't hrd enough 29 54 49 42 49 46 43 REFUSED 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 7. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 28% 34% 17% 33% 35% 22% 31% 11% Unfavorable 33 34 42 27 35 31 33 33 Hvn't hrd enough 36 31 40 38 27 45 34 53 REFUSED 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 32% 27% 34% 27% 19% 25% 32% 35% 26% Unfavorable 43 29 24 40 41 25 28 38 50 Hvn't hrd enough 24 42 40 30 37 47 39 25 24 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 2 - WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Favorable 34% 30% 29% 29% 30% 30% 25% Unfavorable 41 29 32 36 29 35 39 Hvn't hrd enough 23 39 37 32 38 33 32 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 8. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 26% 55% 8% 23% 30% 23% 29% 9% Unfavorable 51 26 73 50 51 50 50 51 Hvn't hrd enough 20 16 18 25 17 23 18 37 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 2 4 3 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 29% 25% 21% 28% 33% 20% 26% 34% 27% Unfavorable 61 46 49 55 48 48 52 52 62 Hvn't hrd enough 8 25 28 13 17 30 20 11 9 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Favorable 31% 28% 33% 31% 37% 30% 34% Unfavorable 59 46 44 48 40 50 46 Hvn't hrd enough 8 23 20 17 21 17 18 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Jan 30 2012 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 26 32 28 24 Unfavorable 51 38 44 50 Hvn't hrd enough 20 29 26 24 REFUSED 3 1 2 2 9. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 36% 63% 20% 33% 41% 31% 39% 17% Unfavorable 34 15 51 32 35 33 33 41 Hvn't hrd enough 26 18 27 32 20 32 25 36 REFUSED 4 3 2 3 4 4 3 7 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 45% 32% 33% 36% 43% 25% 41% 43% 49% Unfavorable 38 32 32 38 30 35 31 38 33 Hvn't hrd enough 14 32 32 22 22 36 27 15 16 REFUSED 3 4 3 4 4 4 2 4 2 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Favorable 47% 35% 42% 47% 44% 41% 38% Unfavorable 36 31 27 28 27 31 34 Hvn't hrd enough 14 30 27 22 26 25 23 REFUSED 2 4 3 4 3 3 5 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 36% Nov 2011) FAVORABLE..... High Low Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Dec 05 Oct 10 Jan 18 Jan 30 2012 2011 2011 2007 2007 2012* 2007 Favorable 36 32 36 24 19 36 9 Unfavorable 34 28 31 23 22 34 10 Hvn't hrd enough 26 38 32 51 57 26 80 REFUSED 4 2 2 3 1 4 1 10. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 48% 8% 88% 45% 45% 51% 42% 92% Unfavorable 47 89 8 50 51 44 54 3 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 52% 46% 53% 47% 41% 53% 46% 45% 49% Unfavorable 45 48 43 49 52 42 49 52 48 Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 2 2 2 2 4 2 - REFUSED 1 3 1 3 4 3 1 1 2 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Favorable 48% 39% 33% 41% 26% 43% 39% Unfavorable 49 56 64 51 69 52 55 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 2 4 3 3 2 REFUSED 1 3 2 4 2 3 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 May 22 May 1 Jan 18 Jan 30 2012 2011 2011 2008 2008 2012 2007 Favorable 48 42 47 44 44 48 35 Unfavorable 47 52 46 38 37 47 12 Hvn't hrd enough 2 3 4 16 15 2 52 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 4 2 1 11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 29% 39% 24% 26% 32% 26% 28% 33% Less 22 19 22 23 20 23 24 6 About the same 49 42 53 49 48 50 48 60 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 More 28% 29% 26% 29% 34% 30% 30% 28% 28% Less 23 21 22 21 23 21 22 22 24 About the same 48 49 51 50 42 48 47 50 48 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds More 27% 28% 29% 29% 31% 27% 34% Less 24 24 26 22 23 24 21 About the same 48 47 45 49 46 48 43 DK/NA - 1 - 1 - 1 2 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 More 29 26 25 25 31 Less 22 22 23 23 23 About the same 49 51 51 51 46 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 44% 8% 83% 41% 42% 46% 38% 90% Disapprove 51 91 15 53 55 48 57 6 DK/NA 5 1 3 7 4 6 5 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Approve 47% 43% 46% 45% 40% 48% 45% 41% 45% Disapprove 51 51 49 51 55 44 52 57 52 DK/NA 2 6 5 4 5 7 3 2 3 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Approve 44% 35% 29% 39% 24% 39% 35% Disapprove 54 59 67 53 72 55 59 DK/NA 2 6 4 8 4 6 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 Feb 06 Dec 08 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 44 41 44 43 42 67 41 Disapprove 51 55 50 51 53 16 55 DK/NA 5 4 6 6 4 17 4 20. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - the economy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% Gingrich 19 21 17 18 19 21 16 21 18 Romney 36 36 36 35 37 30 45 30 40 Santorum 11 8 15 14 4 19 8 15 9 Paul 16 20 11 18 12 11 17 25 11 Huntsman 3 4 2 2 4 2 2 - 4 DK/NA 11 8 15 8 19 13 9 5 14 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 7% 5% 2% 2% Gingrich 15 20 12 23 19 13 21 22 16 Romney 45 32 34 30 49 36 40 28 52 Santorum 10 12 7 15 10 11 10 14 8 Paul 15 16 20 19 5 16 15 19 12 Huntsman 3 2 3 1 4 2 - 3 4 DK/NA 7 13 19 6 10 15 9 13 6 TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the economy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Jan 18 Dec 08 2012 2011 Perry 4 5 Gingrich 19 31 Romney 36 24 Santorum 11 2 Paul 16 9 Huntsman 3 1 Bachmann na 4 Cain na 10 DK/NA 11 14 21. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - foreign policy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 3% 4% 3% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 3% Gingrich 43 44 42 47 32 45 46 50 40 Romney 16 14 19 14 20 18 17 13 17 Santorum 11 10 11 13 5 10 10 16 8 Paul 7 11 3 9 3 6 6 10 6 Huntsman 5 7 2 4 8 2 6 2 6 DK/NA 15 10 21 11 27 17 13 6 20 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 10% 1% - 5% Gingrich 49 40 42 43 43 36 48 45 44 Romney 19 15 15 14 22 16 19 17 17 Santorum 11 10 8 14 8 9 9 9 16 Paul 4 9 12 4 6 8 8 12 1 Huntsman 8 3 3 6 5 3 4 3 9 DK/NA 7 19 16 15 14 19 12 13 7 TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Jan 18 Dec 08 2012 2011 Perry 3 2 Gingrich 43 51 Romney 16 11 Santorum 11 2 Paul 7 4 Huntsman 5 3 Bachmann na 3 Cain na 3 DK/NA 15 19 22. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling - immigration issues: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 12% 15% 9% 14% 9% 12% 14% 14% 11% Gingrich 23 23 23 25 18 25 23 30 20 Romney 18 17 18 14 24 16 22 11 21 Santorum 17 16 18 21 6 22 15 22 14 Paul 10 13 6 11 8 8 9 13 8 Huntsman 3 6 - 3 2 1 3 2 4 DK/NA 18 11 25 12 33 17 15 9 22 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 9% 13% 9% 14% 13% 15% 16% 7% 10% Gingrich 23 23 24 23 24 19 24 27 24 Romney 20 17 20 14 21 20 20 17 19 Santorum 19 15 9 23 14 13 12 21 18 Paul 9 10 13 11 3 10 10 11 12 Huntsman 6 2 7 1 2 1 1 6 4 DK/NA 13 20 19 14 22 23 17 12 14 TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling immigration issues: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Jan 18 Dec 08 2012 2011 Perry 12 13 Gingrich 23 27 Romney 18 11 Santorum 17 4 Paul 10 8 Huntsman 3 1 Bachmann na 9 Cain na 6 DK/NA 18 21 23. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% Gingrich 38 40 35 42 26 40 38 48 33 Romney 25 22 29 22 34 21 30 18 29 Santorum 14 11 17 15 9 17 10 15 13 Paul 7 10 4 9 3 6 6 10 6 Huntsman 2 4 - 2 4 1 2 - 3 DK/NA 11 9 14 8 20 14 10 6 14 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3% Gingrich 39 37 33 39 42 33 43 44 35 Romney 33 21 24 24 28 22 28 22 33 Santorum 10 15 7 19 13 13 13 11 10 Paul 4 9 13 4 3 13 5 9 5 Huntsman 6 1 3 2 1 - 1 2 6 DK/NA 6 14 15 9 12 14 9 11 8 TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Jan 18 Dec 08 2012 2011 Perry 2 3 Gingrich 38 54 Romney 25 20 Santorum 14 1 Paul 7 5 Huntsman 2 - Bachmann na 3 Cain na 2 DK/NA 11 11 24. (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as - being a strong leader: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? REGISTERED REPUBLICANS.................................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Perry 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 4% 4% 7% 3% Gingrich 31 33 28 32 29 35 29 38 28 Romney 32 29 35 30 38 26 39 22 36 Santorum 12 8 17 15 6 17 9 16 10 Paul 8 11 3 8 5 6 7 10 6 Huntsman 2 3 - 2 2 1 2 - 3 DK/NA 11 10 12 9 15 11 10 6 14 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Perry 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 8% 2% 2% 5% Gingrich 26 33 28 31 34 34 36 33 24 Romney 42 27 28 29 40 26 36 26 40 Santorum 10 13 9 17 10 13 9 15 11 Paul 5 9 11 7 3 13 7 8 4 Huntsman 4 1 2 2 2 1 - 2 6 DK/NA 9 12 17 9 7 5 10 13 10 TREND: (If Registered Republican) Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as being a strong leader: Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, or Jon Huntsman? (na=not asked) REGISTERED REPUBLICANS Jan 18 Dec 08 2012 2011 Perry 4 6 Gingrich 31 44 Romney 32 20 Santorum 12 2 Paul 8 4 Huntsman 2 - Bachmann na 4 Cain na 8 DK/NA 11 12 25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 42% 5% 80% 38% 38% 45% 36% 86% Romney 48 91 12 49 54 42 53 10 DK/NA 10 4 8 13 8 13 11 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 42% 42% 43% 44% 37% 49% 43% 36% 38% Romney 50 47 47 46 53 38 49 56 57 DK/NA 8 11 10 10 10 13 9 8 5 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 39% 34% 25% 38% 21% 35% 35% Romney 53 53 63 55 66 55 54 DK/NA 8 12 12 7 12 9 11 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 42 39 43 Romney 48 47 45 DK/NA 10 13 12 26. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 46% 9% 85% 44% 45% 47% 41% 89% Santorum 39 80 6 39 44 35 44 5 DK/NA 14 11 9 17 11 17 15 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 50% 45% 53% 44% 39% 51% 46% 44% 47% Santorum 40 39 33 42 46 32 39 45 45 DK/NA 10 16 14 13 15 17 15 11 7 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Obama 47% 37% 31% 39% 24% 42% 38% Santorum 42 45 53 46 57 44 50 DK/NA 10 18 16 15 19 14 13 28. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 45% 6% 85% 42% 41% 48% 38% 93% No/Does not 51 92 11 54 55 47 57 5 DK/NA 5 2 4 4 4 5 5 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes/Deserves 48% 44% 48% 45% 39% 51% 45% 42% 41% No/Does not 50 51 48 51 56 42 52 55 56 DK/NA 2 6 4 4 5 6 3 3 2 WHITE................................ COLLEGE DEG BrnAgnEv Military Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHolds Yes/Deserves 45% 35% 28% 38% 21% 40% 37% No/Does not 53 59 68 55 73 55 59 DK/NA 2 6 4 7 6 5 4 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? DESERVES...... High Low Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jan 20 Dec 08 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 45 42 46 44 43 48 42 No/Does not 51 53 48 49 51 44 53 DK/NA 5 5 6 7 6 8 5 Demographic Summary
