February 15, 2012 - Santorum On Top In Ohio GOP Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Portman Does Not Help GOP Ticket Against Obama Word format Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum shoots to the top among Ohio likely Republican primary voters with 36 percent, followed by 29 percent for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich runs third with 20 percent, while Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul gets 9 percent. Three weeks before the March 6 primary, 50 percent of likely Republican primary voters say they might change their mind. This first survey of likely voters can not be compared with earlier surveys of registered Republicans. President Barack Obama would get 46 percent of Ohio registered voters, to Romney's 44 percent if the November election were today, similar to the 44 - 42 percent result in a January 18 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. Obama tops Santorum 47 - 41 percent and beats Gingrich 50 - 38 percent in general election matchups. Picking Ohio Sen. Rob Portman as Romney's running mate would not help the GOP ticket carry Ohio's crucial electoral votes in November as the Democratic ticket pulls slightly ahead 47 - 43 percent. In Ohio's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown leads Republican Josh Mandel, 48 - 35 percent. Voters approve 47 - 34 percent of the job Brown is doing and say 46 - 34 percent that he deserves a second term in the Senate. "Sen. Rick Santorum has zoomed to the front of the line among likely voters in Ohio's March 6 Republican presidential primary," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "He appears to be riding the momentum from his victories last week in Minnesota, Colorado and Missouri." "Unclear is whether that momentum fizzles as happened to Santorum in New Hampshire after winning Iowa, and as happened to Gov. Mitt Romney in South Carolina after winning New Hampshire and Speaker Newt Gingrich in Florida after taking South Carolina," Brown added. "For the first time, numerically more voters in Ohio view Romney unfavorably than favorably. His pattern in the earlier primary states has been to use his money advantage to run a large number of negative ads on his biggest challenger. But doing so now risks further increasing Romney's own unfavorables as a side effect of throwing the mud himself. Yet, Romney may feel the need to raise questions about the lesser-known Santorum in the eyes of GOP voters." Romney gets a slightly negative 37 - 40 percent favorability rating from all Ohio registered voters, with a 61 - 25 percent positive from likely Republican primary voters. Santorum, whose overall favorability was 25 - 25 percent in January, is now 35 - 22 percent favorable among all voters and 62 - 7 percent favorable among likely Republican primary voters. In the tight general election matchup between Obama and Romney, the president's margin is built upon his 45 - 41 percent edge among independent voters. Obama carries Democrats 88 - 6 percent, as Romney takes Republicans 87 - 6 percent. Men back Romney 49 - 42 percent, while women back Obama 49 - 39 percent. In order to assess Portman's potential usefulness to the GOP ticket in Ohio, following the question about the Obama-Romney matchup, Quinnipiac asked about voters' preference between an Obama-Joe Biden ticket and a Romney-Portman team. Given that choice, voters opted for the Democratic team 47 - 43 percent. "At least in this survey, the inclusion of Rob Portman as vice president does not appear to help the GOP ticket," said Brown. Ohio voters split 47 - 48 percent on whether Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office and give him a split 47 - 48 percent job approval, his best score in the past year. From February 7 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,421 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 553 voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Gingrich, Romney, Santorum or Paul? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Gingrich 20% 21% 18% 22% 15% 21% 18% 21% 20% Romney 29 25 32 24 41 26 36 21 32 Santorum 36 36 37 43 25 41 30 44 32 Paul 9 12 6 7 13 6 10 12 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - 1 - - - - DK/NA 6 5 7 4 7 5 6 2 7 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Gingrich 16% 22% 16% 22% 23% 28% 20% 15% 22% Romney 33 26 27 25 35 27 21 27 40 Santorum 36 36 35 42 29 35 50 36 28 Paul 8 10 15 7 4 5 6 16 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - 1 DK/NA 6 6 7 4 9 6 3 6 3 1a. (Candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CHOSE CANDIDATE Q1..... CANDIDATE CHOICE Tot NG MR RS Mind made up 48% 48% 39% 54% Might change 50 51 58 44 DK/NA 3 1 3 2 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 50% 7% 91% 51% 45% 54% 43% 95% Gingrich 38 83 3 33 45 32 43 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 4 4 3 4 - DK/NA 6 3 5 10 4 8 7 4 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 52% 49% 50% 51% 47% 57% 44% 51% 44% Gingrich 39 38 39 37 41 28 42 41 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 2 DK/NA 4 7 6 6 6 8 10 3 4 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 48% 41% 36% 41% 26% 47% 42% 56% Gingrich 42 44 51 46 60 40 46 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 1 3 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 5 3 6 3 5 3 DK/NA 4 8 6 9 5 7 5 9 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.......... Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2012 2011 2011 Obama 50 52 42 49 Gingrich 38 38 43 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 4 4 DK/NA 6 5 7 7 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 47% 7% 88% 47% 43% 50% 40% 93% Santorum 41 86 5 35 46 37 47 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 1 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 2 3 - DK/NA 7 4 6 11 5 9 8 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 51% 46% 50% 48% 41% 54% 42% 47% 45% Santorum 41 41 37 41 48 33 45 42 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 2 2 DK/NA 5 8 7 7 8 8 10 7 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 47% 37% 32% 38% 24% 43% 39% 55% Santorum 45 47 56 47 65 43 50 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 2 5 2 4 3 DK/NA 5 9 7 12 5 10 6 9 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 18 2012 2012 Obama 47 48 Santorum 41 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 DK/NA 7 9 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 46% 8% 88% 44% 42% 51% 40% 93% Paul 40 77 5 40 47 34 45 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 - 3 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 7 1 4 5 4 5 - DK/NA 7 6 5 9 5 9 8 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 51% 45% 46% 49% 43% 52% 44% 46% 43% Paul 37 42 43 37 43 36 40 43 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 3 2 3 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 4 6 3 4 2 5 DK/NA 7 7 7 7 6 6 10 7 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 47% 37% 32% 38% 23% 44% 37% 53% Paul 40 48 53 45 61 41 49 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 6 4 7 4 7 5 DK/NA 7 8 7 12 7 9 4 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 18 2012 2012 Obama 46 48 Paul 40 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 DK/NA 7 6 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 46% 6% 88% 45% 42% 49% 40% 91% Romney 44 87 6 41 49 39 49 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 - 2 3 2 3 - DK/NA 7 3 6 11 4 9 7 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 48% 45% 48% 47% 42% 55% 41% 45% 41% Romney 44 43 41 42 49 35 45 46 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 4 2 2 4 2 2 2 DK/NA 5 8 7 7 5 6 12 6 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 44% 37% 32% 36% 23% 42% 38% 52% Romney 48 50 59 51 69 46 51 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 1 DK/NA 5 8 5 11 4 9 6 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. OBAMA......... High Low Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Feb 15 Dec 08 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2012 2011 Obama 46 44 42 45 45 46 42 Romney 44 42 43 42 41 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 4 3 2 1 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 DK/NA 7 8 8 7 9 7 8 6. Let's say the Democratic ticket is Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president and the Republican ticket is Mitt Romney for president and Rob Portman for vice president. If you were voting today, how would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Democratic ticket 47% 6% 90% 46% 43% 50% 41% 89% Republican ticket 43 88 5 38 48 38 48 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 3 4 2 3 - DK/NA 7 3 5 11 5 9 7 10 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Democratic ticket 48% 46% 47% 49% 42% 55% 42% 47% 41% Republican ticket 44 42 41 41 47 34 45 45 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 2 2 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 5 8 6 7 7 7 9 5 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Democratic ticket 44% 39% 32% 38% 24% 43% 37% 54% Republican ticket 48 49 59 49 67 46 52 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 DK/NA 5 8 6 9 6 7 6 8 7. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 61% 63% 60% 63% 61% 60% 66% 60% 63% Unfavorable 25 27 22 25 22 27 18 31 22 Hvn't hrd enough 12 10 15 10 14 11 13 8 13 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 37% 64% 17% 34% 42% 32% 40% 15% Unfavorable 40 20 58 41 42 38 38 50 Hvn't hrd enough 21 13 24 23 15 27 20 34 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 1 3 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Dec 05 Feb 15 Jan 30 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 2012 2007 Favorable 37 36 32 36 24 37 9 Unfavorable 40 34 28 31 23 40 10 Hvn't hrd enough 21 26 38 32 51 21 80 REFUSED 2 4 2 2 3 2 1 8. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 49% 55% 42% 60% 29% 52% 49% 58% 43% Unfavorable 34 33 35 26 49 31 36 26 38 Hvn't hrd enough 16 12 20 12 20 17 12 14 17 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 25% 53% 5% 21% 31% 20% 27% 10% Unfavorable 55 28 76 61 55 55 53 64 Hvn't hrd enough 18 16 17 16 12 23 17 26 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................. Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Jan 30 2012 2012 2011 2011 2007 Favorable 25 26 32 28 24 Unfavorable 55 51 38 44 50 Hvn't hrd enough 18 20 29 26 24 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 9. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 62% 65% 58% 72% 46% 69% 56% 76% 56% Unfavorable 7 8 6 4 12 3 8 4 9 Hvn't hrd enough 31 27 36 24 42 27 36 20 35 REFUSED - - - - - - - - - ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 35% 62% 14% 31% 39% 31% 38% 12% Unfavorable 22 5 40 23 26 20 21 26 Hvn't hrd enough 42 33 45 45 34 49 39 61 REFUSED 1 - 2 1 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 18 2012 2012 Favorable 35 25 Unfavorable 22 25 Hvn't hrd enough 42 48 REFUSED 1 2 10. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 36% 42% 29% 36% 38% 35% 36% 45% 32% Unfavorable 33 34 31 38 22 37 32 33 34 Hvn't hrd enough 29 21 37 22 39 25 28 20 31 REFUSED 3 3 4 4 1 3 4 2 4 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 31% 36% 22% 35% 40% 24% 33% 12% Unfavorable 31 33 39 25 32 31 31 35 Hvn't hrd enough 36 28 38 39 26 44 33 54 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 - TREND: Is your opinion of Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 18 2012 2012 Favorable 31 28 Unfavorable 31 33 Hvn't hrd enough 36 36 REFUSED 2 2 11. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 49% 8% 90% 49% 43% 54% 42% 95% Unfavorable 46 88 9 43 53 41 53 1 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 1 4 2 3 2 3 REFUSED 3 2 1 3 2 3 3 1 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Favorable 52% 48% 49% 52% 45% 58% 43% 48% 44% Unfavorable 45 47 44 45 52 35 52 48 54 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 3 2 2 5 3 1 - REFUSED 1 3 4 1 2 2 2 2 2 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Favorable 48% 40% 33% 43% 25% 46% 40% 56% Unfavorable 48 55 62 50 71 48 58 39 Hvn't hrd enough 3 2 1 5 1 3 1 1 REFUSED 1 4 3 2 2 3 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 May 22 Feb 15 Jan 30 2012 2012 2011 2011 2008 2012 2007 Favorable 49 48 42 47 44 49 35 Unfavorable 46 47 52 46 38 46 12 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 3 4 16 2 52 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 3 3 1 12. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 29% 40% 31% 20% 34% 24% 27% 41% Less 22 18 18 27 17 26 23 13 About the same 49 42 52 52 48 50 49 46 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................... Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Sep 28 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 More 29 29 26 25 25 31 Less 22 22 22 23 23 23 About the same 49 49 51 51 51 46 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 - 13. If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Brown 48% 11% 88% 48% 45% 51% 44% 79% Mandel 35 79 3 25 42 29 40 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 3 2 5 DK/NA 14 8 8 23 9 18 14 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Brown 50% 48% 47% 50% 49% 54% 44% 48% 47% Mandel 38 33 32 36 38 27 40 34 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 4 3 1 3 1 3 - DK/NA 11 15 17 10 12 16 15 15 8 Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt Brown 47% 52% 51% 32% 46% 48% Mandel 35 35 29 44 36 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 4 2 1 DK/NA 14 10 16 18 16 18 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Josh Mandel the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......................... Feb 15 Jan 19 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jul 21 May 19 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Brown 48 47 49 49 49 45 Mandel 35 32 34 36 34 31 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 1 DK/NA 14 18 14 13 14 21 14. Is your opinion of - Sherrod Brown favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 41% 15% 72% 39% 41% 41% 38% 58% Unfavorable 26 52 5 25 31 23 30 5 Hvn't hrd enough 31 32 21 35 27 33 30 35 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 1 3 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Sherrod Brown favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 19 2012 2012 Favorable 41 42 Unfavorable 26 26 Hvn't hrd enough 31 30 REFUSED 2 2 15. Is your opinion of - Josh Mandel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 16% 35% 4% 13% 21% 13% 18% 4% Unfavorable 12 2 27 9 14 10 11 14 Hvn't hrd enough 71 63 69 76 65 76 69 82 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Josh Mandel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 19 2012 2012 Favorable 16 17 Unfavorable 12 13 Hvn't hrd enough 71 69 REFUSED 1 1 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 23% 75% 45% 46% 48% 45% 60% Disapprove 34 59 9 33 38 30 37 16 DK/NA 19 19 15 22 16 21 18 24 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. APPROVE....... High Low Feb 15 Jan 19 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jul 21 Sep 28 Jul 07 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011* 2009 Approve 47 47 50 52 49 52 41 Disapprove 34 34 30 31 30 31 29 DK/NA 19 19 20 18 21 18 30 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 8% 85% 47% 41% 51% 41% 85% Disapprove 48 89 12 46 56 42 54 5 DK/NA 5 3 3 7 3 7 5 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. APPROVE....... High Low Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Feb 06 Dec 08 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2009 2011 Approve 47 44 41 44 43 67 41 Disapprove 48 51 55 50 51 16 55 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 17 4 22. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 47% 7% 87% 46% 42% 51% 40% 94% No/Does not 48 90 7 47 54 42 54 2 DK/NA 5 2 5 7 4 6 6 5 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. DESERVES...... High Low Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 Oct 26 Jan 20 Dec 08 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 47 45 42 46 44 48 42 No/Does not 48 51 53 48 49 44 53 DK/NA 5 5 5 6 7 8 5 23. Do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 46% 16% 76% 47% 45% 47% 42% 68% No/Does not 34 65 8 30 40 29 38 15 DK/NA 20 20 16 23 15 24 20 18 TREND: Do you feel that Sherrod Brown deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election", *Low 45% also Jan 2011) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................................. DESERVES...... High Low Feb 15 Jan 19 Oct 26 Sep 28 Jul 21 Sep 28 Mar 24 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011* Yes/Deserves 46 48 48 50 47 50 45 No/Does not 34 33 31 34 33 34 30 DK/NA 20 19 20 16 20 16 25 24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 45% 6% 85% 43% 42% 47% 39% 86% Romney 46 87 9 44 51 41 51 9 DK/NA 9 7 6 12 7 12 10 5 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 46% 45% 45% 48% 41% 54% 38% 46% 42% Romney 46 45 43 45 52 37 48 49 53 DK/NA 8 10 12 7 8 9 14 6 5 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 42% 37% 31% 39% 23% 42% 38% 54% Romney 50 52 60 52 69 49 57 37 DK/NA 8 11 9 10 8 9 6 9 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......... Feb 15 Jan 18 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2012 2011 2011 Obama 45 42 39 43 Romney 46 48 47 45 DK/NA 9 10 13 12 25. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 49% 8% 89% 50% 45% 52% 43% 90% Gingrich 42 84 5 38 48 36 47 4 DK/NA 9 7 7 13 7 12 10 6 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 52% 48% 48% 51% 47% 56% 42% 52% 41% Gingrich 41 42 41 41 45 32 44 44 52 DK/NA 7 11 11 8 8 12 14 5 6 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 48% 40% 36% 41% 25% 47% 42% 57% Gingrich 45 48 55 48 67 43 50 34 DK/NA 7 12 9 11 8 10 8 10 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS.. Feb 15 Dec 08 Nov 10 2012 2011 2011 Obama 49 41 49 Gingrich 42 48 39 DK/NA 9 11 11 26. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Obama 45% 6% 84% 43% 45% 46% 39% 84% Santorum 43 86 6 41 46 40 49 4 DK/NA 12 8 10 16 9 14 12 12 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Obama 47% 45% 50% 42% 40% 49% 40% 47% 44% Santorum 42 43 37 47 52 39 42 44 48 DK/NA 11 12 13 11 8 11 18 9 7 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Obama 43% 37% 33% 37% 25% 41% 40% 50% Santorum 45 50 58 47 67 45 49 40 DK/NA 11 13 9 16 8 13 12 10 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Rick Santorum? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 Jan 18 2012 2012 Obama 45 46 Santorum 43 39 DK/NA 12 14 27. Do you think - Mitt Romney is too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too conservative 20% 4% 38% 19% 20% 21% 19% 28% Not con enough 28 48 14 23 35 22 29 20 About right 37 41 30 41 36 38 38 25 DK/NA 15 6 18 17 10 18 13 27 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Too conservative 25% 18% 22% 22% 14% 23% 16% 21% 22% Not con enough 27 29 26 31 29 25 34 28 29 About right 40 36 38 35 39 35 34 40 43 DK/NA 9 17 14 13 18 18 16 12 5 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Too conservative 24% 17% 15% 14% 12% 17% 14% 25% Not con enough 27 31 35 29 41 26 33 28 About right 41 37 37 44 38 44 40 34 DK/NA 8 16 12 13 10 13 12 13 28. Do you think - Newt Gingrich is too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too conservative 29% 9% 46% 35% 32% 27% 29% 29% Not con enough 17 23 13 16 17 18 17 23 About right 36 59 19 33 40 32 38 20 DK/NA 17 9 22 17 11 22 16 29 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Too conservative 39% 25% 31% 33% 20% 28% 23% 36% 36% Not con enough 16 18 16 18 17 17 20 17 16 About right 33 37 38 33 38 31 38 35 43 DK/NA 11 20 15 15 25 23 19 12 5 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Too conservative 40% 24% 22% 28% 15% 30% 30% 33% Not con enough 15 17 17 18 20 16 16 19 About right 35 40 43 39 51 37 40 30 DK/NA 11 19 18 15 14 16 15 18 29. Do you think - Rick Santorum is too conservative, not conservative enough, or about right? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Too conservative 28% 10% 46% 31% 32% 25% 28% 24% Not con enough 5 7 4 3 6 4 4 8 About right 47 74 26 44 48 47 48 40 DK/NA 19 9 24 22 14 25 19 28 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Too conservative 43% 22% 27% 30% 27% 24% 24% 31% 41% Not con enough 2 6 5 5 4 6 5 3 4 About right 45 49 44 49 53 43 52 48 46 DK/NA 10 24 24 15 16 27 20 17 9 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Too conservative 43% 21% 21% 29% 15% 29% 29% 34% Not con enough 2 6 6 3 6 5 7 5 About right 44 50 54 51 62 48 50 43 DK/NA 10 24 20 17 17 18 13 18 30. If you had to choose, which type of experience do you think would better help a candidate serve effectively as president; someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk DC experience 44% 38% 59% 36% 42% 47% 42% 65% DC outsider 46 53 29 57 51 43 50 24 DK/NA 9 9 12 6 8 10 9 11 31. Would you describe - Mitt Romney as someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Has DC experience 38% 32% 37% 40% 38% 37% 37% 43% Is DC outsider 48 57 46 46 53 43 50 32 DK/NA 15 11 17 13 8 20 13 25 32. Would you describe - Newt Gingrich as someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Has DC experience 80% 90% 71% 82% 86% 76% 83% 61% Is DC outsider 9 4 15 8 9 9 7 23 DK/NA 11 6 13 10 5 15 10 17 33. Would you describe - Rick Santorum as someone who has experience in Washington or someone who is a Washington outsider? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Has DC experience 39% 41% 37% 40% 47% 32% 42% 22% Is DC outsider 36 43 35 32 38 34 34 48 DK/NA 25 15 28 28 15 34 24 30 34. Would you say that - Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 58% 22% 94% 59% 56% 61% 53% 94% No 39 75 5 38 41 37 44 3 DK/NA 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 2 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 60% 57% 63% 58% 49% 64% 57% 61% 52% No 39 39 35 40 46 34 40 39 46 DK/NA 1 3 2 2 5 2 3 1 1 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Yes 57% 51% 45% 53% 38% 57% 48% 65% No 42 45 53 44 60 40 49 33 DK/NA - 4 2 3 2 3 4 3 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 15 May 1 2012 2008 Yes 58 63 No 39 29 DK/NA 3 8 35. Would you say that - Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 40% 68% 17% 40% 44% 37% 43% 17% No 48 25 69 49 48 49 46 62 DK/NA 11 7 14 11 8 14 10 21 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 44% 38% 41% 37% 43% 31% 44% 44% 47% No 51 47 45 54 46 53 45 50 48 DK/NA 5 14 14 8 12 16 11 6 5 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Yes 46% 42% 47% 49% 52% 45% 42% 38% No 49 45 44 44 36 47 50 55 DK/NA 5 13 9 7 11 8 8 8 36. Would you say that - Newt Gingrich cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 37% 67% 14% 36% 42% 33% 41% 12% No 53 25 74 55 50 55 50 73 DK/NA 10 8 12 9 8 12 10 15 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 40% 36% 38% 35% 40% 29% 37% 41% 46% No 55 52 50 57 49 56 52 54 51 DK/NA 5 12 12 8 11 15 12 5 3 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Yes 41% 40% 48% 42% 52% 40% 40% 31% No 54 48 44 49 38 51 53 61 DK/NA 5 12 9 9 10 9 8 7 37. Would you say that - Rick Santorum cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? (* Subgroup size less than 75, additional caution should be taken when interpreting findings of this group because of the large margin of error) ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk * Yes 53% 80% 32% 50% 56% 50% 56% 31% No 29 10 45 30 31 27 26 46 DK/NA 18 9 23 19 13 23 18 23 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Yes 57% 51% 49% 57% 54% 45% 56% 55% 62% No 32 28 31 28 25 30 25 34 30 DK/NA 11 22 19 15 21 25 18 11 8 WHITE................................... COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEvngl Mltry Union Yes No Prot Cath Yes No HsHld HsHld Yes 58% 55% 65% 59% 70% 56% 49% 47% No 32 23 21 24 16 26 34 36 DK/NA 10 21 14 17 14 18 17 17 Demographic Summary
