December 11, 2012 - Ohio Voters Give Gov. Kasich First Positive Score, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But There Is Little Support For Four More Years Word format Watch Video: Assistant Director Tim Malloy discusses poll results Clip Information and Download: FLV File - For Website (1920x1080 / 23.0 MB) Original .MP4 File - For Broadcast (1920x1080 / 149.5MB) Ohio Gov. John Kasich has a 42 - 35 percent job approval, the first time since his inauguration in 2011 that registered voters have given him a thumbs-up rating, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Gov. Kasich seems to be benefitting from high levels of satisfaction among Ohio voters with life in the Buckeye State. But the governor does not deserve a second term, voters tell the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll by an almost identical 43 - 36 percent margin. All voters say 44 - 37 percent that another Republican should challenge the governor for the 2014 nomination. By 45 - 41 percent, self-described Republicans say no other Republican should challenge Kasich. By a 40 - 34 percent margin, Ohio voters have a favorable opinion of Kasich, while 24 percent haven't heard enough about him to form an opinion. Former Gov. Ted Strickland gets a 41 - 29 percent favorability, with 29 percent who haven't heard enough. Among other possible 2014 candidates for governor, Richard Cordray of the U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Cuyahoga County Executive Ed Fitzgerald and U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan, the "don't know enough" scores range from 70 percent to 84 percent. "Things are looking better for Gov. John Kasich," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "But it is not all blue skies as Gov. Kasich enters the last half of his term. His job approval rating is positive for the first time among registered voters, although he started getting positive scores in Quinnipiac University surveys of likely voters during the presidential race." "Ohio Gov. John Kasich still has work to do to convince voters that he deserves a second term, and there is significant support for a primary challenge to him. One in five voters are not sure whether they want him around for another four years," Brown added. "Former Gov. Ted Strickland is by far the best known of the potential Democratic candidates for governor, while the other potential contenders are less well-known, in some cases almost invisible, to voters statewide." Approval of the governor is 71 - 12 percent among Republicans and 39 - 34 percent among independent voters, while Democrats give him a thumbs down 57 - 21 percent. The gender gap is small, with men approving 44 - 37 percent and women agreeing 39 - 33 percent. Kasich's approval rating previously peaked at 42 - 42 percent in March, 2012, and hit its low point with a negative 30 - 46 percent in March, 2011. Perhaps helping Kasich is the fact that a total of 58 percent of Ohio voters are very satisfied or somewhat satisfied with the way things are going in the state, the highest satisfaction ever measured in Ohio. Satisfaction has doubled since October, 2011, when only 29 percent of Ohioans said they were very or somewhat satisfied with the way things were going in the state. "An improved voter mood in Ohio portends well for the governor's political future. Historically, satisfied voters tend to credit incumbents and provide a positive environment for those seeking re-election," said Brown. President Barack Obama, who carried the state last month in his re-election bid, also enjoys popular support in the Buckeye State. He has a 54 - 42 job approval rating, below his all- time high of 67 - 16 percent in February of 2009, but well above his ratings the past two years that have generally been in the 40s. The Ohio economy is getting better, 42 percent of voters say, while 19 percent say it's worse and 38 percent say it's unchanged. Among those who say the state economy is better, 61 percent say Kasich deserves a lot or some of the credit and 58 percent say Obama deserves a lot or some of the credit. From December 4 - 9, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,165 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 42% 71% 21% 39% 44% 39% 44% 27% Disapprove 35 12 57 34 37 33 34 44 DK/NA 23 17 21 27 19 27 22 29 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 47% 40% 38% 41% 50% 31% 38% 42% 52% Disapprove 40 34 33 41 37 26 35 41 32 DK/NA 13 27 29 17 13 42 27 16 17 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? (*High also 42% Mar 2012, **Low also 30% Jan 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Dec 11 Jun 27 May 09 Mar 28 Feb 14 Dec 11 Mar 23 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012* 2011** Approve 42 40 41 42 40 42 30 Disapprove 35 44 44 42 46 35 46 DK/NA 23 16 15 16 14 23 23 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 54% 12% 92% 51% 50% 58% 48% 95% Disapprove 42 85 7 43 46 38 47 5 DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 4 5 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 58% 52% 59% 55% 47% 66% 50% 57% 45% Disapprove 40 43 36 40 51 30 42 41 51 DK/NA 2 5 4 6 1 4 8 2 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Dec 11 Jun 27 May 10 May 03 Mar 28 Feb 06 Dec 08 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2009 2011 Approve 54 48 49 48 47 67 41 Disapprove 42 46 48 47 49 16 55 DK/NA 4 5 2 5 5 17 4 6. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 40% 67% 19% 41% 42% 39% 42% 29% Unfavorable 34 13 56 32 36 32 33 36 Hvn't hrd enough 24 18 24 24 20 28 23 32 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 45% 39% 35% 44% 49% 31% 40% 41% 45% Unfavorable 41 31 31 38 40 29 34 40 28 Hvn't hrd enough 11 29 33 16 9 38 25 17 25 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 11 Jun 29 Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Dec 11 Dec 10 2012 2010 2010 2010 2010 2012 2008 Favorable 40 28 27 24 26 40 18 Unfavorable 34 19 10 10 10 34 8 Hvn't hrd enough 24 52 62 64 62 24 73 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 7. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 56% 13% 93% 56% 52% 60% 50% 95% Unfavorable 41 86 6 40 45 37 47 4 Hvn't hrd enough 1 - 1 1 1 2 2 - REFUSED 2 1 - 3 2 1 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 58% 55% 61% 56% 49% 71% 52% 57% 47% Unfavorable 40 42 35 40 49 28 43 41 49 Hvn't hrd enough 2 1 2 - 1 - 2 1 2 REFUSED - 2 2 3 1 1 3 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 11 Jun 27 May 10 May 03 Mar 28 Dec 11 Jan 30 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2007 Favorable 56 50 48 46 49 56 35 Unfavorable 41 44 47 45 46 41 12 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 5 2 1 52 REFUSED 2 3 2 5 2 2 1 8. Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 19% 18% 22% 18% 21% 17% 20% 13% Unfavorable 11 10 11 11 12 9 10 12 Hvn't hrd enough 70 71 67 70 66 73 68 76 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 27% 16% 15% 23% 28% 9% 17% 23% 21% Unfavorable 15 9 9 14 11 10 10 13 8 Hvn't hrd enough 57 74 76 62 60 82 72 63 70 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Dec 11 Aug 14 2012 2008 Favorable 19 19 Unfavorable 11 4 Hvn't hrd enough 70 74 REFUSED 1 3 9. Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 41% 21% 61% 38% 43% 40% 40% 48% Unfavorable 29 49 14 29 31 26 31 14 Hvn't hrd enough 29 29 25 30 25 32 27 37 REFUSED 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 46% 39% 40% 44% 44% 37% 32% 47% 43% Unfavorable 34 27 23 33 39 15 31 33 27 Hvn't hrd enough 18 33 36 22 16 46 36 18 27 REFUSED 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Dec 11 Jun 29 Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 23 Feb 5 Nov 11 2012 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2009 Favorable 41 42 45 46 45 60 38 Unfavorable 29 37 32 35 36 19 37 Hvn't hrd enough 29 19 20 16 16 17 23 REFUSED 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 10. Is your opinion of Ed Fitzgerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 10% 5% 14% 9% 12% 8% 9% 19% Unfavorable 5 5 2 7 6 3 4 7 Hvn't hrd enough 84 88 82 82 81 88 85 75 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 11% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 11% 9% 11% Unfavorable 5 4 6 4 4 7 5 4 3 Hvn't hrd enough 81 85 83 85 85 85 82 86 83 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 - 2 1 2 11. Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 15% 13% 16% 15% 18% 13% 15% 16% Unfavorable 10 6 14 10 10 10 9 16 Hvn't hrd enough 74 80 70 73 72 75 74 67 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Favorable 16% 15% 16% 15% 18% 16% 11% 16% 18% Unfavorable 12 9 10 11 8 10 8 12 9 Hvn't hrd enough 71 74 72 73 74 72 80 71 71 REFUSED 1 1 2 2 - 2 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Dec 11 Mar 18 Feb 4 2012 2009 2009 Favorable 15 13 12 Unfavorable 10 4 3 Hvn't hrd enough 74 82 84 REFUSED 1 1 1 12. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very satisfied 6% 8% 6% 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% Smwht satisfied 52 56 53 48 53 52 51 56 Smwht dissatisfied 27 23 28 32 26 29 28 28 Very dissatisfied 14 12 11 15 15 12 14 6 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Very satisfied 6% 6% 5% 8% 7% 5% 4% 5% 9% Smwht satisfied 55 51 50 54 55 62 44 50 57 Smwht dissatisfied 28 27 29 25 27 24 29 31 22 Very dissatisfied 10 15 16 11 10 7 22 13 10 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - 2 1 - 2 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Ohio today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 29% Mar 2011) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Dec 11 May 09 Feb 14 Jan 19 Oct 25 Dec 11 Oct 25 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011* Very satisfied 6 4 3 4 3 6 3 Smwht satisfied 52 47 40 37 26 52 26 Smwht dissatisfied 27 31 36 36 34 27 34 Very dissatisfied 14 17 20 22 37 14 37 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13. Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 36% 67% 15% 33% 40% 32% 38% 24% No/Does not 43 19 66 42 43 43 42 52 DK/NA 21 15 19 25 17 25 20 25 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes/Deserves 41% 34% 30% 41% 42% 26% 33% 38% 45% No/Does not 43 43 44 45 41 44 41 47 37 DK/NA 16 23 25 14 17 30 26 15 19 14. Do you think that some other Republican should run against John Kasich for the Republican nomination or don't you think so? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Republican shld run 44% 41% 39% 52% 46% 42% 44% 44% Don't think so 37 45 40 28 38 36 38 31 DK/NA 19 14 21 20 16 22 18 25 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Republican shld run 42% 45% 43% 50% 42% 53% 50% 44% 29% Don't think so 41 35 36 34 44 30 29 40 47 DK/NA 17 20 21 15 15 17 22 16 24 15. Regardless of how you feel about John Kasich's policies, would you say you like or don't like John Kasich as a person? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Like 43% 63% 28% 44% 48% 39% 45% 30% Don't like 19 6 33 17 19 19 19 19 DK/NA 38 32 38 40 33 42 36 51 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Like 44% 43% 40% 43% 52% 35% 42% 45% 47% Don't like 21 18 19 21 18 19 18 21 17 DK/NA 35 39 41 36 30 46 41 34 36 TREND: Regardless of how you feel about John Kasich's policies, would you say you like or don't like John Kasich as a person? Dec 11 Jan 19 2012 2012 Like 43 41 Don't Like 19 29 DK/NA 38 30 16. And regardless of how you feel about John Kasich as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of John Kasich's policies? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Like 38% 69% 17% 35% 41% 36% 41% 17% Don't like 43 16 67 42 44 41 40 60 DK/NA 19 15 16 23 15 23 19 23 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Like 43% 36% 33% 42% 48% 23% 37% 39% 49% Don't like 47 41 44 46 43 41 44 48 33 DK/NA 10 23 24 12 9 36 19 13 18 TREND: And regardless of how you feel about John Kasich as a person, would you say you like or don't like most of John Kasich's policies? Dec 11 Jan 19 2012 2012 Like 38 35 Don't Like 43 50 DK/NA 19 15 17. Do you think Ohio's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Better 42% 43% 48% 36% 45% 39% 41% 55% Worse 19 19 16 20 17 20 19 17 The same 38 37 35 41 36 39 38 28 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Better 55% 37% 34% 45% 60% 34% 34% 46% 51% Worse 12 21 23 12 11 19 25 19 11 The same 31 40 42 40 28 47 38 35 36 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 1 - 3 1 2 18a. (If economy better q17) How much credit, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this; a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all? ECONOMY BETTER Q17 Tot Men Wom A lot 31% 30% 32% Some 27 26 28 A little 13 15 12 None at all 28 29 28 DK/NA - - - 18b. (If economy better q17) How much credit, if any, do you think the Kasich administration should receive for this; a lot of credit, some, a little or none at all? ECONOMY BETTER Q17 Tot Men Wom A lot 23% 22% 25% Some 38 40 35 A little 27 29 25 None at all 10 8 12 DK/NA 2 1 3 19a. (If economy worse q17) How much blame, if any, do you think the Obama administration should receive for this; a lot of blame, some, a little or none at all? ECONOMY WORSE Q17 Tot Men Wom A lot 42% 47% 38% Some 28 30 26 A little 12 12 12 None at all 17 11 21 DK/NA 1 - 2 19b. (If economy worse q17) How much blame, if any, do you think the Kasich administration should receive for this; a lot of blame, some, a little or none at all? ECONOMY WORSE Q17 Tot Men Wom A lot 28% 28% 28% Some 36 40 33 A little 22 24 20 None at all 8 3 13 DK/NA 5 5 5 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 40% 65% 19% 38% 46% 34% 42% 27% Disapprove 40 18 59 39 37 42 38 52 DK/NA 21 17 21 22 17 24 20 21 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 46% 38% 33% 41% 54% 32% 35% 44% 43% Disapprove 41 39 42 41 36 42 46 40 29 DK/NA 13 23 25 17 10 26 18 17 28 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget? APPROVE....... High Low Dec 11 May 09 Jan 19 Oct 25 Sep 27 Dec 11 Mar 23 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2012 2011 Approve 40 37 33 34 35 40 31 Disapprove 40 49 53 55 53 40 51 DK/NA 21 14 13 11 12 21 18 21. Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Fair 44% 65% 31% 39% 48% 39% 47% 24% Unfair 41 23 53 44 40 42 38 62 DK/NA 15 12 16 16 12 18 15 14 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Fair 53% 40% 34% 50% 60% 40% 39% 46% 48% Unfair 33 44 49 37 30 41 48 43 31 DK/NA 15 15 17 13 10 19 14 11 21 Demographic Summary
