February 28, 2013 - Ohio Gov Kasich Hits All-Time Ratings High, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; He Leads Dem Challengers In Early Look At 2014 Race Word format PDF format Ohio Gov. John Kasich's job approval is at an all-time high 53 - 32 percent, the first time in two years that he tops 50 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 42 - 35 percent approval rating for Gov. Kasich in a December 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, the first time the governor had a positive score. In an early look at the 2014 reelection race, Gov. Kasich holds 6-point to 10-point leads against each of the four potential contenders for the Democratic nomination to run against him: 45 - 35 percent over Cuyahoga County Executive Ed Fitzgerald; 44 - 38 percent over U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director Richard Cordray; 44 - 36 percent over U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan; 45 - 38 percent over former U.S. Rep. Betty Sutton. "What a difference a few months make," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Not that long ago, Democrats were licking their lips at the prospect of taking on an unpopular governor who had a disapproval rating in the 50s. Now his job disapproval rating is just 32 percent and his chances of re-election appear to be much better than they were thought to be as recently as December. "The good news for the Democrats is that Kasich does not get 50 percent of the votes against any of the four potential candidates. But he does have consistently good numbers on a number of measurements that indicate strength in the electorate.. Kasich has a 48 percent favorable, 32 percent unfavorable rating from Ohio voters. The number of voters who don't know enough about each of his possible challengers to form an opinion ranges from 62 percent to 80 percent. "Obviously the governor has a substantial edge when it comes to name identification with the voters compared to his potential challengers," said Brown. Ohio voters say 46 - 36 percent that Kasich deserves reelection. Supporting reelection are 81 percent of Republicans, 47 percent of independent voters and 17 percent of Democrats. "Voter approval of how Kasich is handling the state budget also has improved, from a split 40 - 40 percent in December to a positive 45 - 39 percent today," said Brown. "By 51 - 30 percent, voters say Kasich has kept his campaign promises, another positive for the governor. When Kasich assumed office, he followed a strategy of taking the political pain early in his administration in hopes that would solve problems and lead to better days down the road. We're halfway down that road now and that strategy appears to have been successful so far." Ohio's U.S. senators, Sherrod Brown and Rob Portman both get positive reviews from voters. Portman gets a 44 - 24 percent job approval rating, while Brown gets a 51 - 33 percent score. From February 21 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,011 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information or RSS feed, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Ed Fitzgerald the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Fitzgerald 35% 5% 75% 25% 32% 37% 31% 67% Kasich 45 86 10 46 49 41 49 15 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 2 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 4 2 2 2 3 DK/NA 17 8 14 25 15 19 17 15 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Fitzgerald 39% 28% 25% 33% 28% 33% Kasich 44 52 58 48 53 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 2 2 DK/NA 14 18 15 18 15 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Fitzgerald 42% 33% 38% 35% 34% 36% 37% 34% Kasich 42 46 43 50 48 37 49 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - - 2 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 4 1 2 5 1 2 DK/NA 14 18 16 14 13 21 12 17 2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Cordray the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Cordray 38% 5% 78% 30% 33% 42% 33% 76% Kasich 44 85 11 42 48 40 49 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 4 3 2 2 4 DK/NA 16 8 10 24 15 16 16 9 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Cordray 42% 29% 28% 33% 29% 36% Kasich 43 51 57 49 52 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 3 1 DK/NA 13 17 14 17 15 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Cordray 46% 35% 41% 34% 42% 42% 38% 36% Kasich 40 45 40 51 46 32 49 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 2 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 1 - 5 1 2 DK/NA 13 17 15 14 10 21 11 15 3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tim Ryan the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Ryan 36% 7% 75% 27% 33% 39% 32% 72% Kasich 44 84 10 44 48 40 49 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 4 3 2 2 4 DK/NA 17 8 13 25 15 19 17 12 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Ryan 39% 29% 28% 31% 30% 34% Kasich 43 51 56 48 52 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 16 17 14 20 14 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Ryan 41% 35% 40% 34% 37% 40% 37% 35% Kasich 41 45 42 49 46 36 46 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 1 4 2 2 DK/NA 15 17 15 15 14 20 14 15 4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Betty Sutton the Democrat and John Kasich the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Sutton 38% 7% 78% 28% 33% 41% 33% 74% Kasich 45 85 10 46 50 41 50 13 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 2 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 4 1 2 3 DK/NA 14 7 10 21 11 16 14 9 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Sutton 37% 31% 26% 34% 28% 37% Kasich 46 51 59 50 55 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 4 1 DK/NA 14 14 13 15 12 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Sutton 40% 37% 42% 35% 38% 43% 38% 36% Kasich 44 46 43 50 49 37 48 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 2 4 2 2 DK/NA 13 14 12 12 10 15 11 13 5. Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 48% 82% 17% 50% 51% 44% 51% 23% Unfavorable 32 6 61 28 32 33 31 48 Hvn't hrd enough 17 11 20 18 15 19 16 26 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 2 4 2 3 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 49% 52% 56% 54% 54% 49% Unfavorable 42 26 26 31 29 32 Hvn't hrd enough 8 19 15 12 15 17 REFUSED 1 3 3 3 2 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 48% 48% 43% 55% 52% 36% 48% 53% Unfavorable 42 29 30 35 42 31 34 32 Hvn't hrd enough 9 20 25 9 5 31 16 10 REFUSED 2 3 2 2 1 1 1 4 TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Feb 28 Dec 11 Jun 29 Apr 29 Mar 31 Feb 28 Dec 10 2013 2012 2010 2010 2010 2013 2008 Favorable 48 40 28 27 24 48 18 Unfavorable 32 34 19 10 10 32 8 Hvn't hrd enough 17 24 52 62 64 17 73 REFUSED 3 2 1 1 1 3 1 7. Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 25% 13% 40% 25% 26% 25% 24% 38% Unfavorable 11 17 2 14 15 8 12 6 Hvn't hrd enough 62 68 58 58 57 66 62 56 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 37% 19% 20% 26% 25% 24% Unfavorable 14 11 12 14 15 9 Hvn't hrd enough 48 68 66 58 58 66 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 38% 21% 22% 27% 39% 21% 26% 26% Unfavorable 13 11 8 18 15 5 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 47 67 69 54 46 73 59 59 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 - 1 2 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 28 Dec 11 Aug 14 2013 2012 2008 Favorable 25 19 19 Unfavorable 11 11 4 Hvn't hrd enough 62 70 74 REFUSED 2 1 3 8. Is your opinion of Ed Fitzgerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 13% 8% 21% 12% 15% 12% 14% 11% Unfavorable 5 9 1 6 7 4 5 3 Hvn't hrd enough 80 82 78 81 77 83 80 86 REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 2 1 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 20% 11% 10% 16% 15% 13% Unfavorable 6 5 4 10 7 3 Hvn't hrd enough 74 82 85 73 76 83 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 19% 11% 11% 17% 17% 10% 15% 14% Unfavorable 6 5 3 5 9 4 7 5 Hvn't hrd enough 73 82 84 77 73 84 77 80 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Ed Fitzgerald favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 28 Dec 11 2013 2012 Favorable 13 10 Unfavorable 5 5 Hvn't hrd enough 80 84 REFUSED 1 1 9. Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 16% 13% 23% 12% 19% 14% 17% 18% Unfavorable 10 10 5 14 11 9 9 10 Hvn't hrd enough 72 75 71 71 68 76 72 72 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 19% 16% 17% 17% 19% 14% Unfavorable 10 9 10 12 10 9 Hvn't hrd enough 72 73 72 70 69 76 REFUSED - 3 2 1 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 18% 15% 17% 16% 19% 13% 14% 20% Unfavorable 10 10 8 8 13 10 8 11 Hvn't hrd enough 71 72 73 74 68 74 76 67 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 - 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Feb 28 Dec 11 Mar 18 Feb 4 2013 2012 2009 2009 Favorable 16 15 13 12 Unfavorable 10 10 4 3 Hvn't hrd enough 72 74 82 84 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 10. Is your opinion of Betty Sutton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 19% 6% 33% 16% 21% 17% 16% 34% Unfavorable 12 21 2 13 15 8 13 - Hvn't hrd enough 69 71 64 70 64 74 70 66 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 - WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Favorable 21% 15% 12% 17% 17% 16% Unfavorable 14 12 13 14 17 9 Hvn't hrd enough 64 72 74 67 65 74 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 21% 18% 20% 24% 16% 14% 22% 19% Unfavorable 13 11 10 12 16 9 14 11 Hvn't hrd enough 65 71 70 64 66 77 63 70 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 11. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 53% 85% 25% 56% 58% 49% 57% 30% Disapprove 32 5 59 30 33 32 31 43 DK/NA 14 10 16 14 9 19 12 27 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 51% 59% 60% 58% 62% 53% Disapprove 41 27 27 31 30 32 DK/NA 7 14 13 11 8 16 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 50% 55% 52% 56% 55% 52% 53% 55% Disapprove 42 29 29 35 41 31 36 31 DK/NA 8 17 19 9 4 16 11 14 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as Governor? (*Low also 30% Jan 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Feb 28 Dec 11 Jun 27 May 09 Mar 28 Feb 28 Mar 23 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2011* Approve 53 42 40 41 42 53 30 Disapprove 32 35 44 44 42 32 46 DK/NA 14 23 16 15 16 14 23 12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 39% 59% 24% 38% 44% 35% 41% 27% Disapprove 42 22 57 43 43 41 41 49 DK/NA 19 19 19 19 14 24 18 24 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 40% 41% 42% 46% 45% 37% Disapprove 47 38 38 39 41 41 DK/NA 14 20 21 15 14 22 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 38% 39% 36% 46% 47% 37% 42% 38% Disapprove 49 39 41 41 46 45 41 42 DK/NA 13 22 23 13 7 18 17 20 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 28 Dec 12 May 09 Feb 14 Jan 19 Dec 10 Dec 12 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2008 2006 Approve 39 39 33 35 32 46 25 Disapprove 42 38 47 48 49 35 55 DK/NA 19 23 20 18 19 19 20 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 44% 63% 26% 47% 48% 40% 46% 26% Disapprove 24 8 36 23 26 22 24 24 DK/NA 33 29 37 30 26 38 30 50 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 44% 46% 46% 47% 50% 42% Disapprove 32 21 24 20 26 23 DK/NA 24 33 30 32 24 36 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 43% 44% 42% 44% 53% 41% 45% 45% Disapprove 32 21 22 27 24 18 25 26 DK/NA 25 35 36 29 23 41 30 29 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE...... High Low Feb 28 Dec 12 May 10 Feb 14 Jan 19 Feb 28 Mar 24 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2011 Approve 44 42 38 42 39 44 30 Disapprove 24 27 23 25 25 24 25 DK/NA 33 31 39 34 36 33 45 14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 51% 26% 77% 49% 51% 50% 48% 74% Disapprove 33 54 10 35 38 29 37 11 DK/NA 16 20 13 16 11 21 16 15 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 56% 45% 41% 52% 46% 49% Disapprove 36 37 41 36 42 32 DK/NA 8 19 18 12 12 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 56% 49% 53% 50% 57% 56% 51% 48% Disapprove 36 32 29 37 39 22 35 38 DK/NA 8 19 18 13 4 23 13 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Feb 28 Dec 12 May 10 Feb 15 Jan 19 Dec 11 Jul 07 2013 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012* 2009 Approve 51 52 46 47 47 52 41 Disapprove 33 35 33 34 34 35 29 DK/NA 16 13 21 19 19 13 30 16. Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 46% 81% 17% 47% 49% 43% 49% 23% No/Does not 36 7 64 33 37 35 34 53 DK/NA 18 12 19 19 14 22 17 24 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes/Deserves 44% 51% 54% 51% 52% 46% No/Does not 45 30 29 37 34 34 DK/NA 11 19 17 12 14 19 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Deserves 43% 47% 46% 47% 49% 37% 47% 50% No/Does not 46 33 33 40 45 36 39 34 DK/NA 11 21 22 12 6 27 14 16 TREND: Do you feel that John Kasich deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Feb 28 Dec 11 2013 2012 Yes/Deserves 46 36 No/Does not 36 43 DK/NA 18 21 17. Do you think that John Kasich has kept his campaign promises so far or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 51% 79% 32% 50% 58% 45% 54% 34% No 30 10 47 30 30 30 29 42 DK/NA 19 11 21 20 12 24 18 24 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes 59% 52% 56% 60% 61% 47% No 26 30 27 25 27 31 DK/NA 14 19 17 15 12 22 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 58% 49% 46% 58% 61% 40% 56% 54% No 27 31 32 31 30 33 32 28 DK/NA 15 20 22 12 9 27 12 17 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 45% 75% 22% 44% 50% 41% 48% 29% Disapprove 39 13 63 38 41 38 38 47 DK/NA 15 12 15 17 9 21 14 24 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Approve 47% 48% 50% 55% 53% 43% Disapprove 45 36 34 31 37 40 DK/NA 8 16 16 14 10 17 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 46% 45% 43% 53% 49% 33% 47% 52% Disapprove 46 37 40 36 43 45 40 36 DK/NA 9 18 16 11 8 22 13 13 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling the state budget? APPROVE....... High Low Feb 28 Dec 11 May 09 Jan 19 Oct 25 Feb 28 Mar 23 2013 2012 2012 2012 2011 2013 2011 Approve 45 40 37 33 34 45 31 Disapprove 39 40 49 53 55 39 51 DK/NA 15 21 14 13 11 15 18 19. Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Fair 45% 71% 26% 46% 49% 42% 48% 26% Unfair 43 21 62 43 41 45 41 67 DK/NA 11 9 12 11 10 13 11 7 WHITE................................. COLLEGE DEG Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Fair 53% 45% 50% 55% 54% 42% Unfair 38 42 40 35 36 45 DK/NA 9 12 10 10 10 13 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Fair 51% 44% 40% 51% 59% 38% 46% 50% Unfair 40 44 49 42 36 52 47 37 DK/NA 9 12 11 7 5 10 8 13 TREND: Do you think the state budget is fair or unfair to people like you? Feb 28 Dec 11 2013 2012 Fair 45 44 Unfair 43 41 DK/NA 11 15 Demographic Summary
