June 26, 2013 - Obama Hits Lowest Point Ever In Ohio, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton-Christie Dead Even In Critical Swing State PDF format President Barack Obama's job approval in Ohio is a negative 40 - 57 percent, his lowest grade ever in the state and nearly matching a 39 - 57 percent low in Florida in September, 2011, his lowest grade ever in any of the nine states surveyed by Quinnipiac University, according to a poll released today. Ohio independent voters continue to move away from President Obama and now give him a 30-point negative rating, 34 - 64 percent. If the 2016 presidential election were today, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie are deadlocked 42 - 42 percent in the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey of this critical swing state. Ms. Clinton gets 47 percent to Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul's 44 percent. Both potential GOP candidates top Vice President Joseph Biden, Christie by 50 - 32 percent and Paul by 49 - 40 percent. "Ohio was the key state in both of President Barack Obama's elections and it was his strong showing among independent voters there that made the difference," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "President Obama's fortunes in the Buckeye State have turned. Since last December he has lost 10 points among Democrats and 17 points among independent voters. He has gone from a 20-point approval margin among women to a 9-point disapproval margin among female voters." Democrats approve of the president's job performance 82 - 14 percent, while Republicans disapprove 91 - 9 percent. Even women disapprove 53 - 44 percent, while men disapprove 61 - 37 percent. That compares to last December when he had a 92 - 7 percent approval among Democrats and 51 - 43 percent among independent voters while getting an 85 - 12 disapproval among Republicans. Then, he had a 50 - 46 percent approval among men and 58 - 38 among women. It is Ms. Clinton's strength among women and ability to keep her Democratic base when matched against Gov. Christie that keeps her in the presidential hunt. Clinton leads among women 47 - 36 percent and among Democrats 86 - 6 percent, which allows her to counter Christie's narrower 80 - 8 percent margin among his GOP base and 48 - 37 percent lead among men. Independent voters are divided with 41 percent for Christie and 38 percent for Clinton. Against Biden, Christie wins independent voters 53 - 25 percent, along with Republicans 85 - 4 percent, while losing Democrats 70 - 15 percent. Christie carries men 52 - 29 percent and women 48 - 34 percent. Gun Control A total of 78 percent of Ohio voters, including 70 percent of voters in households with guns, say they "somewhat" or "strongly" support a law requiring background checks for people buying guns at gun shows and online. Voters say 45 - 15 percent that Sen. Rob Portman's vote against that measure makes them think less favorably about Portman, while 38 percent say is doesn't make a difference. Sen. Sherrod Brown's vote for background checks makes them view him more favorably, voters say 43 - 16 percent, while 40 percent say it makes no difference. Portman's overall job approval rating, however, is 44 - 26 percent, compared to 40 - 31 percent in April before the gun vote. Brown has a 46 - 38 percent approval rating, compared to 47 - 38 percent in April. On another issue, voters are split 46 - 47 percent on whether the state should expand its Medicaid program to cover more people or not as part of the federal health care overhaul. From June 18 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 941 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 6. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 42% 8% 86% 38% 37% 47% Christie 42 80 6 41 48 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 - 4 5 2 DK/NA 10 5 7 14 7 13 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Clinton 36% 39% 29% 39% 33% 43% 22% 41% Christie 51 44 57 46 52 40 65 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 4 3 5 2 3 5 DK/NA 9 11 9 9 7 13 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Clinton 41% 43% 51% 39% 37% 46% 47% 40% 39% Christie 46 40 34 47 51 40 38 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 1 3 4 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 3 3 3 2 5 3 4 DK/NA 9 11 10 8 8 9 7 12 12 7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Clinton 47% 12% 87% 46% 40% 53% Paul 44 79 7 44 52 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 1 2 2 3 DK/NA 6 5 4 7 6 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Clinton 48% 40% 33% 42% 34% 49% 24% 45% Paul 44 50 55 48 58 40 65 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 5 1 2 3 3 3 DK/NA 5 6 7 8 5 6 6 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Clinton 52% 45% 56% 39% 44% 42% 55% 45% 46% Paul 40 45 35 51 46 49 41 44 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 3 1 2 1 3 3 DK/NA 5 6 5 5 8 7 2 7 8 8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Biden 32% 4% 70% 25% 29% 34% Christie 50 85 15 53 52 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 1 6 6 4 DK/NA 11 5 12 13 9 12 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Biden 27% 27% 22% 24% 24% 29% 15% 29% Christie 61 52 60 60 57 53 66 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 2 1 4 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 4 5 7 5 4 6 DK/NA 7 12 12 10 9 12 13 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Biden 32% 32% 38% 30% 28% 40% 34% 28% 30% Christie 55 48 43 55 58 47 46 53 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 1 - 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 4 4 5 3 8 4 4 DK/NA 8 12 12 8 8 10 7 12 14 9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Biden 40% 8% 80% 35% 35% 44% Paul 49 84 8 51 55 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 5 8 8 6 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Biden 40% 33% 29% 32% 29% 40% 20% 38% Paul 51 54 57 57 61 47 68 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 4 1 3 2 2 3 DK/NA 5 8 8 9 6 9 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Biden 45% 38% 47% 38% 39% 44% 41% 39% 38% Paul 46 49 41 51 56 51 51 49 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 1 - 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 1 - 1 4 3 DK/NA 6 8 8 8 3 5 5 7 14 10. Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 43% 70% 13% 43% 50% 36% Unfavorable 26 8 47 26 25 26 Hvn't hrd enough 31 22 38 30 24 37 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 2 1 11. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 48% 55% 37% 53% 50% 46% Unfavorable 16 14 19 14 18 15 Hvn't hrd enough 34 29 43 32 30 37 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 1 12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 52% 18% 86% 55% 43% 60% Unfavorable 44 80 9 43 53 36 Hvn't hrd enough 3 1 5 2 3 3 REFUSED 1 1 1 - 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? (* High also 52% May 2008) FAVORABLE..... High Low Jun 26 May 22 May 01 Apr 02 Feb 25 Jun 26 Nov 14 2013 2008 2008 2008 2008 2013* 2007 Favorable 52 52 46 47 47 52 44 Unfavorable 44 42 44 45 41 44 44 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 6 6 9 3 9 REFUSED 1 2 4 3 3 1 3 13. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 41% 12% 78% 37% 37% 43% Unfavorable 48 81 9 53 56 41 Hvn't hrd enough 10 7 12 10 6 14 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jun 26 May 10 Dec 08 Jan 30 2013 2012 2011 2007 Favorable 41 39 34 19 Unfavorable 48 39 40 19 Hvn't hrd enough 10 20 25 61 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 46% 32% 69% 41% 43% 48% Disapprove 38 52 19 41 43 33 DK/NA 16 17 12 18 14 18 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 52% 44% 48% 50% 42% 55% 42% 45% 46% Disapprove 36 39 33 37 44 28 39 42 37 DK/NA 12 17 18 13 14 17 19 13 17 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 52% May 2009, Sep 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Jun 26 Apr 19 Feb 28 Dec 12 May 10 Dec 12 Jul 07 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2012* 2009 Approve 46 47 51 52 46 52 41 Disapprove 38 38 33 35 33 35 29 DK/NA 16 15 16 13 21 13 30 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 44% 59% 33% 43% 50% 39% Disapprove 26 15 35 27 25 26 DK/NA 30 25 33 31 25 34 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 57% 40% 41% 47% 45% 44% 43% 45% 44% Disapprove 23 27 25 27 32 20 26 28 28 DK/NA 20 33 34 26 23 36 31 28 28 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator? (* High also 44% Feb 2013) APPROVE...... High Low Jun 26 Apr 19 Feb 28 Dec 12 May 10 Jun 26 Mar 24 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2013* 2011 Approve 44 40 44 42 38 44 30 Disapprove 26 31 24 27 23 26 25 DK/NA 30 29 33 31 39 30 45 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Approve 40% 9% 82% 34% 37% 44% Disapprove 57 91 14 64 61 53 DK/NA 3 1 4 2 3 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Approve 38% 33% 27% 32% 30% 38% 15% 39% Disapprove 59 65 70 66 68 60 82 59 DK/NA 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Approve 43% 39% 50% 34% 35% 50% 39% 37% 41% Disapprove 53 58 47 63 64 48 60 60 55 DK/NA 4 2 3 3 1 2 1 3 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jun 26 Apr 19 Mar 01 Dec 11 Jun 27 Feb 06 Jun 26 2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2009 2013 Approve 40 45 48 54 48 67 40 Disapprove 57 51 47 42 46 16 57 DK/NA 3 4 4 4 5 17 3 25. Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes 44% 14% 84% 38% 37% 50% No 52 82 13 58 58 46 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Yes 45% 36% 32% 40% 32% 45% 19% 46% No 52 60 65 56 65 52 76 51 DK/NA 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Yes 50% 42% 53% 38% 41% 49% 43% 42% 47% No 47 53 43 58 57 46 54 55 48 DK/NA 3 4 5 4 2 5 3 3 6 TREND: Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not? Jun 26 Nov 10 May 01 2013 2011 2008 Yes 44 57 53 No 52 37 32 DK/NA 4 5 15 35. As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Good idea 46% 24% 72% 46% 41% 50% Bad idea 47 70 22 46 51 43 DK/NA 7 6 6 9 8 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No Good idea 40% 41% 35% 37% 36% 45% 27% 41% Bad idea 54 50 56 58 56 47 63 52 DK/NA 6 8 10 6 8 8 9 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Good idea 45% 46% 57% 37% 40% 41% 42% 50% 47% Bad idea 50 46 36 58 55 55 52 43 42 DK/NA 6 8 8 5 5 4 6 7 11 TREND: As you may know Medicaid is a government program that pays for health care for low-income people and others with certain disabilities. Do you think that increasing the number of people eligible for Medicaid coverage in Ohio is a good idea or a bad idea? Jun 26 Apr 19 Mar 01 2013 2013 2013 Good idea 46 48 48 Bad idea 47 43 42 DK/NA 7 9 10 37. Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online? IF SUPPORT OR OPPOSE: Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support strongly 61% 50% 82% 58% 51% 70% Somewhat support 17 22 10 17 20 14 Somewhat oppose 7 12 3 6 9 5 Strongly oppose 13 14 4 15 16 10 DK/NA 2 2 1 3 3 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ Support strongly 60% 62% 67% 58% 57% 59% 57% 60% 71% Somewhat support 21 15 13 22 15 23 17 15 13 Somewhat oppose 7 7 8 6 5 7 8 8 4 Strongly oppose 9 14 10 13 20 9 17 14 8 DK/NA 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 4 DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HAVE KIDS Urban Subrbn Rural Yes No <18 Support strongly 67% 64% 51% 49% 74% 59% Somewhat support 14 19 17 21 13 15 Somewhat oppose 8 6 7 9 5 6 Strongly oppose 11 9 21 19 5 18 DK/NA 1 2 4 2 2 2 38. As you may know, Senator Portman voted against a proposal that would require background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online. Does this make you think more favorably of him, less favorably of him, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More favorably 15% 18% 5% 18% 24% 7% Less favorably 45 29 69 45 35 55 No difference 38 52 24 35 40 36 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ More favorably 11% 17% 14% 18% 15% 19% 17% 17% 7% Less favorably 53 43 46 47 45 35 46 46 52 No difference 35 39 38 35 40 46 36 36 36 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 - - 1 1 4 DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HAVE KIDS Urban Subrbn Rural Yes No <18 More favorably 13% 13% 20% 22% 8% 19% Less favorably 50 50 33 33 58 47 No difference 35 36 45 44 33 33 DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 - 39. As you may know, Senator Brown voted for a proposal that would require background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online. Does this make you think more favorably of him, less favorably of him, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom More favorably 43% 25% 71% 41% 37% 49% Less favorably 16 20 4 20 22 11 No difference 40 54 24 38 40 40 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 - COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ More favorably 49% 41% 46% 45% 44% 37% 42% 44% 49% Less favorably 12 18 12 18 20 16 19 16 13 No difference 39 40 42 36 36 47 38 39 37 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 DENSITY............ GUN HSHOLD HAVE KIDS Urban Subrbn Rural Yes No <18 More favorably 51% 44% 33% 31% 56% 42% Less favorably 16 14 21 23 7 24 No difference 33 42 45 46 36 34 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - - Demographic Summary
