April 21, 2008 - Clinton Leads Obama By 7 Points In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds Word format New York Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 51 - 44 percent among Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters, compared to 50 - 44 percent last week, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. White voters back Sen. Clinton 57 - 38 percent, while blacks back Sen. Obama 84 - 10 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. A look at other subgroups shows: Women back Clinton 57 - 38 percent, while men are for Obama 53 - 42 percent; White Catholics are for Clinton 66 - 29 percent; Voters under 45 go with Obama 57 - 41, while older voters back Clinton 54 - 40 percent. "Pennsylvania voters apparently made up their minds a couple of weeks ago and nothing has happened since to change them. An extraordinary turnout effort by Sen. Barack Obama's campaign could snatch this victory from Sen. Hillary Clinton, but that does not appear likely," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Sen. Obama got off message after his 'bitter' remarks and never regained his momentum, giving Sen. Clinton the opening to fight another day in Indiana and North Carolina. She wins in Western Pennsylvania; he wins in the East. She gets Catholics, white women and blue-collar labor vote. He captures men, blacks and college grads - and enough delegates to keep his edge in the number that counts most." From April 18 - 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,027 Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201. 1. If the 2008 Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton or Obama? *This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Clinton 51% 42% 57% 57% 10% 49% 57% Obama 44 53 38 38 84 44 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 4 5 4 6 5 6 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 50% 41% 69% 46% 52% 68% 44% Obama 44 54 29 50 43 26 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 5 2 4 5 6 5 Age Age No col Col INCOME...... White 18-44 45+ degree degree <50k >50k Cath Clinton 41% 54% 55% 41% 54% 48% 66% Obama 57 40 40 55 40 49 29 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 2 5 5 3 6 3 4 2. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Favorable 70% 63% 75% 72% 52% 61% 75% Unfavorable 24 29 21 22 42 30 21 Hvn't hrd enough 3 5 2 3 5 6 3 REFUSED 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY DEM PRIMARY VOTERS.............................. Reagan Union Tot Men Wom Wht Blk Dems HsHolds Favorable 65% 70% 61% 61% 93% 61% 55% Unfavorable 21 18 23 23 2 22 26 Hvn't hrd enough 12 11 13 13 5 14 17 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 - 2 2
