April 8, 2010 - Republicans Lead In Pennsylvania Senate, Governor Races, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Rendell Approval Up, While Obama Approval Is Down Word format Republican Pat Toomey is back on top 46 - 41 percent over Sen. Arlen Specter in Pennsylvania's seesaw U.S. Senate race, while Attorney General Tom Corbett, the leader for the Republican gubernatorial nomination, remains ahead of each of the three top Democratic contenders by double digits, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Gov. Ed Rendell's job approval rating is 45 - 45 percent, up from a negative 43 - 49 percent last month, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. But President Barack Obama's approval is a negative 45 - 49 percent, down from 49 - 46 percent. Disapproval of the President's health care plan, 53 - 39 percent, is unchanged from a 52 - 37 percent disapproval March 2. Pennsylvania voters say 39 - 20 percent they are more likely to vote against a lawmaker who supported the health plan. Toomey, a former congressman who is unchallenged for the GOP Senate nomination, trailed Specter 49 - 42 percent March 2. The two men have swapped the lead by small margins since last fall. Toomey also leads U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is challenging Specter in the Democratic primary, by 42 - 34 percent. Specter leads Sestak for the Democratic nomination 53 - 32 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released yesterday of likely Democratic primary voters, a different sample. "A Toomey-Specter race could continue swinging back and forth until November because most voters won't begin to focus on it until after Labor Day," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "On paper, Sen. Specter is vulnerable in the general election because only 36 percent of voters say he deserves another term. But Toomey is so little known that the electorate is torn which way to go," Brown added. Specter is a known quantity to Pennsylvanians since he has been their U.S. senator since 1981. Asked to rate him, 40 percent view him favorably, 46 percent unfavorably and 11 percent say they haven't heard enough about him to have an opinion. By comparison, 61 percent of voters say they don't know enough about Toomey, while 29 percent view him favorably and 9 percent view him unfavorably. In the governor's race, Corbett - by far the best known of the contenders - retains a double digit lead over the three leading contenders for the Democratic nomination, which will be decided in the May 18 primary. Corbett gets a 47 - 13 percent favorability rating. For the Democratic contenders, Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato, State Auditor General Jack Wagner and former U.S. Senate nominee Joe Hoeffel, the "don't know enough" factor ranges from 66 to 75 percent. Corbett's greater name recognition is a major reason why he leads Onorato 45 - 33 percent, Wagner 48 - 29 percent and Hoeffel 50 - 28 percent, continuing his double-digit leads from Quinnipiac University's March 3 survey. "Once the primary is over and the Democrats have a candidate, presumably he will be able to introduce himself to the larger electorate and we'll get a better idea of how the race actually stands," said Brown. "Corbett is certainly in the enviable position but the structure of the race will become clearer when he gets into a one-on-one comparison." While Pennsylvania voters still disapprove of the new health care plan they say 52 - 39 percent that the attempt by attorneys general of several states to ask the courts to throw out the health care law is a bad idea. From March 30 - April 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,412 Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 4. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Onorato the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Onorato 33% 5% 70% 25% 29% 36% 36% Corbett 45 81 11 43 53 37 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 2 DK/NA 21 13 18 29 15 25 18 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Onorato 47% 53% 34% 29% 24% 39% 20% Corbett 38 25 40 48 47 43 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 3 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 2 1 3 - 2 DK/NA 14 22 24 20 26 18 21 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Dan Onorato the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 2010 2010 2009 2009 Onorato 33 32 30 28 Corbett 45 42 45 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 21 24 22 24 5. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Jack Wagner the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Wagner 29% 3% 65% 20% 24% 33% 37% Corbett 48 84 14 47 56 40 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 2 2 2 1 - DK/NA 21 12 20 30 17 26 20 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Wagner 38% 43% 30% 24% 19% 34% 22% Corbett 44 30 48 51 48 47 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - 1 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 1 2 - - 2 DK/NA 14 26 20 22 33 19 19 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Jack Wagner the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 2010 2010 2009 2009 Wagner 29 30 33 29 Corbett 48 42 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 21 26 23 25 6. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Joe Hoeffel the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Hoeffel 28% 3% 62% 19% 25% 30% 39% Corbett 50 86 18 48 56 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 - DK/NA 21 12 19 30 17 24 17 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Hoeffel 26% 50% 30% 32% 14% 26% 19% Corbett 57 30 47 46 50 50 61 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - 1 2 - - 2 DK/NA 14 20 21 20 36 24 18 TREND: If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were Joe Hoeffel the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 2010 2010 2009 Hoeffel 28 30 30 Corbett 50 41 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 21 27 23 7. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Specter 41% 9% 78% 38% 37% 44% 43% Toomey 46 81 10 46 54 38 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 1 - DK/NA 12 8 10 16 7 16 10 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Specter 46% 64% 54% 35% 32% 38% 30% Toomey 39 25 36 52 49 48 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 1 3 - 2 DK/NA 14 11 10 11 16 13 12 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Arlen Specter the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 28 May 4 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Specter 41 49 44 42 45 46 53 Toomey 46 42 44 43 44 37 33 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 1 - 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 - 3 1 DK/NA 12 8 11 13 10 14 10 8. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Sestak 34% 4% 71% 26% 29% 38% 39% Toomey 42 78 8 42 52 33 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 - 1 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 2 - DK/NA 22 15 20 30 17 27 21 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Sestak 37% 58% 36% 35% 20% 34% 21% Toomey 35 27 37 43 44 43 54 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 1 3 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - 2 3 - 2 DK/NA 27 14 26 17 32 22 22 TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Joe Sestak the Democrat and Pat Toomey the Republican, for whom would you vote? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 28 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Sestak 34 36 35 35 35 37 Toomey 42 39 40 38 39 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 2 1 1 3 DK/NA 22 24 22 25 23 23 9. Is your opinion of - Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 40% 16% 71% 35% 38% 42% 43% Unfavorable 46 73 17 48 53 40 46 Hvn't hrd enough 11 10 9 14 5 16 9 REFUSED 3 2 3 3 4 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Arlen Specter favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE.... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 Nov 26 Apr 8 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2010 Favorable 40 44 43 42 45 56 40 Unfavorable 46 43 45 46 44 23 46 Hvn't hrd enough 11 11 9 10 9 19 11 REFUSED 3 1 3 2 2 3 3 10. Is your opinion of - Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 29% 48% 14% 25% 37% 22% 26% Unfavorable 9 2 15 11 12 7 10 Hvn't hrd enough 61 49 71 63 50 71 62 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Pat Toomey favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 Dec 18 Mar 25 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 29 26 35 34 34 35 14 Unfavorable 9 8 10 12 10 10 6 Hvn't hrd enough 61 65 55 53 56 55 78 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 11. Is your opinion of - Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 20% 13% 33% 16% 21% 20% 21% Unfavorable 11 16 4 12 16 6 14 Hvn't hrd enough 68 70 63 70 62 73 65 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 28 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 20 18 20 21 23 18 Unfavorable 11 6 9 8 7 5 Hvn't hrd enough 68 74 70 70 69 76 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 - 12. Is your opinion of - Dan Onorato favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 21% 13% 35% 17% 20% 23% 23% Unfavorable 11 16 6 12 15 7 13 Hvn't hrd enough 66 70 58 68 62 69 63 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Dan Onorato favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 21 20 18 17 16 Unfavorable 11 8 9 11 6 Hvn't hrd enough 66 71 72 71 78 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 13. Is your opinion of - Jack Wagner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 18% 9% 30% 16% 16% 20% 23% Unfavorable 8 11 4 12 12 6 6 Hvn't hrd enough 72 79 65 69 71 73 70 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Jack Wagner favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 18 20 22 22 18 Unfavorable 8 7 5 6 4 Hvn't hrd enough 72 71 72 71 76 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 14. Is your opinion of - Joe Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 14% 8% 19% 15% 14% 13% 13% Unfavorable 10 14 5 11 13 8 7 Hvn't hrd enough 75 78 75 73 71 78 79 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Hoeffel favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 2010 2010 2009 2009 Favorable 14 15 13 13 Unfavorable 10 7 7 7 Hvn't hrd enough 75 77 79 80 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 15. Is your opinion of - Tony Williams favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 3% 1% 6% 1% 2% 3% 5% Unfavorable 3 4 3 2 3 3 4 Hvn't hrd enough 94 95 90 96 94 94 91 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Tony Williams favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 2010 2010 Favorable 3 3 Unfavorable 3 2 Hvn't hrd enough 94 95 REFUSED 1 1 16. Is your opinion of - Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 47% 71% 28% 45% 53% 42% 45% Unfavorable 13 3 21 13 13 12 16 Hvn't hrd enough 38 26 49 36 30 44 36 REFUSED 2 1 1 5 4 1 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 Favorable 47 43 43 43 38 Unfavorable 13 7 6 7 6 Hvn't hrd enough 38 48 50 49 55 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 1 17. Is your opinion of - Sam Rohrer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 7% 13% 4% 4% 8% 7% 8% Unfavorable 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 Hvn't hrd enough 88 83 92 92 87 89 88 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 TREND: Is your opinion of - Sam Rohrer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Apr 8 Mar 3 2010 2010 Favorable 7 5 Unfavorable 4 3 Hvn't hrd enough 88 91 REFUSED 1 1 18. Is your opinion of - the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 41% 80% 12% 33% 44% 39% 35% Unfavorable 41 9 70 45 42 40 48 Hvn't hrd enough 13 9 14 16 9 17 11 REFUSED 5 2 3 6 5 4 5 19. Is your opinion of - the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about it? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 41% 8% 83% 33% 33% 47% 44% Unfavorable 46 82 6 50 58 36 41 Hvn't hrd enough 9 8 8 10 6 13 12 REFUSED 4 2 2 6 4 4 4 20. Is your opinion of - the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Favorable 33% 56% 7% 35% 39% 27% 31% Unfavorable 30 11 52 29 30 30 38 Hvn't hrd enough 35 33 40 34 28 41 30 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 45% 21% 72% 43% 43% 47% 47% Disapprove 45 70 21 45 50 42 48 DK/NA 10 10 7 12 8 11 5 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Approve 32% 73% 53% 61% 25% 46% 27% Disapprove 59 16 39 33 55 47 63 DK/NA 9 11 8 7 19 6 10 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling his job as Governor? APPROVE....... DIS... High Low High Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Feb 7 Jul 21 Jul 21 2010 2010 2009 2009 2007 2009 2009 Approve 45 43 43 42 61 39 39 Disapprove 45 49 49 51 30 53 53 DK/NA 10 8 7 6 9 8 8 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 31% 25% 41% 29% 30% 33% 35% Disapprove 54 60 43 59 59 50 53 DK/NA 14 16 16 12 12 17 12 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Approve 20% 44% 39% 41% 21% 28% 23% Disapprove 65 39 49 46 57 58 64 DK/NA 15 17 12 13 22 14 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? APPROVE..... High Low Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 Apr 10 Dec 17 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2003 2009 Approve 31 29 25 27 27 49 25 Disapprove 54 59 64 64 57 24 64 DK/NA 14 12 11 9 15 27 11 23. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 44% 18% 77% 40% 40% 48% 51% Disapprove 47 74 16 49 55 40 43 DK/NA 9 8 7 10 4 12 6 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Arlen Specter is handling his job as United States Senator? (*Low also 44% Oct 2009) APPROVE....... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 Nov 26 Apr 8 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2008 2010 Approve 44 48 47 44 47 62 44 Disapprove 47 45 45 48 46 25 47 DK/NA 9 6 8 9 7 13 9 24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 48% 34% 68% 42% 45% 50% 57% Disapprove 30 42 14 34 39 22 31 DK/NA 22 24 18 24 15 28 12 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 28 Mar 28 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2007 Approve 48 53 53 53 53 56 46 Disapprove 30 29 29 29 25 21 18 DK/NA 22 18 18 18 21 23 35 25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 45% 12% 82% 43% 39% 51% 49% Disapprove 49 84 14 49 56 43 47 DK/NA 6 5 4 9 5 6 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 4 Apr 8 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Approve 45 49 49 49 56 66 45 Disapprove 49 46 45 42 37 29 49 DK/NA 6 4 6 9 7 5 6 26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Very satisfied 4% 1% 8% 4% 4% 4% 3% Smwht satisfied 42 28 58 41 39 44 46 Smwht dissatisfied 34 43 27 34 36 33 29 Very dissatisfied 19 27 8 21 20 18 20 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Very satisfied 3% 10% 5% 3% 1% 5% 2% Smwht satisfied 38 55 37 54 36 38 32 Smwht dissatisfied 34 27 40 30 28 38 41 Very dissatisfied 24 8 16 12 35 18 24 DK/NA - - 1 1 - 1 2 TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*Low also 39% Sep 2009) VERY+SMWHT.... High Low Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 Jun 5 Mar 3 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2002 2010* Very satisfied 4 2 4 2 3 8 2 Smwht satisfied 42 37 38 37 38 60 37 Smwht dissatisfied 34 37 38 36 35 22 37 Very dissatisfied 19 23 19 23 22 8 23 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 27. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Yes/deserves 36% 14% 62% 35% 35% 38% 43% No/does not 52 77 25 53 58 47 49 DK/NA 11 9 12 11 7 15 9 TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Arlen Specter deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? DESERVES...... High Low Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 May 4 Apr 8 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 Yes/deserves 36 38 38 37 40 49 36 No/does not 52 52 50 52 49 41 52 DK/NA 11 10 12 11 11 10 11 28. Does President Obama's support of Arlen Specter for United States Senator make you more likely to vote for Specter, less likely to vote for Specter, or doesn't it make a difference? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds More likely 9% 2% 21% 5% 9% 9% 13% Less likely 22 41 5 20 26 18 18 Doesn't make diff 68 57 73 75 65 71 68 DK/NA 1 1 2 - - 1 1 TREND: Does President Obama's support of Arlen Specter for United States Senator make you more likely to vote for Specter, less likely to vote for Specter, or doesn't it make a difference? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 2010 2010 2009 2009 More likely 9 12 11 12 Less likely 22 18 17 18 Doesn't make diff 68 69 71 68 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling - the economy? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 37% 15% 61% 36% 38% 36% 47% Disapprove 53 75 30 52 54 51 49 DK/NA 11 10 9 12 8 13 4 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Approve 23% 59% 43% 48% 19% 38% 26% Disapprove 64 32 49 41 62 54 65 DK/NA 13 9 9 12 19 8 8 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Rendell is handling the economy? Apr 8 Mar 3 Dec 17 Sep 30 Jul 21 Mar 25 Feb 12 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 37 36 38 34 33 44 42 Disapprove 53 53 54 60 60 43 47 DK/NA 11 11 8 7 7 14 11 30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - the economy? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 40% 11% 75% 35% 36% 44% 50% Disapprove 55 86 19 59 59 51 48 DK/NA 5 3 6 6 6 5 2 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Approve 39% 69% 48% 37% 29% 40% 30% Disapprove 50 25 50 59 64 56 66 DK/NA 11 5 2 4 7 4 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 Jul 22 Mar 25 Feb 12 2010 2010 2009 2009 2009 2009 2009 Approve 40 44 45 46 50 56 59 Disapprove 55 51 50 47 43 36 26 DK/NA 5 5 5 7 7 8 16 31. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling - health care? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Approve 37% 6% 72% 35% 34% 39% 45% Disapprove 55 89 20 56 58 52 50 DK/NA 8 6 8 9 7 8 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care? Apr 8 Mar 2 Dec 18 Oct 1 2010 2010 2009 2009 Approve 37 35 37 39 Disapprove 55 58 56 53 DK/NA 8 7 7 8 32. Who do you trust to do a better job handling health care - President Obama or the Republicans in Congress? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Pres Obama 40% 4% 80% 35% 37% 43% 44% Reps in Congress 38 77 8 30 42 35 37 DK/NA 22 19 11 35 21 23 18 33. Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Support 39% 7% 74% 37% 37% 41% 43% Oppose 53 88 18 50 56 49 51 DK/NA 9 5 8 13 7 10 6 TREND: Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care reform plan? Apr 8 Mar 2 Oct 1 2010 2010 2009 Support 39 37 41 Oppose 53 52 47 DK/NA 9 11 12 34. If your member of the U.S. House of Representatives voted for the health care overhaul plan, would that make you more likely to vote for him or her in November, less likely, or doesn't it make a difference? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds More likely 20% 3% 40% 17% 19% 21% 22% Less likely 39 65 10 41 47 31 39 No difference 39 30 48 39 32 45 37 DK/NA 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl More likely 23% 33% 22% 20% 12% 18% 14% Less likely 40 20 31 38 51 42 47 No difference 34 44 46 40 34 38 36 DK/NA 3 4 2 2 3 2 3 35. Attorneys general from several states have said they will sue to block the health care overhaul plan. Do you think filing a lawsuit to stop the plan from taking effect is a good idea or a bad idea? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Good idea 39% 64% 13% 39% 46% 33% 37% Bad idea 52 25 83 51 49 56 56 DK/NA 9 11 5 10 6 12 7 36. Do you consider yourself part of the Tea party movement or not? Union Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHolds Yes 14% 23% 5% 14% 17% 11% 16% No 80 72 90 79 80 80 80 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 3 9 5