May 1, 2008 - Clinton Tops McCain In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama-McCain Too Close To Call In Two Key States: --- FLORIDA: Clinton 49 - McCain 41; McCain 44 - Obama 43; OHIO: Clinton 48 - McCain 38; McCain 43 - Obama 42: PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 51 - McCain 37; Obama 47 - McCain 38 Word format Winning among white working class voters, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton holds strong leads over Arizona Sen. John McCain - and runs much better than Illinois Sen. Barack Obama - in three critical swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to three simultaneous Quinnipiac University Swing State polls released today. If Sen. Obama is the Democratic nominee, he's in a tight race with McCain in Florida and Ohio, but takes Pennsylvania. This is Sen. Clinton's strongest overall performance since the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University began special surveys two years ago in the three largest and most important swing states in the Electoral College. This latest survey finds: Florida: Clinton tops McCain 49 - 41 percent; McCain gets 44 percent to Obama's 43 percent; Ohio: Clinton beats McCain 48 - 38 percent; McCain gets 43 percent to Obama's 42 percent; Pennsylvania: Clinton tops McCain 51 - 37 percent; Obama leads McCain 47 - 38 percent. Among white working-class voters, Clinton ties McCain 45 - 45 percent in Florida, leads 46 - 40 percent in Ohio and 48 - 40 percent in Pennsylvania. These same voters back McCain over Obama 51 - 34 percent in Florida, 49 - 34 percent in Ohio and 45 - 38 percent in Pennsylvania. "If the super delegates are looking at electability, these results could be a shot in the arm for Sen. Clinton. No one has won the White House since 1960 without carrying two of these three swing states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. And she clearly is running much better against Sen. McCain than is Sen. Obama, at least for now," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "There is no indication that Obama's problems with white working class Democrats in the Ohio and Pennsylvania primaries have gone away," Brown added. "Many voters cite trustworthiness as the most important quality they want in a candidate. Clinton is found wanting in that department, but still does best in the matchups. She wins because she is seen as a strong leader who cares about people and can improve the economy." "McCain's age is a significant problem in the minds of voters as are his ties to President George W. Bush. He is seen as the least able to fix the economy and bring about change. The data indicates he needs to continue to try and put some distance between himself and President Bush, whose job approval ratings remain awful." President Bush's approval ratings are: 24 - 71 percent in Florida; 23 - 71 percent in Ohio; 23 - 73 percent in Pennsylvania. Florida Facing McCain in November, Clinton leads 54 - 37 percent among women, while he gets 45 percent of men to her 43 percent. They tie 45 - 45 percent among white voters, while she leads 80 - 11 percent among black voters. In an Obama-McCain matchup, men back McCain 46 - 42 percent, while women split, with 44 percent for Obama and 42 percent for McCain. The Republican leads among white voters 50 - 36 percent, while the Democrat leads among black voters 83 - 8 percent. Florida voters give Clinton a 49 - 40 percent favorability rating, with 47 - 36 percent for Obama and 51 - 32 percent for McCain. The economy is the most important issue in their vote, 50 percent of Florida voters say, with 22 percent who list the war in Iraq and 10 percent who list health care. If Clinton is elected, 44 percent say the economy will get better. If Obama is elected, 38 percent say the economy will get better. Only 24 percent say the economy will improve under McCain. The most important quality they want in a candidate is strong leadership, 29 percent of voters say, while 27 percent want someone trustworthy and 23 percent want someone competent. McCain is a strong leader, voters say 73 - 20 percent, compared to 69 - 27 percent for Clinton and 58 - 30 percent for Obama. McCain also leads on the trustworthy measure 68 - 22 percent, with 58 - 28 percent saying Obama is trustworthy, and Clinton split at 46 - 46 percent. A total of 43 percent of Florida voters say a candidate's age is "very important" or "somewhat important." "In Florida, with its large number of senior citizens, age is an issue. That could hurt Sen. McCain. These same voters are less concerned with gender or race, which would impact Sen. Clinton or Sen. Obama. But it may well be that people are more reluctant to concede they're making decisions based on a candidate's race or sex," said Brown. Ohio McCain beats Clinton 46 - 41 percent among men, while she takes women 54 - 31 percent. White voters go Democratic 45 - 42 percent and blacks back Clinton 80 - 3 percent. In an Obama-McCain race, men back McCain 48 - 38 percent and women back Obama 46 - 38 percent. McCain leads among whites 48 - 36 percent while blacks back Obama 93 - 1 percent. Ohio voters give Clinton a split 46 - 44 percent favorability, with 44 - 37 percent for Obama and 41 - 36 percent for McCain. The economy is the most important issue to Ohio voters, 52 percent say, followed by 17 percent who list the war in Iraq and 14 percent who cite health care. The economy will get better if Clinton wins, voters say 41 - 20 percent. Obama gets a 37 - 21 percent score here. But only 16 percent of Ohio voters say the economy will get better if McCain wins, with 27 percent who say it will get worse and 50 percent who say it won't change. Thirty percent most want a candidate who is trustworthy, while 25 percent want a strong leader, with 20 percent looking for a candidate who shares their values and 19 percent looking for someone competent. McCain has strong leadership qualities, voters say 69 - 23 percent. Voters say 68 - 28 percent that Clinton is a strong leader, and Obama gets 57 - 33 percent on leadership. McCain is trustworthy, voters say 58 - 29 percent, as is Obama, voters say 53 - 32 percent. But Ohio voters say 49 - 43 percent that Clinton is not trustworthy. A candidate's age is "very important" or "somewhat important," 38 percent of voters say. "At this point, the economy is virtually the whole ball game in Ohio and that helps the Democrats and hurts McCain. Voters see both Democrats as far better able to fix the economy. McCain is viewed as a strong leader by 69 percent of voters, but Clinton matches him on that score," Brown said. Pennsylvania Facing McCain, Clinton leads 57 -30 percent with women. McCain has 45 percent of men to Clinton's 43 percent. White voters back Clinton 47 - 41 percent and black voters back her 78 - 8 percent. In an Obama-McCain face-off, Obama gets 45 percent of men to McCain's 42 percent. The Democrat leads 48 - 36 percent among women. McCain gets 43 percent of white votes to Obama's 41 percent. Obama leads among black voters 95 - 3 percent. By a 50 - 43 percent margin, Pennsylvania voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Obama gets a 49 - 32 percent favorability and McCain gets 42 - 38 percent. The economy is the top issue for 48 percent of voters, followed by 21 percent who list the war in Iraq and 13 percent who cite health care. The economy will get better if Clinton wins, voters say 47 - 20 percent, with 44 - 19 percent saying the economy will improve if Obama wins. But only 18 percent say the economy will get better if McCain wins, while 28 percent say it will get worse and 46 percent say it won't change. Twenty-eight percent of voters most want a candidate who is trustworthy, while 27 percent want a strong leader; 21 percent want someone who shares their values and 20 percent want someone competent. Voters split 48 - 46 percent on whether Clinton is trustworthy, while they say 62 - 27 percent that Obama is trustworthy and 62 - 26 percent that McCain is trustworthy. But Clinton has strong leadership qualities, voters say 72 - 25 percent, as does McCain, voters say 67 - 25 percent, and Obama, voters say 63 - 27 percent. A candidate's age is "very important" or "somewhat important," 37 percent of voters say. "Although Sen. Clinton and Sen. Obama both win in Pennsylvania, Clinton wins bigger and she has an eight-point advantage among working class whites, while Obama loses them by seven points - a key difference in a state where the war hero Republican will target these votes," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. From April 23 - 29, Quinnipiac University surveyed: 1,411 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent; 1,127 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent; 1,494 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201. 1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? FLORIDA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 49% 6% 86% 39% 43% 54% 45% 80% McCain 41 90 9 42 45 37 45 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 6 3 2 3 4 DK/NA 6 2 3 10 6 5 6 4 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Clinton 56% 47% 45% 43% 39% 50% 26% 43% McCain 36 43 45 46 49 42 62 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 3 2 6 1 DK/NA 4 6 6 6 7 5 6 7 North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Clinton 54% 40% 49% 47% 55% McCain 38 49 40 44 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 4 2 2 DK/NA 5 5 6 3 7 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Clinton 90% 71% 58% 56% 57% 41% 42% 48% McCain 7 18 30 35 33 45 51 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 4 6 2 2 4 2 1 DK/NA 2 5 5 6 7 7 4 4 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 14 Dec 5 Oct 25 Oct 10 Sep 12 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 49 44 42 47 44 46 45 McCain 41 42 44 40 43 42 40 SMONE ELSE 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 DK/NA 6 8 9 7 6 6 9 2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? FLORIDA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 43% 7% 69% 38% 42% 44% 36% 83% McCain 44 89 19 42 46 42 50 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 6 5 5 4 4 3 DK/NA 8 3 6 13 7 9 8 4 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 51% 39% 34% 40% 36% 36% 22% 31% McCain 37 47 51 48 51 50 65 53 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 4 3 4 4 4 3 DK/NA 8 8 9 7 8 8 7 9 North/ PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Obama 47% 34% 38% 42% 51% McCain 43 50 48 44 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 1 7 DK/NA 5 12 8 11 5 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Obama 46% 97% 56% 46% 51% 47% 31% 36% McCain 36 3 29 41 37 44 58 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - 1 2 - 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 8 - 7 3 7 3 4 5 DK/NA 8 1 7 8 6 5 6 9 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 14 Oct 25 Oct 10 Sep 12 Jul 23 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 Obama 43 37 39 42 39 39 42 McCain 44 46 41 42 41 42 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 4 3 2 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 4 5 6 5 6 DK/NA 8 9 12 9 11 11 11 1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? OHIO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 48% 9% 82% 40% 41% 54% 45% 80% McCain 38 87 7 39 46 31 42 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 - 3 9 6 4 4 7 DK/NA 7 3 5 9 5 9 7 7 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Clinton 47% 49% 46% 41% 39% 50% 40% 48% McCain 39 37 40 50 49 36 48 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 4 4 5 3 5 4 DK/NA 6 7 8 5 5 8 6 6 Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt Clinton 45% 54% 48% 52% 41% 41% McCain 41 32 34 34 46 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 4 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 9 6 4 2 DK/NA 7 7 8 6 6 8 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Clinton 94% 66% 60% 52% 54% 49% 38% 53% McCain 4 15 29 35 32 36 50 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 5 1 1 5 4 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 8 4 5 1 4 5 5 DK/NA 1 6 6 7 7 8 5 5 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 14 Dec 5 Nov 14 Oct 10 Sep 6 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 48 48 43 44 42 48 46 McCain 38 39 44 42 46 38 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 4 3 4 3 DK/NA 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? OHIO Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 42% 5% 69% 44% 38% 46% 36% 93% McCain 43 89 16 38 48 38 48 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 - 7 5 5 5 5 3 DK/NA 8 4 7 12 7 10 9 2 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 47% 40% 34% 44% 33% 39% 28% 38% McCain 42 43 49 45 53 43 53 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 2 2 3 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 5 3 5 4 6 6 DK/NA 6 9 10 7 7 11 10 8 Cntrl NrthE NrthW SthE SthW WstCnt Obama 46% 44% 46% 39% 46% 27% McCain 38 40 41 47 45 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 - 1 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 2 2 3 9 DK/NA 9 8 11 11 5 8 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Obama 50% 96% 56% 43% 53% 42% 37% 50% McCain 29 3 30 41 38 45 50 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 11 - 6 6 1 3 3 6 DK/NA 7 1 7 9 7 9 8 5 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 14 Oct 10 Sep 6 Jul 12 Jun 27 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 Obama 42 43 40 43 41 43 43 McCain 43 42 42 39 42 38 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 DK/NA 8 8 10 10 10 11 11 1. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? PENNSYLVANIA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 51% 9% 84% 43% 43% 57% 47% 78% McCain 37 81 7 38 45 30 41 8 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 5 4 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 6 3 4 3 6 DK/NA 6 6 4 9 5 7 6 5 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Clinton 51% 51% 48% 44% 40% 54% 33% 53% McCain 35 38 40 44 49 35 56 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 7 6 6 7 5 7 6 7 Tot Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Clinton 51% 49% 71% 53% 55% 49% 48% 40% McCain 37 35 21 34 32 37 42 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 3 2 6 3 6 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 1 1 4 4 3 4 DK/NA 6 8 5 7 6 4 7 7 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Clinton 90% 72% 64% 52% 68% 39% 43% 57% McCain 8 15 24 35 28 41 47 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 5 2 1 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - 7 4 4 1 5 4 1 DK/NA 2 4 3 8 3 10 3 4 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 27 Feb 14 Dec 5 Nov 8 Oct 10 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 Clinton 51 48 44 46 43 45 48 McCain 37 40 42 40 43 43 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 1 2 2 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 4 3 3 4 4 DK/NA 6 8 8 9 8 7 5 2. If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? PENNSYLVANIA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 47% 10% 71% 48% 45% 48% 41% 95% McCain 38 76 16 32 42 36 43 3 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 6 4 4 4 5 - DK/NA 9 10 5 13 7 11 10 1 WHITE....................................... Working Age Age Class College BrnAgn 18-44 45+ (No Col) Degree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 51% 45% 38% 50% 39% 43% 27% 42% McCain 37 39 45 38 47 40 57 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 6 2 4 5 4 3 DK/NA 7 10 10 9 7 11 11 9 Tot Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl Obama 47% 47% 74% 47% 56% 34% 38% 35% McCain 38 39 21 34 31 46 44 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 6 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 1 4 3 5 5 5 DK/NA 9 7 4 9 10 14 11 9 DEMS Q1a..... Clinton Obama IMP ISSUE TO VOTE Q6../ IMP QUALITY IN CAND Q7 Supp Supp War Econ HlthCr/ Trust ShrVals Leader Obama 52% 94% 63% 48% 59% 48% 38% 46% McCain 31 4 27 37 28 36 51 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 - 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 9 - 3 4 6 4 2 6 DK/NA 7 1 6 10 7 11 7 6 TREND: If the 2008 election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for whom would you vote? May 1 Apr 2 Feb 27 Feb 14 Oct 10 Aug 23 Jun 27 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 Obama 47 43 42 42 45 43 44 McCain 38 39 40 41 41 40 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 2 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 DK/NA 9 11 12 11 8 11 11 1a.(This question asked of registered Democrats PRIOR to q1) Who would you like to see win the Democratic nomination for President this year - Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? REGISTERED DEMOCRATS FL Tot Men Wom Clinton 47% 38% 53% Obama 33 40 29 DK/NA 20 22 18 OH Tot Men Wom Clinton 47% 47% 47% Obama 34 34 34 DK/NA 19 19 19 PA Tot Men Wom Clinton 51% 41% 57% Obama 38 46 32 DK/NA 11 13 10 3. Is your opinion of -- Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 49% 20% 71% 47% 46% 52% 48% 51% Unfavorable 40 70 19 43 45 36 43 34 Hvn't hrd enough 7 6 8 5 5 8 6 14 REFUSED 4 4 2 6 4 4 3 2 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 46% 15% 71% 42% 40% 52% 45% 51% Unfavorable 44 75 21 47 51 38 46 29 Hvn't hrd enough 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 15 REFUSED 4 3 3 5 4 3 4 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 50% 21% 74% 45% 40% 59% 49% 57% Unfavorable 43 73 20 44 52 34 44 31 Hvn't hrd enough 5 3 4 9 6 5 5 10 REFUSED 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 4. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 47% 19% 65% 44% 48% 45% 41% 77% Unfavorable 36 63 21 35 36 37 42 9 Hvn't hrd enough 14 16 11 16 12 15 13 11 REFUSED 3 3 2 4 3 3 3 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 44% 21% 58% 47% 43% 45% 40% 80% Unfavorable 37 61 25 34 41 34 41 6 Hvn't hrd enough 15 16 13 15 13 17 16 9 REFUSED 4 2 5 4 4 4 4 5 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 49% 27% 65% 48% 48% 50% 44% 89% Unfavorable 32 54 20 27 35 30 36 2 Hvn't hrd enough 15 16 13 17 14 16 16 6 REFUSED 4 3 2 7 4 3 4 4 5. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 51% 85% 31% 52% 58% 45% 55% 22% Unfavorable 32 7 50 29 29 36 31 47 Hvn't hrd enough 13 7 15 16 10 15 11 28 REFUSED 3 2 4 3 3 4 3 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 41% 75% 20% 42% 45% 38% 46% 13% Unfavorable 36 8 55 36 38 35 33 59 Hvn't hrd enough 18 15 19 20 13 23 17 26 REFUSED 4 2 6 2 3 5 4 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 42% 74% 20% 40% 47% 37% 45% 13% Unfavorable 38 10 59 33 38 38 36 59 Hvn't hrd enough 18 12 18 26 14 21 17 26 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 1 6. Which of the following will be the single most important issue in your vote in the election for President this year? (Read options) FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Terrorism 8% 19% 1% 9% 8% 8% 9% 2% The war in Iraq 22 14 25 22 23 21 21 22 The economy 50 45 54 50 50 50 51 55 Illegal immigration 5 11 1 6 7 4 6 - Health care 10 7 14 8 6 13 7 20 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 DK/NA 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 - OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Terrorism 7% 19% 3% 4% 9% 6% 8% 3% The war in Iraq 17 12 20 17 19 15 16 21 The economy 52 54 54 51 52 52 54 48 Illegal immigration 4 6 2 4 5 4 4 1 Health care 14 4 18 17 10 17 13 23 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 3 2 5 5 3 4 - DK/NA 2 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Terrorism 7% 15% 3% 5% 7% 7% 8% 2% The war in Iraq 21 13 24 24 21 20 20 28 The economy 48 47 51 44 49 48 50 38 Illegal immigration 5 10 1 8 7 4 5 4 Health care 13 8 17 11 10 15 11 26 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 5 3 2 3 4 4 - DK/NA 2 1 1 6 3 2 2 1 7. When you decide how to vote for president, which of the following is the single most important quality you look for in a candidate? (Read options) FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Trustworthy 27% 29% 24% 28% 26% 27% 25% 35% Shares your values 16 22 12 16 15 17 16 10 A strong leader 29 34 31 24 30 29 29 35 Competent 23 13 28 25 22 24 24 15 Inspiring 3 1 3 4 4 2 3 4 DK/NA 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Trustworthy 30% 28% 31% 34% 28% 33% 30% 26% Shares your values 20 27 15 19 21 20 21 21 A strong leader 25 24 31 22 24 26 24 39 Competent 19 18 18 19 20 17 20 7 Inspiring 2 1 4 2 3 2 2 5 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 4 2 3 1 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Trustworthy 28% 26% 25% 34% 25% 30% 27% 27% Shares your values 21 29 17 19 21 21 21 22 A strong leader 27 26 30 22 28 25 26 35 Competent 20 15 22 20 20 20 20 12 Inspiring 2 1 4 2 4 1 2 2 DK/NA 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 2 8. In deciding your vote for president how important is the candidate's gender - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 8% 11% 9% 5% 8% 8% 7% 13% Somewhat important 9 16 6 7 8 10 9 7 Not too important 14 14 16 13 13 15 15 15 Not important at all 69 59 69 75 71 66 69 64 DK/NA - - - - - - - - OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 7% 9% 8% 5% 6% 8% 7% 12% Somewhat important 10 13 10 8 7 12 10 9 Not too important 18 23 15 18 19 16 18 11 Not important at all 65 56 68 67 66 64 64 69 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 8% 12% 7% 5% 6% 10% 8% 15% Somewhat important 8 9 8 8 8 9 8 12 Not too important 16 19 16 12 15 18 17 11 Not important at all 67 58 68 75 71 63 67 62 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 9. In deciding your vote for president how important is the candidate's race - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 7% 9% 8% 4% 7% 8% 7% 14% Somewhat important 6 7 6 7 7 6 7 2 Not too important 12 13 11 12 11 13 13 11 Not important at all 74 70 74 76 75 73 73 74 DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - 1 - OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 9% 8% 13% 6% 10% 9% 9% 10% Somewhat important 7 14 5 6 6 9 7 10 Not too important 14 14 14 12 12 15 14 13 Not important at all 69 64 67 77 72 67 69 66 DK/NA - - - - 1 - 1 - PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 8% 8% 9% 4% 8% 7% 7% 18% Somewhat important 6 7 6 7 4 8 7 4 Not too important 14 17 13 10 12 15 14 10 Not important at all 72 67 72 78 75 69 72 68 DK/NA - 1 - - - 1 - - 10. In deciding your vote for president how important is the candidate's age - Very important, somewhat important, not too important or not important at all? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 9% 7% 10% 9% 10% 8% 6% 17% Somewhat important 34 26 42 31 31 37 34 40 Not too important 21 24 20 21 20 22 24 17 Not important at all 35 43 27 38 38 33 36 25 DK/NA - 1 - - - - - 1 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 7% 3% 13% 4% 6% 8% 7% 10% Somewhat important 31 26 37 29 27 34 31 34 Not too important 22 27 18 25 21 24 23 18 Not important at all 39 44 32 42 44 34 39 38 DK/NA 1 - - - 1 - 1 - PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very important 8% 3% 11% 6% 7% 8% 7% 15% Somewhat important 29 28 33 26 24 34 30 19 Not too important 23 28 21 20 25 21 24 19 Not important at all 40 41 36 46 43 37 39 46 DK/NA - - - - - - - - 11. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 46% 19% 68% 40% 41% 50% 44% 55% No 46 74 24 51 54 39 49 34 DK/NA 8 7 8 9 6 10 7 11 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 43% 18% 65% 37% 36% 49% 42% 52% No 49 77 28 52 56 42 50 36 DK/NA 9 4 7 12 7 10 8 12 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 48% 22% 70% 41% 39% 56% 48% 49% No 46 71 26 50 56 36 46 47 DK/NA 7 6 5 10 5 8 6 4 12. Would you say that Barack Obama is honest and trustworthy or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 58% 36% 74% 54% 59% 58% 54% 82% No 28 47 14 31 28 27 32 6 DK/NA 14 17 12 15 13 15 14 12 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 53% 33% 67% 56% 50% 56% 50% 79% No 32 53 20 30 37 27 35 4 DK/NA 15 15 13 14 13 17 15 17 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 62% 42% 77% 61% 61% 62% 58% 89% No 27 47 15 24 29 26 30 6 DK/NA 11 11 8 15 10 12 12 5 13. Would you say that John McCain is honest and trustworthy or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 68% 90% 55% 68% 74% 63% 72% 40% No 22 6 32 22 19 24 19 40 DK/NA 10 4 13 11 7 13 8 20 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 58% 83% 45% 57% 62% 55% 62% 27% No 29 11 41 28 28 30 27 51 DK/NA 13 6 14 15 10 15 11 22 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 62% 84% 48% 61% 67% 58% 66% 30% No 26 10 39 20 25 26 23 49 DK/NA 12 6 13 19 8 16 12 21 14. Would you say that Hillary Clinton cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 61% 34% 84% 56% 56% 65% 58% 73% No 33 58 13 38 38 29 37 21 DK/NA 6 8 4 6 6 5 5 6 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 60% 33% 80% 59% 55% 65% 59% 69% No 33 59 15 35 39 29 35 20 DK/NA 7 8 5 6 6 7 6 11 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 64% 43% 83% 55% 54% 72% 63% 72% No 31 52 13 37 40 23 32 24 DK/NA 5 5 4 7 5 5 5 4 15. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 61% 34% 78% 60% 60% 62% 56% 87% No 30 55 14 30 32 28 35 8 DK/NA 9 11 8 9 8 10 9 5 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 63% 43% 78% 63% 62% 64% 60% 90% No 29 47 17 29 32 26 32 6 DK/NA 8 9 5 9 6 9 9 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 66% 51% 78% 63% 65% 67% 63% 92% No 26 40 16 27 28 25 29 6 DK/NA 8 9 5 10 7 9 9 2 16. Would you say that John McCain cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 53% 82% 34% 53% 55% 50% 56% 28% No 39 12 58 37 39 40 37 59 DK/NA 8 6 9 10 6 10 7 13 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 46% 79% 27% 46% 50% 43% 51% 5% No 44 15 65 43 43 46 40 84 DK/NA 9 6 8 11 8 11 9 11 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 46% 77% 25% 46% 49% 43% 50% 18% No 46 17 67 43 45 46 42 72 DK/NA 8 7 8 11 6 10 8 10 17. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has strong leadership qualities or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 69% 43% 87% 67% 63% 73% 68% 76% No 27 53 10 29 34 21 29 17 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 3 5 3 7 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 68% 42% 84% 71% 62% 74% 66% 88% No 28 54 12 26 34 22 30 10 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 72% 49% 87% 72% 64% 79% 71% 83% No 25 44 12 24 33 18 25 14 DK/NA 4 7 1 4 4 3 4 2 18. Would you say that Barack Obama has strong leadership qualities or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 58% 38% 73% 53% 60% 56% 53% 83% No 30 52 18 30 30 31 34 7 DK/NA 12 10 10 16 10 13 13 10 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 57% 39% 67% 60% 53% 61% 53% 90% No 33 49 25 30 39 27 36 8 DK/NA 10 12 8 10 9 12 11 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 63% 44% 74% 66% 61% 64% 59% 95% No 27 45 18 20 28 26 30 3 DK/NA 10 11 8 14 11 10 11 2 19. Would you say that John McCain has strong leadership qualities or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 73% 91% 60% 77% 78% 69% 77% 50% No 20 5 31 15 17 22 17 40 DK/NA 7 3 9 8 5 8 6 10 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 69% 90% 56% 71% 74% 66% 73% 41% No 23 5 36 22 22 24 20 46 DK/NA 8 5 9 6 4 10 7 13 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 67% 87% 53% 68% 71% 64% 70% 48% No 25 9 38 23 25 25 23 41 DK/NA 8 5 10 9 4 11 7 11 20. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think she would bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or would it be business as usual? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 48% 29% 65% 43% 38% 56% 46% 58% Business as usual 46 62 31 51 55 37 48 34 DK/NA 6 9 4 6 6 6 6 9 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 46% 31% 62% 41% 38% 53% 43% 59% Business as usual 49 65 33 54 58 40 51 32 DK/NA 6 3 6 6 4 7 5 9 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 49% 28% 65% 45% 36% 60% 48% 53% Business as usual 47 67 32 50 60 36 48 47 DK/NA 4 4 2 5 4 4 4 1 21. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think he would bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or would it be business as usual? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 57% 39% 69% 54% 52% 60% 53% 79% Business as usual 34 51 21 37 38 30 38 11 DK/NA 9 10 10 9 10 9 9 9 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 53% 39% 70% 47% 48% 58% 49% 89% Business as usual 40 54 25 46 47 33 44 6 DK/NA 7 7 5 7 5 9 7 5 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 59% 40% 73% 56% 58% 59% 54% 89% Business as usual 33 52 21 33 35 32 37 11 DK/NA 8 7 6 12 7 9 9 - 22. If John McCain is elected President, do you think he would bring about real change in the way things are done in Washington, or would it be business as usual? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 24% 48% 10% 23% 23% 25% 26% 11% Business as usual 70 46 85 70 71 69 67 83 DK/NA 6 6 5 7 6 7 6 6 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 21% 47% 8% 20% 23% 20% 24% 2% Business as usual 73 49 87 74 74 72 71 94 DK/NA 6 4 5 6 4 7 6 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Real change 20% 37% 9% 17% 18% 22% 22% 5% Business as usual 73 55 86 75 76 71 71 93 DK/NA 7 8 5 8 6 7 7 2 23. Do you think Hillary Clinton is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 36% 74% 12% 37% 44% 29% 40% 18% Too conservative 5 3 5 5 7 3 4 6 About right 49 15 74 46 41 56 47 61 DK/NA 10 9 9 13 9 12 9 15 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 35% 76% 11% 33% 42% 29% 38% 15% Too conservative 8 4 7 12 10 6 7 15 About right 49 14 76 45 42 55 47 65 DK/NA 8 6 6 9 6 10 8 6 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 34% 68% 11% 34% 42% 26% 35% 27% Too conservative 6 2 9 7 7 6 6 17 About right 52 23 76 48 45 59 52 53 DK/NA 7 6 4 12 5 9 8 3 24. Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 36% 68% 15% 35% 41% 31% 40% 17% Too conservative 5 3 8 4 5 5 5 7 About right 47 19 65 46 45 49 42 69 DK/NA 12 10 12 15 9 15 13 7 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 35% 69% 13% 35% 42% 28% 38% 5% Too conservative 5 2 6 6 5 4 4 8 About right 48 21 69 47 44 52 44 82 DK/NA 12 8 12 13 9 15 13 6 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 35% 67% 16% 28% 40% 30% 37% 13% Too conservative 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 1 About right 49 22 69 50 46 52 46 83 DK/NA 12 7 10 16 9 14 12 4 25. Do you think John McCain is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 12% 20% 10% 9% 12% 11% 11% 16% Too conservative 34 7 54 31 31 37 33 50 About right 42 69 19 47 46 38 44 19 DK/NA 12 5 16 13 10 14 12 15 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 16% 18% 15% 12% 19% 12% 14% 22% Too conservative 34 10 50 33 32 35 32 47 About right 37 67 19 39 39 36 41 14 DK/NA 14 5 16 15 10 17 13 17 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Too liberal 16% 20% 14% 13% 18% 13% 15% 17% Too conservative 35 12 50 38 34 35 33 43 About right 36 59 22 32 39 33 37 24 DK/NA 14 9 15 18 9 19 14 16 26. If Hillary Clinton is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 44% 16% 70% 37% 37% 49% 39% 67% Get worse 23 49 5 25 29 18 27 6 Stay the same 27 30 20 30 30 24 28 22 DK/NA 7 5 5 8 4 9 6 5 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 41% 14% 65% 37% 39% 44% 39% 58% Get worse 20 43 6 20 24 17 22 8 Stay the same 33 37 25 37 33 32 33 32 DK/NA 6 6 4 6 4 7 6 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 47% 16% 72% 40% 41% 52% 45% 62% Get worse 20 41 5 20 26 15 20 12 Stay the same 28 35 20 30 27 28 28 21 DK/NA 6 8 2 9 6 6 6 5 27. If Barack Obama is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 38% 14% 60% 32% 37% 40% 33% 68% Get worse 23 51 10 20 25 22 28 3 Stay the same 31 30 24 38 33 28 32 25 DK/NA 8 6 6 11 5 10 8 4 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 37% 15% 54% 37% 33% 39% 33% 68% Get worse 21 41 9 18 24 19 24 7 Stay the same 35 36 32 36 37 32 36 24 DK/NA 8 8 5 8 5 10 8 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 44% 17% 63% 42% 44% 43% 40% 78% Get worse 19 40 7 13 21 16 20 6 Stay the same 29 33 24 35 27 31 32 13 DK/NA 8 10 6 11 8 9 9 4 28. If John McCain is elected President, do you think the economy will get better, get worse or stay about the same? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 24% 46% 11% 24% 28% 21% 26% 5% Get worse 26 8 39 23 26 26 24 44 Stay the same 44 41 45 45 42 45 44 47 DK/NA 6 6 5 9 4 8 6 5 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 16% 36% 8% 10% 17% 15% 17% 6% Get worse 27 3 44 24 24 29 24 47 Stay the same 50 52 44 56 53 48 51 44 DK/NA 7 8 4 9 6 8 7 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Get better 18% 32% 8% 19% 20% 17% 20% 2% Get worse 28 7 45 24 28 29 26 37 Stay the same 46 52 43 45 47 45 46 56 DK/NA 7 9 4 11 5 9 7 5 29. Who do you blame for the Democratic campaign for President turning negative - Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or are they both equally to blame? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 24% 24% 25% 23% 31% 19% 24% 36% Obama 3 4 2 4 2 4 4 1 Equally to blame 60 65 55 63 57 63 60 52 DK/NA 13 6 17 10 10 15 12 12 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 22% 22% 23% 21% 24% 20% 19% 37% Obama 4 2 6 3 4 4 5 - Equally to blame 64 70 62 65 64 65 66 56 DK/NA 10 6 9 11 9 11 10 7 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 25% 24% 25% 27% 33% 19% 23% 52% Obama 5 3 8 3 3 7 6 - Equally to blame 59 66 56 58 55 62 61 39 DK/NA 10 6 11 12 8 12 10 9 30. Would you say that Barack Obama is an elitist, that he looks down on working class people or not? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 27% 44% 20% 24% 27% 26% 27% 20% No 65 45 74 66 66 64 63 73 DK/NA 9 11 6 10 7 10 9 7 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 27% 38% 23% 25% 30% 24% 29% 11% No 64 52 70 67 64 64 62 85 DK/NA 9 10 7 9 6 12 10 4 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 23% 32% 17% 21% 25% 21% 25% 8% No 68 58 76 69 68 69 66 91 DK/NA 9 10 7 10 7 10 9 1 31. How much have you heard or read about the controversy over Barack Obama's remark calling some voters "bitter" - A lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 41% 45% 41% 38% 47% 36% 42% 35% Some 27 25 30 27 26 29 26 31 Not much 16 17 13 19 14 18 17 15 Nothing at all 14 11 15 15 12 16 15 16 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 36% 35% 36% 37% 39% 33% 36% 21% Some 28 33 29 25 28 29 28 32 Not much 18 16 18 20 14 21 17 30 Nothing at all 16 14 15 18 18 15 17 14 DK/NA 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 46% 49% 48% 42% 54% 40% 47% 43% Some 25 24 24 27 23 27 26 12 Not much 13 13 14 12 11 16 13 23 Nothing at all 14 13 12 18 12 15 13 21 DK/NA 1 1 2 2 - 2 1 1 32. Does this controversy make you more or less enthusiastic about Obama's candidacy, or doesn't it make a difference? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 3% 1% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 6% Less enthusiastic 26 40 21 23 25 27 30 9 Doesn't make diff 66 55 69 68 69 63 62 76 DK/NA 5 4 6 6 3 7 5 9 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 4% 0% 8% 3% 4% 4% 3% 9% Less enthusiastic 23 32 18 22 23 23 25 10 Doesn't make diff 68 64 70 69 69 67 67 79 DK/NA 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 4% 2% 7% 2% 4% 4% 3% 7% Less enthusiastic 25 36 21 19 23 27 28 2 Doesn't make diff 67 60 69 74 71 64 65 85 DK/NA 4 2 4 5 2 5 4 5 33. How much have you heard or read about the controversy over Hillary Clinton's claim that she came under sniper fire while visiting Bosnia - A lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 48% 54% 44% 48% 52% 44% 51% 38% Some 20 18 23 20 21 20 21 22 Not much 15 14 14 15 12 17 13 17 Nothing at all 15 12 17 14 13 17 13 22 DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 43% 53% 38% 40% 48% 39% 44% 29% Some 21 20 22 22 21 21 21 20 Not much 13 9 16 14 12 15 13 18 Nothing at all 21 17 22 23 18 23 21 30 DK/NA 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk A lot 47% 51% 45% 43% 53% 41% 46% 54% Some 25 28 23 24 24 25 26 14 Not much 13 10 14 15 10 15 13 14 Nothing at all 15 11 17 17 12 17 15 18 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 34. Does this controversy make you more or less enthusiastic about Clinton's candidacy, or doesn't it make a difference? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% Less enthusiastic 34 44 26 36 37 31 36 28 Doesn't make diff 60 50 70 57 58 62 58 64 DK/NA 4 5 3 6 3 5 4 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 2% - 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% - Less enthusiastic 35 46 28 36 38 33 35 38 Doesn't make diff 58 51 64 57 56 61 59 56 DK/NA 5 2 4 5 5 4 5 6 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% - Less enthusiastic 34 49 24 34 39 30 33 37 Doesn't make diff 63 49 72 62 59 66 63 63 DK/NA 2 1 2 4 2 3 2 - 35. If elected, John McCain would become the first President elected at age 72. Does that make you more or less enthusiastic about his candidacy, or doesn't it make a difference? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 4% Less enthusiastic 32 13 47 30 31 34 31 46 Doesn't make diff 65 83 50 68 67 63 66 50 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% Less enthusiastic 30 10 44 27 28 31 27 49 Doesn't make diff 65 86 50 71 67 64 68 43 DK/NA 2 - 2 - 2 2 2 6 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More enthusiastic 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 4% Less enthusiastic 36 18 49 35 34 37 35 38 Doesn't make diff 62 79 49 64 64 60 62 57 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 36. What should the United States do in Iraq? Withdraw all troops as soon as possible, OR Set a timetable to withdraw troops gradually OR Keep troops in Iraq as long as needed? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Withdraw all troops 26% 6% 39% 25% 24% 27% 24% 31% Set a timetable 43 27 49 48 38 47 41 56 Keep troops as needed 27 63 9 24 33 22 30 10 DK/NA 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Withdraw all troops 24% 5% 34% 27% 20% 27% 22% 47% Set a timetable 45 34 53 44 42 47 44 43 Keep troops as needed 27 58 9 26 34 21 30 7 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Withdraw all troops 22% 7% 33% 19% 19% 24% 19% 37% Set a timetable 49 38 56 51 46 52 48 58 Keep troops as needed 26 51 9 26 33 20 29 4 DK/NA 3 4 2 4 2 5 4 - 37. Do you think it's the government's responsibility to make sure that everyone in the United States has adequate health-care, or don't you think so? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 68% 39% 86% 70% 63% 71% 63% 85% No 28 58 10 27 34 24 33 12 DK/NA 4 4 5 3 3 5 4 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 67% 36% 85% 69% 57% 75% 64% 89% No 30 61 12 29 41 21 33 9 DK/NA 3 4 4 2 2 5 4 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 68% 39% 87% 69% 61% 74% 65% 92% No 29 59 10 28 37 23 32 6 DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 38. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Getting ahead 13% 21% 11% 8% 16% 10% 12% 18% Falling behind 21 13 26 22 19 22 21 19 Holding steady 65 66 62 69 64 66 67 62 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Getting ahead 12% 19% 10% 9% 14% 10% 12% 9% Falling behind 25 13 29 29 23 27 25 25 Holding steady 62 67 60 62 62 62 62 66 DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Getting ahead 12% 13% 10% 14% 16% 8% 11% 20% Falling behind 25 13 34 22 19 30 24 34 Holding steady 62 72 55 63 64 60 64 44 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 39. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 24% 60% 5% 21% 27% 22% 27% 1% Disapprove 71 32 93 73 69 72 68 96 DK/NA 5 8 2 6 4 6 5 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 23% 58% 6% 18% 25% 21% 25% 7% Disapprove 71 32 92 77 71 72 69 90 DK/NA 6 10 2 5 5 7 6 3 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 23% 53% 6% 16% 23% 22% 25% 9% Disapprove 73 42 92 77 72 74 70 91 DK/NA 4 6 2 7 5 4 5 - 40. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the right thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? FL Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 32% 74% 8% 29% 34% 30% 35% 5% Wrong thing 63 20 88 65 62 64 60 92 DK/NA 5 6 4 6 4 6 5 3 OH Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 30% 67% 10% 27% 34% 27% 34% 1% Wrong thing 63 26 84 67 63 64 59 96 DK/NA 6 6 6 6 3 9 6 2 PA Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Right thing 30% 64% 11% 23% 33% 28% 33% 7% Wrong thing 64 29 84 70 63 64 60 91 DK/NA 6 8 4 7 5 8 7 2
