February 8, 2012 - Obama Inches Past Romney In Virginia Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Senate Race Still Tied Word format For the first time in this election cycle, President Barack Obama inches ahead of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the leading Republican candidate, 47 - 43 percent in Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Romney has a commanding lead among likely Republican primary voters in the state's no-Newt Gingrich presidential primary. Today's results contrast to results of a December 21 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Romney with 44 percent and President Obama with 42 percent. Virginia voters still give the president a slightly negative 46 - 49 percent job approval rating. They split 46 - 48 percent on whether Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office, but that represents a serious improvement from December when voters said 53 - 41 percent he did not deserve four more years. In the state's hotly contested U.S. Senate race Democrat Tim Kaine has 45 percent to Republican George Allen's 44 percent. In the Obama-Romney matchup, independent voters favor the president 45 - 41 percent, compared to a 41 - 41 percent tie in December. A gender gap is opening up as women shift to the president, backing him 52 - 40 percent, compared to a 43 - 45 percent split in December. Men back Romney 47 - 43 percent, compared to 43 - 42 percent in December. "For the first time since Quinnipiac University began polling Virginia voters on the race, President Barack Obama holds a razor-thin lead over Gov. Mitt Romney," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "The keys are the president's improved standing among independent voters and women in the Old Dominion." "The Obama bump could be driven by the perception that the economy is improving. And, the nasty GOP primary fight is not helping Romney, exposing swing voters to lots of negative attacks on him from within his own party," Brown added. The president also leads former House Speaker Newt Gingrich 51 - 37 percent, as he tops former Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum 49 - 41 percent and Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul 47 - 40 percent. In the GOP primary, Romney is the heavy favorite to win Virginia's delegates. That's because Santorum and Gingrich failed to qualify for the ballot. Romney leads Ron Paul among GOP likely primary voters 68 - 19 percent. "Leading up to Super Tuesday, when the GOP candidates will be fighting over almost a dozen states, Virginia voters likely will be spared the negative television commercials and direct mail attacks since the outcome of its primary is pretty much pre-ordained," said Brown. The Senate race has been tight as a tick all year, with neither man ahead by more than two points among all voters. In this survey, Kaine leads 44 - 40 percent among independent voters. "Kaine's standing in the Senate race will almost certainly be tied to Virginia's view of the president. Politics is a team game and when the captain of the blue team improves his standing, the rest of the team also benefits," said Brown. From February 1 - 6, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,544 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Republican primary includes 546 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percent. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. There will be two candidates on the ballot, Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney or Ron Paul? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Romney or Paul? (Table includes leaners and early voters) LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Romney 68% 68% 68% 74% 59% 73% 74% 68% 69% Paul 19 23 15 17 24 12 18 16 20 DK/NA 13 9 17 10 17 15 8 16 11 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Romney 73% 65% 65% 65% 80% 72% 57% 65% 70% Paul 18 20 23 20 12 14 24 26 18 DK/NA 9 15 13 16 8 14 19 10 12 CANDIDATE CHOICE Q1b NG RS Romney 70% 65% Paul 10 23 DK/NA 20 12 1a. (Candidate choice given q1) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS CANDIDATE CHOICE Q1 Tot MR RP Mind made up 63% 66% 53% Might change 35 33 45 DK/NA 1 1 2 1b. Suppose Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum were also on the ballot. If the Republican primary for President were being held today, would you vote for: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, or Newt Gingrich? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Romney, Paul, Santorum, or Gingrich? (Table includes leaners) LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Romney 37% 35% 40% 33% 40% 32% 45% 22% 43% Paul 12 15 10 9 19 5 9 5 15 Santorum 18 18 18 23 12 22 17 23 17 Gingrich 27 28 25 31 21 36 24 43 20 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 - - - 2 DK/NA 5 3 7 4 6 5 5 7 3 COLLEGE DEG AGE IN YEARS..... ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME Yes No 18-49 50-64 65+ <30K 30-50 50-100 >100 Romney 44% 33% 42% 26% 44% 37% 35% 30% 40% Paul 11 13 16 11 7 11 19 13 12 Santorum 22 15 18 18 17 14 14 25 18 Gingrich 18 32 19 35 30 28 22 31 23 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 - 1 2 - 2 DK/NA 4 5 5 7 1 8 9 2 5 2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 47% 6% 93% 45% 43% 52% 36% 91% Romney 43 86 5 41 47 40 54 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 - 4 4 3 4 - DK/NA 5 4 2 8 5 5 5 4 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 29% 27% 37% 19% 40% 52% 49% 44% Romney 46 59 63 57 69 53 36 43 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 5 4 1 5 2 6 3 2 DK/NA 4 6 5 4 5 4 5 5 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 52% 45% 57% 41% 49% 45% Romney 40 44 36 44 42 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 4 3 4 4 3 DK/NA 4 6 4 10 4 3 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS......... Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 Sep 15 2012 2011 2011 2011 Obama 47 42 44 42 Romney 43 44 45 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 5 7 7 9 3. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 51% 12% 94% 50% 46% 55% 40% 89% Gingrich 37 78 3 32 42 33 47 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 - 7 5 4 5 - DK/NA 5 4 2 7 4 6 5 5 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 52% 32% 31% 39% 24% 43% 56% 52% 48% Gingrich 38 53 55 52 63 44 29 37 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 1 3 1 3 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 7 6 3 7 4 8 4 3 DK/NA 5 5 6 4 4 6 5 5 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 57% 47% 59% 46% 51% 49% Gingrich 33 39 28 38 40 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 6 6 5 3 4 DK/NA 5 6 5 9 3 5 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Newt Gingrich the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 2012 2011 Obama 51 46% Gingrich 37 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 DK/NA 5 6 4. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Rick Santorum the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 49% 6% 95% 49% 45% 52% 38% 87% Santorum 41 83 3 38 46 37 52 6 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 6 - 5 5 4 5 - DK/NA 5 3 2 7 3 6 4 6 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 49% 31% 28% 35% 20% 41% 53% 50% 46% Santorum 44 57 60 57 71 49 33 41 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 6 5 2 4 5 9 3 2 DK/NA 4 4 5 5 4 5 3 5 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 55% 46% 57% 48% 48% 47% Santorum 39 42 33 39 46 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 4 4 3 5 DK/NA 3 5 5 7 2 3 5. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and - Ron Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 47% 8% 93% 43% 43% 51% 37% 84% Paul 40 74 3 44 44 36 49 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 11 - 6 7 5 8 - DK/NA 6 6 3 7 5 7 6 6 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 30% 29% 38% 19% 41% 47% 49% 46% Paul 43 53 55 51 61 47 39 41 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 10 9 4 12 6 10 4 6 DK/NA 6 6 6 7 7 6 4 5 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 52% 44% 55% 46% 44% 46% Paul 38 41 29 40 46 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 8 7 5 6 5 DK/NA 6 6 7 7 4 5 6. Is your opinion of - Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 66% 66% 65% 70% 59% 67% 77% 72% 65% Unfavorable 20 21 19 18 24 19 15 22 19 Hvn't hrd enough 12 11 14 11 13 13 7 4 14 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 43% 68% 23% 41% 46% 40% 52% 20% Unfavorable 39 18 58 40 40 38 34 51 Hvn't hrd enough 15 12 17 14 11 19 12 27 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 3 3 3 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 43 37 38 Unfavorable 39 27 29 Hvn't hrd enough 15 33 31 REFUSED 3 3 2 7. Is your opinion of - Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 46% 51% 40% 56% 34% 54% 52% 71% 36% Unfavorable 40 36 44 32 51 34 37 22 48 Hvn't hrd enough 13 11 15 12 11 10 10 6 14 REFUSED 2 2 1 - 4 1 1 - 2 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 28% 51% 7% 27% 35% 22% 33% 12% Unfavorable 56 35 78 58 54 57 54 61 Hvn't hrd enough 15 12 14 13 9 19 11 26 REFUSED 2 2 - 2 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 2012 2011 Favorable 28 29% Unfavorable 56 45 Hvn't hrd enough 15 23 REFUSED 2 3 8. Is your opinion of - Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 52% 55% 48% 65% 40% 63% 58% 69% 47% Unfavorable 15 20 10 8 24 9 11 9 18 Hvn't hrd enough 33 24 42 27 36 28 31 23 35 REFUSED - - - - - - 1 - - ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 32% 56% 12% 31% 38% 28% 39% 15% Unfavorable 28 8 50 30 32 25 25 36 Hvn't hrd enough 38 35 38 38 30 46 35 50 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 9. Is your opinion of - Ron Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS.......................... WhtBrnAgnEv TEA PARTY Tot Men Wom Con Mod Yes No Yes No Favorable 38% 45% 31% 37% 40% 29% 43% 45% 36% Unfavorable 35 36 35 40 27 39 39 38 36 Hvn't hrd enough 25 18 31 20 30 28 17 17 26 REFUSED 2 1 3 2 3 4 1 1 2 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 34% 35% 26% 42% 42% 27% 36% 25% Unfavorable 33 35 43 26 34 33 34 32 Hvn't hrd enough 30 26 30 30 21 38 27 41 REFUSED 2 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 10. Is your opinion of - Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 50% 7% 94% 51% 45% 55% 40% 93% Unfavorable 47 90 5 46 52 42 58 6 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 - 3 1 2 2 - WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 49% 33% 31% 36% 24% 41% 54% 50% 48% Unfavorable 49 64 67 63 74 57 42 47 49 Hvn't hrd enough 1 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 REFUSED 1 2 1 - 2 1 3 1 1 ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................... COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Favorable 54% 48% 59% 49% 49% 47% Unfavorable 44 49 39 47 49 51 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 1 1 1 1 REFUSED 2 1 1 3 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 50 45 45 Unfavorable 47 47 49 Hvn't hrd enough 1 3 2 REFUSED 2 4 3 11. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 31% 43% 32% 23% 34% 29% 30% 40% Less 23 15 15 34 20 25 24 10 About the same 46 42 53 42 46 46 46 49 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ More 28% 31% 32% 35% 33% 30% 26% 31% 35% Less 23 25 25 20 25 22 24 25 19 About the same 49 43 42 45 41 47 50 44 45 DK/NA - 1 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K More 29% 32% 24% 35% 31% 32% Less 23 22 21 21 26 23 About the same 47 45 55 42 43 44 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 - 1 TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2011 2011 More 31 30 35 Less 23 23 20 About the same 46 46 44 DK/NA 1 1 1 12. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Allen 44% 89% 4% 40% 49% 39% 53% 10% Kaine 45 5 90 44 42 47 36 80 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 3 1 2 2 DK/NA(VOL) 9 5 5 12 6 11 8 8 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Allen 45% 59% 62% 55% 71% 51% 38% 43% 49% Kaine 47 29 28 36 20 40 48 47 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 2 1 5 2 - DK/NA(VOL) 7 9 8 8 7 8 9 8 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Allen 38% 47% 38% 38% 48% 46% Kaine 53 40 49 47 43 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 4 1 1 DK/NA(VOL) 7 10 10 9 7 8 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................. Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 Sep 15 Jun 30 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Allen 44 44 44 45 42 Kaine 45 42 45 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 1 2 DK/NA(VOL) 9 12 9 9 11 13. Is your opinion of - George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 42% 78% 9% 42% 47% 38% 51% 18% Unfavorable 29 4 59 27 30 28 26 43 Hvn't hrd enough 27 18 31 29 21 33 23 38 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 42 41 45 Unfavorable 29 27 28 Hvn't hrd enough 27 30 26 REFUSED 1 2 1 14. Is your opinion of - Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 46% 15% 78% 45% 44% 47% 40% 73% Unfavorable 29 58 4 24 33 25 35 6 Hvn't hrd enough 25 26 17 28 22 27 24 20 REFUSED 1 1 - 3 2 1 1 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 46 42 47 Unfavorable 29 27 29 Hvn't hrd enough 25 28 23 REFUSED 1 2 1 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 46% 7% 91% 43% 41% 51% 36% 87% Disapprove 49 89 5 50 55 44 60 5 DK/NA 5 3 4 6 4 6 4 7 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 46% 30% 28% 34% 20% 39% 50% 47% 45% Disapprove 50 67 68 64 76 59 44 48 52 DK/NA 4 4 4 2 4 2 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Approve 51% 44% 56% 45% 45% 44% Disapprove 45 51 40 50 49 53 DK/NA 4 5 3 5 6 3 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................. Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 Sep 15 Jun 30 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Approve 46 42 45 40 48 Disapprove 49 51 52 54 48 DK/NA 5 7 3 6 4 22. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 46% 6% 94% 43% 40% 51% 34% 89% No/Does not 48 92 5 48 54 44 60 6 DK/NA 5 2 2 9 6 5 5 5 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Deserves 45% 28% 27% 31% 19% 37% 51% 46% 44% No/Does not 51 66 69 66 77 59 43 48 51 DK/NA 4 6 5 2 4 5 6 6 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Yes/Deserves 50% 44% 58% 46% 44% 41% No/Does not 46 50 40 47 52 54 DK/NA 4 6 2 7 5 5 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS................. Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 Sep 15 Jun 30 2012 2011 2011 2011 2011 Yes/Deserves 46 41 44 41 47 No/Does not 48 53 51 51 47 DK/NA 5 6 5 8 6 23. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Mitt Romney? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS............................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 44% 7% 89% 39% 39% 48% 32% 86% Romney 47 87 8 48 52 42 58 7 DK/NA 9 6 4 13 8 11 10 7 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 42% 26% 23% 28% 16% 34% 47% 45% 41% Romney 50 63 67 65 76 57 43 46 50 DK/NA 7 11 10 7 8 9 9 9 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 48% 41% 53% 44% 42% 41% Romney 44 48 41 45 48 51 DK/NA 8 10 6 11 10 8 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 2012 2011 Obama 44 41% Romney 47 46 DK/NA 9 13 24. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or - Newt Gingrich? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS...................................... Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 49% 9% 94% 47% 45% 53% 38% 89% Gingrich 41 81 3 39 46 36 51 4 DK/NA 10 10 3 14 9 12 11 7 WHITE.................................. COLLEGE DEG WhtBrnAgnEv AGE IN YRS....... Yes No Prot Cath Yes No 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 49% 31% 29% 32% 21% 40% 50% 50% 47% Gingrich 43 56 61 57 68 50 36 40 44 DK/NA 8 13 11 11 11 11 14 9 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K Obama 54% 46% 57% 49% 48% 45% Gingrich 38 42 32 40 43 47 DK/NA 7 12 11 11 9 8 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Newt Gingrich? ALL REGISTERED VOTERS Feb 08 Dec 21 2012 2011 Obama 49 43% Gingrich 41 45 DK/NA 10 12 Demographic Summary
