July 19, 2012 - Romney Catches Obama In Virginia, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Race Remains Too Close To Call Word format Republican challenger Mitt Romney wipes out President Barack Obama's lead in Virginia and the two candidates are deadlocked 44 - 44 percent in the race for the Old Dominion's 13 electoral votes, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 50 - 42 percent lead for President Obama in a March 20 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University and a 47 - 42 percent Obama lead June 7. In the state's hotly-contested U.S. Senate race Republican George Allen has 46 percent to 44 percent for Democrat Tim Kaine. By a narrow 47 - 44 percent, voters say Romney would do a better job on the economy. But voters support 59 - 36 percent Obama's call to raise income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year. Support is strong among all income groups - except voters in households making more than $250,000 per year, where 48 percent support the idea and 51 percent oppose it. In the presidential race, Romney takes Republicans 91 - 4 percent while Obama takes Democrats 92 - 4 percent. Independent voters are divided with 40 percent for Obama and 38 percent for Romney. The president leads 46 - 41 percent among women while Romney wins with men 46 - 42 percent. White voters go to Romney 55 - 33 percent while black voters back Obama 88 - 1 percent. "Virginia voters are sharply split along gender and political lines about the presidential race. The two candidates equally hold their own political bases and are splitting the key independent vote down the middle," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "One small edge that President Barack Obama has is likability. Voters have a slightly more favorable opinion of the president than they do Gov. Mitt Romney." "But neither man is exactly Mr. Popularity: Romney has a negative 39 - 42 percent favorability, compared to Obama's divided 46 - 48 percent. One of them is going to win the White House, but neither would get elected Prom King," Brown added. Virginia voters disapprove 51 - 45 percent of the job Obama is doing and say 50 - 47 percent he does not deserves a second term in office. In the U.S. Senate race, neither former governor has managed a lead outside the margin of error since Quinnipiac University began polling the race last year. Today, Republicans back Allen 92 - 4 percent while Democrats back Kaine 87 - 5 percent. Independent voters go 44 percent for Kaine and 42 percent for Allen, a tie. Men back Allen 50 - 43 percent, while women are split with 45 percent for Kaine and 42 percent for Allen. "The Senate race remains a dog fight and every indication is it will remain that way until November 6," said Brown. "Interestingly the vast majority of voters say their votes in the Senate race will be about the candidates themselves and have no relation to their feelings about the president." Obama is not a factor in how they will vote for Senator, 61 percent of Virginia voters say, while 15 percent say their Senate choice is a vote for the president and 19 percent say they are voting against the president. Allen has a 43 - 28 percent favorability rating while Kaine has a 43 - 34 percent favorability. Virginia voters are split 47 - 47 percent on whether they agree with the Supreme Court's decision upholding the president's health care plan. But by 50 - 43 percent they want Congress to repeal the law. The court's health care decision will not affect their vote for president, 63 percent of voters say. Another 25 percent say it will make them less likely to back the president's re- election, while 10 percent say more likely. From July 10 - 16, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,673 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 44% 4% 92% 40% 42% 46% 33% 88% Romney 44 91 4 38 46 41 55 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 2 2 2 1 DK/NA 8 4 3 15 8 9 7 9 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 41% 29% 24% 32% 33% 34% 15% 38% 46% Romney 51 57 62 57 57 53 69 53 45 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 3 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 4 9 9 4 6 9 10 6 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 47% 42% 50% 46% 39% 44% 54% 40% 42% Romney 43 44 35 41 49 49 34 47 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 3 1 DK/NA 6 10 12 10 8 4 9 8 8 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and Mitt Romney the Republican, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 Sep 15 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011 Obama 44 47 50 47 42 44 42 Romney 44 42 42 43 44 45 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 1 3 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 4 3 3 3 2 DK/NA 8 6 3 5 7 7 9 2. Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 39% 78% 7% 33% 42% 36% 48% 4% Unfavorable 42 9 77 42 41 44 34 73 Hvn't hrd enough 16 11 14 20 14 19 15 20 REFUSED 3 1 2 4 4 2 2 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 50% 46% 54% 52% 51% 45% 55% 48% 39% Unfavorable 39 31 28 38 34 35 22 37 46 Hvn't hrd enough 9 19 15 10 12 19 21 12 12 REFUSED 1 3 3 - 4 1 2 3 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 42% 37% 28% 37% 42% 46% 28% 43% 41% Unfavorable 45 40 43 41 41 43 46 42 39 Hvn't hrd enough 11 20 27 20 13 9 23 14 15 REFUSED 2 3 2 3 4 2 3 1 4 TREND: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 39 39 36 43 37 38 Unfavorable 42 37 43 39 27 29 Hvn't hrd enough 16 21 18 15 33 31 REFUSED 3 3 3 3 3 2 3. Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 46% 7% 93% 42% 43% 48% 34% 92% Unfavorable 48 88 4 48 50 46 59 5 Hvn't hrd enough 3 3 1 5 3 4 4 1 REFUSED 3 1 2 5 4 2 3 3 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Favorable 42% 29% 26% 34% 32% 37% 18% 38% 46% Unfavorable 53 63 66 62 61 56 74 56 49 Hvn't hrd enough 2 5 4 3 4 4 6 2 3 REFUSED 3 3 3 1 4 2 2 4 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 49% 44% 51% 49% 38% 47% 53% 43% 44% Unfavorable 46 49 41 48 55 49 40 52 49 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 4 3 4 2 3 3 4 REFUSED 3 3 5 - 3 2 4 2 3 TREND: Is your opinion of Barack Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 46 50 51 50 45 45 Unfavorable 48 44 44 47 47 49 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 3 1 3 2 REFUSED 3 2 2 2 4 3 4. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More 38% 46% 38% 35% 41% 36% 36% 46% Less 24 20 18 30 21 27 27 15 About the same 37 33 43 35 37 36 36 39 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld More 37% 36% 36% 39% 39% 33% 35% 36% 44% Less 24 29 27 24 24 30 31 24 23 About the same 39 34 37 34 36 36 34 38 33 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More 37% 39% 32% 35% 37% 45% 30% 43% 39% Less 23 25 29 28 25 19 30 22 23 About the same 39 35 38 36 37 36 40 34 38 DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 - 1 1 - TREND: Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 More 38 31 33 31 30 35 Less 24 25 25 23 23 20 About the same 37 44 41 46 46 44 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 5. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Allen 46% 92% 5% 42% 50% 42% 57% 3% Kaine 44 4 87 44 43 45 33 86 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 9 4 8 11 6 12 8 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Allen 44% 47% 33% 41% 51% 51% 33% 47% 52% Kaine 50 40 53 47 38 45 53 41 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - 2 - 2 1 1 DK/NA 6 11 14 10 8 3 13 10 5 TREND: If the election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were George Allen the Republican and Tim Kaine the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (2011 wording referenced "2012 election") ALLEN......... High Low Jul 19 Jun 06 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Jul 19 Jun 30 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011 Allen 46 43 44 44 44 46 42 Kaine 44 44 47 45 42 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 DK/NA(VOL) 9 10 8 9 12 9 11 6. Do you think of your vote for United States Senator as a vote for Barack Obama, or as a vote against Barack Obama, or isn't Barack Obama much of a factor in your vote for United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk For Obama 15% 1% 37% 11% 13% 17% 8% 48% Against Obama 19 40 1 15 20 17 23 1 Obama not a factor 61 54 57 68 62 60 65 44 DK/NA 5 4 5 6 5 6 4 7 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld For Obama 7% 8% 4% 8% 6% 10% 5% 6% 11% Against Obama 17 27 27 21 24 22 31 21 18 Obama not a factor 74 59 64 65 66 63 60 69 65 DK/NA 2 6 5 6 3 6 5 4 7 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ For Obama 10% 18% 25% 19% 12% 9% 23% 11% 14% Against Obama 14 21 15 19 23 17 14 17 23 Obama not a factor 73 53 52 57 62 72 59 67 57 DK/NA 2 7 9 5 3 1 4 4 7 7. Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 43% 81% 10% 39% 47% 39% 52% 9% Unfavorable 28 3 53 28 30 27 23 50 Hvn't hrd enough 27 15 35 30 21 33 23 39 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 41% 44% 32% 38% 49% 48% 32% 45% 48% Unfavorable 38 22 25 29 24 35 18 29 32 Hvn't hrd enough 20 32 42 32 26 16 48 25 17 REFUSED 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of George Allen favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 19 Jun 06 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 43 41 41 42 41 45 Unfavorable 28 27 26 29 27 28 Hvn't hrd enough 27 31 32 27 30 26 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 8. Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 43% 14% 75% 42% 43% 44% 36% 76% Unfavorable 34 63 5 34 38 30 40 6 Hvn't hrd enough 21 22 19 22 17 25 23 17 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Favorable 51% 39% 48% 41% 38% 47% 46% 43% 43% Unfavorable 31 36 27 38 35 35 27 34 38 Hvn't hrd enough 17 24 24 20 26 15 26 22 17 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 TREND: Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Jul 19 Jun 06 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Oct 11 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 Favorable 43 44 48 46 42 47 Unfavorable 34 28 29 29 27 29 Hvn't hrd enough 21 26 23 25 28 23 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 1 13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 45% 6% 90% 42% 43% 46% 33% 93% Disapprove 51 92 7 53 54 49 62 4 DK/NA 4 2 3 5 3 4 4 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Approve 40% 29% 25% 32% 33% 34% 16% 36% 46% Disapprove 57 66 71 67 64 61 77 60 52 DK/NA 3 5 5 2 3 5 6 4 3 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Approve 47% 44% 50% 51% 40% 43% 57% 40% 42% Disapprove 50 52 44 48 57 54 42 55 53 DK/NA 3 4 6 1 3 3 1 4 4 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? APPROVE....... High Low Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Mar 20 Sep 15 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012 2011 Approve 45 48 49 46 42 49 40 Disapprove 51 47 47 49 51 47 54 DK/NA 4 5 4 5 7 4 6 16. Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes/Deserves 47% 5% 94% 45% 45% 49% 35% 96% No/Does not 50 93 5 49 52 47 62 2 DK/NA 3 2 1 6 3 4 4 2 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes/Deserves 42% 31% 25% 32% 34% 35% 17% 38% 47% No/Does not 57 65 71 67 63 61 77 60 51 DK/NA 2 5 4 1 3 4 6 2 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes/Deserves 50% 45% 52% 50% 41% 48% 57% 44% 44% No/Does not 48 51 44 47 55 51 40 53 52 DK/NA 3 4 4 4 4 2 3 3 4 TREND: Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected? (*High also 49% Mar 2012, **Low also 41% Sep 2011) YES/DESERVES.. High Low Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 Jun 07 Dec 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2012* 2011** Yes/Deserves 47 49 49 46 41 49 41 No/Does not 50 47 47 48 53 47 53 DK/NA 3 5 4 5 6 5 6 17. Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 54% 19% 94% 54% 53% 55% 45% 95% No 43 79 5 42 44 42 52 4 DK/NA 3 2 1 4 3 3 3 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 54% 39% 37% 42% 46% 44% 27% 49% 55% No 44 58 60 58 52 52 69 49 41 DK/NA 2 4 3 - 2 3 4 2 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 61% 51% 54% 57% 53% 55% 65% 53% 49% No 37 46 43 40 45 43 33 44 47 DK/NA 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 18. Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 42% 79% 13% 36% 43% 40% 50% 8% No 50 15 80 55 50 51 42 83 DK/NA 8 6 7 9 8 9 8 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Yes 53% 48% 56% 48% 52% 49% 57% 49% 41% No 40 43 37 45 42 42 31 45 51 DK/NA 7 9 8 7 6 10 11 7 8 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Yes 46% 39% 33% 39% 42% 48% 34% 46% 42% No 47 52 57 54 48 48 58 48 47 DK/NA 7 9 10 7 10 4 7 6 11 19. Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Obama 44% 4% 89% 41% 42% 46% 33% 91% Romney 47 92 5 45 50 45 59 3 DK/NA 9 4 5 14 8 9 9 6 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Obama 39% 29% 24% 31% 32% 33% 16% 36% 46% Romney 56 60 66 65 61 57 72 57 48 DK/NA 6 11 9 4 7 10 11 7 6 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Obama 46% 43% 52% 48% 38% 44% 55% 39% 42% Romney 48 47 36 43 54 52 37 52 49 DK/NA 6 10 12 10 8 4 8 9 9 TREND: Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? Jul 19 Jun 07 Mar 20 Feb 08 Dec 21 2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 Obama 44 44 47 44 41 Romney 47 46 45 47 46 DK/NA 9 11 8 9 13 20. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit, do you support or oppose raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Support 59% 33% 85% 60% 54% 65% 55% 80% Oppose 36 62 13 34 42 31 41 16 DK/NA 4 5 2 6 5 4 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME......... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 100-250 >250 Support 61% 58% 67% 66% 55% 62% 48% Oppose 37 36 28 26 42 36 51 DK/NA 2 6 5 7 2 2 1 21. Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law, or should they let it stand? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Repeal it 50% 87% 11% 51% 54% 47% 61% 8% Let it stand 43 9 81 42 42 45 33 85 DK/NA 6 4 8 6 4 8 6 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Repeal it 54% 65% 69% 58% 63% 58% 76% 58% 52% Let it stand 42 27 24 39 34 33 16 36 43 DK/NA 3 8 7 3 3 9 7 6 5 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Repeal it 46% 53% 47% 45% 57% 51% 48% 53% 49% Let it stand 51 39 42 46 39 46 46 42 43 DK/NA 3 8 11 9 4 3 6 5 8 TREND: Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law, or should they let it stand? (2011 wording referenced "new health care law") Jul 19 Oct 11 Sep 15 Jun 30 2012 2011 2011 2011 Repeal it 50 50 51 49 Let it stand 43 41 38 42 DK/NA 6 9 11 9 22. The Supreme Court has heard a challenge to the health care law and voted to uphold it. Do you agree or disagree with the Supreme Court decision to uphold the health care law? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Agree 47% 11% 82% 50% 47% 47% 38% 84% Disagree 47 83 11 46 47 47 57 8 DK/NA 6 6 7 4 6 6 5 8 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld Agree 49% 31% 30% 40% 40% 37% 21% 41% 49% Disagree 47 63 64 57 56 57 72 55 47 DK/NA 4 6 6 3 4 6 6 4 4 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ Agree 57% 41% 42% 47% 44% 54% 51% 44% 47% Disagree 40 52 48 45 52 43 43 51 47 DK/NA 4 7 10 7 5 3 7 6 6 23. Does this Supreme Court decision make you more likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, less likely to vote for Barack Obama for President, or doesn't it make a difference? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk More likely 10% 1% 20% 9% 9% 11% 7% 24% Less likely 25 48 3 22 23 27 31 - No difference 63 49 74 66 67 59 60 75 DK/NA 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 1 WHITE.............................................. COLLEGE DEG BornAgnEv Miltry Yes No Prot Cath Men Wom Yes No HsHld More likely 5% 8% 4% 7% 6% 8% 5% 7% 8% Less likely 25 35 35 33 27 35 42 27 25 No difference 69 53 58 59 65 54 49 66 65 DK/NA - 4 3 1 1 3 4 1 2 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HOUSEHOLD INCOME... AGE IN YRS....... Yes No <30K 30-50 50-100 >100K 18-34 35-54 55+ More likely 7% 12% 15% 12% 6% 9% 17% 8% 8% Less likely 21 27 22 28 26 24 19 25 28 No difference 72 58 59 57 67 66 64 65 61 DK/NA - 3 4 3 1 1 - 2 3 Demographic Summary
