August 22, 2013 - Virginia Voters Tell NYC's Bloomberg To (Gun) Butt Out, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Divided On Whether Governor Is Honest PDF format New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg should keep his nose out of Virginia issues, 52 percent of Old Dominion voters say, while 43 percent say the State Legislature should try to address Mayor Bloomberg's claim that many guns used in New York City crimes come from Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. There is wide partisan, gender and racial divisions on the gun question, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Democrats say 67 - 29 percent that the State Legislature should address the issue, while Republicans say 74 - 22 percent that Bloomberg should not be involved in Virginia issues, with independent voters agreeing 57 - 38 percent. Against Bloomberg are men, 57 - 37 percent, and white voters, 56 - 40 percent. Women are divided 48 - 48 percent and black voters back the New York City mayor 55 - 38 percent. "The sizable splits on this question across political, racial and gender lines largely reflect the division of opinion in Virginia and the country on gun control matters," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. Virginia voters are divided 42 - 41 percent on whether Gov. Bob McDonnell is honest and trustworthy, compared to a July 17 survey when voters said 44 - 36 percent he was honest. There is a large partisan split as Republicans vouch for the governor 69 - 18 percent while Democrats say he is not honest 55 - 25 percent. Independent voters are divided 44 - 40 percent. Voters still approve 47 - 39 percent of the job Gov. Bob McDonnell is doing, little changed from his all-time low 46 - 37 percent score July 17. The governor gets a split 34 - 35 percent favorability rating. "Virginia voters are not giving Gov. Bob McDonnell a ringing vote of confidence for his honesty and integrity," Brown added. "His approval rating and favorable/unfavorable ratio are a far cry from when the governor was admired for his job performance and liked by voters. McDonnell's favorability numbers were slightly positive 36 - 33 percent in July, and back in May it was almost two-to-one favorable, 40 - 23 percent. "The fact that he gets a thumbs up for his job performance but a split on favorability indicates that to some degree voters seem able to separate their views of him personally and their evaluation of his ability to run the state. But as the questions about his and his family's relationship with a prominent campaign donor continue to swirl he will have a difficult time pushing his numbers up." Looking ahead to the 2016 presidential campaign, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton continues to be the apple of Virginia voters' eyes, leading New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie 46 - 37 percent, compared to 45 - 40 percent when Quinnipiac University asked that question in July. Christie continues to lead Vice President Joseph Biden, 44 - 37 percent today compared to 46 - 38 percent last month. Clinton crushes Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas 53 - 34 percent. Biden tops Cruz 47 - 37 percent. Virginia voters give President Barack Obama a split 48 - 48 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 46 - 51 percent score last month. U.S. Sen. Mark Warner gets a 61 - 25 percent job approval rating, with a 55 - 32 percent score for Sen. Tim Kaine. From August 14 - 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,374 registered voters with a margin of error of +/-2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and the nation as a public service and for research. For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter. 4. Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 34% 54% 16% 38% 36% 32% 38% 23% Unfavorable 35 13 54 34 38 33 34 49 Hvn't hrd enough 28 30 29 25 24 31 25 27 REFUSED 3 3 1 3 2 3 3 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Bob McDonnell favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? FAVORABLE..... High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 20 Jan 09 Aug 22 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Favorable 34 36 40 42 41 45 34 Unfavorable 35 33 23 22 24 23 35 Hvn't hrd enough 28 28 35 33 33 30 28 REFUSED 3 4 2 4 3 2 3 9. (INTRO Q9-16: Thinking far ahead to the 2016 election for President... ) If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 46% 6% 90% 36% 40% 53% 38% 77% Christie 37 84 2 41 42 33 46 11 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 2 - 6 6 2 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 1 7 6 3 5 - DK/NA 8 3 6 10 7 9 7 11 WHITE........................................ COLLEGE DEG RELIGION.......... Yes No Prot Cath None Men Wom Clinton 40% 37% 31% 35% 58% 30% 45% Christie 43 47 54 50 22 50 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 3 2 4 7 5 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 6 4 4 8 2 DK/NA 7 8 7 6 8 6 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 46% 46% 53% 38% 47% 49% 47% 46% 44% Christie 37 38 29 44 42 33 38 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 4 5 4 2 7 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 5 4 7 3 5 5 3 4 DK/NA 8 8 9 7 6 6 6 10 10 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 22 Jul 17 2013 2013 Clinton 46 45 Christie 37 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 DK/NA 8 9 10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 37% 3% 79% 28% 34% 40% 28% 66% Christie 44 88 9 47 47 42 54 14 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 2 1 7 7 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 6 5 3 4 1 DK/NA 10 3 10 12 8 12 9 16 WHITE........................................ COLLEGE DEG RELIGION.......... Yes No Prot Cath None Men Wom Biden 32% 26% 22% 27% 43% 26% 30% Christie 50 56 60 54 38 56 51 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 4 4 4 7 6 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 4 5 5 5 6 3 DK/NA 7 11 9 9 7 5 13 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Biden 37% 37% 41% 31% 37% 40% 37% 35% 38% Christie 45 43 36 51 49 41 45 46 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 5 6 6 2 8 5 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 4 4 3 4 5 3 3 DK/NA 8 11 12 8 8 7 9 12 12 TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote? Aug 22 Jul 17 2013 2013 Biden 37 38 Christie 44 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 5 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 DK/NA 10 10 11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Clinton 53% 11% 92% 46% 48% 57% 45% 83% Cruz 34 80 - 35 37 30 43 4 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 - - 4 4 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 DK/NA 8 5 7 11 7 9 8 10 WHITE........................................ COLLEGE DEG RELIGION.......... Yes No Prot Cath None Men Wom Clinton 48% 42% 36% 43% 65% 37% 51% Cruz 41 45 51 50 21 50 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 2 4 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 DK/NA 7 9 11 3 6 7 9 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 54% 52% 58% 46% 57% 53% 58% 52% 47% Cruz 34 33 26 41 37 33 30 36 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 4 2 1 4 3 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 2 1 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 8 9 10 8 4 7 7 8 12 12. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Biden 47% 5% 90% 40% 45% 49% 37% 80% Cruz 37 83 1 38 38 35 47 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 3 1 4 5 3 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 6 4 3 4 2 DK/NA 9 5 6 12 7 10 9 10 WHITE........................................ COLLEGE DEG RELIGION.......... Yes No Prot Cath None Men Wom Biden 42% 34% 29% 37% 56% 34% 40% Cruz 44 49 57 49 26 51 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 2 6 4 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 4 3 4 5 4 4 DK/NA 7 10 10 8 6 7 11 COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS.............. Yes No <50K 50-100 >100K 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Biden 48% 46% 50% 43% 48% 46% 49% 44% 47% Cruz 38 36 31 43 39 38 35 39 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 5 5 2 3 6 4 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 4 4 2 3 3 5 4 1 DK/NA 8 9 10 9 6 6 8 10 12 13. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 57% 19% 95% 50% 52% 62% 49% 87% Unfavorable 38 76 2 45 44 32 47 5 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 3 2 2 4 2 8 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 2 2 - TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? Aug 22 Jul 17 2013 2013 Favorable 57 58 Unfavorable 38 37 Hvn't hrd enough 3 4 REFUSED 1 1 14. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 48% 11% 87% 43% 48% 48% 38% 81% Unfavorable 44 84 5 49 45 43 55 6 Hvn't hrd enough 7 5 7 7 6 8 6 13 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 22 Jul 17 Jun 07 2013 2013 2012 Favorable 48 47 39 Unfavorable 44 44 38 Hvn't hrd enough 7 8 20 REFUSED 1 1 2 15. Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 56% 69% 47% 59% 60% 52% 59% 49% Unfavorable 18 13 21 18 20 17 18 21 Hvn't hrd enough 24 16 30 21 19 29 21 29 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Aug 22 Jul 17 2013 2013 Favorable 56 55 Unfavorable 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 24 26 REFUSED 2 2 16. Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Favorable 21% 43% 2% 23% 26% 16% 25% 4% Unfavorable 19 2 36 17 21 17 16 32 Hvn't hrd enough 60 55 62 59 52 66 58 63 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1 1 - 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 47% 75% 25% 49% 50% 45% 52% 28% Disapprove 39 16 59 36 38 39 36 52 DK/NA 14 9 17 16 12 17 11 20 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob McDonnell is handling his job as Governor? APPROVE....... High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 20 Oct 12 Jul 17 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011 2013 Approve 47 46 49 53 53 62 46 Disapprove 39 37 28 26 28 22 37 DK/NA 14 17 23 21 19 16 17 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 40% 61% 25% 41% 45% 36% 45% 25% Disapprove 46 26 61 44 44 47 41 57 DK/NA 14 13 14 16 11 17 14 18 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job? (*High also 48% Jun 2011, **Low also 38% Mar 2012, Feb 2013) APPROVE....... High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 20 Sep 14 May 15 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011* 2013** Approve 40 41 38 40 38 48 38 Disapprove 46 42 42 40 46 34 42 DK/NA 14 18 20 20 16 18 20 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 61% 49% 76% 58% 61% 61% 59% 71% Disapprove 25 40 10 26 25 24 27 14 DK/NA 14 11 14 16 14 15 14 15 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High also 64% Sep 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 21 Feb 09 Mar 27 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2012* 2013 Approve 61 61 59 56 58 64 56 Disapprove 25 23 22 26 28 22 26 DK/NA 14 16 18 18 14 14 18 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as United States Senator? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 55% 35% 80% 48% 54% 55% 49% 78% Disapprove 32 54 9 35 35 29 38 6 DK/NA 14 11 12 16 12 16 13 15 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as United States Senator? Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 21 Jan 09 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Approve 55 51 46 47 50 48 Disapprove 32 30 33 33 33 30 DK/NA 14 19 21 20 17 22 21. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 48% 8% 90% 42% 46% 50% 39% 85% Disapprove 48 90 6 55 50 46 58 10 DK/NA 4 2 4 3 3 4 3 5 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? (*High also 52% Nov 2012) APPROVE....... High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 28 Feb 21 Jan 10 Sep 15 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013* 2011 Approve 48 46 49 45 51 52 40 Disapprove 48 51 47 49 46 44 54 DK/NA 4 4 4 6 4 3 6 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 43% 58% 34% 43% 44% 42% 44% 40% Disapprove 17 12 26 14 18 17 15 24 DK/NA 40 30 40 43 38 42 41 36 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Bolling is handling his job as Lieutenant Governor? (*Low also 35% Oct 2011) APPROVE....... High Low Aug 22 Jul 18 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 20 Aug 22 Dec 22 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011* Approve 43 42 37 37 36 43 35 Disapprove 17 16 17 15 18 17 18 DK/NA 40 42 46 48 45 40 46 24. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Very satisfied 8% 13% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 6% Smwht satisfied 52 66 41 54 56 48 53 49 Smwht dissatisfied 29 17 40 27 27 30 28 32 Very dissatisfied 11 3 12 12 8 14 10 13 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 1 - - TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Virginia today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? (*High also 68% Jun 2011) VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Aug 22 Jul 17 May 15 Mar 27 Feb 20 Sep 14 Feb 20 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2011* 2013 Very satisfied 8 8 8 7 8 13 8 Smwht satisfied 52 54 54 57 50 55 50 Smwht dissatisfied 29 26 26 25 29 24 29 Very dissatisfied 11 11 11 10 12 7 12 DK/NA 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 34. Would you say that Bob McDonnell is honest and trustworthy or not? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Yes 42% 69% 25% 40% 43% 41% 46% 27% No 41 18 55 44 43 39 39 54 DK/NA 17 14 20 16 14 20 15 19 TREND: Would you say that Bob McDonnell is honest and trustworthy or not? Aug 22 Jul 17 2013 2013 Yes 42 44 No 41 36 DK/NA 17 21 37. New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg claims that many of the guns used in crimes in New York City come from Virginia. Which comes closer to your point of view, the Virginia legislature should try to address this issue or Mayor Bloomberg should not get involved in Virginia issues? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk VA leg. shld address 43% 22% 67% 38% 37% 48% 40% 55% Bloombrg not invlved 52 74 29 57 57 48 56 38 DK/NA 5 4 5 5 5 4 4 6 Gun HsHld VA leg. shld address 33% Bloombrg not invlved 64 DK/NA 3 Demographic Summary
