June 14, 2013 - Christie, Rubio, Clinton Close In 2016 Colorado Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Udall Gets Lukewarm Reelection Support For 2014
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New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie gets 44 percent to 41 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in an early look at the 2016 presidential race in Colorado, an important swing state, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In another possible matchup, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida gets 46 percent to Ms. Clinton's 45 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Vice President Joseph Biden trails Gov. Christie 48 - 32 percent and loses to Sen. Rubio 48 - 35 percent.

There is a big gender gap in the Christie-Clinton matchup, as women back the Democrat 49 - 38 percent while men back the Republican 51 - 32 percent. Christie leads 86 - 6 percent among Republicans and gets 41 percent of independent voters to Clinton's 38 percent. Democrats go to Clinton 88 - 5 percent. Hispanic voters back Clinton 66 - 26 percent as white voters back Christie 49 - 36 percent.

The gender gap is strong in the Rubio-Clinton face-off as women go to her 53 - 38 percent while men go to him 53 - 36 percent. Democrats back Clinton 91 - 3 percent as independent voters split with 44 percent for Clinton and 43 percent for Rubio. He wins Republicans 89 - 7 percent. Hispanic voters go Democratic 66 - 26 percent while white voters go Republican 50 - 40 percent.

"Colorado has emerged as an important swing state in presidential politics and these very early numbers reinforce that perception. New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio are in a real horse race - a long horse race - for the White House in 2016," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Way behind is Vice President Joseph Biden," Malloy added.

"Is Benghazi tarnishing Ms. Clinton's luster? Is Gov. Christie, the hero of Superstorm Sandy, the leader everyone wants? Has Sen. Rubio recovered from dry mouth?

"Or are Colorado voters just shopping around? Time will tell."

Colorado voters have a 49 - 17 percent favorable opinion of Christie. Favorability ratings for other possible presidential contenders are:
  • 53 - 44 percent favorable for Clinton;
  • 49 - 39 percent unfavorable for Biden;
  • 39 - 22 percent favorable for Rubio.
Obama, Udall Approval

Voters disapprove 54 - 43 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing. Disapproval is 90 - 9 percent among Republicans and 58 - 40 percent among independent voters while Democrats approve 91 - 6 percent. Women approve 51 - 46 percent while men disapprove 62 - 35 percent. White voters disapprove 59 - 39 percent as Hispanic voters approve 64 - 31 percent.

U.S. Sen. Mark Udall gets a 45 - 31 percent approval rating, with less partisan, gender and ethnic division than President Obama.

Voters say 40 - 33 percent that Sen. Udall deserves reelection next year.

U.S. Sen. Michael Bennet gets a 40 - 31 percent approval rating.

"Colorado voters have little love for President Barack Obama," Malloy said.

"As Sen. Mark Udall prepares for a reelection campaign next year, he cannot be happy with an approval rating short of the magic 50 percent mark."

From June 5 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,065 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              45%     7%    91%    44%    36%    53%    40%    66%
Rubio                46     89      3     43     53     38     50     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      2      3      3      2      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      2      2      1      2      -
DK/NA                 6      3      4      8      7      6      6      6
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              47%    35%    28%    44%    31%    49%    17%    40%
Rubio                46     53     66     52     57     43     79     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      1      1      3      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      3      -      -      2      1      -      1
DK/NA                 5      7      5      2      7      5      3      5
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Clinton              47%    43%    48%    44%    40%    52%    43%    45%    38%
Rubio                46     46     40     51     51     40     45     45     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      2      1      1      2      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      -      2      3      -      -      2      3      -      1
DK/NA                 6      7      6      3      8      4      7      7      6
 
 
9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Marco Rubio the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Biden                35%     3%    83%    31%    28%    42%    32%    46%
Rubio                48     92      4     44     56     40     51     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      4      3      1      2      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      3      3      3      3      3      5
DK/NA                12      3     10     19     11     14     12     13
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Biden                38%    28%    20%    37%    25%    39%    12%    31%
Rubio                50     53     67     51     59     44     80     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      1      3      3      1      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      2      1      3      3      1      2
DK/NA                10     13     11      8     11     13      7     12
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Biden                37%    34%    40%    33%    33%    37%    30%    38%    33%
Rubio                49     47     39     54     54     41     51     46     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      3      2      1      3      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      3      2      4      5      5      2      2
DK/NA                10     14     14      9      8     13     12     13     11
 
 
10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              41%     6%    88%    38%    32%    49%    36%    66%
Christie             44     86      5     41     51     38     49     26
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      1      5      4      3      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      1      4      5      2      4      1
DK/NA                 8      2      5     12      8      8      8      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton              41%    32%    25%    40%    27%    44%    17%    34%
Christie             46     52     64     46     56     43     73     51
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      4      1      4      4      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      3      4      5      3      2      4
DK/NA                 9      8      6      6      8      8      6      8
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Clinton              42%    40%    47%    38%    35%    51%    40%    41%    34%
Christie             45     44     39     48     51     41     42     45     50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      4      3      4      2      1      4      4      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      4      4      2      4      4      2      5
DK/NA                 8      7      7      6     10      3     10      8      9
 
 
11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Biden                32%     2%    78%    26%    26%    38%    26%    57%
Christie             48     89      9     46     53     43     54     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      1      1      6      5      2      4      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      5      -      4      5      3      4      5
DK/NA                12      3     12     18     11     14     13      9
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Biden                31%    23%    17%    28%    21%    32%     9%    26%
Christie             51     56     69     54     59     49     80     54
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      5      1      6      5      2      3      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      3      4      4      3      2      2
DK/NA                14     12     10      8     11     15      6     13
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Biden                33%    31%    38%    31%    25%    43%    29%    32%    26%
Christie             49     48     42     50     57     38     46     50     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      5      4      4      2      4      5      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      4      4      4      3      5      5      3      3
DK/NA                13     12     11     11     14      9     15     13     11
 
 
12. Is your opinion of - Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            53%    16%    93%    54%    42%    63%    49%    69%
Unfavorable          44     80      5     42     53     34     47     20
Hvn't hrd enough      2      3      1      3      3      2      2     11
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      2      -
 
 
13. Is your opinion of - Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            39%     6%    83%    37%    34%    43%    37%    47%
Unfavorable          49     84      6     50     56     43     55     21
Hvn't hrd enough     11      9     10     12      9     13      8     29
REFUSED               1      1      1      2      2      1      1      3
 
 
14. Is your opinion of - Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            39%    62%    13%    40%    51%    29%    42%    32%
Unfavorable          22      4     47     22     20     25     23     16
Hvn't hrd enough     38     33     40     38     29     46     35     52
REFUSED               -      1      1      -      1      -      -      -
 
 
15. Is your opinion of - Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            49%    59%    40%    50%    55%    43%    53%    32%
Unfavorable          17     12     28     15     18     17     17     15
Hvn't hrd enough     32     27     32     32     24     40     28     52
REFUSED               2      3      1      2      3      1      2      1
 
 
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              45%    27%    69%    45%    42%    48%    43%    55%
Disapprove           31     49     11     32     38     25     34     20
DK/NA                24     24     20     23     20     27     23     25
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              50%    42%    49%    41%    47%    48%    36%    46%    53%
Disapprove           31     32     28     35     33     25     34     35     28
DK/NA                20     26     23     24     20     27     30     20     19
 
                     AREA.......................
                     Denv/  Arap/         RestOf
                     Bould  Jeff   West   State
 
Approve              53%    47%    39%    40%
Disapprove           28     26     37     35
DK/NA                19     28     24     25
 
 
19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              40%    28%    65%    36%    35%    45%    40%    44%
Disapprove           31     44     14     32     40     22     31     27
DK/NA                29     28     21     32     25     33     29     29
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              45%    36%    41%    39%    43%    40%    35%    41%    45%
Disapprove           29     32     27     35     29     20     29     36     32
DK/NA                26     32     32     25     28     40     36     23     23
 
                     AREA.......................
                     Denv/  Arap/         RestOf
                     Bould  Jeff   West   State
 
Approve              42%    44%    39%    36%
Disapprove           30     29     33     31
DK/NA                29     27     28     33
 
 
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              43%     9%    91%    40%    35%    51%    39%    64%
Disapprove           54     90      6     58     62     46     59     31
DK/NA                 3      1      3      2      3      2      2      5
 
                     WHITE..............................................
                     COLLEGE DEG                               BornAgnEv
                     Yes    No     Prot   Cath   Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              47%    33%    28%    36%    31%    46%    15%    39%
Disapprove           50     65     71     60     66     52     82     60
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      3      1      3      2
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    40%    48%    40%    40%    51%    40%    44%    37%
Disapprove           49     57     49     58     58     46     54     54     62
DK/NA                 3      3      3      1      2      2      6      2      1
 
 
22. Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes/Deserves         40%    24%    60%    42%    37%    43%    39%    52%
No/Does not          33     51     17     31     39     27     35     18
DK/NA                27     25     23     27     24     30     26     30
 
                     COLLEGE DEG   ANNUAL HSHOLD INC    AGE IN YRS..............
                     Yes    No     <50K   50-100 >100K  18-29  30-44  45-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         45%    37%    41%    40%    45%    42%    35%    39%    49%
No/Does not          34     32     31     37     32     28     33     36     31
DK/NA                20     31     28     23     22     30     32     25     20
 
                     AREA.......................
                     Denv/  Arap/         RestOf
                     Bould  Jeff   West   State
 
Yes/Deserves         49%    43%    36%    33%
No/Does not          29     30     37     36
DK/NA                22     27     27     31
 
 

Demographic Summary