November 20, 2013 - Christie Leads Clinton In Colorado In 2016 Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Obama Hits The Rocks In The Rockies
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In an early look at the 2016 race for the White House, New Jersey Republican Gov. Christopher Christie tops former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton 46 - 38 percent in Colorado, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to results of an August 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN- uh-pe-ack) University, showing Gov. Christie with 43 percent and Secretary Clinton at 42 percent, a tie.

In today's survey, Clinton runs neck and with other possible Republican candidates;
  • Clinton at 44 percent to 47 percent for U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky;
  • Clinton and U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas tied at 44 - 44 percent;
  • Clinton at 43 percent to 45 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.
Colorado voters say 48 - 29 percent that Christie would make a good president. The other contenders, including Clinton, don't have what it takes, voters say, ranging from a negative 46 - 49 percent for Clinton to a negative 24 - 66 percent for Vice President Joseph Biden.

"The race might be hypothetical, but the lead is very real. Coloradans showing the love for Garden State Gov. Christopher Christie, who for the first time in running well ahead of Hillary Clinton," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Right now, Colorado voters say Gov. Christie is the only contender who would make a good president."

U.S. Sen. Mark Udall gets a split 44 - 44 percent approval rating, but voters say 47 - 41 percent the Democratic incumbent does not deserve to be reelected.

In the 2014 U.S. Senate race in Colorado, Sen. Udall gets 45 percent to 42 percent for Republican District Attorney Ken Buck. In other possible matchups:
  • Udall over State Sen. Randy Baumgardner 44 - 39 percent;
  • Udall tops State Sen. Owen Hill 45 - 39 percent;
  • Udall at 43 percent, with 40 percent for businessman Jaime McMillan;
  • Udall leads State Rep. Amy Stephens 45 - 38 percent;
  • Udall tops businessman Mark Aspiri 45 - 36 percent.
"Though running even or ahead of six possible Republican challengers, Sen. Mark Udall must be pulling for a quick fix of the Obamacare website and a change of heart by Coloradans who dislike the Affordable Care Act by a wide margin," Malloy said.

President's Approval Rating

Colorado voters disapprove 59 - 36 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his worst approval rating in any state or national Quinnipiac University poll since he was elected. Even women disapprove by 52 - 41 percent, while men disapprove 66 - 31 percent. Disapproval is 98 - 2 percent among Republicans and 65 - 27 percent among independent voters, while Democrats approve 78 - 15 parent.

"President Barack Obama hits the rocks in the Rockies," Malloy said. "Republicans are singing, 'Rocky Mountain low, Obama's in the snow.'"'

With a negative 34 - 48 percent favorability rating, the Tea Party movement has a net negative that matches the Democrats' negative 39 - 54 percent favorability. Republicans get a negative 34 - 56 percent.

Colorado voters oppose the Affordable Care Act 56 - 40 percent, with opposition at 96 - 3 percent among Republicans and 59 - 35 percent among independent voters. Democrats support the ACA 83 - 14 percent. The ACA will make the quality of healthcare they receive worse in the next year, 45 percent of voters say, while 18 percent say healthcare will get better and 34 percent expect no difference.

From November 15 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,206 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter.

7. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Ken Buck the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                45%     5%    88%    41%    40%    50%    84%    56%     9%
Buck                 42     86      3     41     48     36      6     29     80
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      -      1      1      1      -      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      3      3      3      3      3      2
DK/NA                 9      4      8     13      7     11      7     12      6
 
 
8. (Split Sample) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Randy Baumgardner the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                44%     6%    89%    38%    41%    48%    80%    54%    12%
Baumgardner          39     78      2     42     46     33      8     28     74
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      3      -      2      2      2      2      1      2
DK/NA                14     12      9     18     10     17     11     16     11
 
 
9. (Split Sample) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Owen Hill the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                45%     6%    88%    39%    39%    51%    84%    57%     9%
Hill                 39     84      2     37     48     29      5     26     73
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      -      3      4      1      2      2      4
DK/NA                13      8     10     20      9     17      9     15     12
 
 
10. (Split Sample) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Jaime McMillan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                43%     5%    86%    37%    39%    46%    82%    56%     7%
McMillan             40     82      3     39     47     32      7     23     76
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      -      3      3      2      2      1      4
DK/NA                14     10     11     20     10     18      9     20     12
 
 
11. (Split Sample) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Amy Stephens the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                45%     6%    91%    42%    42%    50%    83%    60%     9%
Stephens             38     81      2     35     43     33      8     25     70
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      -      -      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      -      3      3      4      1      -      7
DK/NA                12      8      7     19     12     13      7     14     12
 
 
12. (Split Sample) If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Mark Aspiri the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Udall                45%     6%    91%    40%    41%    50%    81%    56%     9%
Aspiri               36     75      2     36     42     30      3     23     75
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      -      3      3      2      4      1      3
DK/NA                15     16      7     21     13     17     12     19     12
 
 
13. Is your opinion of Mark Udall favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable            44%    12%    84%    39%    38%    50%    77%    54%    13%
Unfavorable          38     67      4     41     45     30      9     24     70
Hvn't hrd enough     17     20     12     19     16     19     14     20     16
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1      -      2      1
 
 
14. Is your opinion of Ken Buck favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable            29%    58%     5%    25%    35%    22%     6%    20%    52%
Unfavorable          26      7     47     23     25     26     48     31      7
Hvn't hrd enough     45     35     47     51     39     51     45     49     41
REFUSED               1      -      -      1      1      -      1      1      -
 
 
15. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              38%     3%    80%    31%    31%    45%    34%    59%
Christie             46     87      9     47     51     41     51     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      -      4      4      1      3      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      1      6      7      3      4      8
DK/NA                 9      4     10     12      8     10      9      9
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              80%    45%     5%
Christie             12     35     79
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      3      8
DK/NA                 7     14      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Clinton              38      42      41
Christie             46      43      44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3       2       3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5       4       4
DK/NA                 9      10       8
 
 
16. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              44%     5%    89%    38%    34%    53%    41%    58%
Paul                 47     89      5     49     56     38     51     25
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      3      3      2      2      8
DK/NA                 5      3      4      8      4      6      5      8
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              84%    55%     7%
Paul                 10     33     85
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2
DK/NA                 3      6      4
 
 
17. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              44%     6%    90%    39%    38%    51%    41%    61%
Cruz                 44     86      4     44     50     37     47     22
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      -      3      2      2      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      1      2      6      5      3      3      8
DK/NA                 6      4      4      9      4      8      6      8
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              89%    55%     7%
Cruz                  6     29     83
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      5      3
DK/NA                 3      9      5
 
TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Ted Cruz the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23
                     2013    2013
 
Clinton              44      45
Cruz                 44      42
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2       1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4       2
DK/NA                 6       9
 
 
18. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Clinton              43%     3%    89%    37%    36%    50%    40%    56%
Ryan                 45     91      4     46     52     39     49     27
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      3      3      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      4      5      2      2      8
DK/NA                 6      3      4     10      5      7      6      7
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Clinton              85%    54%     6%
Ryan                  6     31     86
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      3      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      4      2
DK/NA                 6      8      4
 
 
19. Do you think - Chris Christie would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  48%    63%    41%    47%    51%    46%    50%    44%
No                   29     19     32     29     33     24     27     36
DK/NA                23     18     27     24     16     30     23     20
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  37%    47%    58%
No                   35     26     26
DK/NA                28     27     15
 
 
20. Do you think - Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  46%    10%    87%    42%    39%    52%    42%    64%
No                   49     87      8     51     56     42     52     33
DK/NA                 5      3      5      8      4      6      5      3
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  83%    58%    11%
No                   12     35     87
DK/NA                 5      8      3
 
 
21. Do you think - Joe Biden would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  24%     5%    45%    21%    22%    27%    23%    33%
No                   66     90     42     67     71     61     69     52
DK/NA                10      5     12     12      7     12      8     14
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  54%    27%     4%
No                   33     61     92
DK/NA                14     12      5
 
 
22. Do you think - Rand Paul would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  38%    67%     8%    41%    45%    32%    41%    27%
No                   41     18     72     38     41     41     40     51
DK/NA                20     15     20     22     14     27     18     22
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  14%    23%    70%
No                   69     53     13
DK/NA                17     24     17
 
 
23. Do you think - Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  30%    59%     3%    27%    34%    25%    31%    21%
No                   42     19     69     41     44     40     42     46
DK/NA                28     22     27     32     22     35     27     33
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                   5%    14%    61%
No                   69     53     15
DK/NA                26     33     23
 
 
24. Do you think - Paul Ryan would make a good President or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes                  41%    76%     7%    41%    45%    36%    44%    25%
No                   43     10     76     40     42     44     40     51
DK/NA                17     14     16     19     13     20     16     24
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes                  10%    30%    71%
No                   77     51     13
DK/NA                12     19     16
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              44%    15%    80%    39%    39%    49%    43%    57%
Disapprove           44     73     11     47     51     36     46     28
DK/NA                12     12      9     14     10     15     11     15
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              75%    55%    14%
Disapprove           15     31     74
DK/NA                10     14     12
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              44      47      45
Disapprove           44      34      31
DK/NA                12      18      24
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              39%    20%    67%    32%    36%    41%    39%    41%
Disapprove           39     59     13     42     45     32     40     26
DK/NA                23     20     19     26     19     27     22     33
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              64%    47%    15%
Disapprove           12     30     63
DK/NA                23     23     22
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bennet is handling his job as United States Senator?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              39      42      40
Disapprove           39      34      31
DK/NA                23      24      29
 
 
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Approve              36%     2%    78%    27%    31%    41%    32%    54%
Disapprove           59     98     15     65     66     52     63     40
DK/NA                 5      -      6      8      3      8      5      6
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Approve              74%    44%     5%
Disapprove           21     48     93
DK/NA                 6      8      2
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Approve              36      41      43
Disapprove           59      56      54
DK/NA                 5       4       3
 
 
31. Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Yes/Deserves         41%    10%    81%    35%    35%    48%    41%    44%
No/Does not          47     77     10     54     57     38     49     38
DK/NA                11     13      9     12      8     14     10     18
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Yes/Deserves         76%    53%     9%
No/Does not          16     33     82
DK/NA                 8     14      9
 
TREND: Do you feel that Mark Udall deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Nov 20  Aug 23  Jun 14
                     2013    2013    2013
 
Yes/Deserves         41      44      40
No/Does not          47      36      33
DK/NA                11      21      27
 
 
33. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            39%     4%    88%    29%    34%    45%    36%    55%
Unfavorable          54     94      7     61     63     46     58     33
Hvn't hrd enough      5      1      4      7      2      7      3     11
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      1      2      2      2
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable            81%    47%     7%
Unfavorable          14     44     90
Hvn't hrd enough      3      7      3
REFUSED               2      3      -
 
 
34. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            34%    76%     5%    29%    37%    31%    36%    24%
Unfavorable          56     19     86     57     56     56     55     56
Hvn't hrd enough      8      3      8     11      6     10      7     17
REFUSED               2      1      1      3      1      3      2      2
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable            10%    25%    59%
Unfavorable          84     62     33
Hvn't hrd enough      4     11      7
REFUSED               3      2      1
 
 
35. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Favorable            34%    63%     7%    35%    41%    27%    37%    18%
Unfavorable          48     22     72     49     46     51     49     40
Hvn't hrd enough     16     14     21     14     12     21     13     40
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      2      1      2
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Favorable             9%    15%    70%
Unfavorable          77     63     14
Hvn't hrd enough     13     21     14
REFUSED               1      1      2
 
 
50. Who do you think was mainly responsible for the partial shutdown of the federal government, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Obama                44%    85%     7%    43%    47%    40%    47%    30%
Reps in Congress     47      7     88     44     43     51     45     56
DK/NA                10      8      5     13     10      9      8     14
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Obama                12%    27%    81%
Reps in Congress     84     61      9
DK/NA                 4     12     10
 
 
51. Do you support or oppose the health care law passed by Barack Obama and Congress in 2010?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Support              40%     3%    83%    35%    35%    45%    38%    51%
Oppose               56     96     14     59     62     50     59     45
DK/NA                 4      1      3      5      3      5      3      4
 
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Support              81%    51%     5%
Oppose               17     43     95
DK/NA                 2      6      1
 
 
52. Do you believe that one year from now the quality of the healthcare that you and your family receive will be better because of the 2010 healthcare law, worse or will there be no difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Hsp
 
Better               18%     2%    38%    16%    16%    21%    17%    28%
Worse                45     78     10     47     49     40     47     34
No difference        34     18     49     34     32     35     34     35
DK/NA                 3      2      4      3      3      3      3      4
                  
                     POLITICAL PHILSPHY
                     Lib    Mod    Con
 
Better               41%    21%     2%
Worse                11     31     79
No difference        47     43     17
DK/NA                 1      4      2
 
 

Demographic Summary